Remember me

24/7 speaks football 24/7

We have writers all over the world bringing you the biggest stories in world football.

  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Finally Argentina have got it right. After two disappointing performances and results in their opening two matches (1-1 v Bolivia and 0-0 v Colombia) the host nation finally sparked the Copa America into life with a magnificent 3-0 win over Costa Rica in their third and final group game in Cordoba on Monday night.

    Sergio Aguero scored twice and Angel Di Maria added a third to rack up and comfortable victory, but the scoreline was only half the story. This was by far the best team display since the competition began and probably saved the job of Argentina coach Sergio Batista, under immense pressure going into the game. Argentina dominated from the start, overwhelming Costa Rica with wave after wave of attack. Without any exaggeration, they could have won by twice as big a margin as they did had their attackers, particularly Gonzalo Higuain, taken more of the chances the team created. Not that it mattered to the home fans, who roared their approval at the final whistle.

    The 3-0 victory will probably be remembered as the game where Lionel Messi finally found his feet for the national team, For so long having struggled to live up to expectations, this was more like the Messi we see week in, week out for Barcelona. He was fantastic, coming within a whisker of scoring himself when he hit the woodwork and pulling the strings in an advanced midfield position. It would be no surprise to see him go from strength to strength during the knock-out stages.

    “This was a real tonic – just what we needed,” said Aguero after the match. “We played very well and we got the goals – but the main thing was we gelled as a team. Now we have to keep it up.”

    Can Argentina keep it up? In a tournament where the favourites have all been below-par – at the time of writing, Uruguay and Brazil have yet to win in four games between them – you have to say the hosts will have a magnificent chance of lifting the trophy if they can maintain the momentum from Monday night. The only downside is they have finished second behind Colombia in Group A because of their slow start, meaning the draw for the quarter-finals will be trickier than expected. Rather than having a straightforward passage to the last four they will face the side that finishes third in Group C, meaning a heavyweight clash against Uruguay is a distinct possibility.

    It’s no surprise though to see the bookies are wary of opposing Argentina. The hosts and favourites are in from 2/1 to 5/4, putting them well ahead of second favourites Brazil (who are 27/10, although those odds will come racing in if and when they make it through to the last eight). And having topped Group A Colombia are now third favourites. They will be confident of reaching the last four as they face one of the best third-placed teams in the last eight.

    But Argentina was this column’s selection before the tournament began, and remain the stand-out choice. Based on the evidence of that performance against Costa Rica, they will take some stopping.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    What are we to make of the opening days of the Copa America? At the time of writing the first four matches in this summer’s South American tournament have produced just three goals, with favourites Argentina and Brazil both stumbling to draws against supposedly inferior opponents.

    Of the two stalemates, Argentina’s was the more shocking as the hosts were widely expected to get off to a flyer in front of home fans in the tournament’s opening game. But the increasingly desperate Argentines needed substitute Sergio Aguero to save their blushes with a spectacular volley 16 minutes from time after Bolivia had taken a surprise second-half lead.

    In the group’s other game, Colombia laboured to a 1-0 win over an under-strength Costa Rica (the central Americans have sent a largely under-23 side to the finals) before Brazil could manage only a goalless stalemate in their opening match against Venezuela. Like Argentina two days earlier, Brazil dominated possession and created the better chances but their finishing let them down. Later the same day Paraguay and Ecuador played out another goalless draw in the same group.

    All of which has left the neutrals feeling distinctly underwhelmed, but it’s far too soon to draw conclusion about what sort of tournament the Copa America 2011 will turn out to be. Firstly, as three out of four teams qualify from two of the three opening-round groups, all the big names will almost certainly reach the last eight, at which point the competition should really take off. And, secondly, history is littered with examples of sides starting tournaments slowly only to finish as feted champions. Spain lost their opening match at last summer’s World Cup, just as Holland did at the 1988 European Championship; and at the Copa America four years ago, eventual winners Brazil lost their opening game against Mexico before cruising to victory.

    What we’ve learned in the first few days of this summer’s tournament is that even the most unfancied sides can halt the giants by being well-organised, defensively smart and having a bit of luck on their side. Argentina and Brazil will both feel as though they should have won their maiden outings, but Bolivia and Venezuela’s performance were in keeping with a pattern repeated around the world over the past couple of decades, namely it’s harder and harder to beat the outsiders. Plenty of bettors will have been caught out backing easy wins for the continent’s ‘Big Two’, whereas the evidence suggests you should think twice before expecting the pair to rack up comfortable winning margins on route to the final most people expect them to contest.

    Not that their early teething troubles have had much impact on the outright market: Argentina have been nudged out from evens to 21/20, with Brazil out to 21/10 from 9/5. The gap between the big two and 13/2 third favourites Uruguay – who will have been in action by the time you read this – remains as wide as ever.

    Rightly so, for the winner is more than likely to be either Argentina and Brazil. So don’t write them off - it just looks as though there will be a few more bumps along the way than many predicted before they get their hands on the trophy.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    All good things come to an end, which is why Brazil aren’t nailed-on to win the Copa America for the third time in a row and the fifth time in the last six outings.

    Selecao boss Mano Menezes has named a strong squad for the tournament in Argentina but at the time of writing Brazil find themselves behind the host nation in the outright betting market.

    There’s one main reason for this: Brazil are using the tournament primarily as a chance to look at some younger players and try out a few new tactics rather than with victory as their driving ambition. It’s worth remembering Brazil qualify automatically as hosts for the next World Cup, so this is Menezes’ last chance to test his players in a competitive environment before that event gets under way.

    As a result, it’s more important for him to look at things rather than lift the trophy, which means he might come out of the tournament better-informed but without getting his hands on the main prize. That makes Argentina – determined to triumph for the first time since 1993 – a better bet at evens than Brazil are at 9/5.

    Not that the boys in yellow and blue won’t provide plenty of entertainment along the way. Menezes has named a strong squad, containing several of the European-based stars he’s relied on since taking over last summer and some highly-promising home-based talent as well.

    In defence, Barcelona’s flying right-back Dani Alves, Inter pair Maicon and Lucio, AC Milan’s title-winning centre-half Thiago Silva and Chelsea’s David Luiz are all there. England-based midfield trio Lucas Leiva (Liverpool), Ramires (Chelsea) and Sandro (Tottenham) all make the cut, while Milan duo Robinho and Alexandre Pato are included in attack.

    There will be more interest in some of the newer names, including Paulo Ganso, the Santos playmaker already attracting interest from European clubs. He missed much of the latter part of Santos’ successful Copa Libertadores run but is a contender for a starting place in midfield. Team-mate Neymar, linked with Chelsea, is already being tipped to become the greatest Brazilian player of his generation, while another teenage starlet, Sao Paulo’s Lucas, will also look to make an impact.

    Tactically I expect plenty of variation from Brazil as this tournament is all about experimentation. Whatever formations Menezes puts out, the Selecao should have enough quality to top a group containing a largely unproven Ecuadorian side, an inexperienced Venezuela and a Paraguay team likely to finish second.

    Brazil ought to have a safe passage through the quarter-finals too as they’re scheduled to meet the second-best third-placed side from the three-group opening phase. Once that hurdle has been successfully cleared a meeting against Uruguay in the semi-finals is likely, providing the first real test of Brazil’s mettle. There’s no such thing as a friendly when these two sides meet so Menezes would put tinkering to one side and name a team he’d hope would be good enough to reach the final.

    Betting-wise it’s difficult to find good opportunities on Brazil. I’ve already ruled out the 9/5 on them winning the trophy and don’t fancy the 7/20 on them winning the group, either (too short). That leaves either the match betting opportunities as the tournament goes along or the outright top goalscorer market. Top Brazilian is Neymar (15/2), who stands second in the betting behind Lionel Messi (100/30). Surprise squad inclusion Fred (10/1) and Pato (10/1) and Robinho (10/1) are next up. Given that squad rotation is likely, I’d back one of the 10/1 shots over Neymar.

    OUTRIGHT ODDS: Argentina evens, Brazil 9/5, Uruguay 11/1, Chile 12/1, Paraguay 16/1, Colombia 20/1, Mexico 40/1, Ecuador 50/1, Venezuela 80/1, Bolivia 125/1, Peru 125/1, Costa Rica 150/1.

    GROUP B: Brazil 7/20, Paraguay 15/4, Ecuador 7/1, Venezuela 20/1.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    COPA AMERICA FOCUS: NO. 1: ARGENTINA

    Argentina’s Copa America campaign will be more than an attempt to win their first trophy since Diego Maradona’s retirement from playing: it will be a chance for Sergio Batista to press his claims to lead his country into the 2014 World Cup.

    Fans and the national press have been generally behind the former international midfielder since he replaced Maradona last year, but this summer’s tournament – South America’s equivalent of the European Championship – is the first time the manager’s credentials will be seriously tested.

    To a degree, he is staking his reputation on the fact he believes he can do something none of his predecessors did: get the best out of Lionel Messi in a national team shirt. To that end, Batista intends setting up Argentina in a style approaching that of Barcelona, with a 4-3-3 that will give Messi the freedom to seek space wherever he can find it across the front line.

    Whether or not the system works depends not only on Messi but those around him. Whatever the strengths this Argentina squad has, it’s unlikely Messi’s team-mates will be match the heights set by Xavi, Iniesta and co. in recent seasons.

    That said, Argentina are deservedly favourites to win the competition on home soil (see prices below) and Batista is lucky enough to have time to fine-tune his system when the tournament is up and running. An opening group phase against Bolivia, Colombia and a Costa Rica side called up at the last minute (they will field mainly under-23 players, too) will pose few problems, meaning the boss can take a look at things in a relatively pressure-free environment. If, as expected, Argentina win Group A, they will face the best third-placed side from the three-group opening round in the quarter-finals, potentially granting them an easy passage all the way to the last four.

    Javier Mascherano remains captain and a very important figure in midfield, with Inter’s Esteban Cambiasso, discarded by Maradona, recalled alongside him. Another player back from the wilderness is 38-year-old Inter right-back Javier Zanetti, the country’s most capped player. He will play in a defence that features Roma stopper Nicolas Burdisso, Barcelona understudy Gabriel Milito and Marcos Rojo – who, at 21, is looking to establish himself as number one left-back. Goalkeeper Sergio Romero, who plays for AZ in Holland, will get his first chance to shine on the international stage.

    Real Madrid winger Angel Di Maria will take one of the places in attack alongside Messi, with Ezeguiel Lavezzi, who excelled at Napoli in Serie A last season, favourite for the third spot. Carlos Tevez made the 26-man preliminary squad but isn’t sure of making the final cut of 23 set to be named on June 26, while Atletico Madrid striker Sergio Aguero, Maradona’s son-in-law, finds himself in a similar position. The squad would surely be better for both players’ inclusions, although the focus on getting the best out of Messi means the pair, plus Real Madrid’s Gonzalo Higuain, are unlikely to feature in the starting XI.

    As always, there’s no shortage of talent, but the question is whether Batista can mould his collection of brilliant individuals into a winning team. My feeling is he will. Key players have had plenty of time to rest since the end of the European season, the team has made excellent progress under the new manager since that 4-0 World Cup quarter-final defeat at the hands of Germany last summer, and Messi is bound to come good for the national team at some point.

    At evens, Argentina are the smart bet to lift the trophy.

    COPA AMERICA 2011 OUTRIGHT: Argentina evens, Brazil 9/5, Uruguay 11/1, Chile 12/1, Paraguay 16/1, Colombia 20/1, Mexico 40/1, Ecuador 50/1, Venezuela 80/1, Bolivia 125/1, Peru 125/1, Costa Rica 150/1.

    GROUP A ODDS: Argentina 9/50, Colombia 4/1, Bolivia 22/1, Costa Rica 33/1.

    TOP GOALSCORER: Messi 21/5, Neymar 15/2, Tevez 8/1, Higuain 8/1, Forlan 9/1, Pato 9/1, Robinho 9/1, Fred 19/2, Falcao 10/1, Cavani 11/1, Suazo 14/1, Milito 16/1, Suarez 16/1, Aguero 16/1, Barrios 18/1, Lavezzi 20/1.

    NEXT WEEK: BRAZIL


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    If the Champions League final was a meeting of the two finest sides in Europe, its South American equivalent has thrown up a tie that will make historians purr.

    For older followers of the game the showdown between Santos and Penarol will evoke memories of the 1960s when the two sides were the continent’s dominant forces. Penarol, hailing from the Uruguayan capital of Montevideo, were the inaugural winners in 1969 and retained their title 12 months later before a Pele-inspired Santos beat them in the 1962 final and kept it the following year.

    Penarol are historically the competition’s most successful side, a feat that’s all the more remarkable when you consider this is their first final since 1987. In all they have played in 14 semi-finals and nine finals, lifting the trophy five times and losing in the final four times.

    With such a rich history it’s been difficult for Penarol’s vast army of followers to see so many other sides collect the trophy over the past two decades or so while they’ve have to stand on the sidelines. For Santos, those two victories in the Pele era are the only occasions they’ve got their hands on the prize. The fact their name is burned on to the collective conscience of football fans around the world has more to do with Pele than Copa Libertadores success: since 1963, seven Brazilian teams (Flamengo, Gremio, Cruzeiro, Sao Paulo, Vasco da Gama, Palmeiras and Internacional) have succeeded where Santos have failed.

    Now the Sao Paulo state-based club have a chance to end their drought thanks to their 4-3 aggregate victory over Paraguayan side Cerro Porteno last week. Santos carried a slender 1-0 lead into the away second leg and made it through to the showpiece occasions thanks to a 3-3 draw on Paraguayan soil that was actually less nervy than the scoreline suggests. The Brazilians took a second-minute lead through Ze Eduardo, leaving the hosts needing thee goals to go through. Santos then went in 3-1 ahead at half-time and even though Cerro Porteno fought back admirably to earn parity on the night they never came close to earning the 5-3 win that would have put Santos out of the competition.

    There was more drama in the other semi-final, where Penarol overcame the odds to defeat Velez Sarsfield. Leading 1-0 from their first leg at home, Penarol went 1-0 up away from home thanks to Eduardo Mier, leaving Velez in need of three goals. They got two but missed a glorious opportunity to claim their place in the final when Santiago Silva missed from the penalty spot in the second-half. Penarol had a spot of luck, then, but that didn’t matter to the contingent of 6,000 travelling fans that had made the journey across to Argentina.

    Santos have been favourites to win the competition since the last-eight stage so go into the two-legged final (June 15 in Uruguay, June 22 in Brazil) as clear jollies (they’re 2/7 to claim victory, with Penarol 23/10). Whoever wins, it will be fantastic to see one of the famous old names back on the trophy.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    There was something fittingly Klinsmann-esque about the winning goal Falcao scored for FC Porto against Braga in the Europa League final last week. Rising to meet a Fredy Guarin cross, the Colombia striker headed home his 17th goal in the competition this season, having broken Klinsmann’s tournament record of 15 goals in a single campaign by scoring against Villarreal in the last four.

    We saw Klinsmann hang in the air like that in all sorts of competitions at every level of the game during his glorious career. There’s no way Falcao, now 25, will ever rank alongside the German striker in the halls of fame. But right now Falcao is undoubtedly one of the hottest properties on the European market thanks to his scoring exploits at Porto over the past two seasons.

    When he arrived in Europe in summer 2009 few people outside South America were familiar with his game. He had a good scoring record for Argentinian side River Plate, but the line of talent that crosses the Atlantic every year is so thick only the very best prospects stand out to most casual observers.

    Falcao had big boots to fill in Portugal, too: the departing Lisandro Lopez had won the Golden Boot and Player of the Year award in his four seasons at Porto, and was popular with the fans. But two years on Falcao has answered every question asked of him with stirring performances in front of goal.

    Last season he was second-highest scorer in the Portuguese League with 25 goals. He showed he could excel at a higher level, too, scoring four times in eight Champions League games. This term, strike partner Hulk has scored more times in domestic competition – he heads the league scorers’ chart with 23 goals to Falcao’s 16 – but the Colombian’s stock has risen because of that remarkable tally of 17 goals in 14 games in Europa League. It’s incredible to think you can be the second highest scorer in your domestic league and actually netted more times in one of Europe’s two primary competitions.

    Porto are a fine club with an outstanding European pedigree, but their biggest names generally seek new challenges elsewhere. Just as Jose Mourinho left on the back of a European triumph, so their vibrant young coach, Andre Villas-Boas, is being linked with all sorts of opportunities in other countries. And the fear among Porto fans must be their cherished Colombian will be leading the line somewhere else in the near future.

    The player himself insists he is staying put, though. “I have two more years on my contract and I intend to see out my contract with Porto. I am happy with the club. The club want to keep me and I want to fulfil my dreams next year. At some point in my career I would like to experience playing in other leagues just like any other player and I have expectations too, but now I am enjoying it here and thinking about the Champions League.”

    That’s great news not only for Porto, but also all fans of European football that dislike the best players being stockpiled at a handful of clubs. He’s played a central role in the renaissance of Portuguese football this season, and I’m sure most people would be delighted to see that continue a good while longer.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    There was something fittingly Klinsmann-esque about the winning goal Falcao scored for FC Porto against Braga in the Europa League final last week. Rising to meet a Fredy Guarin cross, the Colombia striker headed home his 17th goal in the competition this season, having broken Klinsmann’s tournament record of 15 goals in a single campaign by scoring against Villarreal in the last four.

    We saw Klinsmann hang in the air like that in all sorts of competitions at every level of the game during his glorious career. There’s no way Falcao, now 25, will ever rank alongside the German striker in the halls of fame. But right now Falcao is undoubtedly one of the hottest properties on the European market thanks to his scoring exploits at Porto over the past two seasons.

    When he arrived in Europe in summer 2009 few people outside South America were familiar with his game. He had a good scoring record for Argentinian side River Plate, but the line of talent that crosses the Atlantic every year is so thick only the very best prospects stand out to most casual observers.

    Falcao had big boots to fill in Portugal, too: the departing Lisandro Lopez had won the Golden Boot and Player of the Year award in his four seasons at Porto, and was popular with the fans. But two years on Falcao has answered every question asked of him with stirring performances in front of goal.

    Last season he was second-highest scorer in the Portuguese League with 25 goals. He showed he could excel at a higher level, too, scoring four times in eight Champions League games. This term, strike partner Hulk has scored more times in domestic competition – he heads the league scorers’ chart with 23 goals to Falcao’s 16 – but the Colombian’s stock has risen because of that remarkable tally of 17 goals in 14 games in Europa League. It’s incredible to think you can be the second highest scorer in your domestic league and actually netted more times in one of Europe’s two primary competitions.

    Porto are a fine club with an outstanding European pedigree, but their biggest names generally seek new challenges elsewhere. Just as Jose Mourinho left on the back of a European triumph, so their vibrant young coach, Andre Villas-Boas, is being linked with all sorts of opportunities in other countries. And the fear among Porto fans must be their cherished Colombian will be leading the line somewhere else in the near future.

    The player himself insists he is staying put, though. “I have two more years on my contract and I intend to see out my contract with Porto. I am happy with the club. The club want to keep me and I want to fulfil my dreams next year. At some point in my career I would like to experience playing in other leagues just like any other player and I have expectations too, but now I am enjoying it here and thinking about the Champions League.”

    That’s great news not only for Porto, but also all fans of European football that dislike the best players being stockpiled at a handful of clubs. He’s played a central role in the renaissance of Portuguese football this season, and I’m sure most people would be delighted to see that continue a good while longer.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Glance through the draw for the quarter-finals of this year’s Copa Libertadores, and you might feel it’s a misprint. The only Brazilian representatives are Santos. The only side from Argentina to reach the last eight are Velez Sarsfield. Yet these two countries have provided 16 of the last 20 winners of South America’s primary club competition.


    Going into the last 16, the traditional powers looked set to dominate. Brazil had five representatives to Argentina’s two. But there were shocks galore in that round, as Cruzeiro saw their 2-1 first leg lead turn into a 3-2 aggregate defeat against Colombia’s Once Caldas. Fluminense won 3-1 at home to Libertad only to lose the return fixture 3-0, with Libertad netting in the final minute. Internacional’s defence of the trophy ended at the hands of Uruguay’s Penarol with a 2-1 defeat at home after a 1-1 draw away. And Gremio lost home and away to Chile’s Universidad Catolica. Argentina’s 2009 winners Estudiantes went the same way as their Brazilian rivals: after two goalless draws against Cerro Porteno, they went out on penalties.


    The result is an unusual-looking last eight draw in which the outsiders are centre stage. Some will say the quality of the competition from now until the final will suffer for the loss of so many big names; others will focus instead on the fact it’s one of the most unpredictable, and therefore potentially most thrilling, competitions in years.


    The big two still head the betting, with Santos favourites and Velez Sarsfield just behind them. Not that Santos inspire confidence at the moment: they laboured to a 1-0 aggregate win over Mexico’s America in the last 16, producing two performances they’ll have to improve upon if they want to lift the trophy for the first time since Pele-inspired triumphs of 1962 and 1963. And playmaker Ganso, one of their stars, is out with a thigh injury for six weeks. With the final scheduled for June 15 and 22, he risks missing the rest of the tournament.


    Right now, I’d back Velez Sarsfield to win it. The Argentinians produced the most comprehensive last-16 victory, defeating LDU Quito 5-0 over two legs. They have a winnable quarter-final against Libertad (which will be under way by the time you read this) before facing either Penarol – the club with the greatest pedigree remaining in the competition – or Universidad Catolica in the last four.


    What chance a Paraguayan victory? The small, landlocked country of just over six million inhabitants is the only nation with two representatives left. Should Libertad and Cerro Porteno win their last-eight ties, they will be kept apart in the last four, raising the remarkable possibility of an all-Paraguayan final. Personally, though, I think the last four is as far as either of them will go. It’s nine years since Olimpia – the only Paraguayan side to win the tournament until now – last got their hands on the trophy, but the wait for one of their compatriots to emulate them will go on a little longer.


    An emotional pick would be Penarol. It would be great to see one of the famous names of the South American game, and starved of Copa Libertadores success since 1987, enjoy a moment in the spotlight again. They’ll probably have to overcome Velez Sarsfield in the semi-finals – but then, having knocked out Internacional in the last round, they will probably relish the challenge.


    Whoever triumphs, the next six weeks are going to provide more unexpected drama.

    COPA LIBERTADORES OUTRIGHT: Santos 2.75 (7/4), Velez Sarsfield 4.3 (33/10), Universidad Catolica 9.0 (8/1), Once Caldas 10.0 (9/1), Cerro Porteno 10.5 (19/2), Libertad 10.5 (19/2), Penarol 10.5 (19/2), Jaguares 11.0 (10/1)
    Prices before quarter-finals start


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Growing up in the 1980s and 1990s, one of the things you learned quickly about football in order to compare great players from different eras was that the statistical patterns of bygone decades no longer applied. Marco van Basten, we were told, was always going to score less prolifically than Gerd Muller, because football had changed. Teams were better-organised, the game was generally more defensive and, if anything, to number of goals per game was going to keep on falling in the years ahead.


    Despite being born in the 1980s and growing up in the 1990s, Lionel Messi clearly didn’t realise this principle was supposed to pertain to him as well. Last weekend, his late goal for Barcelona in a league game against Osasuna made him the first player in the history of Spanish football to score 50 goals in all competitions in a single season. There was a beautiful symbolism about the name of the player whose record he broke: Ferenc Puskas, one of those marvellously prolific footballers (he scored 84 goals in 85 internationals for Hungary) whose like we were supposedly never going to see again, had set the previous high of 49 in the 1959-60 season. Fifty goals, 50 years on, Messi has made the impossible a reality.


    Measuring individual greatness in a team sport is so contentious there are many that find it pointless, but if you were to list the top 10 footballers of all time today, surely Messi, at just 23 and with most of his career ahead of him, would have to already appear on it. Have we ever seen his like before? Not in my lifetime. Those that say you need to thrive at a World Cup to be considered an all-time great are living in a past that never really existed. Firstly, the Champions League, rather than the World Cup, is now the pinnacle of international competition, as anybody that watched last summer’s tournament in South Africa would have recognised; and, secondly the likes of Alfredo di Stefano and van Basten are rightly considered all-time greats without fulfilling their potential on a World Cup stage. Messi has already won two Champions Leagues and four Spanish league titles, twice finished as the Champions League top goalscorer (a feat he is on course to repeat this season) and collected two Ballons d’Or. He unquestionably deserves his place among the top 10.


    What’s most exciting about Messi’s goal tally this season is the delicious prospect of how many he may end up with. There are five Spanish league games to go, and (with this piece being written just before Barca’s Champions League semi-final first leg against Real) Messi has a maximum of three matches in Europe remaining as well. Fifty-five? Sixty? Given his scoring rate of a goal every game, somewhere between 55 and 60 is entirely possible. Barcelona’s trip to 12th-placed Real Sociedad this week gives him a great opportunity to start moving towards that total.


    Messi being Messi, of course, what matters most to him is team glory. Barcelona are odds-on to add another Spanish league title to their collection. If Messi drives the team towards a third Champions League triumph in six seasons as well, it will merely take him another step closer to the label of greatest player of all time that he seems increasingly likely to wear one day.


    Real Sociedad v Barcelona (30 April):


    Real Sociedad 7.5 (13/2), Draw 5.0 (4/1), Barcelona 1.33 (3/10).


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    There were plenty of critics when Ronaldinho joined Flamengo four months ago but the former Barcelona star answered plenty of them by leading Fla to Carioca Championship victory last Sunday.

    Speaking after Flamengo’s penalty shoot-out win over Vasco da Gama, the twice Fifa World Player of the Year winner underlined how much claiming the trophy meant to him.

    “The joy of this can only be compared to winning the World Cup,” said the 31-year-old, which must have raised eyebrows in Barcelona, whom he helped to Champions League glory in 2006. “I’ve gone five years without winning a trophy. This is what I came back to Brazil for. To win something in my homeland is fantastic. I’ve loved playing for these fans and I hope to continue my work here.”

    The Carioca is Rio’s state championship, contested at the start of each calendar year. The competition consists of two group stages – the Taca Guanabara and Taca Rio – where 16 teams face each other before finals decide the winner of each stage. As Flamengo won the finals of both the first and second stages, there was no need for a play-off to decide the ultimate champion.

    Last Sunday’s second-stage final against Vasco da Gama may have been a poor spectacle, with a 0-0 draw before Flamengo’s 3-1 penalty shoot-out win, but the manner of victory won’t have detracted from the celebrations for the returning hero. There have been one or two tough moments along the way - his last-minute penalty miss in a Carioca group game against Macae last month meant Flamengo had to face Fluminense rather than an easier semi-final, and he then missed the last-four clash because of a knee injury – but there have also been flashes of the brilliance that made him a household name during the 2000s, the highlight being the curling free-kick that earned Flamengo victory in the Taca Guanabara final over Boavista. Although many have questioned Ronaldinho’s desire down the years, he’s a natural winner, like all greats, so will be delighted to have added another line to his roll of honours.

    The next challenge is the Brazilian Championship, which kicks off on May 21. This will be the first chance for fans and media to see how Ronaldinho fares against the very best sides in the country, although Flamengo have already proved themselves against last season’s Brazilian champions, Fluminense, beating them on their way to Carioca Championship victory. Seeing off their deadly rivals will have handed Flamengo a psychological boost, and they will surely improve on last season’s 14th place finish once the national competition comes to its conclusion next December.

    On a personal level, Ronaldinho is hoping last weekend’s triumph is the start of a glorious new chapter in his career. And he’s thinking in terms of years rather than weeks or months, making it clear he wants to be part of Brazil’s 2014 World Cup squad for the tournament on home soil. By then, he will be 34 – an age at which most media commentators assumed he’d be a washed-up has-been. Last weekend’s victory may have prompted some into reassessing their views of the man called ‘Ronnie’, even though he’s got a long way to go if he wants to be on the pitch rather than a bystander in three years’ time.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    For South American football followers interested in betting on the Copa Libertadores, the picture in the outright betting became a little clearer following last week’s matches.

    Four of the eight second-round groups came to an end, meaning we now know nine of the 16 sides that will compete in the knock-out stages (Libertad are already through from one of the incomplete groups with a game remaining). The final four groups come to a close this week, at which point we’ll know all 16 teams in the next phase of the competition.

    The biggest certain absentees are Independiente of Argentina, although close followers of Argentinian football will know one of the continent’s most successful sides have been ailing for some time. They qualified for the competition by virtue of winning last year’s Copa Sudamericana (South America’s equivalent of the Europa League) but appalling domestic form meant they were always likely to struggle on a bigger continental stage. And so it proved: Independiente were eliminated after finishing third in Group 8, behind 2008 winners LDU Quito and Uruguayan side Penarol. LDU Quito, one of the continent’s most impressive clubs, are the highest-ranked team from outside the ‘Big Two’ (Brazil, Argentina) in the outright market.

    The most convincing qualifiers were Cruzeiro of Brazil, who go through with a total of 16pts from a possible 18, and a remarkable goal difference of +19. Runners-up in 2009, Cruzeiro’s home form was the backbone of their brilliant record: they thrashed Deportes Tolima 6-1, Guarani 4-0 and, in one of the most remarkable results of the round, 2009 champions Estudiantes (who went through in second place) 5-0. Not surprisingly, given how they have played so far, Cruzeiro have been installed as short-priced favourites in the outright market.

    Brazilians Gremio also went through with a 100% home record, although could only finish second in Group 2 behind Colombian side Junior. Also in the last 16 (via Group 4) are Chilean champions Universidad Catolica, whose best performance was a 4-3 away win at Velez Sarsfield. The Argentinians made it through by finishing second in the group, though, and remain highly-placed in the outright betting.

    With Santos and holders Internacional next week expected to join Cruzeiro, Internacional and Gremio in the last 16, it’s easy to see why Brazil are 1.67 (4/6) to provide the winning team. If you like historical trends, however, those odds will be a little short for you: only three of the last 10 competition winners, and nine of the last 20, have hailed from Brazil.

    * Last 16 games take place between April 26 and 28 (first legs) and May 3 and May 5 (second legs)

    COPA LIBERTADORES WINNER:

    Cruzeiro 4.8 (19/5), Santos 7.5 (13/2), Internacional 8.5 (15/2), Velez Sarsfield 8.5 (15/2), Estudiantes 9.0 (8/1), Gremio 10.0 (9/1), LDU Quito 11.0 (10/1), Argentinos Juniors 17.0 (16/1), Club America 21.0 (20/1), Libertad 21.0 (20/1), Colo Colo 26.0 (25/1), Fluminense 26.0 (25/1), Nacional De Montevideo 26.0 (25/1), Penarol 26.0 (25/1), Universidad Catolica 26.0 (25/1), Jaguares 29.0 (28/1), Junior Barranquilla 29.0 (28/1), Once Caldas 67.0 (66/1), Universidad San Martin 67.0 (66/1), Cerro Porteno 81.0 (80/1), San Luis 81.0 (80/1), Emelec 101.0 (100/1).

    * Teams in bold already qualified

    COPA LIBERTADORES WINNING COUNTRY:

    Brazil 1.67 (4/6), Argentina 3.3 (23/10), Ecuador 10.0 (9/1), Mexico 11.0 (10/1), Chile 13.0 (12/1), Uruguay 13.0 (12/1), Paraguay 17.0 (16/1), Colombia 19.0 (18/1), Peru 67.0 (66/1).


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    A legend of the Brazilian game made a surprising return to the scene this week. On Monday, Copa Libertadores holders Internacional confirmed Roberto Falcao had taken over as their new manager. He replaced Celso Roth, sacked last Friday.

    Falcao is best remembered as one of the star players in the Brazil side that enthralled fans around the globe at the 1982 World Cup. He scored three goals in five games at that tournament, but Brazil suffered a shock exit at the hands of eventual winners Italy in the second group phase.

    Less well-known is the fact he remains one of the greatest players in Internacional’s history. After joining the Porto Alegre-based club as a teenager, Falcao made his debut in the early 1970s and played for the side for the remaining years of the decade. He established himself as one of the finest midfielders in South American football, inspiring the club to a hat-trick of league titles (1975, 1976 and 1979). On the continental stage, his finest moment in an Internacional shirt came in 1980, when he helped the club reach the Copa Libertadores final. Over two legs, they lost 1-0 to Uruguay’s Nacional.

    Falcao then moved to Roma, where he earned a reputation as one of Serie A’s finest players at a time when so many of the world’s best footballers – Zico, Michel Platini and Zbigniew Boniek among them – were playing in Italy’s top flight. He was a key figure in the Roma side that landed the 1984 Scudetto, but suffered another defeat in a continental final when Roma were beaten on penalties in their own stadium by Liverpool in the European Cup final the following year.

    For all his success on the field, however, Falcao has yet to prove a top-class coach. Following Brazil’s premature exit from the 1990 World Cup he became boss of the national side but left a year later. From 1991 to 1993 he coached Mexican side America. He took charge of Internacional on a caretaker basis for a 10-game period in 1993, before managing the Japan national side for a year. In all jobs, he left no trace.

    It says much about his legendary status that Internacional have persuaded him to give up a successful TV career to take the manager’s post. Perhaps his employers believe his mythical status alone will bring out the best in the players. Or, perhaps, after so much time in the commentary box, he has gained an insight he will be able to transmit in the dressing-room and from the sidelines.

    Internacional need a boost, although they remain second favourites to retain the Copa Libertadores (see odds below). Former boss Roth’s star waned following last summer’s triumph, with critics gathering in greater numbers since the embarrassing defeat to to Congolese side TP Mazembe in the Club World Cup semi-finals last December. A 1-0 defeat to Mexican side Jaguares in the Copa Libertadores group phase last week was the final straw.

    Whether Internacional are able to successfully defend their crown now depends on Falcao. His return to management will make fascinating viewing.

    COPA LIBERTADORES OUTRIGHT: Cruzeiro 6.0 (5/1), Internacional 8.0 (7/1), Santos 8.5 (15/2), Estudiantes 9.0 (15/2), Gremio 9.5 (17/2), Velez Sarsfield 12.0 (11/1), LDU Quito 13.0 (12/1), Argentinos Juniors 15.0 (14/1), Club America 19.0 (18/1), Fluminense 21.0 (20/1), Libertad 21.0 (20/1)


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Later this month, Brazil face Scotland in an international friendly at the Emirates Stadium in London. According to some critics, one of the players likely to don Selecao gold for the night isn’t even fit to wear the blue of Scotland.

    Lucas Leiva splits opinion like nobody else. To some, he’s the embodiment of the modern midfielder; to others, he’s an undeserving anomaly in a Liverpool shirt. His supporters would tell you dismissing his skills is a sign you fail to understand the importance of certain players in the team; to the naysayers, the 24-year-old midfielder is the footballing equivalent of the emperor’s new clothes.

    One fan is Brazil manager Mano Menezes. While there was no place for Ronaldinho or Robinho in the party for the Scotland match, Lucas was there at the beginning of a month where a torrent of apologies have poured in from bloggers around the world. Finally, after months, even years or criticism, he is winning people round.

    Kenny Dalglish is another fan. The caretaker Liverpool manager has had no qualms about making Lucas an integral part of the side that’s improved so much since the former Kop favourite took over a couple of months ago. And there’s no question Dalglish’s patronage of the player, while not entirely silencing the player’s critics, has certainly caused them to pipe down a bit.

    The change of mood must be a relief for Lucas. In his short career he’s had to ensure some stormy times on Merseyside. Through no fault of his own, the player became a bellweather for how football fans and the media regarded Rafael Benitez. Rather than merely being rated in his own right, he was in the spotlight far more than he would have liked for the wrong reasons. During the final 12 months of his managerial reign Benitez was heavily criticised by swathes of the English media for signing too many poor players, and Lucas found himself cited more often than anybody else as evidence of the Spaniard’s erratic transfer activity.

    How on earth, screamed the critics, can Benitez believe this guy is fit to wear the shirt? In the days when singling out Lucas became shorthand for having a go at Benitez, you had to dig deep to find a rational opinion about the player. And yet the truth was simple. He was essentially a young man settling down in a foreign country and adapting to a new style of football. It was hardly surprising his form suffered ups and downs.

    Now, with Benitez gone and the heat taken out of the issue, people are realising Lucas isn’t so bad after all. Technically he is good (like any Brazilian that can’t dribble like Garrincha, he gets labelled technically average, but that’s because of his passport more than anything else), he’s tactically intelligent and a hard-working member of the side. He passes well, is smart and gets forward with increasing authority.

    Anyway – would any player that won the Brazilian League’s Best Player award (as he did in 2006) be all that bad? I get the feeling the £6m fee Liverpool paid for his talents may turn out to be a bargain.

    BRAZIL SQUAD TO FACE SCOTLAND:

    Goalkeepers: Victor (Gremio), Jefferson (Botafogo), Julio Cesar (Inter Milan)
    Defenders: Lucio, Maicon (Inter), Thiago Silva (AC Milan), David Luiz (Chelsea), Luisao (Benfica), Marcelo (Real Madrid), Andre Santos (Fenerbahce), Daniel Alves (Barcelona)
    Midfielders: Lucas (Sao Paulo), Lucas Leiva (Liverpool), Elano (Santos), Elias (Atletico Madrid), Henrique (Cruzeiro), Jadson (Shakhtar Donetsk), Ramires (Chelsea), Sandro (Tottenham Hotspur), Renato Augusto (Bayer Leverkusen)
    Forwards: Alexandre Pato (AC Milan), Jonas (Valencia), Neymar (Santos), Nilmar (Villarreal)


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    First Ronaldo, then Ronaldinho and Rivaldo. Some of the biggest names in Brazilian football history have returned to their homeland to finish their careers recently – and this trend for international strikers turned their back on Europe to the country of their birth isn’t restricted to superstars.

    Last month Luis Fabiano called time on his career in Spain’s first division by agreeing to join Sao Paulo in a €7.6 million deal. The 30-year-old striker left Sevilla with immediate effect and seemed delighted to be going home.

    “Money is not everything in life,” the striker told Sao Paulo’s official website. “Nothing makes me happier than returning to wear the shirt of the team that is closest to my heart. I owe everything to Sao Paulo and will make sure I work hard and try to score a lot of goals.”

    It’s hardly surprising Luis Fabiano feels such an attachment to Sao Paulo, because the club rescued him after his first, ill-fated spell in Europe. As a teenager he joined French side Rennes but never settled in north-west France and was quickly on a plane back home. At Sao Paulo, he finally hit the rich run of goalscoring form that made his name: he netted 61 goals in 87 league games, earning a move to FC Porto and a far happier second spell on the other side of the Atlantic.

    Luis Fabiano spent just a single season in Portugal before embarking on a five-and-a-half year period in Spain that can be labelled an unmitigated success. His scoring record at Sevilla was phenomenal – 72 goals in 147 league games – and he helped the club pick up consecutive Uefa Cups (2006 and 2007) plus a Spanish Cup in 2007.

    It was towards the end of 2007 Luis Fabiano became a regular member of the Brazil set-up, remaining part of the squad until the Selecao’s ill-fated appearance at last summer’s World Cup finals. During the group stages in South Africa last summer the five-time world champions looked strong contenders to add a sixth global crown and Luis Fabiano was among the favourites to earn the Golden Boot, but the 2-1 quarter-final defeat against Holland ended their dreams, and spelled the end of his international career.

    More effective than graceful, powerful rather than poetic, Luis Fabiano is one of those players that divides opinions. Some saw him as a magnificent, modern centre-forward, but others wondered why it had taken him so long to reach his peak. Statistically the goals speak for themselves, although critics will point to the fact he only once broke the 15-goal barrier in a single league season in Spain, and will retire without having truly made his mark on a major international tournament (he was top scorer at the 2009 Confederations Cup, but few would bracket the event alongside the World Cup or Copa America).

    His transfer to Sao Paulo certainly reveals the depreciation in his transfer value over recent months. Last summer, Marseille coach Didier Deschamps made the Brazilian his number one striker transfer target, and implored his bosses to meet Sevilla’s €18m asking price. But Marseille sporting director Jose Anigo and club president Jean-Claude Dassier refused, citing the player’s age, which would mean Marseille would struggle to recoup most of the fee. Luis Fabiano extended his Sevilla contract to 2013 instead, but the fact the club have now sold him for a relatively low fee just six months later indicates how low his stock had fallen.

    The deal looks like a great one for Sao Paulo, though: they get a great goalscorer who harbours a genuine love for the club who, at 30, should have plenty left in the tank. When the Brazilian League season kicks out, look out for Luis Fabiano in the goalscoring charts. We haven’t heard the last from him yet.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    When journalists and fans run through the pantheon of Brazilian greats, one name often seems to be forgotten: Rivaldo.

    Fans outside South America may not even be aware that the former Barcelona star is still playing. At the start of 2011 he agreed to join Sao Paulo on loan until the end of the year, with an option to extend the deal for another 12 months.

    Right now Sao Paulo are competing in the Campeonato Paulista, the state tournament that takes place at the start of every year from January to April. With Rivaldo on board (even though he’s had injury problems), they’re currently top of the table.

    His return to Brazil after 14 years abroad marks the latest chapter in a remarkable career that has taken him from an amateur at Santa Cruz two decades ago to Spain, Italy, Greece, Uzbekistan and back home. One of the finest players of the past 25 years, it’s a mystery why Rivaldo struggles to receive the recognition he deserves.

    Rivaldo’s longevity alone warrants admiration – he turns 39 in April, making him a couple of months older than Zinedine Zidane, who retired five years ago – but the standards he has set at virtually every club he has played for also set him apart. Some will point to his struggle to make an impact at AC Milan, where he played after the 2002 World Cup, but for the previous six seasons he was arguably the finest player in the best league in the world thanks to stellar performances for Deportivo La Coruna and Barcelona.

    Rivaldo collected Fifa’s World Player of the Year and France Football’s Ballon d’Or awards in 1999, yet you could argue the peak came three years later when he helped Brazil win the World Cup for a fifth time. Ronaldo finished as tournament top scorer with eight goals in Korea and Japan, and Germany goalkeeper Oliver Kahn won the player of the tournament award (voting took place the day before the final, making a mockery of the award when the Bayern Munich no. 1 made a handling error on one of Brazil’s goals in the final). But Brazil coach Luiz Felipe Scolari was one of many in no doubt about the real star of the show. In an interview shortly after the tournament, ‘Felipao’ named Rivaldo the best player in his team.

    Some will question whether Rivaldo has the legs to carry on playing, but the player himself is in no doubt he has plenty left to give. In a recent interview with Fifa.com, he said: “I’m going to get tired; that’s normal. But after 15 or 20 minutes of the second-half everyone starts looking at me. Sometimes in games you get substitutes for tactical reasons but when it happens to me people say it’s because I was tired, and that’s now always the case. I take part in every training session, morning and afternoon, to make sure I’m fit enough. If you can train with the rest of the squad, then you’re able to play for 90 minutes.”

    Watching the tail-end of one of the greatest players of modern times will be a joy for all South American fans in the months ahead.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    A couple of months ago we wondered how Luis Suarez might fare in a Liverpool shirt. We got the answer last Sunday.

    There are few occasions where a player scores a hat-trick yet plays second fiddle to a team-mate. The case springs to mind of Stan Mortensen, who scored a hat-trick for Blackpool only for the 1953 FA Cup final to be always known as the ‘Matthews final’ in honour of his more illustrious team-mate Stanley Matthews.

    That’s also the fate that befell Dirk Kuyt on a sunny afternoon at Anfield last weekend. The Dutchman scored all three goals in Liverpool’s 3-1 win over Manchester United, but most of the post-match discussion centred on the wizardry of Suarez.

    The 24-year-old set up Liverpool’s opening goal on 34 minutes with a bewitching piece of skill that wrongfooted three defenders. Suarez’s cross then led to a poor defensive header from Nani, gifting Liverpool their second goal. The Uruguayan was the architect of the Reds’ third goal when Manchester United goalkeeper Edwin van der Sar failed to hold the player’s free-kick.

    Suarez’s skill was never in doubt. What has persuaded the Liverpool faithful they have a bona-fide hero on their hands is the speed with which he’s taken to life at Anfield, plus his willingness to match talent with workrate. As one ‘tweeter’ on my personal feed commented after the game, the best moment of the match was the sight of Suarez furiously chastising himself for not making the scoreline 4-0 when the game was evidently already won.

    Most excitingly, Suarez has yet to have the opportunity to gel with that other expensive January signing, Andy Carroll. The £35m striker came off the bench for his Liverpool debut against United, but the pair spent only 15 minutes on the pitch together. We will see much more from them in the weeks ahead.

    Back at Suarez’s former club Nacional in Uruguay, things are going less smoothly. Last week they lost 1-0 at home to Argentinos Juniors in a Copa Libertadores Group 3 clash. A defensive mix-up led to the only goal of the game. The result leaves Nacional bottom of Group 3 with just 1pt from three matches.

    Argentinos Juniors coach Pedro Troglio – a name older European readers might remember from the 1990 World Cup – said: “The guys are doing their work very well. This is a great win for us. We came here thinking a draw would be good for us and we won.”

    As a result of their latest setback Nacional face an uphill struggle to reach the last 16. Argentinos Juniors top the group on 7pts, followed by America of Mexico with 6pts. And surely Fluminense, who have taken just 2pts from their opening three matches, will improve.

    Nacional are faring slightly better in their domestic league. Last weekend they won 3-1 at home to Miramar to stay in the hunt for the title. Just two points separate the top four sides: Defensor lead the way on 30pts, followed by Nacional and Bella Vista on 29pts, and El Tanque Sisley on 28pts.

    The hottest property on Nacional’s books right now is a 20-year-old striker called Santiago Garcia. Although yet to play for the national team, he’s considered one of his country’s finest prospects. He tops the Uruguayan League scoring charts with 16 goals.

    Garcia will be one of the names to look out when Nacional return to league action this weekend. Their opponents? Liverpool – of Montevideo.

    COPA LIBERTADORES OUTRIGHT WINNER: Fluminense 11.0 (10/1), Argentinos Juniors 13.0 (12/1), Club America 21.0 (20/1), Nacional 81.0 (80/1).

    COPA LIBERTADORES WINNING COUNTRY: Brazil 1.71 (5/7), Argentina 2.95 (39/20), Ecuador 12.0 (11/1), Mexico 12.0 (11/1), Chile 13.0 (12/1), Colombia 13.0 (12/1), Paraguay 15.0 (14/1), Uruguay 23.0 (22/1), Peru 41.0 (40/1), Venezuela 101.0 (100/1), Bolivia 151.0 (150/1).


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    For fans outside South America, the Copa Libertadores – the continent’s equivalent of Europe’s Champions League –really starts to capture imagination only in the latter stages. But for football fanatics based in South America, the tournament makes compelling viewing from the group stages onwards. Sub-plots twist one way and then the other, old scores are settled and new ones are created as some of the biggest names on the continent face-off during several months of competition before the winner emerges.

    One of the most eagerly-awaited clashes in this year’s opening group stage takes place this week. On Thursday night at 7.15pm local time (10.15pm GMT), Uruguayan side Penarol make the trip across the Argentinian border to face Independiente at the 44,000-capacity Estadio Libertadores de America stadium. It is the opening group game for both sides so there will plenty of times to pick up points from other fixtures should things go awry this week, but the game is no less important for that.

    In continental terms, the journey from Uruguayan capital Montevideo to Buenos Aires is a mere hop at 575km, which partly explains why Penarol’s allocation of 3,000 away tickets were reportedly all bought within an hour of going on sale last Friday. Another reason the tickets were snapped up so quickly is the historic rivalry and brilliance of the two clubs. Brazilian football may still enjoy a global popularity that places it above its peers, but in purely statistical terms clubs from Argentina and Uruguay have regularly got the better of their Brazilian counterparts over the past century. Independiente and Penarol are two of the finest examples of that: the former have won the Copa Libertadores seven times, putting them top of the all-time list, while the latter’s haul of five places them third in the all-time list. This game is therefore a bit like Real Madrid hosting Liverpool.

    Liverpool are the most apt comparison, because both clubs continue to live off past glories rather than current success. Penarol may be Uruguayan champions, but it’s a long time since they’ve competed on an equal footing with the continent’s best sides. Their last Copa Libertadores triumph dates back to their 1987 victory over the Chileans of America Cali.

    Independiente’s slide since their 1970s heyday, when they won four straight Copa Libertadores titles, has been even more dramatic: they last won the trophy in 1984, which means a generation of Independiente fans have grown up without seeing their team crowned continental champions. And on home soil, they have been a spent force for much of the past decade: the club’s last league title was an Argentinian Apertura prize in 2002.

    It says much for the pulling power of the two clubs and the competition that a clash so early in this season’s tournament has been able to attract so much attention. The Champions League may continue to dominate headlines around the world, but on weeks like this, you know the Copa Libertadores really exists.

    MATCH PRICES: Independiente 1.65 (13/20), Draw 3.4 (12/5), Penarol 4.7 (37/10)

    COPA LIBERTADORES OUTRIGHT: Fluminense 7.5 (13/2), Cruzeiro 8.5 (15/2), Santos 8.5 (15/2), Internacional 9.5 (17/2), Velez Sarsfield 9.5 (17/2), Gremio 10.0 (9/1), Estudiantes 13.0 (12/1), Argentinos Juniors 19.0 (18/1), Club America 21.0 (20/1), LDU Quito 21.0 (20/1), Independiente 23.0 (22/1).


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    One of the finest footballers in history called time on his career this week. Fighting back the tears, Ronaldo – the original, Brazilian version, as opposed to CR9 – sat in front of the cameras on Monday morning and told the world that, as much as he wanted to play on, his battered body could no longer take it.

    “In the past few years I’ve had lots of injuries. First one leg, then the other. One muscle, then another. That’s why I’ve had to bring forward my retirement. It’s hard to give up something that’s made me so happy, but you have to know when to admit defeat. I’ve been beaten by my body.”

    Aged 34, Ronaldo’s stats alone place him among the pantheon of greats. Most strikers work on the theory that a goal every other game is a respectable return. A different arithmetic scale applied to Ronaldo: according to French sports daily L’Equipe, he scored 436 goals in 627 professional appearances. That’s a goal every 1.44 matches.

    Three times voted Fifa’s World Player of the Year, he also collected France Football’s Ballon d’Or twice (the two awards are now one and the same) and finished top scorer in the Dutch and Spanish leagues. He was a Spanish League winner, a Dutch League winner, a Copa America winner, an Intercontinental Cup winner, a Confederations Cup winner. The only man to have scored more goals for the Brazil national team is Pele. No-one has scored more goals in World Cup finals matches.

    For all the goals, those memorable bursts of pace he showed as a teenager at PSV, the thrilling power of his charges towards goal, his remarkable close control, the feints and stepovers and huge toothy smiles as he wheeled away in celebration, the characteristic that will always define Ronaldo is courage.

    The knee injuries he suffered in 1999 and 2000 would have ended the careers of lesser men. Between the 1998 and 2002 World Cups he played an average of just nine Serie A games a season at Inter. At that time you were more likely to see a photo of him screaming in agony staring at his buckled knee than finding the back of the net.

    One struggles to imagine the reserves of courage and self-belief Ronaldo called upon to not only play again but emerge as the star of a World Cup-winning side just months after recovering the ability to kick a ball. His goals were the driving force behind Brazil’s fifth world triumph in 2002. No player had scored so many times at a single tournament since Gerd Muller in 1970. Alongside team-mate Rivaldo, he was the undisputed star of a tournament that signalled his return to the pinnacle of the sport.

    Ronaldo’s performances on Japanese and South Korean soil nine years ago constitute the greatest comeback in the history of football. For that and his other magnificent achievements, he ranks alongside Marco van Basten as the greatest centre-forward we’ve ever seen.

    Professor Gerard Saillant, the man that operated on Ronaldo three times, said this week: “I’m astonished Ronaldo has been able to play on until 34. Many others in his position would have given up a lot earlier. But thanks to his energy and desire, he was able to continue.”

    It was fitting Ronaldo quit on Valentine’s Day. The world of football will love him forever.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    When the Argentinian Clausura 2011 season kicks-off this weekend, the subject of one of the most intriguing moves of the recent transfer period will be kicking his heels on the sidelines.

    Ariel Ortega left River Plate, where he is rated one of their greatest players of all time, for newly promoted All Boys, whom he’s joined on a six-month loan. He will sit out the first couple of matches of the season through Appendicitis. When he returns, the eyes of the football-watching nation will be on him to see if he retains some of the magic that made him a player of such exciting potential more than a decade and a half ago.

    Now 36, Ortega was one of the first graduates to be handed the ‘new Maradona’ tag. At the 1994 World Cup finals, when Maradona was thrown out of the tournament after producing a positive drug test following Argentina’s first round game against Nigeria, Ortega, then 20, came into the side almost as a direct replacement. He appeared as an early substitute in their final group game against Bulgaria (Argentina lost 2-0) and then in the second round played from the start in what was widely regarded as the game of the tournament as Argentina crashed out against Gheorghe Hagi’s Romania (3-2).

    You could argue the essence of Ortega’s career was captured in those early post-Maradona days – exciting, thrilling but ultimately unsuccessful. It is a measure of Ortega’s talent that an adjective such as unsuccessful can reasonably be attached to a player that has collected six Argentinian league titles and was part of the River Plate side that won the Copa Libertadores in 1996, but such is the scope of his talent you have to wonder what he might have achieved had he not been struck by demons off the pitch.

    Ortega’s problems with alcohol have been well-documented down the years, and he would surely have achieved more in the game had his natural brilliance on the field been matched by an ability for clean living off it. European-based critics are likely to conclude he ranks somewhere below the likes of Gabriel Batistuta and Juan Sebastian Veron in the recent pantheon of Argentinian attacking stars because, unlike those two, he struggled to make an impact after crossing the Atlantic. In spells at Valencia, Sampdoria, Parma and Fenerbahce (where his time ended in an international ban for breach of contract) Ortega only intermittently exhibited the brilliant individual skills that had been common features of his league performances in his homeland.

    At international level, the verdict is the same: despite winning 87 caps and scoring 17 goals, Ortega will be remembered as a footnote. Burdened by the responsibility of carrying the hopes of his nation at the 1998 World Cup finals in France, Ortega briefly shone during the opening round before being sent off shortly before the end of that enthralling quarter-final against Holland when he headbutted Edwin van der Sar. A minute later, Dennis Bergkamp scored the winner to put the Dutch through. In 2002, Ortega missed a penalty in Argentina’s final group game against Sweden. Argentina went home at the end of the first phase.

    Ask River Plate or Newell’s Old Boys fans about Ortega, however, and you’ll be told an entirely different story. In three spells at River Ortega he delighted supporters with his exceptional dribbling skills, magnificent free-kicks and mesmerising technique. After his aborted spell in Turkey he joined Newell’s and was memorably the inspiration behind their first league title triumph in 12 years. He will always have a place in the hearts of the followers of both clubs.

    Whether All Boys fans will feel the same about him by the time with his new employers comes to an end, we don’t know. As ever with Ortega, the journey will be worth watching.

    ARGENTINA CLAUSURA 2011 OUTRIGHT WINNER PRICES: Velez Sarsfield 16/5, Estudiantes 21/5, River Plate 15/2, Boca Juniors 8/1, Racing Club 12/1, Independiente 14/1, Argentinos Juniors 16/1, Newell’s Old Boys 16/1, San Lorenzo 16/1, Lanus 18/1, Arsenal De Sarandi 20/1, Banfield 20/1, Godoy Cruz AT 20/1, Colon 33/1, Huracan 33/1, Tigre 33/1, All Boys 40/1, Gimnasia LP 80/1, Olimpo 100/1, Quilmes 100/1.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    For 24 hours last summer, Luis Suarez was the most unpopular man on planet football. With the score 1-1 in the final minute of extra-time in the World Cup quarter-final between Ghana and Uruguay, Suarez saved his team from certain defeat by handling Asamoah Gyan’s goal-bound header on the goalline. Penalty to Ghana. Gyan stepped up. And hit the bar.

    A few minutes later, with Suarez watching from the sidelines – his foul had earned him a red card – Uruguay won the penalty shoot-out. They went through to the last four, while Africa mourned missing out on a semi-final place for the first time in their history in such unsavoury circumstances.

    The handball incident has rarely been mentioned as Suarez negotiated his move from Ajax to Liverpool during the past few weeks. Instead, the focus has been on what Suarez can bring to a Liverpool team in need of inspiration. After lengthy discussions, a deal was finally concluded before the transfer window shut when the two clubs agreed a fee of around £23m and the striker, who turned 24 last week, signed a five-and-a-half year deal.

    Most observers agree Liverpool have spent well. The quick, tricky goalscorer can play through the middle or as a second striker behind a centre-forward or on the wings. He is as likely to set up chances as he is to score them himself. He is versatile, stronger than he looks, and has the energy, drive and directness that give defenders nightmares.

    Suarez may be Uruguayan but played fewer than 30 times for Nacional in his homeland before moving to Groningen in Holland at the age of 19. As a result, he should have less difficulty adapting to life and football in England than many other South Americans imports.

    A minor concern is that Liverpool have spent so much on a player yet to play regularly at the highest level. This season, for the first time, he had a run of games in the Champions League, scoring once in six games. The sample is too small to judge whether he’ll find the net against top opposition. His scoring rate in the Europa League is good, but does Europe’s secondary competition really constitute the highest level of the game? Even his impressive performances at last summer’s World Cup require confirmation: Suarez’s three goals came against Mexico and South Korea (2).

    Essentially he’s been signed on the strength of his excellent record of 81 goals in 110 league appearances for Ajax, but recent history shows you can score freely in Holland and flop in England. For every Ruud van Nistelrooy, there’s a Mateja Kezman and Afonso Alves. Those two managed 14 EPL goals in 62 appearances between them before returning to a lower level of the game.

    Suarez is a better prospect than either Kezman or Alves, but Liverpool fans will need to be patient with him as Fernando Torres, the man he was signed to play alongside, has chosen to leave for Chelsea. How Suarez will fare alongside Andy Carroll is anybody’s guess. Aside from the obvious "big man, little man element, it’s difficult to immediately identify the potential for synergy between them.

    One thing’s for sure: Suarez couldn’t wish for a better teacher, for the next few months at least. If he wants to learn how to make the no. 7 shirt his own, and how to play just off the front man while entertaining the Anfield crowds, he need only ask the man sitting on the bench. Kenny Dalglish was the best of them all. If Suarez turns out half as good, £23m will be a bargain.

    LIVERPOOL TO WIN AT CHELSEA ON SUNDAY: 4/1 (5.0)

    LIVERPOOL PREMIER LEAGUE TOP 4 FINISH: 14/1 (15.0)


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Earlier this week, French sports daily L’Equipe linked Manchester United with a €20m move for Lyon left winger Michel Bastos. If there’s any truth in the story, you have to wonder if the Red Devils have been scouting the wrong Brazilian.

    Nene is the star of Ligue 1 right now. Playing on the left wing in PSG’s adventurous 4-4-2 formation, his tally of 13 league goals shows how influential he is. But the figures tell only part of the story: the rest unfolds when you watch him in action.

    A lithe, lean man with a wand of a left foot, Nene is the chief creator, as well as finest finisher in Antoine Kombouare’s side. Few eyebrows were raised when PSG paid €5.5m to tempt him north from Monaco last summer, as Nene had already proved his worth in the Principality. But despite already being an established French League star, he’s exceeded the expectations of press, fans and his coach. His price now seems a bargain.

    He isn’t everyone’s cup of tea. Earlier this season, the 29-year-old wound up Marseille centre-half Souleymane Diawara to the point of invoking a stamp. Before and after PSG’s 2-1 win over Sochaux last Saturday night, opponents lined up to allege the player is a diver and moaner. "He talks all the time, said Sochaux full-back David Sauget before the game. "He’s a ‘provoker’, said centre-half Damien Perquis afterwards. L’Equipe ran an article analysing the matter under the headline: "Nene: talented but annoying.

    A Parisian public raised on Brazilian talent are unlikely to complain. In the 1990s, when the club reached five consecutive European semi-finals, Rai and the waspishly brilliant Valdo, both Brazilian imports, delighted the PSG fans. Then came Leonardo and Ronaldinho, whose brief stays in the capital linger fondly in the memory.

    Nene is spearheading PSG’s attempts to regain some of those former glories. On Tuesday night they travelled to Ligue 1 rivals Montpellier to play in the League Cup semi-final, and it says everything about the club’s renewed ambition that this competition ranks as the fourth most important in PSG’s season.

    Kombouare’s side are one of five genuine league title contenders (along with Lille, Marseille, Lyon and Rennes) and have kind draws in the last 32 of both the French Cup (to be played this weekend) and Europa League (next month) they face non-league Agen and BATE Borislov respectively.

    So plenty of important dates lie ahead – but for Nene arguably the biggest is the France v France international friendly at Stade de France on February 9. Remarkably, the player is still looking for his first international call-up. Against his adopted homeland, this would be the perfect occasion.

    Nene said last October: "I hope the call will come. The fact the coach called up [Lyon midfielder] Ederson gives me hope. That shows he watches Ligue 1. If he carries on in the post and I keep playing well, I should get the call.

    Are you watching, Mano Menezes?

    * PSG are 8.0 (7/1) to win Ligue 1, 1.29 (2.7) to beat BATE Borisov in the Europa League round of 32 and 23.0 (22/1) to win the Europa League


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Five years ago, Ronaldinho was the most celebrated sportsman on earth. Newly-crowned Fifa World Player of the Year and France Football Ballon d’Or winner, he was widely touted as the greatest footballer since Diego Maradona and, in his homeland, spiritual successor to Pele.

    His stock was so high back then it would have been impossible to believe AC Milan would discard him at the age of 30, and that, in the aftermath of the Rossoneri casting him aside, Blackburn Rovers would be the only serious European suitors.

    Yet that’s exactly the situation the buck-toothed Brazilian finds himself in now. After two-and-a-half miserable years in Italy’s fashion capital, Milan have labelled him démodé, raising the intriguing possibility of a move to the Lancashire mill town.

    Rovers’ intentions are unclear at the time of writing. Club owners Venky’s appeared to rule out the move last Monday morning, only for supposedly well-placed sources to tell the English press later the same day they had tabled a bid. Whatever the truth, the fact it’s Rovers or a return to Brazil tells you how far Ronaldinho has fallen.

    I last saw ‘Ronnie’ in the flesh playing for Barcelona against Almeria in a Primera Division game in November 2007. He cut a sorry sight. Overweight, virtually every one of his passes went astray. Those familiar bursts of pace had turned into sluggish, predictable movements. At one point, he stood, hands on hips, almost bewildered at his shortcomings.

    Midway through the second-half, he left the field. Lionel Messi replaced him. A roar went up. Within minutes, a Messi-inspired Barca had taken control of the game. The sense of a baton being passed was impossible to ignore.

    Ronaldinho’s career as a world-class player effectively ended the night of the 2006 Champions League final. Barcelona’s 2-1 victory over Arsenal on that May night in Paris completed his set of medals that matter. Having added the world’s greatest club prize to the Copa America medal he collected in 1999 and World Cup medal he won in 2002, his motivation waned. Tipped to be the star of the 2006 World Cup, he flopped. Can you remember him making a meaningful contribution to Brazil’s five games? Brazil exited at the quarter-final stage, but the Ronaldinho we knew and love had already gone.

    As he prepares to embark on the latest and possibly last chapter of his career, though, I prefer to remember just how good he was. And boy, he was good. For a couple of seasons, wearing the burgundy and blue of Barcelona, he was one of the most exciting players in history. Few have performed with such a sense of daring, imagination and mischief. At his peak, there appeared no limits to his ingenuity and invention. Remember the back-pass – that’s a pass with his back, not a pass back to his goalkeeper? The look-one-way-pass-the-other trick that bamboozled defenders and delighted fans? Add the dribbles, stepovers, toe-poked goal at Stamford Bridge, and you had a man-boy enjoying himself on the biggest stage.

    Ronaldinho ranks somewhere below the likes of Pele, Diego Maradona and Johan Cruyff. Instead he shares space with George Best, another star that burned brightly before burning out. Unless there’s a twist in the tale, and Ronaldinho’s about to prove he hasn’t burned out at all.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Last weekend Estudiantes won the Argentinian League Apertura title. It was their first domestic triumph since clinching the 2006 Apertura title.

    As in Brazil, the title race went down to the last day. Estudiantes, hosting Arsenal, needed a win to finish ahead of the only other potential winners, Velez Sarsfield. Estudiantes were strong favourites, but there were lots of nerves floating around because they blew their lines on the last day of last season, handing the title to Argentinos Juniors.

    Estudiantes’ first-half performance did nothing to quell the anxiety. They failed to score – and when Veron limped off shortly before the hour mark, it looked as though Estudiantes might fall at the final hurdle for the second season running.

    But after bombarding Arsenal’s goal early in the second-half, they finally made the breakthrough. Substitute Gaston Fernandez scored from a corner with 15 minutes to go, and Hernan Rodrigo Lopez made the game safe with a header three minutes from time.

    It’s wonderful to see Estudiantes star playmaker Juan Sebastian Veron – who was supposed to wind down following Estudiantes’ 2006 triumph but remains a hugely influential figure – getting his hands on another trophy. The former Argentina international says this latest victory is richly deserved.

    "Estudiantes are, without doubt, the best team. This means everything to us. It’s not easy to win the title. We owed it to ourselves as a group and as an institution. We deserved the title for all the team had done, for what they had set out to achieve, because the boys never took a step backwards. We had a lot of challenges, with injuries and suspensions, and the group coped with everything that came their way.

    Premier League fans that saw Veron struggling to impose himself on games for Manchester United and Chelsea during what were supposed to be the peak years of his career might conclude the Argentinian League must be sub-standard if, at 35, Veron can be one of the main architects of Estudiantes’ title triumph. But the truth is Veron has found the ideal environment to exhibit those walking-pace skills that first gained a wider audience under Sven Goran Eriksson at Sampdoria in the mid-1990s. Where the English game bypassed him, the Argentinian equivalent embraces him. Watching Veron dictate play has been one of the joys of South American club football over the past four years.

    The next and possibly final challenge of Veron’s illustrious career will be guiding Estudiantes through their Copa Libertadores challenge next year. The club from La Plata know their way around this competition: they lifted the trophy last year, winning the final second leg against Cruzeiro (2-1) after a goalless draw in the home first leg. Estudiantes were among the favourites to win the tournament this year, too, but their attempts to become the first side since a Rai-inspired Sao Paulo (1993) to retain the prize stalled at the quarter-final stage where they lost to eventual winners Internacional.

    It would be fantastic to see Veron win his second Copa Libertadores in three years before hanging up his boots at the age of 36. The man from La Plata has had his critics at home. But a second continental conquest would see him firmly installed among Argentina’s all-time greats.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    The Fifa Club World Cup gets under way in Abu Dhabi this week. Hekari United, Al-Wahda Club, TP Mazembe, Seongnam, Pachuca, Inter and Internacional are taking part. On December 18, one of these clubs will be crowned world champions.

    As usual, the tournament is likely to be a straight fight between the champions of Europe and South America. Anybody that follows European football knows Rafael Benitez’s Inter are struggling for form amid claims some of the players are unhappy with his tactics and team selections. The Nerazzurri’s troubles open the way for Brazilian side Internacional – also known as Inter – to mount a serious attempt to win the title.

    South American sides never need an incentive to beat their European rivals. When the battle to be crowned club world champions was either a two-legged affair or one-off showpiece game between the champions of South America and champions of Europe, the South Americans always seemed more intent on winning. This stemmed from the fact many clubs from Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay felt Europeans didn’t give the South American club game the credit it deserved. Look at Pele: even now, some question the greatest player of all time’s achievements because he spent his entire career with Brazilian side Santos (before moving to the United States).

    Internacional will be as fired up as any of their South American predecessors, especially as their Brazilian League season – which ended last weekend – didn’t exactly go according to plan. The Porto Alegre-based club finished seventh, 13pts off top spot. Twelve months ago they’d finished runners-up, so fans were understandably disappointed their team had played no part in the title race.

    But it was difficult for Inter supporters to complain too much because their club won the Copa Libertadores trophy last August. After overcoming Brazilian rivals Sao Paulo in the semi-finals, Inter faced Guadalajara of Mexico in the final. In the first leg, on August 11 in Mexico, the Brazilians came from behind to win 2-1. They completed the job with a 3-2 win in the home leg a week later.

    At first glance, Inter’s is a fairly unremarkable squad. Their captain, Bolivar, is a 30-year-old centre-half who looked clumsy during a three-year spell at Monaco. Andres d’Alessandro, the left-footed Argentina international who once played on loan for Portsmouth in the English Premier League, adds craft in midfield. Their brightest young prospect is midfielder Giuliano. At 20, he has already played twice for Brazil and scored six times during their successful Copa Libertadores campaign. Expect scouts from Europe’s richest clubs to train a particularly keen eye on him during the tournament.

    Inter have excellent team spirit, and pedigree, too – they have already won this competition once. In 2006, in Yokohama, Inter beat Barcelona 1-0 in the Club World Cup final. Substitute Adriano (not the ex-Inter of Italy striker) scored the late winner to defeat a Barcelona side containing Carles Puyol, Andres Iniesta and Ronaldinho.

    When the betting markets open, Internacional will be installed as second favourites behind Inter. The Brazilians will provide better value. They’re my pick to lift the trophy in Abu Dhabi on December 18.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Brazilian fans are preparing for the most exciting finale to a league season in years as three teams stand a chance of winning the title going into the final round of games this weekend.

    Fluminense are top of the table on 68pts. Second-placed Corinthians have 67pts, with Cruzeiro on 66pts. Fluminense know a win in their final game at home to relegated Guarani will earn them their first league title since 1984 (and only the second in their history) but Corinthians and Cruzeiro are on stand-by to pounce should the leaders slip up. Corinthians travel to face another relegated side, Goias, while Cruzeiro host Palmeiras.

    Fluminense maintained top spot by beating Luiz Felipe Scolari’s Palmeiras last weekend. Dinei put hosts Palmeiras ahead after four minutes, but Carlinhos equalised before half-time for Fluminense and substitute Tarta scored the winner on the hour mark.

    If Fluminense – whose most recent achievement was reaching the final of the 2008 Copa Libertadores, where they lost to Ecuador’s LDU Quito - lift the prize, it will have been a real team effort. The side has netted 61 times in 37 league games so far, but no player has scored more than 10 goals (Washington, the veteran former Tokyo Verdy and Urawa Red Diamonds striker, is their leading scorer on that tally). Star man is Dario Conca, the diminutive Argentinian playmaker voted best player in Brazil by newspaper O Globo last year. He has been just as influential this season.

    The fact Fluminense go into the final weekend challenging for the title is something of a miracle. This time last year Fluzao, as they’re known, narrowly avoided relegation from Serie A to Serie B after making a disastrous start and struggling to recover over the next nine months. Fluminense spent 37 of the 38 matchdays in the relegation zone but managed to haul themselves out on the penultimate weekend and completed a miraculous escape from the drop when they drew 1-1 away to Curitiba – one of the four teams below them – on the final day.

    Carlos Alberto Parreira – the man that led Fluminense to their last title in 1984 – and Renato Gaucho came and went as managers last season. Under current boss Muricy Ramalho, the club has finally achieved some stability, although this was almost ended when Brazil attempted to appoint Ramalho as their new head coach following last summer’s World Cup debacle. Fluminense refused to release the 55-year-old, and the CBF turned to Mano Menezes instead.

    As you’d imagine, the market makes Fluminense odds-on to clinch the title. The prices suggest they’re 92% shots to beat visitors Guarani, with Corinthians and Cruzeiro short odds to win their games as well. Even in a treble, you’ll get paid out only around 2.0 (evens) should all three teams win.

    From a purely sporting point of view, however, it promises to be an exciting weekend. There are often twists and turns on these occasions, especially if the outsiders score early goals to put pressure on the leaders.

    The final games take place on Sunday. Sit back and enjoy.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Last Sunday I went to the French League game between Lille and Monaco. The game was held at Lille's Stadium Nord in north-eastern France.

    I've rarely been so cold at a football stadium. Towards the end of the game (which finished shortly before 7pm local time) the temperature touched freezing. My decision to purchase a branded thermal blanket from the club shop shortly before kick-off was one of the smarter moves I've made recently.

    One player that didn't feel the cold was Lille's prize asset. Reigning Ligue 1 Player of the Year Eden Hazard set up both goals and dribbled mesmerisingly enough to evoke the phrase once used to describe the condition full-backs facing George Best found themselves with: ‘twisted blood’.

    Hazard hails from just across the border in Belgium, so he's used to the climate. More significantly; the three Brazilians were similarly unaffected by conditions. Monaco full-back Adriano scored his side's goal with a stunning overhead kick to make the score 1-1 on 56 minutes: Lille substitute Tulio de Melo was involved in the build-up to Lille's winning goal. Lille left-back Emerson played as though he'd spent his entire life in the Nord-Pas-De-Calais region. All three men's performances exploded the myth that South Americans struggle during northern European winters. Despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, you'll often hear commentators question the wisdom of signing players they misguidedly believe will be useful purely during the milder months of the season.

    Anyone familiar with the deep-set prejudices of English football will recall how the arrival at Middlesbrough of Brazil international Juninho was greeted in some quarters when he joined the Teessiders in 1995; ‘Ah’; said the doubters, ‘he'll turn it on when the weather's good; but how will he fare on a heavy pitch on a freezing cold Middlesbrough night in January?’

    Pretty well; was the answer. Boro fans adored the little Brazilian as much for his attitude and commitment as his technique. Yet, 15 years on, the same old reservations get aired occasionally, even though dozens of Brazilians have succeeded in the Russian League in recent seasons.

    The weather is an issue sometimes. Robinho never adapted to the Manchester climate. You could see him shivering as he took to the field wearing gloves and a thick black roll-neck underneath his Manchester City shirt. But to suggest all South Americans are likely to freeze in the cold is nonsense, especially as so many of them come from countries with extreme climates. Tell someone from the south of Brazil they'll find England cold and they'll laugh at you. Patagonia isn't the only cold region in Argentina.

    Anyone still in doubt, just pop over to Lille and watch Emerson. During breaks in play last Sunday, the 24-year-old full-back stood stock still, hands on hips, impervious to the enveloping cold. He'll be doing the same thing week after week, until the warm spring weather arrives.

    And when it does, he won't even notice the difference.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    On Saturday night I was in Marseille to watch the French champions host Lens at Stade Velodrome. During the pre-match warm-up, I kept a close eye on the Marseille players going through their stretches, sprints and small-pitch games.

    The one player whose technique seemed fairly average was Argentina international Gabriel Heinze. On his stronger left foot, he was solid rather than spectacular. On his weaker right foot, his passes often went astray.

    One the game got under way, Heinze was one of Marseille’s better players. The overall standard of the team’s performance was poor as they laboured to a 1-1 draw against a side they really should have beaten. Heinze was rarely caught out of position. Late in the second-half, he produced an uncharacteristic burst of pace to make a last-ditch tackle that potentially earned his side a point.

    Once hailed as one of the finest defenders in the European game, Heinze has increasingly come under fire in the past few years. The moment the tide of public opinion turned against him was when Patrice Evra ousted him from the Manchester United team. Soon, Heinze was on his way to Real Madrid. But injuries interrupted his progress in the Spanish capital as he averaged just 22 league appearances a season and struggled to win over the local fans. When Didier Deschamps came calling in summer 2009, Real were only too happy to get one of their underachieving high earners off their books.

    At Marseille, Heinze was a key member of the side that won the French league for the first time in 18 years last May. Defensively solid as a centre-half and left-back, his influence was arguably greater off the field than on it. I lost count in the immediate aftermath of Marseille’s title triumph of the number of players that highlighted the importance of Heinze’s guidance. "He’s the first to training and the last to leave, said defensive colleague Souleymane Diawara. "He’s a leader.

    Yet this week, Maradona’s supposedly more tactically intelligent and professional successor Sergio Batista took charge of the national side for the first time since being handed the job on a permanent basis. He named Heinze in his 25-man squad for the friendly against Brazil in Doha. Clearly Maradona is not the only Argentine that sees value in having Heinze’s experience and ‘grinta’ around the camp.

    Football journalists are often guilty of focusing purely on what happens on the field. When you’re a coach, you have to think more broadly: you have to consider how to motivate your players, keep them in line or on their toes and ensure the side maintains its concentration and commitment levels during tricky periods in games. That’s why Heinze was on the pitch for Marseille last Saturday night. That’s why he was in Doha this week.

    Heinze is a coach on the pitch. That’s why I won’t be writing him off just yet.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    River Plate have sacked coach Angel Cappa after seven matches without a win. Such a run of results is unacceptable when you’re the most successful club in Argentina.

    The decision came a day after River lost 1-0 against newly-promoted All Boys. The result left River in 10th place after 13 games of the 2010 Apertura season. Under Cappa, they won just four of those 13 games and trail leaders Estudiantes, inspired by the ageless Juan Sebastian Veron, by 12pts.

    Rivers’ comfortable mid-table position in a division of 20 teams suggests at first glance they’re in no danger of the drop. But in Argentina, relegation is decided over three seasons. River’s form during this period has been poor.

    Cappa said: "My contract was for 38 matches. It’s very soon to make this decision. In my 18 games in charge [Cappa took over last April], we’d got 50 per cent of the available points. That’s not bad. At no time did I think of resigning. I wasn’t expecting to get sacked, but I can’t say it surprised me.

    The man that decided to remove Cappa was club president and former River coach Daniel Passarella. The next appointment will be River’s fourth coach in just over a year. Such a rapid turnover is common in Argentina, where the pressure to produce results instantly leads to managerial instability. As part of his leaving statement, Cappa added: "The standard gets worse and worse because there’s no time to work.

    Early favourite to replace Cappa is former River coach Americo Gallego, who led the club to league titles in 1994 and 2000. Another option is Marcelo Bielsa, who quit as Chile coach last week. The 55-year-old’s last job in the Argentinian League was at Velez Sarsfield in 1998. Since then, he’s managed Espanyol, the Argentina national team (1998 to 2004) and, to great critical acclaim, Chile. It would be fascinating to see this highly regarded tactician take charge of one of Argentina’s biggest clubs.

    If Bielsa hangs on for another couple of weeks, he might be able to choose between his homeland’s two greatest footballing institutions. One of the few clubs faring worse than River are arch-rivals Boca Juniors. They languish 13th in the table, a point below River. Manager Claudio Borghi has struggled to put his stamp on the club since his appointment six months ago.

    The former Argentina striker – he was a member of the 1986 World Cup-winning squad – became one of the most highly-regarded young managers in the country when he led Argentinos Juniors to their first league title in 25 years last May. Since moving to Boca, however, the 46-year-old has apparently lost the magic touch. Boca’s most recent defeat came against his former club Argentinos Juniors last weekend. The odds on him keeping his post are shortening all the time.

    The next match for each team? Against each other. River Plate and Boca Juniors meet in the "super clasico on November 16. Unless his club appoints a permanent successor to Cappa in the next week, River youth coach Juan Jose Lopez will take charge. Borghi will spend the next seven days anxiously hoping his bosses leave him in charge for another match. Anything other than a win against bitter rivals River, though, and he will almost certainly be shown the door.

    Nothing illustrates the sorry state of both clubs than the Apertura Outright 2010 odds. Estudiantes are 19/20, with second-placed Velez Sarsfield 6/5. Then there’s a leap to Arsenal De Sarandi at 14/1, and then you work your way down to Colon, 150/1 outsiders.

    River Plate and Boca Juniors? Nowhere in sight.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Sometimes, moving house can prove extremely costly. The fees rocket. You have to renovate your property before selling up. It’s an expensive business.

    For me, moving house is proving dear in other ways this month. In two weeks I was due to fly out to Qatar for the Brazil v Argentina friendly in Doha on November 17. But now I’m moving house. So I have to stay in London and fill out estate agent forms instead.

    This means I’ll miss Ronaldinho’s international comeback. Earlier this week, Brazil boss Mano Menezes named the former World Footballer of the Year in his 23-man party for the game. It was the 30-year-old attacker’s first squad appearance in 18 months.

    Menezes said: "We’re satisfied with the team up until now but we feel that we can bring back Ronaldinho at this time. He is in good form in a position that we need. He’s now playing in a more central position, with three players behind him and two in front. If we put him in the side he will have three players behind him and be free to move about.

    "He’s an experienced player who will bring something extra to the team. This will not be his only chance. It’s not fair to call-up a player for such an important game and then expect him to solve every problem. We’ll give him time because he’s an above average player.

    It says everything about how low Ronaldinho’s stock has fallen that last week’s Fifa Ballon d’Or nominations came and went without the slightest debate about why his name wasn’t on the list. Ronaldinho was last shortlisted for the Ballon d’Or in 2007, the year where his talent faded, almost definitively. For AC Milan, he’s shown flashes of his old brilliance, but his call-up still ranks as a minor surprise.

    The only reaction from the player has been a brief statement saying he’s "extremely happy and playing Argentina is "always special. He’s always been a special player, although the last time I saw him in the flesh he was an extreme disappointment. It was a Spanish Primera Division match in October 2007. Barcelona were hosting Almeria at Nou Camp. Everything Ronaldinho tried (he didn’t try very much) failed to come off. His passing was poor. His game lacked the old sharpness. Maybe my eyes were playing tricks on me, but you could see why the media was reporting he was overweight.

    Midway through the second-half, Lionel Messi replaced him. The roar from the crowd was deafening as the stadium announcer read out the little Argentinian’s name. Heavy-legged, Ronaldinho trotted over to the touchline. Messi changed the course of the game. You couldn’t miss the talismanic shift.

    Ronaldinho’s ineffective performance that night is one of the reasons I’m so disappointed to miss out on Qatar. It would have been great to replace memories of that Nou Camp night with a more reassuring image of one of the greatest players of the last decade. Let’s hope the fans that turn out in Doha this month get a reminder of his glory days.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    France Football – still the world’s greatest football magazine, even though a recent redesign suggests the management held unnecessary concerns about the attention span of its readers – produced a fascinating survey last week. They revealed how many foreigners play in each of Europe’s top five divisions (England, Spain, Germany, Italy and France), and where they come from.

    The biggest exporters across the five divisions are Brazil and Argentina. South America’s leading powers have provided 118 and 100 players respectively for Europe’s biggest leagues this season. Brazil supplied the highest number of players to Germany (23) and France (21). Argentina was the biggest provider for Spain (37) and Italy (41). And even Uruguay gets in on the act: there are 38 Uruguayans playing in Europe’s top five leagues, which is more than any European country other than France. Uruguay is the third-most prolific provider of players to Spain and Italy (behind their South American rivals).

    It’s fair to say that Italy, Spain, Germany and France are all well and perhaps even over-represented by players from Latin America. The obvious exception is England. According to the survey, 349 overseas players current play in the Premier League. That’s 61% of the total number of players performing in the division. Of those 349 players, a whopping 238 (68%) come from other European countries. France (36 players), Republic of Ireland (34) and Scotland (20) top the list. After Europe, the next most strongly represented continent is Africa, with 43 players.

    That means just 29 Premier League players are from South America. That’s just 8% of the total of foreign players, and only 5% of all players. What a remarkably low figure, considering the Premier League is the richest league in the world and the top clubs can buy virtually anybody they like, not to mention the fact that Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and other South American countries produce such a steady supply of top-class footballers.

    What’s the reason? Several factors play important roles. The first is the absence of cultural links between England and South American countries. Spanish-speaking players are naturally more likely to move to Spain. Portugal is Brazil’s old colonial power. And Italy’s strong links with Argentina has seen a flurry of players from that country moving to Serie A over the past couple of decades.

    Climate is a second reason. If you’ve grown up in the warmer parts of South America, would you rather move to southern Europe, or would you live in Manchester, Liverpool or London? Sometimes the financial perks simply don’t make up for the miserable weather (just ask Robinho).

    A third factor is the style of football played in England. Fulham midfielder Danny Murphy’s recently claimed that certain managers sent out their players too pumped up. His statement provoked a furious reaction, but there was more than a grain of truth to what he said. For every Juninho, who thrived while playing for Middlesbrough in the 1990s, there’s a Juan Sebastian Veron, who struggled to adapt to the pace and engagement of the English game.

    What’s not in doubt is that English fans are the poorer for the lack of South American imports. While Spain gets to see Lionel Messi, Dani Alves, Kaka and many, many others, English fans continue to miss out. And, considering what a substantial role South America plays in the global game, isn’t it strange that the entire continent is virtually ignored by supposedly the world’s best league?


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    If anyone was in any doubt how important football is to Chile, last week’s incredible rescue at San Jose mine answered a few questions.

    Former professional footballer Franklin Lobos – or miner no. 27, as he might be known now – was greeted as a national hero when he emerged from the depths of the earth. A football was waiting for him. He did a few kick-ups, and left clutching it. Others were wheeled away on stretchers holding Colo Colo flags.

    To mark their return to daylight, the miners want to play a football match against their rescuers. Manchester United and Real Madrid have offered the miners the chances to watch them play. David Villa sent them two signed shirts while they were underground. His dad was a miner.

    As across South America, the idea of patriotism and nationalism is closely linked with football. When the final miner reached the surface and Chile president Sebastian Pinera led an impromptu rendition of the national anthem, I was instantly transported back to the 1998 World Cup. At that tournament in France, Chile striker Ivan Zamorano sang the national anthem with more gusto than any player I can remember. The Inter and Real Madrid star –who remains his country’s second-highest scorer of all time, behind former attacking partner Marcelo Salas (37 goals) – summed up the attitude of many Chileans and most South Americans who follow football with the way he sang and the way he played. No matter what you achieve at club level – and Zamorano’s successes were considerable – representing your country is the ultimate accolade.

    Chile’s footballing history may not be as rich as Brazil or Argentina’s, but they have peppered the global game with memorable moments. In 1962, on home soil, they reached the World Cup semi-finals, by some distance their best-ever performance. In the last four, they lost 4-2 to eventual winners Brazil, with Garrincha and Vava scoring two goals each. In 1991, under the stewardship of Croatian coach Mirko Jozic – who had led a Yugoslavia team boasting the likes of Zvonimir Boban, Predrag Mijatovic and Davor Suker to World Youth Championship victory on Chilean soil in 1987 – Colo Colo became the first and only Chilean side to lift the Copa Libertadores. After a 0-0 draw against Paraguay’s Olimpia in the away first leg, they ran out 3-0 winners in front of a sell-out 65,000 crowd at their Estadio David Arellano (named after the club’s founder) in Santiago.

    At last summer’s World Cup, Chile were one of the most interesting sides to watch, partly because they were one of the few sides that placed as much importance on attacking as defending. Argentina beat them 3-0 in the last 16, but Chile were an intriguing team in a generally dull tournament.

    If you glance through the list of clubs that Chile’s current international footballers play for, you’ll see that the nation belong in the second or third rather than first tier of the world game: Udinese, Bayer Leverkusen, Real Zaragoza, Montpellier, Sporting Portugal and Birmingham City. From now on, however, nobody will underestimate the importance of football to the Chilean people.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Yet again, Carlos Tevez has admitted he has considered quitting football. When he made a similar statement last November, people didn’t take him seriously. But he repeated the claim following the World Cup and has now gone even further.

    "I’m an old guy now, and I’ve started to think about things. For example, I am less tolerant as a person today than I was a few years ago. Then I think – I wonder what would happen if I quit football as long as everything else in my life is OK. When I talk about quitting, I mean football, not just the national team. But at the moment I don’t know if this is going to be in a month, a year, three years or five years time. Maybe one of these days, I will just wake up and say no more football.

    Tevez’s statement tells us three things. Firstly, that’s it’s possible to be disillusioned with the game and still perform at a consistently high standard. Last season, he scored 29 times in 42 appearances for Manchester City. He was one of Argentina’s better players at the World Cup. This season, he has scored five times in seven league games, including the winner in City’s 1-0 victory over Chelsea.

    Secondly, that footballers play too much football. The problem is not so much the games; it’s everything that goes with them. The expansion of international competitions at both club and national team levels means that players travel more than ever. Speak to any top professional player, and they’ll tell you the minute one game finishes, their minds turn to the next one. Tevez spends thousands of hours every year in airport lounges, planes and hotels. It’s far from glamorous.

    Thirdly, that money alone does not make a footballer happy. Doubtless plenty of media commentators will say Tevez isn’t entitled to make such comments because he’s a multi-millionaire. Which makes no sense at all. Why should a sizeable salary disqualify a footballer from making an honest admission about his relationship with the game? Players are castigated for platitudes. We should be thankful Tevez has the honesty to admit how he feels.

    Tevez is far from the only player to have fallen out of love with the game. Over the summer, a defender called Gerald Cid, once of Bordeaux and Bolton Wanderers, then of Nice in the French first division, walked away from football. He was fit and 27. Last month, French daily newspaper L’Equipe asked Cid if he regretted his decision. The answer was no.

    A well-informed source at a Premier League club recently told me their number one goalkeeper had had similar feelings. My source said the player in question would keep going until his family’s future was secure but his passion was dying. The reason? Everything except the 90 minutes: the travelling, the media responsibilities and the incessant speculation.

    I sincerely hope Tevez doesn’t walk away. It would be nice to watch his combative skills for the next couple of years. But if he does, I wouldn’t blame him.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Ramires left the field to a standing ovation. If he wasn’t Chelsea’s best player in their 2-0 win over Arsenal at Stamford Bridge last Sunday, he came close.

    I attended Arsenal’s pre-match press conference. A fair proportion of journalists’ questions concerned Michael Essien. How would Arsenal handle his strength? What would the Gunners do when the Ghana international midfielder charged towards their defence like a train?

    But Ramires overshadowed Essien. The wiry, almost skinny-looking midfielder from Barra do Pirai showed why the west Londoners spent 22m euro to prise him away from Benfica over the summer. He dispossessed opponents with nimble feet, carried the ball forward, played simple passes and, occasionally, more complicated ones. Most remarkably of all, considering he officially weighs 64kg, he muscled opponents like Alex Song off the ball.

    None of this will surprise Benfica fans. Ramires was a pivotal figure in Jorge Jesus’ side last season as they played some of the most entertaining football in Europe and won the Portuguese League for the first time since 2005. In a side containing the likes of Angel di Maria, Pablo Aimar, Javier Saviola, flying full-back Fabio Coentrao and Oscar Cardozo, the division’s 26-goal top scorer, Ramires was vital because he provided the defence with much-needed protection. Unsurprisingly, considering the attacking talent on view, Benfica finished the season as the division’s top scorers with 78 goals (average of 2.6 goals a game). Arguably more impressive was their ‘goals against’ tally of just 20 goals (0.67 goals a game). Ramires was one of the main reasons for the second figure.

    Some say Ramires – who spent only one season in Lisbon before moving to London – is the replacement for much-missed Claude Makelele, but his game appears broader than the Frenchman’s. For one thing, Ramires has a better goalscoring record. He has yet to find the net for Chelsea, but his stats at previous clubs are impressive for a player that the English media have seen as essentially defensive until now: four goals in 26 games for Benfica and 10 goals in 61 games for Cruzeiro in the Brazilian League. I expect him to score three or four times in the Premier League this season. He’s also more mobile than Makelele, which may have something to do with his age – Ramires is only 23 – but is also down to those long, spindly legs that enabled him to pull away from the likes of Song last Sunday.

    Thanks to the win over Arsenal, Chelsea are now 11/20 to win the Premier League. That price is too short for me, but having added Ramires to their ranks, it’s difficult to confidently oppose Carlo Ancelotti’s side.

    Ramires’ next game will be for Brazil against Ukraine at an international friendly at Pride Park in Derby in the English Midlands next Monday night. At the World Cup, Ramires was the youngest member of Brazil’s 23-man squad. Since then, he’s been one of only five men retained by new coach Mano Menezes. I expect him to grasp the latest opportunity to impress in his adopted homeland, and be a mainstay of the Brazil side for several years to come.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Take a look at the top of the Primera Division standings, and you’ll see Villarreal are in second place. The ‘Yellow Submarines’ have won four and lost one of their opening five games. For the time being, they can enjoy looking down on Barcelona (behind them on goal difference) and Real Madrid (one point further back).

    Last Monday night, Villarreal came from behind to win 3-2 at Malaga thanks to two goals from Spain international Santiago Cazorla and Italy striker Giuseppe Rossi. But it’s another front man that tops the Villarreal scoring charts. That man is Nilmar, who’s struck four times in the league so far.

    "This year things have started much better than last season. It’s important for us to be in the top part of the table with the best teams in this league. We wanted to be up near the top and we know our start gives us a great opportunity, said the 26-year-old Brazil striker before Villarreal’s win over Malaga.

    Nilmar was referring to the team’s overall improvement compared to last season – but he might have been speaking about himself. While Villarreal failed to win any of their first seven league games last season, a run of results that ended in the sacking of coach Ernesto Valverde, Nilmar failed to produce the form that had earned him a move from his Brazil homeland to Europe in the first place.

    During 2009-10, his first season at Villarreal, he managed just 11 goals in 33 league games. It was a disappointing return considering the stats he brought over from Brazil: at former club Internacional, the Bandeirantes-born player struck 19 times in 36 leagues games. Before that, he netted 31 goals in 57 league appearances for Corinthians.

    Nilmar’s patchy performances last season revived painful memories of his first spell in European football. After coming through the ranks at Internacional, he moved to Lyon, a club with a long tradition of signing Brazilian players. The French champions were looking for a successor to Sonny Anderson, the Brazil international that played for them with such distinction between 1999 and 2003. Anderson earned legendary status at the club after helping ‘OL’ win their first two league titles and twice collecting the Ligue 1 Golden Boot award. Aged just 20, however, Nilmar struggled to emulate his compatriot, and despite netting four times in nine Champions League games, his tally of just two goals in 32 French league appearances saw him swiftly return to Brazil.

    Having got his career back on track during four seasons in Brazil’s top division, he seemed ready for another stab at European football – which is why it was something of a disappointment that he only just crept into double figures at Villarreal last season, even though there’s much more to his game than goals. Now, though, he seems to have the confidence and maturity to become one of the most highly-rated finishers in the division.

    Villarreal are 50/1 to win the Primera Division – but, more intriguingly, they’re 9/2 in the ‘Without Big 2’ market. That wager is worth considering in the light of Nilmar’s form, not to mention the excellent contributions from Rossi and Cazorla, too, in the opening weeks of the season. And Nilmar’s tremendous individual start to the campaign has pushed him into sixth place in La Liga Top Goalscorer 2010-11 market, behind David Villa (3/1), Lionel Messi (3/1), Cristiano Ronaldo (5/1). Diego Forlan (6/1) and Gonzalo Higuain (7/1).

    That’s the sort of company the Brazilian keeps these days. Villarreal fans are hoping it stays that way for a long time to come.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Who’s the greatest South American footballer on earth? Ask most fans and you’d get the instant reply Lionel Messi. But last weekend the little Argentinian came face to face with the man that might just pip him to the title of best South American player on earth in the calendar year 2010.

    It has been an annus mirabilis for Diego Forlan. At 31, the Atletico Madrid striker is belatedly earning the plaudits that many felt would have come his way earlier in his career. He helped Atletico win their first European trophy in 48 years when they clinched the Europa League last May. Atletico beat Fulham 2-1 in the final, with Forlan scoring both goals. He then followed up with an even greater achievement: he helped Uruguay finish fourth in the World Cup finals, their best performance for 40 years.

    Forlan was a revelation in South Africa. During Uruguay’s second group game against the host nation, he opened the scoring with a stunning long-range drive before adding a second later. He equalised against Ghana in the last eight of the competition with a beautifully-placed free-kick before striking with his left foot against Holland in the semi-finals. He netted for the fifth and final time with a powerful volley against Germany in the third-place play-off. Forlan was the first man since Lothar Matthaus at the 1990 finals to score three times from outside the penalty area in the same tournament. During the largely uninspiring final between Spain and Holland, Forlan was voted the best player at the tournament, becoming the first Uruguayan to win Fifa Golden Ball award.

    You might think his achievements from January to July would have been reason to ease off. Not at all. Forlan has begun the 2010-11 Liga season in scintillating fashion. He scored twice in Atletico’s opening-day 4-0 win over Sporting Gijon and found the target a fortnight later as Atletico won 2-1 at Athletic Bilbao. Last weekend, Messi and Barcelona got the better of him – Messi scored the opener as Barca won 2-1 at Atletico’s Vicente Calderon stadium – but with Forlan in such blistering Atletico look likely to trouble the top-six again this season. They are long shots for the title – Sportingbet’s latest prices show it’s a two-horse race, with Barcelona 8/11 and Real Madrid 11/10 – but Atletico are priced up at 40/1, alongside Valencia and Sevilla.

    Forlan’s presence also gives Atletico a chance in cup competitions. Despite a shock 1-0 defeat at Aris Salonika in their opening Europa League group phase game last week, Atletico are 16/1 fifth favourites to retain their trophy. Manchester City head the betting at 5/1, followed by Liverpool at 9/1, and Juventus and Porto at 14/1.

    On a personal level, Forlan has to be a strong contender to win La Liga Top Goalscorer 2010-11 market. He’s finished as Spain’s leading scorer twice in past seasons, and is a more tempting bet at 11/2 than joint-favourites David Villa and Messi (3/1 each). Finally, thoughts start to turn towards the end-of-year awards, Forlan is definitely worth considering as a contender for the Fifa/France Football World Player of the Year prize, especially if Sportingbet.com offer an each-way market for players finishing in the top two or three. After winning the World Cup, Spain’s leading representatives – Xavi, Andres Iniesta and Villa – will garner plenty of support. But Forlan has upset the odds before. Don’t write him off.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    As CV entries go, Argentina’s 4-1 win over World and European champions Spain in their international friendly in Buenos Aires last week as just about as good as interim coach Sergio Batista might have hoped for. The stunning victory has given his chances of getting the job on a permanent basis an immense boost – and most followers of Argentinian football would suggest that, right now, he’s the right man for the job.

    Argentina FA president Julio Grondona has given the strongest hint yet that 1986 World Cup winning midfielder will keep the job on a full-time footing, declaring that “only serious problems could prevent Batista being national team coach after December 31.”

    So who is Batista, and what would his appointment – should it happen – mean for the national team?

    Now clean-shaven, the 47-year-old is still best known as the bearded midfielder that did much of Diego Maradona’s donkey work when Argentina won the World Cup for a second time, in 1986. An unsung member of the side, he got through a prodigious amount of work in that tournament and went on to win a total of 39 caps before retiring in 1999 and turning to management shortly afterwards.

    Like Germany coach Joachim Low, Batista has never managed a big club. After a succession of jobs in Uruguay and his homeland, he became the Argentina U20 manager in 2007 before leading the Olympics (U23) side to the gold medal at the 2008 Beijing Olympics. That success put him on the managerial map and earned him nods of approval within the corridors of power at the FA headquarters.

    Personality-wise, Batista is a soothing presence where Maradona was a raging bull. Seen as a figure more likely to draw people together than drive them apart, he will certainly present a more serene face to the media than his predecessor did, and seems to be more tactically aware than Maradona, too (something that critics might say is not too difficult).

    One of Batista’s first moves was recalling the underrated Esteban Cambiasso from the international wilderness. Against Spain, the Inter midfielder was excellent alongside Javier Mascherano, surely a pairing that would be the envy of most sides in the world. Cambiasso’s Inter colleague Javier Zanetti has also been welcomed back into the fold, and proved against Spain that, even at 37, he has the legs, energy and desire to perform well against the best sides on the planet.

    Over the past three or four years the suspicion has existed that all Argentina need to reach the very top of world football is the right manager. They have an abundance of attacking talent, as the performances of the likes of Diego Milito, Lionel Messi, Gonzalo Higuain and Carlos Tevez have shown in some of the world’s top competitions in the past couple of seasons. By devoting more care and attention to striking the right balance in the side, everything should click into place.

    Finally, it seems as though Argentina have got the right manager. The Albiceleste are 7/5 joint favourites with Brazil to win next year’s Copa America, to be staged in Argentina. Right now, that looks an absolute steal.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Argentina caretaker coach Sergio Batista put his own stamp on the national team against Spain on Tuesday by recalling three players discarded for the World Cup under his predecessor Diego Maradona. Inter’s veteran Champions League winner Javier Zanetti, Barcelona centre-half Gabriel Milito and defensive midfielder Esteban Cambiasso – “a coach on the pitch,” according to Batista – all started against the world champions in the friendly at the River Plate stadium.

    Some will be surprised that Gabriel Heinze also made the starting roster. Denounced as a Maradona favourite by fans inside and outside Argentina during the World Cup finals in South Africa, he was an automatic starter at left-back even though his lack of pace occasionally saw him caught out against quicker opponents. Clearly, though, Batista sees some qualities in the player as well.

    While Heinze might make the occasional mistake, and needs a couple of yards headstart against speedier direct opponents, he has certain attributes that those that study only the technical side of the game overlook. He has what the Italians call ‘grinta’ – will to win, determination, that priceless knack of never giving up.

    That’s why Marseille coach Didier Deschamps spent £2.1m and made Heinze the most highly-paid player in Ligue 1 to buy him from Real Madrid last summer. The new OM coach knew he needed a player that would set the right example to younger, inexperienced team-mates on and off the pitch. Ten months later, Marseille were champions for the first time in 18 years – and, whatever the critics outside the club might have said about the Argentinian’s performances, nobody within the walls of Marseille’s Commanderie training ground was in any doubt about Heinze’s importance.

    “He’s the first to training and the last to leave,” said Heinze’s defensive colleague, Souleymane Diawara. A side that had made its name as runners-up under Deschamps’ predecessor Eric Gerets had finally become winners, thanks partly to the wily Argentinian’s influence.

    Heinze also has the habit of turning up in the opposition penalty area at exactly the right moment. He scored Argentina’s opening goal of the World Cup, earning them a vital 1-0 win over Nigeria. He netted four times in Marseille’s title-winning campaign last season. Marseille lost their opening two games of the current season. Who scored the opening goal in what turned out to be their first victory of 2010-11, against Lorient (2-0)? Heinze.

    Given his attitude and stats, it’s little wonder team-mates and coaches value him so highly. The veteran is coming to the end of his career, but until Emiliano Insua and the other suitors for the Argentina left-back spot start performing consistently for their clubs, Heinze will continue to look the obvious bet for the position.

    That’s why I’m betting we’ll see Heinze playing at the Copa America next summer – and why Marseille are worth considering at 12/5 (3.40) to retain their Ligue 1 title. Heinze also has an important role to play in the Champions League, where Marseille are 3/5 (1.60) to qualify from a group containing Chelsea (1/33 to get through), Spartak Moscow (5/4) and MSK Zilina (8/1) and 100/1 (101.00) to win the trophy.

    He has his critics, but Heinze isn’t going anywhere just yet.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    It was a race between Barcelona and Inter, and Barcelona won. On Monday, Liverpool midfielder and Argentina captain Javier Mascherano joined the Catalan giants for £17.25m, bringing to an end three-and-a-half years on Merseyside.

    “The truth is it's a dream, it's a great joy. Barcelona is a great club with great players and I will try to adapt as quickly as I possibly can,” said the player.

    Mascherano was a fans’ favourite during his time at Anfield, where one of his lasting achievements was the role he played in Steven Gerrard’s development into one of Europe’s most prolific scoring midfielders. An excellent reader of the game and quicker across the first 15 yards than many realised, the man from San Lorenzo was happy to do the boring but necessary midfield work that allowed the likes of Gerrard to flourish.

    Moving to Catalonia is a personal and professional victory – his family wanted to live in a warmer climate, and his chances of adding to his collection of medals has improved considerably thanks to the switch – yet remarkably the jury remains out on him in some quarters. ‘Overrated’ is a word that has frequently cropped up in assessments of Mascherano during his transfer saga, and not just from fans of rival clubs.

    My view is that the price of Mascherano is fair, but there’s no question his technique – the area of his game he gets most criticism for – is about to come under greater scrutiny. If pass and move was the 1970s and 1980s mantra of Mascherano’s ex- club Liverpool, Barcelona have taken it to another level since Pep Guardiola took charge two years ago. Mascherano will have to show that he has the technical ability to perform to the same standard as the side’s midfield incumbents.

    The other question is: do Barcelona actually need him? In youth academy product, Sergio Busquets Barcelona have one of the European game’s burgeoning talents. Aged 21, he was outstanding as Barcelona won la Liga last season and the most underrated member of Spain’s World Cup-winning side. Now 22, his best years are ahead of him, and the last thing he needs is to be in the team one week, out the next. Were Busquets to go onto the transfer market now, you imagine Barca would start the bidding at more than the £17.25m they’ve paid for Mascherano. And while all top clubs need two outstanding players for every position, Barcelona already possess the ideal understudy in Seydou Keita. The former Sevilla man is perfect because he’s not so outstanding that he deserves a first-team place every week, yet rarely lets Barcelona down when called into action.

    All of a sudden, Guardiola finds himself with one too many midfielders. There are faint echoes of last summer, when Zlatan Ibrahimovic arrived for a big fee but found himself surplus to requirements 12 months later.

    I’d be surprised if Mascherano flounders in a similar way, but right now there are more questions than answers about his role in Catalonia.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Neymar’s move to Chelsea was supposed to be one of the transfers of the summer, but the 18-year-old star of Brazilian football stunned everybody last week by turning down a move to Stamford Bridge and penning a new five-year deal with his club Santos instead.

    “It was a complicated decision, very difficult,” said the player. “Money alone does not bring happiness. I’m happy here and want to continue to be. Now it’s time to think only about Santos and winning more titles.”

    Before you feel too sorry for Neymar financially, be aware that Santos have hauled in a collection of private sponsors to bulk up his 70,000-euro a month salary, although there’s no question he could have earned more money by moving to the Premier League. Among those that urged him to stay were recently-appointed national team boss Mano Menezes and Pele, and the player’s decision to snub Chelsea has been hailed as a potential turning point in relations between Brazilian clubs and richer European counterparts.

    Santos president Luis Alvaro Ribeiro said: “We no longer accept the idea that we’re an undeveloped national always at the mercy of the powerful European clubs. We’ve developed other possibilities now. It was a courageous decision.”

    Courageous, and sensible. Who’s to say Neymar would have played more frequently than Gael Kakuta, another teenage star, had he moved to Chelsea? Kakuta helped France win the European Under-19 Championship this summer but has barely got a kick in the Chelsea first-team. There is a strong possibility his development may stall if he remains at Stamford Bridge, and it possible a similar fate would have befallen Neymar.

    I wonder also if Robinho’s woes at Manchester City played a role in Neymar’s thought process. A sporadic success at Real Madrid, Robinho failed to adapt following his move to England, and is now on his way to the rather less starry climes of Besiktas. Ever since leaving Santos Robinho has struggled to consistently produce his best form, which might have made Neymar think twice about plotting a similar route.

    How good is the player? The truth is we don’t really know. He was voted best player in the Sao Paulo State Championship and was top scorer in the Brazilian Cup as he helped his club win both competitions this year. But excelling in those competitions does not make a player a world-beater, so it’s too early to say that the teenager is ready to shine on the global stage, even though there was an outcry in his homeland when national team boss Dunga omitted the youngster from his World Cup squad this summer (Neymar made his Brazil debut a fortnight ago, scoring the opener in the Selecao’s 2-0 win over the United States in Menezes’ first game in charge).

    Now that his immediate future is settled, the challenge for Neymar is to excel in next year’s Copa Libertadores, the continent’s premier competition. Brazilian rivals Internacional carried off the 2010 trophy last week – but with Neymar in their ranks, Santos will be confident of lifting the coveted prize for the first time since 1963.

    Santos’ star in 1963? Pele. If Neymar emulates O Rei, that really will send the comparisons spiralling out of control.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    By the time Carlos Tevez left the White Hart Lane pitch 83 minutes into Manchester City’s 0-0 draw against Spurs on the opening day of the Premier League season, he looked shattered.

    We’re used to seeing the Argentina striker run himself into the ground, but the challenge that City boss Roberto Mancini set the 26-year-old front man in north London last Saturday lunchtime was particularly testing. Tevez played up front on his own in a 4-5-1 formation. The result was that the compact South American did more work without the ball than with it as he spent most of his time chasing opponents rather than scoring opportunities.

    Ever since Tevez arrived at West Ham in 2006, fans have wondered exactly what sort of player is he: a second striker, in the mould of Dennis Bergkamp and Gianfranco Zola, a pocket-sized goalscorer comparable to Michael Owen and Jermain Defoe, or a genuine centre-forward, reminiscent of Mark Hughes in his prime? In truth, Tevez is none of these – he’s a mobile, powerful, hard-working striker with a decent eye for goal that is difficult to place neatly into a category.

    It’s obvious, though, he would prefer to play off a main striker than as the most advanced player. On Saturday, he performed his duties as uncomplainingly as you’d expect of such a team-orientated player, but he was always desperate to be involved in the play. There’s nothing wrong with your main striker dropping deep – but as none of City’s fairly static midfielders or ineffective wingers was willing or able to take his place up front, the result was a congested midfield.

    This is important for bettors because Tevez was widely tipped to be a strong Premier League Golden Boot contender this season. In 2009-10 he netted 23 times in 35 games, a total that smashed his previous highest tally of 14 in the English game. Having won the approval of Mancini, there was every reason to believe that Tevez would match or come close to matching last season’s goalscoring feats, especially as Roque Santa Cruz and Emmanuel Adebayor will play reduced roles this season and number one transfer target Fernando Torres has pledged his future to Liverpool.

    But Tevez is one of the last players I’d back now. If City continue to use him on his own up front in a 4-5-1 formation, it will be impossible for the Argentina star to trouble the top of the goalscoring charts. And having seen City use the system away to Spurs, it’s reasonable to assume they will use it against Chelsea, Manchester United, Arsenal and Liverpool as well. Mancini’s natural caution means we may see it wheeled out on other occasions, too.

    Now I’d expect to see Tevez score between 12 and 18 goals rather than 20 and 25 goals, which rules out any chance of the Argentinian succeeding Didier Drogba as Golden Boot winner (the best bet right now would be for Drogba to succeed himself after his stunning hat-trick in Chelsea’s 6-0 thrashing of West Brom at the weekend). Yet, after the opening day, Tevez still ranks as 13.0 (12/1) fourth favourite behind Drogba (3.5 or 5/2), Wayne Rooney (7.0 or 6/1), Torres (8.0 or 7/1) and Robin van Persie (11/0 or 10/1).

    Leave him alone. Outright, each-way or any which way you like, Tevez is an awful bet.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    “I don’t know if his name has been mentioned in the press, but no doubt you’ll get to hear about him soon,” said Didier Deschamps last Friday, announcing to the media that he’d finally identified the striker he wants to lead the Marseille attack this season.

    Is the player Luis Fabiano? According to RMC, one of France’s leading sports radio stations, it is – but Marseille insist that whoever their mystery striker is, he’ll play alongside rather than instead of last season’s Ligue 1 top scorer Mamadou Niang (Turkish club Fenerbahce have bid 8m euro offer Senegal international Niang and offered the player an eye-watering four-year contract).

    Whether Marseille are interested in Luis Fabiano or not, it’s a big year for the Brazil striker. He turns 30 in November. He scored three goals at the World Cup but saw his chance of helping his side lift the trophy and emulating countrymen Leonidas, Ademir and Ronaldo by winning the Golden Boot snatched away when Brazil defended in kamikaze fashion against Holland for 15 minutes in the second-half of their quarter-final.

    In the short-term, Luis Fabiano still has an international future, although new Selecao coach Mano Menezes left him out of this week’s friendly against USA. Argentina stage the Copa America next summer, and the powerful centre-forward – who’s netted 29 goals in 43 appearances for his country, placing him joint-12th alongside Antonio Careca on their all-time scorers list – ought to remain on the radar until then at the very least.

    But it’s Luis Fabiano’s future at club level that fascinates the most. His has been anything but a typical career: after making a handful of appearances at first club Ponte Preta he moved while still a teenager to French club Rennes but understandably failed to settle in north-west France and returned to Sao Paulo on loan. After a short time back in Brazil he tried and failed a second time at Rennes, so the club sold him to Sao Paulo, where his scoring stats were sensational. Then came a move to FC Porto and another poor spell in Europe before he eventually found a second home in Sevilla. He’s played for the Andalucians since the start of 2005-06 and has become one of the most reliable finishers in Spanish football: he’s scored 62 times in 128 Liga games, adding a further 14 in 39 European appearances.

    Luis Fabiano helped Sevilla win the Uefa Cup (now Europa League) in 2006 and 2007, but has competed in the Champions League only once, scoring seven times in 10 games in 2007-08, and knows time is running out if he wants to have another crack at Europe’s top competition. Sevilla have returned to the tournament this season – but Luis Fabiano must wonder if there’s a better chance of him making it through to the latter stages of the competition by making a fresh start elsewhere. His chances of competing for the big prize largely depend on who the interested parties are – and, while Marseille might be rated at around the same level as Sevilla, AC Milan, another of the Brazilian’s supposed suitors, would be surely a tempting destination.

    Right now, Sevilla are 33/1 joint 10th favourites to win the Champions league. That’s the same price as Marseille and considerably longer than 22/1 Milan. Whatever you do, don’t bet on any of those sides until Luis Fabiano’s future is finalised.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    New Brazil coach Mano Menezes has stamped his mark firmly on the Selecao by only including four players from their World Cup campaign in his first squad.

    Another Brazil coach, another fresh start. New Selecao manager Mano Menezes has selected his first squad in charge of his country – and, as expected, he’s differentiated himself from the previous regime in the strongest possible terms by doing away with all but four of the squad that lost 2-1 to Holland at the World Cup finals last month.

    Dani Alves, Ramires, Thiago Silva and Robinho are the only stars from South Africa to survive – but Menezes has warned that playing for a European club won’t guarantee you a place in the squad.

    "We won't call up players that are in Europe just because they are there and have more attention from the press. When a Brazilian player is doing well, he will be a part of the Selecao. When a person receives a call-up to the Selecao, they usually don't stay long Brazil and are soon transferred to Europe.”

    Menezes has also announced he’ll use 4-2-3-1 tactics – “you have attacking power, strength on the wings, and the possibility of the defensive midfielders supporting the attack; we saw a number of teams play like this during the World Cup” – and says both the 2011 Copa America and the 2012 Olympic Games will be an important part of the side’s preparation for the 2014 World Cup, which Brazil will host. “It will be a natural sequence. We will use some matches in the future to prepare for the Olympics. We will have to establish a relationship with the European clubs so that we can have the players.”

    Fans in Brazil will be delighted to see that two of the country’s most promising home-based players, Neymar and Ganso, have been called up for the friendly against USA in New Jersey on August 2010. Just 18, Neymar has become a superstar in the South American game thanks to a series of outstanding performances and a scoring rate of a goal every two games for Santos, while club team-mate Ganso is seen as the long-term successor to Kaka.

    Kaka, Julio Cesar and Luis Fabiano are among a host of big names that have missed out, although their absence from the squad this time doesn’t necessarily mean their international careers are over. Menezes has named a highly experimental squad so that he will be able to study at close quarters players that, in truth, he will know little about.

    Manchester United full-back Rafael, called up for the first time, left his homeland for north-west England at just 17, so he’s a distant figure to the Brazilian public and his new national coach. Ederson, the attacking midfielder who has received his first convocation, is still best-known in his homeland for helping his country win the World U17 Championship in 2003. He left for the French League when still a teenager, playing for Nice and then joining Lyon – where, significantly, he’s failed to pin down a first-team place – for 14m euro in 2008.

    Some of these players will fall by the wayside and some of the bigger names will be recalled, especially when the fixtures with something at stake come along. But then, it’s always been this way for Brazil – a country with a river of talent that still runs deeper than every other country on earth.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Considering that Claude Makelele and his various contemporaries that play in the so-called ‘Makelele’ role are supposedly more highly valued by their team-mates than by fans or the media, it’s remarkable how much coverage they get. One of the biggest transfer stories of the summer concerns Javier Mascherano, one of those midfielders whose skills are apparently so subtle they go unnoticed by the naked eye.

    When he took over as Argentina manager in 2008, Diego Maradona famously said his team would be “Mascherano and 10 others.” There are no shortage of European admirers that endorse Maradona’s assessment. Alan Curbishley may not be among them – he infamously let Mascherano languish in the West Ham reserves – but since his bizarrely brief spell at Upton Park Mascherano has developed into one of the finest defensive midfielders in the world thanks to impressive performances for Liverpool and his country.

    Whether he’ll be at Liverpool next season is an issue of major concern for Roy Hodgson. Reports in England and Italy suggest Mascherano is keen to hook up with former Reds boss Rafa Benitez, whose six-year spell at Anfield came to an end in May. Benitez has taken over at Inter and, according to sources, has made signing Mascherano one of his priorities.

    If Liverpool’s financial situation is as parlous as some commentators would have you believe, it’s difficult to believe Liverpool would turn down a substantial bid for one the few players that is genuinely coveted by wealthy suitors. It’s also unlikely Hodgson would be given more than half of the transfer fee to reinvest in new personnel.

    Which raises the question: if Hodgson is handed around £12m-£15m of a fee that would be close to £25m, is there a player on the market that would be a) comparable in quality as well as style to the gloriously consistent Argentina captain and b) be interested in joining a club that won’t be able to offer Champions League football until autumn 2011 at the earliest, is suffering from well-documented financial problems and has chosen to appoint a manager whose name carries little kudos around the world?

    The signature of Joe Cole this week – the little England playmaker defied those that categorised him as a ‘London or nowhere’ player by plumping for Merseyside over Tottenham – is terrific news for Liverpool, and Reds fans will be pleased their club continues to be linked to promising young footballers such as Loic Remy, whose French League performances for Nice over the past couple of seasons are deserving of a bigger stage.

    But losing midfielders Xabi Alonso and Mascherano in consecutive years, albeit for vast sums of money, would surely rob Liverpool (12/1 fifth favourites at Sportingbet to win the Premier League, and 17/10 to finish in the top four) of the on-field platform they need to challenge for a top-four spot. If Hodgson didn’t know what he was getting into when he took the job, he will if Mascherano departs for an Italian adventure at some point in the next few weeks.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Iker Casillas holding aloft the World Cup trophy will be the defining football image of this year, but comments this week from a fellow all-time great (for that’s how Casillas must now be regarded, if he wasn’t before) reminded us what a remarkable year it’s been for another of the game’s superstars.

    Javier Zanetti played no part in the South African tournament as Argentina manager Diego Maradona controversially omitted the Inter captain from his final squad, but on the very day Spain conquered the world he made it clear to the press that even at his age he has no intention of giving up.

    “When will I stop playing? Next month I will be 37 years old, but not before we have won the second star will I retire. We currently have 18 Scudetti, so we need another two. I’m hungry – very hungry.”

    The stars are worn on the shirts of Italian sides that win league titles, with one star equalling 10 titles. When Zanetti arrived at Inter in 1995, the famous old club had 13. Now they have 13, thanks to a run of five straight triumphs from 2006 to 2010.

    Zanetti has collected plenty of other silverware for the Nerazzurri: a Uefa Cup alongside Ronaldo, Youri Djorkaeff and Ivan Zamorano in 1998; three Coppa Italias and three Italian Super Cups. But the biggest prize of all came on May 22 this year, on the occasion of his 700th appearance for the club. Zanetti skippered Inter to their first European Cup/Champions League triumph since 1965 as they beat Bayern Munich 2-0.

    Zanetti’s role in their run to the final was immense. His was the calming voice that soothed team-mates after Inter’s Thiago Motta was sent off 27 minutes into the semi-final second leg against Barcelona. A potentially decisive moment became a footnote as Inter beat the defending champions.

    But then you’ll struggle to find a better professional than Zanetti anywhere on earth. His attitude and endeavour are exemplary. His willingness to play in a variety of positions for the good of the team is worthy of applause. And he hasn’t received a red card in more than 11 years, remarkable given he’s spent much of that time as a defender. Now in his mid-30s, you might have expected Zanetti to start winding down in the last couple of years. He’s missed just four Serie A games in the past four seasons.

    Zanetti’s desire to win two more league titles, which would see him playing to nearly 40 at least, is typical of the man. New manager Rafa Benitez has a hard act to follow in Jose Mourinho, but the presence of Zanetti in his squad will make his job easier. They share a common language and, unsurprisingly, Zanetti has already made it clear the Spanish boss can count on his support.

    “Obviously the departure of Mourinho means we lost a lot, but the arrival of Benitez means there will be a new injection of experience and enthusiasm in the group, which will be great.” That’s Zanetti all over – diplomatic yet frank, decent and honest.

    Inter are 2.2 (6/5) to win a sixth consecutive Serie A title and 15.0 (14/1) to become the first club since city rivals Milan (1990) to retain the Champions League. But even if they don’t win another thing, all year, let’s hope Zanetti is remembered by the jury that vote for the newly-formed Fifa Ballon d’Or winner in December. After the greatest year of a truly glittering career, it would be a travesty of justice if ‘Il Capitano’s’ magnificent achievements are ignored just because a World Cup has dominated our screens all summer.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    The saying “a week’s a long time in football” has never been truer for South America’s exponents of the game. Their proud record of having all five World Cup participants in the last 16 of the competition quickly gave way to a sense of shock and despondency as Chile crashed out in the second round before Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay made their exits in the quarter-finals.

    All of which left Uruguay as the continent’s sole representatives. By the time you read this, you will know whether Oscar Tabarez’s side have reached the final for the first time since playing in the quasi-final of 1950 (the tournament ended with a four-team mini-league) or honourably bade farewell at the last-four stage.

    I patted myself on the back when Brazil were knocked out as I’ve used this column since the turn of the year to say categorically there would be no sixth global triumph under Dunga (OK, I also predicted Brazil would beat Holland last Friday, but let’s not dwell on that). And it will have come as no surprise to regular readers that Lionel Messi struggled to make an impact: we told you two months ago that the Ballon d’Or holder would fade under South Africa’s winter sun.

    Enough of the negatives, however – here are three things we’ve learned about South American football during the World Cup finals:

    1. Diego Forlan – Manchester United was the exception rather than rule

    English TV pundits have a hard time accepting that players that struggled to adapt to English football can actually play the game at all. That’s why the words ‘Manchester United’ have loomed large in so-called experts’ vocabulary in the UK whenever Forlan crops up, because for all his goalscoring exploits in Spain (120 goals in 208 league games and twice recipient of the European Golden Boot award), some people refuse to forget the fact he had a hard time at Old Trafford (10 goals in 63 league games from 2002 to 2004).

    Forlan’s World Cup performances finally prove beyond doubt he’s one of the best finishers of the past 10 years. His difficult spell at United was an anomaly; let’s hope everyone’s worked that out now.

    2. Skilful strikers are no substitute for a playmaker

    When Diego Maradona reflects on Argentina’s World Cup campaign, will he regret using Juan Veron so sparingly? Germany coach Jurgen Low made things sound remarkably simple when he explained his side beat Argentina by exploiting the absence of link play between Argentina’s defence and midfield.

    So why didn’t Maradona drop Angel di Maria and pick Veron instead? Di Maria, a winger at Benfica, was used as part of Argentina’s midfield three, a clear case of shoehorning a player into the side in the wrong position purely to get him on the pitch. It would have been braver and smarter to leave di Maria on the bench and hand the keys to midfield to Veron. He was the only man in Argentina’s squad that could provide that vital link in the middle of the pitch.

    3. Brazil assumed they would win the World Cup

    They’ll deny it, of course – but look at the way the players responded to going a goal behind to Holland. Felipe Melo lost his head, and the rest look stunned. And what did Dunga say after the game? “We did not expect this.”

    As in 1982, Brazil threw away the World Cup. Their crime this time wasn’t overindulgence on the pitch; it was overconfidence off it. Unprepared to fall behind in a match, let alone lose one, they revealed the only weakness in their armoury when they failed to come up with a single answer in adversity against the Dutch. The measure of a side is how they bounce back from disappointment. In that respect, Brazil were a disaster.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Brazil v Holland has a beautiful feel to it. It’s a meeting between the most famous exponents of ‘O Jogo Bonito’ and the European side that is most often compared to the Brazilians in terms of flair, creativity and a commitment to entertaining football followers.

    Fans around the world will remember the clash between these two sides in the 1998 World Cup semi-final. Brazil were favourites, but Holland were the better side on the night. Patrick Kluivert’s equaliser deservedly cancelled out Ronaldo’s opener, forcing extra-time, but eventually Brazil won on penalties, going on to the final, where they lost 3-0 against France.

    Anybody watching this tournament might be mildly disappointed by Holland. Bert van Marwijk’s side have moved efficiently through the rounds but there’s been little of the invention, imagination and intelligence normally associated with Dutch teams. Their group was relatively easy, they’ve given the ball away more cheaply than you might expect and while their defence has been pretty solid – Holland have yet to concede a goal in open play – the suspicion remains that a back four that makes its living playing for Ajax, Feyenoord, Hamburg and Everton has yet to be truly tested.

    If there’s one side likely to test Holland’s defence, it’s Brazil. Some of their movement and interplay was bewildering when they played Chile on Monday night. The Selecao won 3-0, but their margin of victory might have been so much bigger. Kaka played one of the passes of the tournament to set up Luis Fabiano for the striker’s third goal in four games, Robinho was a twinkle-toed presence on the wings, Gilberto Silva showed a hitherto hidden shooting prowess by forcing Chile goalkeeper Claudio Bravo into a magnificent save and Ramires, supposedly a midfield understudy, performed with a level of technical excellence that would make so-called playmakers for virtually every other side in the country blush with embarrassment. Oh, and Lucio has successfully completed more dribbles than all players but Lionel Messi and Chile’s Alexis Sanchez. When your defenders play like that, the rest must be tempted to pack up and go home.

    Having watched both teams closely I see no way Holland can beat Brazil. Test them, yes, challenge them, maybe – but Dunga’s side will surely be too strong, too organised, too skilful and too rapier-like in attack.

    Brazil are 4/9 (1.44) to make the semi-finals and 2.00 (evens) to win the match in 90 minutes. It’s difficult to argue with either of those prices on what we’ve seen so far. I’d also be tempted to back the first-half to have 0 goals (31/20) and 1 goal (7/5), because Holland are a well-organised side and Brazil failed to open the scoring in first-halves against North Korea (0-0) and Portugal (0-0), the two most defensively well-drilled teams they’ve faced so far. Split your stakes across those two outcomes and you’ll make money if one of them occurs.

    More than anything, I hope Brazil win in style. Not in the style that made them famous in 1958, or 1970 or 1982, but the style and steel that characterises Brazil 2010. So far they’ve been the most complete side at the tournament – as the Dutch are about to find out in the most painful manner.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    Be honest: did you think Gonzalo Higuain was the right man to lead Argentina’s attack? Did you really believe the Real Madrid striker was a better bet than Diego Milito to score the goals that might lead Argentina to their third World Cup triumph?

    Higuain silenced his critics by scoring a hat-trick in Argentina’s 4-1 win over South Korea. He’ll never score a simpler triple, but nobody asks what the goals looked like when you’re top of the scorers’ charts.

    In Argentina’s first game against Nigeria, Higuain made headlines for the wrong reasons. He missed a couple of straightforward chances to score, putting his side in jeopardy in the later stages when Nigeria nearly equalised. Journalists around the world said Higuain should be dropped for Milito – but Higuain’s hat-trick against South Korea ought to have sealed his place in the side for the remainder of the tournament.

    The question bettors will ask is: does Higuain’s triple make him a shoo-in for the golden shoe? He’s a goal ahead of Luis Fabiano, David Villa and Diego Forlan, and playing for a side that is resolutely attack-minded. Diego Maradona is the only coach in the tournament that seems happy to tell his players to simply try to outscore the opposition, so Higuain ought to get plenty of chances to add to his tally.

    Yet recent history shows that climbing to the top of the scoring charts early in a World Cup is not a guarantee of walking away with the Golden Boot. Argentina’s all-time leading scorer Gabriel Batistuta struck a hat-trick in his side’s 5-0 win over Jamaica in the 1998 group stages but finished the tournament on five goals, one behind Golden Boot winner Davor Suker. And four years later Miroslav Klose looked nailed-on to become the first German since Gerd Muller in 1974 to win the top scorer prize when he scored five times in the group stages – but he failed to score once in four knock-out games, allowing Ronaldo to claim the crown.

    The best way to bet on the Golden Boot market once the tournament has begun is to wait until the end of the group stages. That way you can see which sides will face-off in the last 16 and plot teams’ routes to the semi-finals – which is vital, because every Golden Boot winner (except joint-winner Oleg Salenko in 1994) has played for a side that reached the last four.

    It’s also worth noting that no Golden Boot winner since Paolo Rossi in 1982 has failed to score at least twice in the opening group stage. The goalscoring stats for eventual winners at the end of the group stage are: Gary Lineker (3) in 1986, Toto Schillaci (2) in 1990, Hristo Stoichkov (3) and Oleg Salenko (6) in 1994, Davor Suker (2) in 1998, Ronaldo (4) in 2002 and Miroslav Klose (4) in 2006.

    So that’s your other rule to follow: if a player hasn’t got on the scoresheet twice by the end of the group phase, he’s not worth backing. Right now, Higuain (16/5), David Villa (100/30), Luis Fabiano (11/2) and Diego Forlan (11/1) head the market. Make sure you set aside time on Friday night once the group stages are over to do your homework, because a bit of effort then could net you a profit by the time the tournament’s over.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    The biggest surprise in Argentina’s 1-0 win over Nigeria in their opening World Cup was seeing Diego Maradona in a suit. Very smart the little man looked, too – and he’ll have been pleased with what he saw out on the pitch as well.

    Argentina dominated for long spells and played some brilliant football against The Super Eagles, although the Albiceleste’s inability to convert numerous chances in the first-half meant they endured a nervy final 15 minutes as Nigeria threatened to equalise. But it was an impressive performance, and has silenced some of Maradona’s critics, for the time being at least.

    There were faults, though, and some of them were down to the manager. Maradona’s decision to select Jonas Gutierrez at right-back backfired immediately. It was an unfamiliar position for the Newcastle United winger, and he looked uncomfortable from the start, so it was no surprise that Nigeria identified him as Argentina’s weak link.

    The game’s other loser was Gonzalo Higuain, who missed two glorious opportunities to score. Maradona’s decision to select the 22-year-old striker was a fair one, given that Higuain netted 27 times in the league alone for Real Madrid this season, but as he is really picked for his goals, those off-target efforts may prove fatal. Diego Milito – even more prolific at club level in 2009-10 – was more purposeful after replacing Higuain on 79 minutes. The Inter striker deserves to keep his place.

    If Maradona can make the necessary tweaks in defence and attack, Argentina will have a great chance of going to the semi-finals, because Lionel Messi appears to have carried his club form into the finals. Against Nigeria, he produced arguably the best individual attacking performance of the opening 10 games of the finals. With that magnificent left foot, he created numerous openings for team-mates and twice Nigeria’s Vincent Enyeama (the best goalkeeper in the tournament) into excellent saves.

    By the time you read this, World Cup second favourites Brazil will have started their campaign against North Korea, and we’ll have a better idea of whether Chile really are the second-best team in Group H, behind Spain, as the odds suggest. Regular readers know how strongly I oppose Brazil’s chances of winning the World Cup, but they ought to reach the second round.

    They might not be the only ones, either. After watching the first four days of the finals, I thought to myself that this might be the first time in history that all five South American sides qualify for the knock-out phase. Uruguay and Paraguay are in a good position after deservedly earning draws against France and Italy, supposedly two of Europe’s strongest nations. Uruguay’s defence was excellent – and they’ll have more opportunities to attack against Mexico and South Africa – and Paraguay will be confident of beating Slovakia and New Zealand after matching the Azzurri.

    This was supposed to be Africa’s tournament. It’s time to think again. This might end up being South America’s tournament.


  • James Eastham takes you over the biggest stories from The America's.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Latin Quarter

    With the start of the World Cup only days away, what are the chances of one of South America's five representatives at the tournament lifting football's ultimate trophy on July 11? Slim, I'd say. Argentina and Brazil have the best chance, but there are reasons to oppose both in the outright betting market.

    Long-term readers of this column will know that I've opposed Brazil as winners from the turn of the year. Gilberto Silva as defensive midfield lynchpin is an obvious weakness, but I'm unconvinced about Brazil's attacking firepower as well. Luis Fabiano is 11/1 to be the competition's top scorer but I would avoid him as he's yet to show he can score at the highest level. Robinho has done well for Santos during the first-half of the year, but looking through the entire squad of 23 Brazil have fewer creative options than their cheerleaders would have you believe. And don't forget Kaka has just completed a poor season by his standards. Brazil look more like semi-finalists than winners to me.

    Many consider Argentina coach Diego Maradona to be his country's weak link, but El Diego's motivational qualities may become an asset once the tournament begins. No side boasts as many wonderful attackers, either, although the question is whether Maradona's policy of using four centre-halves in defence will prove successful. In the past few weeks, Maradona has belatedly experimented with three at the back, too. That sort of uncertainty over what formation they will use means Argentina may score and concede in equal measure. I'd consider backing over 2.5 goals in their three group games against Greece, Nigeria and South Korea.

    Many people see Uruguay as dark horses, and it's true they seem ideally-placed to profit sfrom problems in the French camp in Group A. The opening encounter between the sides on Friday should prove crucial: if Uruguay avoid defeat, they will confident they can do as well as France in their remaining two games. In Diego Forlan and Luis Suarez, who has scored 74 goals in 97 league appearances for Ajax, Uruguay coach Oscar Washington Tabarez has a couple of players you should consider backing in the goalscorer market.

    For Paraguy, Oscar Cardozo – a star of the exciting Benfica side that thrilled fans in 2009-10 – and Manchester City's Roque Santa Cruz are the players to back in the scoring charts. And, like Uruguay, Paraguay have a decent chance of reaching the second round. Italy are Group F favourites, but Paraguay will be confident of beating Slovakia to second place. Neither Paraguay not Slovakia defend particularly well, so back over 2.5 goals in the game between the sides.

    Chile are expected to progress to the second round behind Spain from Group H (they're 3/5 to do so), although Switzerland and Honduras are tricky opponents. The other factor that potentially counts against Marcelo Bielsa's side is potentially peaking too soon: they breezed through the qualifiers in magnificent fashion but it's often difficult to repeat that sort of form when the finals start several months later.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Listen to Hassan Al-Thawadi, the well-spoken head of Qatar 2022's organising committee, and all the bad press his country has been getting of late has a very simple explanation: prejudice.

    "I do not believe these [tendentious] claims are being made out of racism," he told the Guardian's David Conn in Doha. "But I genuinely think that ignorance fed into prejudice and made it a more fertile ground for these rumours to take seed and grow. I do believe there is prejudice against the fact that we are a rich, Arab nation. Yes, I think there is genuine prejudice there."

    What's more, according to Al-Thawadi, there should be no inquiry into allegations of bribery and unbecoming conduct during the bid process. Least of all one commissioned by Qatar itself.

    "Why should we have an investigation if no other country has one, even Russia, which won the 2018 World Cup by the same people on the same day after the same process?"

    In my view, a couple of things need to be said.

    First, antipathy towards Qatar and the Middle East in general from sections of the western media has little to do with wealth and nothing to do with ethnicity.

    It has to do with the fact that, for reasons still to be adequately explained (perhaps they shall never be) Qatar got the World Cup over a far more meritorious candidate: the United States.

    The US would have put on a better World Cup, with no need for air-conditioned stadiums or date switches or breaking up matches into 30-minute thirds. It would have been a World Cup that the world actually wanted and would have come to see. It would have delivered the planet a real football legacy in the form of a turbocharged Major League Soccer – offering the prospect of a European-quality league outside of Europe.

    Instead, FIFA is asking hordes of fans from all corners of the globe to be excited at the prospect of coming to the Gulf at the height of the Arabian summer where, if they don't get hospitalised from heatstroke or arrested for pashing their girlfriends, they'll be bored witless walking around Doha with nothing to do and very limited licence to drink, make merry or fornicate.

    The organisers can bang on a legacy of about pan-Arab unity and put up all the skyscrapers and shopping malls they like.

    It still doesn't change the fact that Qatar 2022's going to be staged in a country the size of a camel bag, run by hereditary monarchs who turn a blind eye to abuses on their own patch (exhibit A: that endless supply of coolies from the subcontinent toiling away on work sites in the midday sun) and those happening right nearby (exhibit B: those footballers being tortured in Bahrain). What's Qatar 2022 really doing about either? Nothing. Sweet FA.

    Second, there should be an inquiry because I can't think of any reason for there not to be one. The world isn't going to shut up about Qatar unless there are some answers.

    Has there been a tender process in the history of organised sport more fraught with controversy than the one for the 2022 World Cup? When the winner gets 11 votes in the first round and Australia, host of the best Olympics ever, gets knocked out with just one, people are right to be suspicious.

    Moreover, the suggestion that Qatar's bid shouldn't be investigated fully because the Russians aren't putting up with one into their own is preposterous.

    Not that there isn't cause. Even before the vote in Zurich last year I was hearing from very reliable sources in Asia (official AFC partners, in fact) that secret bank accounts had been set up for some bent FIFA executive committee members.

    But Russia is a thug kleptocracy where journalists are routinely killed for getting too close to the truth and businessmen who threaten the status quo are sent to gulags. Its court system is riddled with corruption.

    So Russia isn't about to investigate itself and won't.

    Lastly, we can take nothing from the "Qatar whistleblower" affidavit. How can it be held up as "proof" when there is considerable chatter behind the scenes among people who know the woman, Phaedra Almajid, that she was the victim of an orchestrated smear campaign?

    Her act of penitence comes after she was most careful and most methodical when presenting her allegations. They weren't wildly sprayed around. Now this? A tale of deceit worth of Stephen Glass?

    And what of the timing? Convenient, to say the least.

    I am not suggesting Qatar is guilty of anything other than throwing a lot of money around. But as much as Al-Thawadi is an impressive spokesman and the Qatar 2022 campaign was played with perfection, nothing he can say or do will ever satisfy the proposition that Qatar won the World Cup on merit alone. Just as nothing he can say or do will convince me that USA 2022 wouldn't have done better in its place.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    One of Asian football's biggest stars, albeit a fading one, pulled out of a planned move to the Australian league this week.

    Harry Kewell, the ex Leeds, Liverpool and Galatasaray man with the AUD$50 million fortune, a former soap star wife and more cars than final-reel a pile up in a Fast & Furious movie, wanted to play in the A-League either for Melbourne Victory or Sydney FC (even Brisbane Roar has been mentioned in dispatches) but only on the proviso that the body that runs the competition, Football Federation Australia, agree to a split of 30:70 on additional revenue from gate takings at away games featuring Kewell.

    Yes, other clubs were supposed to stump up for the outlay of Sydney or Melbourne and be happy about it.

    The FFA, rightly, told Kewell and his manager, Bernie Mandic, to pull the other one.

    Which is not to say the concept is completely stupid. If it were a Lionel Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo coming to the A-League you wouldn't be whistling Dixie to safely guarantee a massive gate wherever they turned up to play. I'm sure the other A-League clubs would be happy to agree to the arrangement, wherever the two world superstars deigned to play. It would be a commercial bonanza.

    But how do you quantify interest in a player whose best days are far behind him? Whose career is as renowned for the time he was crocked as the time he actually spent on the field? Who isn't even the most popular Socceroo currently playing for the men's national team – an issue that, if you believe the rumours, has caused all sorts of personality conflicts inside and outside the dressing room?

    What happens if Kewell plays but a star is unearthed (say the equivalent of Fred for Melbourne Victory years ago) who isn't even the marquee player but who is actually driving the attendances, either playing for Kewell's club or the club he's playing against?

    Is it fair for Kewell, whose contribution might go on to be minimal even if he's on the park, to pocket the 70 per cent (yes, not 30; 70!)?

    It's a completely nonsensical arrangement that would only work, if at all, for the first couple of games, when novelty interest is high, but then become unworkable when that interest tapers away.

    The same sort of downturn Los Angeles Galaxy experienced in Major League Soccer with the "Beckham experiment". But Mandic wants the deal to be in place for the term of Kewell's contract.

    In my view it's impractical, not fair, open to abuse and, most of all, is an unreasonable burden on other clubs who are finding the challenge of making a buck hard enough as it is.

    A demand too far. And the fact Mandic was prepared to scupper any plans for Kewell to the A-League on this detail suggests that it was all about the money in the first place.

    Kewell's non-arrival (at least for now) is a big loss to the Australian game. But the knock Mandic and Kewell have taken to their reputation is even bigger.

    And, like Kewell's contribution to the gate, just as hard to quantify.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    With its representatives being annihilated in yet another edition of the Asian Champions League and having its dream of four automatic places scuppered by its own botched plans for expansion, you would think Football Federation Australia would have learned a few lessons by now about the value of holding on to its best players.

    And not just holding on to them but adding to them. If you're going to be competitive in Asia, if you're going to have a decent-standard league, you need at the very least two dozen of the best available players signed, sealed and delivered who can contribute on the park and not send everyone broke off it.

    But this week the FFA let yet another quality player slip through its grasp and watched slack-jawed as Argentinean maestro Marcos Flores left Adelaide United for the dull lights of Chinese Super League club Henan Jianye.

    Flores is comfortably the best player in the A-League and last season was adjudged so by his peers, winning the Johnny Warren Medal, Australian football's top individual honour.

    So a player the FFA should have gone out of its way to stop leaving for China.

    As it was, though, Adelaide, only recently cut adrift from the administration of the FFA and now in private ownership, decided pocketing a $500,000 transfer fee was good business and the in-demand South American was happy to get a hefty pay rise – even if it meant swapping the City of Churches for industrial Zhengzhou and a club recently rebadged from its old incarnation of Henan Construction FC.

    And the FFA did nothing. It's done nothing. It continues to do nothing.

    Such as review and lift its anachronistic salary cap.

    Such as ask its ineffective geriatric moneybags chairman, Frank Lowy, to dig in to his own pockets rather than filch more money from the taxpayers' purse and buy some international-quality marquees that are going to raise the standard of the entire comp.

    Such as have an emergency war chest to ensure clubs that are going through a period of financial austerity can be assisted in their efforts to retain their best players for the good of their fans and the entire league.

    Such as abolishing the restriction on paying a transfer fee to another A-League club. Even if another A-League club wanted to buy Flores and keep him in Australia, they couldn't, as super agent Leo Karis pointed out during the week.

    Any fresh ideas, FFA? Nada. Zip. And the corollary of that organisational inertia is to let the A-League bleed to death and become a continental irrelevance.

    So should you wager your money on Australian teams in the ACL? Well, the fact of the matter is whatever success Brisbane and Central Coast Mariners achieve in the next edition of Asia's greatest club tournament will be achieved in spite of not because of the FFA's administrative abilities. (In my view they are grossly incompetent.) As well as the talent of their coaches in making something out of the limited tools at their disposal. Ange Postecoglou and Graham Arnold will be up against it, facing the best of Japan, Korea and the Middle East.

    Make no mistake: Australian football will survive. The same cannot be said of the dunces running the FFA.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Few people in the world of football will miss "Teflon Jack" Warner, the controversial and much-loathed FIFA vice-president and CONCACAF president who fell on his sword today in Port of Spain rather than face the findings of the just-closed investigation into the bribery scandal that has plunged FIFA into chaos.

    The man by reliable accounts was an arrogant, smug, pompous, self-satisfied, entitled ass who carried on like he was the King of Trinidad. He skirted a fine line between what was right and what was unethical. The famous British investigative reporter Andrew Jennings memorably called Warner "a racist kleptomaniac". No tears will be shed at his going.

    Except, perhaps, Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed bin Hammam. Facing FIFA's ethics committee investigation as a pair, they could have been formidable, especially when the world body's ethics code is demonstrably full of big enough holes for a decent barrister to drive a Mack truck through. Cleared, who knows what damage they would have been capable of inflicting on FIFA president Sepp Blatter.

    But by leaving Bin Hammam on his own Warner has effectively put the onus on the Emir of Qatar to test his loyalty and friendship to the AFC president. It's what he decides that will determine whether the AFC president presses on with his defence or follows Warner into enforced early retirement.

    There's no question the Bin Hammam case is a headache Qatar 2022 scarcely needs at a time when organisers need as much good publicity as they can get. The task of restoring Qatar's image in the lead-up to the 2022 event will be as herculean as the construction of all those air-conditioned space-age buildings and stadia. Having Bin Hammam take a bullet for the good of the emirate is a scenario the Emir will have considered.

    The flipside is Bin Hammam has loudly and very publicly protested his innocence. His presidential rival, Blatter, has not endeared himself to the Emir with his wildly undiplomatic and off-the-cuff statements not just about switching from summer to winter but even Qatar's legitimacy as a winner of the hosting rights. The Emir could well see giving Bin Hammam a green light to continue with his defence as a means of getting one back on Blatter.

    My own view is that for the good of the game, his own reputation and the sake of Asian football, Bin Hammam should plough on.

    Warner mentioned "hypocrisy" on resigning his post and FIFA is full of it. Particularly at the top. His defence, as I have maintained in an editorial for the Indian newspaper The Sunday Guardian (http://www.sunday-guardian.com/sports/the-defence-for-afc-president-mohamed-bin-hammam), should focus on the grossly inadequate wording of the ethics code and it manifest inadequacies as a document.

    If Bin Hammam can expose the loopholes in the code and potentially escape charges, it stands to reason they will be tightened up. Even if he fails in his defence, the loopholes should be tightened up.

    But he has to challenge it first for that to happen. FIFA, as is well known, is notoriously lax when it comes to fixing things that need to be fixed. Except when a third party – the media, a fan protest, in this case potentially Bin Hammam – spurs them into action.

    This is one of those unique cases where, irrespective of what happens to Bin Hammam, there is a real chance for a greater justice to be served. And that is worth all our support.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Martin Luther King Jr said: "The hottest place in hell is reserved for those who remain neutral in times of great moral conflict."

    King is one of the great leaders in the history of humankind. Football Federation Australia chairman Ben Buckley is not and will never be, especially when his organisation's view of fighting a system is tacitly condoning its perpetuation – as we saw with Australia's disgraceful public backing of Sepp Blatter at the FIFA Congress in Zurich.

    Buckley can blather all he likes about thinking the best way to reform world football is from within but even his comment that English Football Association chairman David Bernstein's principled protest in calling for a postponement (and then abstaining) was an "empty gesture" is staggering for its meanness and poverty of liberal thinking. Australian TV analyst and former Socceroo Craig Foster was right to say "we should be ashamed".

    Football fans in Australia should be angry, too, particularly at the assertion blithely put forward by Buckley that going with status quo is somehow political insurance for the federation looking ahead.

    That's how News Limited journalist Tom Smithies explained it: "For Australia to have lined up with England publicly might have been terribly satisfying, for about two minutes, until it began to sink in how even more marginalised this country would have become. When [Senator] Nick Xenophon, of all people, declared that Australia had a leadership role to play at FIFA this week, he betrayed a fundamental misunderstanding of this country's place in soccer geopolitics.

    "The unpalatable truth is that Australia has spent five years building up its influence and seeking to allay deep mistrust among our Asian neighbours, let alone at FIFA itself. England is seen so strongly as a self-important, colonial power that it carries negative influence; the worst thing Australia could do would be to join them in some cold, friendless corner."

    Smithies is right in one respect. England is viewed negatively inside FIFA. But that is because of the ludicrous colonial revenge mentality it tolerates from some of its more senior members, such as Julio Grondona and Jack Warner. If not racism, it's close to it.

    On the rest Smithies is misguided and simply wrong. England's stance didn't stop Scotland (and 15 other brave delegates such as rumoured Germany and a rump from Scandinavia) from joining it. And the lowly ranked Scots, for one, have a lot more to lose than Australia. Such as their privileged position as an independent nation not just in FIFA but on the International Football Association Board, the body that formulates the Laws of the Game.

    But it's on the Asian front where Smithies's arguments and the FFA's political strategy fails to convince.

    How does publicly supporting Blatter help allay any extant mistrust against Australia in Asia? Blatter was seen by suspended Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed Bin Hammam as having been complicit in his demise. Enough to ask for him to be called before FIFA's ethics committee, where he escaped censure while Bin Hammam will be investigated further and possibly be stood down from all his FIFA roles permanently.

    Yet what guarantees are there that Bin Hammam is going to be kicked to the kerb for good? There's every chance he will be found not guilty (for a start, will any investigation be able to legally prove beyond a reasonable doubt he was intending "to incite breach of duty or dishonest conduct"?) and go back to his day job as AFC president, supplanting the newly installed interim president Zhang Jilong of China.

    The leadership void some commentators have called a propitious moment for an East–West split in the AFC may in fact be an opportunity for Bin Hammam to add sandbags to the West's political ascendancy.

    How fondly will a reinstalled Bin Hammam look upon a country that blindly backed the opponent who helped crush his presidential dream?

    How should he regard a leading member of his own AFC that when the moment came to show some recognition of his plight – he couldn't even get an appeal heard to attend the FIFA Congress – effectively turned the other cheek?

    A bristling Bin Hammam now has all sorts of reasons to marginalise Australia even more. He is credited with getting the former Oceania into Asia. In power, he is also capable of removing it. For their sake and the future of Australian football, it's fortunate the FFA was awarded the 2015 Asian Cup before all this palaver.

    As King said, leadership is about standing up for what's right. Not just covering your backside. It would be useful if the people running the Australian game understood the difference.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The 61st FIFA Congress was supposed to be a coronation. Not a bloodbath in a Hong Kong action movie. But do the body count.

    Almost a baker's dozen of FIFA executive committee members accused of corruption, a group of them not as in the clear as we're led to believe (read James Dingemans QC's report for the English FA into the Lord Triesman allegations). Sepp Blatter's legitimacy in tatters. Mohamed Bin Hammam's political career seemingly over. The suspended Jack Warner and the is-he-or-isn't-he sacked Chuck Blazer (with the added cameo of acting president Lisle Austin) engaged in a wrestling match for control of CONCACAF. Jerome Valcke dumping on the Qataris and opening a potential new investigation in an ill-considered private email. The ambitious Michel Platini still waiting in the wings but now thinking twice about what he'd really been taking on if he ever ran for president himself. Who would invite the burden of restoring such a broken organisation?

    The fearsome rock chanteuse Grace Jones opened the ceremony and she should have done us all a favour and masticated the 208 delegates like she does to men in her song "Corporate Cannibal": "Pleased to meet you/pleased to have you on my plate/your meat is sweet to me/Your destiny/Your fate/You're my life support/Your life is my sport/I'm a man-eating machine."

    If Grace Jones can't wipe out a room of men, no one can.

    Bonita Mersiades, the former head of corporate and public affairs at Football Federation Australia and an individual well versed in the realpolitik of football diplomacy, argued in Australia's The Age newspaper with her usual eloquence that "FIFA has not demonstrated to date that it is capable of reforming itself", challenging Blatter's intemperate assertion the world body's "difficulties will be solved within the football family".

    "FIFA does not have in place the level of governance and transparency that we expect of our major institutions and organisations," she wrote. "Governments should demand an interim time-limited administration, led by an eminent person with a mandate to develop a new constitution and conduct new elections."

    In effect, an intervention, like the United Nations-led peacekeeping missions in East Timor and Afghanistan, designed to bring peace to warring factions and introduce the necessary climate for transition to free and fair elections.

    Was this presidential election really free and fair? Were the contenders really playing by the same rules? Why is untoward inside FIFA for Bin Hammam to allegedly give brown paper envelopes stuffed with tens of thousands of dollar bills to Caribbean Football Union delegates but not for Blatter to spontaneously give $30 million to Interpol without anyone's approval or $1 million to CONCACAF without the finance committee's go-ahead? Platini was supposedly furious when he heard of the latter "gift".

    Certainly an organisation representing a family of 300 million members, as Blatter is fond of describing FIFA, is not supposed to be one man's "baby" (as Franz Beckenbauer described Blatter's fondness for his fiefdom) or his piggy bank. It preaches democracy but is in fact a closed shop: as impervious to challenge as the Bahraini royal family.

    That must not be allowed to continue. The issue is how can revolution and repair be facilitated?

    Blatter himself will not stand down. No one else is volunteering to fall on their sword, even the nicely fattened apparatchiks who privately threaten to stand down from their positions in protest at the way the joint is being run but still jet to Zurich in business class to sit on their committees and luxuriate in their privilege and entitlement.

    The English and Scottish FAs did the right thing and called for a postponement of the election, the English echoing Mersiades's call for an independent body to be installed to reform the organisation and "make recommendations regarding improved governance and compliance procedures and structures throughout the FIFA decision-making processes for consideration by the full membership". (Not that it made any difference. The election went ahead, farcically, with one candidate. The English and Scottish went on to abstain, along with 15 other FAs, rumoured among them Germany and the Scandinavian bloc. They can hold their heads high.)

    FIFA's corporate partners, too, have voiced their concerns, led by Adidas and followed by Coca-Cola and Emirates.

    Politicians such as the English MP Damian Collins and Australian senator Nick Xenophon are combining forces, working together with common purpose towards a noble outcome.

    Lastly, the fans, the most important stakeholders in the game, have been galvanised through a social-networking movement (the Football Supporters' Federation and ChangeFIFA forming the unofficial leadership) that is gaining new adherents every minute and, by sharing news and other information publicly and transparently, shining much-needed light on some very dark corners of the game.

    There is no single right way to effect change. But if enough people come out and express their displeasure, disappointment and anger with FIFA then it will have no choice but to open itself up to a process of intervention and reinvention or die.

    Egypt's revolution started quietly in Tahrir Square but just 18 days later toppled the entrenched Hosni Mubarak regime through sheer force of numbers. The original 50,000 protesters had swelled to over a million within a week.

    FIFA's Tahrir Square has already begun. It's just doesn't exist in one place, in the physical world.

    But it's online, it's happening now and it will be televised.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The immolation of Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed Bin Hammam's career in football politics was ensured by the judgment of FIFA's ethics committee in Switzerland on May 29.

    A temporary ban from all football-related activity for his part in the alleged vote-buying in Port of Spain pending a full investigation.

    And while Bin Hammam is making all sorts of noises about he was the victim of a great injustice, it's hard to see how he can come back from this.

    Just as he might have difficulty explaining how the extraordinary general meeting of the Caribbean Football Union that got him into all this bother cost US$360,000.

    The figure is there on Bin Hammam's own website (http://image.afcpresident.com/upload/library/statement_mbh_ethics_committee.pdf) and he admits he paid "travelling and accommodation expenses of the delegates and the administrative costs of the meeting".

    Even still, an extraordinary amount of money for an ostensible meet-and-greet with two dozen delegates only went for two days (May 10 and 11) yet by Bin Hammam's own account involved him addressing delegates for two hours on May 10 and leaving the same day.

    In 2009, while in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, for the AFC Awards I spied an AFC spreadsheet detailing the costs of the three-day affair, which apart from the grandiose awards night involved paying the airfares and five-star accommodation expenses of hundreds of guests, including daily allowances to key officials, among them Bin Hammam. That figure was just shy of US$1 million.

    How on earth the CFU managed to spend $360,000 in 48 hours is something we should trust FIFA's investigation uncovers. To the last cent.

    For now, Bin Hammam's position with the AFC has been handed over to Zhang Jilong, one of the AFC's vice-presidents and the most powerful football figure in China.

    There has been renewed speculation in some parts of the Asian football press that this could precipitate an East/West split in the AFC, something frequently advocated in this column.

    That is unlikely in the short term, given Bin Hammam's diminished bargaining position, the fact there are no plans to give Asia any more World Cup spots (its claims are hardly justified, in any case), the East now has a champion in Zhang and the interim president himself denied in January that it would happen after he had missed out on a FIFA executive committee seat and Japan, China and South Korea were left with no representation on FIFA's high table following the AFC Congress in Doha.

    "We cannot use the word shifts," he said. "The Asian continent has been built up and up and become stronger and stronger. There is no movement from this side to that side in the AFC elections. We are all together, we are one."

    But it will be "bottom-drawered", so to speak, to be resuscitated at a later date. The AFC in its current form is far too unwieldy, far too riven along hemispherical lines, real and imagined. In the foreseeable future, a more tantalising scenario is Qatar 2022 being stripped of its hosting rights should bribery allegations be proven and the United States being awarded the Cup in its place, as it should have been all along on merit alone.

    Which would leave China, the world's most populous nation and a golden egg for commercial sponsors, as a laydown misere for 2026: what key officials within FIFA, including Blatter, have secretly been desiring for years.

    It's a twin outcome fans of the world game would welcome with open arms.

    There are some very good reasons for FIFA to be rid of Bin Hammam. He might be suspended, his reputation shattered into a million pieces, but his ordeal isn't over by a long shot.

    When knives go plunging into backs as regularly as they do at FIFA, they have a habit of coming back again.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Andrew Jennings, the doyen of sports investigative journalists (not an oxymoron) dropped a huge bomb on Australian television this week by making the startling claim that Football Federation Australia chief executive Ben Buckley had sacked his former head of corporate affairs Bonita Mersiades because of her private concern regarding the employment of European consultants Peter Hargitay and Fedor Radmann for the Australia 2022 World Cup bid.

    As is well known, the Australians garnered just one vote when the FIFA executive committee voted on the 2018 and 2022 hosting rights last December in Zurich.

    "What happened? [Mersiades] spotted what Hargitay was. She'd read the international press… what I'd written about him [which went] unchallenged in Britain," he told ABC-TV's Lateline (http://www.abc.net.au/lateline/) program.

    "Hargitay said to Buckley, 'Fire that woman. Fire that person. Get her out.' And big, brave, ballsy Buckley said, 'Yes, Peter.' He should've booted Hargitay into [Sydney] Harbour. Instead, he fired this good, decent Australian employee who's never worked since.

    "[Australia] got conned out of lots of money and now you're still running this crap that somehow Australia nearly got [the World Cup]."

    It was amazing television – essentially because during the bidding process there an implicit contract between media proprietors and the FFA to "protect" the Australian bid – and caused a firestorm of comment and debate on social networks and messageboards.

    Jennings has never been bound by such niceties or concerned with his job preservation. Indeed, he's become something of a cause celebre for throwing caution to the wind and saying what everyone is thinking but is too afraid to let escape their lips.

    And his candour has come at the best possible time: just when the Australian government is conducting its own inquiry into the parlous state of the game post-Zurich and is postulating how to best leverage the sport in the run-up to its hosting of the Asian Cup in 2015.

    They could do worse than listen to Jennings and demand the removal of the FFA's top executives.

    That a chief executive of the FFA was taking orders from the pencil-moustached Hungarian and not backing one of the federation's most loyal and gifted employees (a woman described by no less than the august journal World Football Insider with David Downs of the US bid and Hassan al-Thawadi of Qatar as "an outstanding generation of emergent football leaders") is nothing short of scandalous. That Frank Lowy, the chairman of the FFA, didn't intervene to stop her leaving is even more disgraceful. Right now, football needs as many good seeds as it can get.

    It also paints the FFA as an organisation run by gormless thickheads and if one good thing has come out of the shambolic Australia 2022 campaign, funded completely with $45.6 million of taxpayers' money (of which over $11.4 million is still unaccounted for), it's that the World Cup never got anywhere near the clutches of the incompetent Australian federation.

    The AFC might have been on to something when it ranked the Australians the worst of Asia's Champions League national representatives when it came to "governance/soundness". They shouldn't be getting more government handouts (the latest is said to be $38 million from the federal budget to help it put on the Asian Cup). They should be paying back the money they pissed away on their quixotic and mismanaged bid.

    Jennings went on to describe Buckley, a man on a salary of over a million dollars but who has presided over the contracting of the A-League from 12 teams to ten and the World Cup schmozzle, as "not fit to clean our shoes" and "a buffoon", Harsh. But this latest allegation regarding Mersiades's dismissal, if 100 per cent accurate, suggests it's an accurate summation.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Right now Indonesia has more pressing issues to consider than ASEAN's harebrained bid for the 2030 World Cup. For starters, like creating a functioning, professionally run football federation that is acclaimed for its development of the national game not pilloried for its fostering of corruption. But this is South-East Asia, a part of the world where cowboy politics rule and common sense comes a distant second.

    On its official website, ASEAN (short for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations) issued a press release declaring the region's foreign ministers, fresh from talks at the 18th ASEAN Summit in Jakarta, would "systematically and procedurally explore possibilities in this major initiative" and had "led to an unprecedented level of enthusiasm across the ASEAN region". It concluded: "The next step is to undertake a comprehensive study as suggested by the ASEAN Football Federation, including studying the strategic implications and a thorough procedural exploration of the initiative."

    Issa Hayatou, the head of CAF, the African confederation, and a former rival of Blatter was initially expected to be a supporter of Bin Hammam but Blatter's reluctance to bring him to task on corruption allegations levelled against him by the BBC before the World Cup last December should see Africa get behind the incumbent.Well, I can save them a lot of time and expense and tell them they are whistling Dixie if they ever think they are in with a shot to host the 2030 World Cup.

    For a start, Qatar, a member of the Asian Football Confederation, is hosting 2022. There is no way that FIFA is going to bring back the World Cup to the Asian continent within eight years.

    Secondly, in the event that Qatar were stripped of its hosting rights for 2022 (a distinct possibility given the current palaver over alleged bribes to two African FIFA executive committee members), the United States, the second-place-getter in the vote last December, would be favourite to replace it. China is next in line for 2026 – another Asian nation. Again, 2030 cuts no dice.

    Thirdly, Argentina and Uruguay have already done deals with the Middle East bloc to get support for their own 2030 bid in a quid-pro-quo exchange for the crucial backing they gave the Qatar 2022 bid. ASEAN won't get anywhere if it can't get votes from its neighbourhood.

    And finally, despite talk of Australia being possibly invited to join the bid back in April, there was no Australian representation at the summit in Jakarta, suggesting (as in the political realm) Australia has no place at the ASEAN high table. In my view it's a fundamental mistake and shows remarkable naivete: not only is Australia a huge sports market with an established sporting infrastructure that requires comparatively small capital investment for a World Cup but it is right on ASEAN's doorstep and one of Asia's "big three" nations in terms of FIFA rankings and performance in the Asian Cup and World Cup.

    It's also just been burned by its own 2022 bid and could easily help ASEAN map out a "strategic" plan that capitalises on some of their hard-earned wisdom, such as how to negotiate the vipers nest otherwise known as the executive committee. The Aussies blew $45.6 million of taxpayers' money, after all.

    The Aussies can put on big tournaments. As the 2007 Asian Cup proved, the South-East Asians cannot. That tournament, co-hosted by Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia, was an organisational disaster and a nightmare for players and fans on the ground. Four co-hosts was far too many then so how does ASEAN propose to make one with up to possibly ten co-hosts (there are that many members of ASEAN) work now?

    BIt's fanciful and unrealistic. Which is not to say their ambition is not commendable – it is a noble thing to aim so high and to state that aim so publicly – but even Icarus met a grisly fate when he ignored Daedalus's warnings.

    ASEAN should listen to the naysayers now before they get burned by the sun of their own hubris. They can save themselves (and the region) a lot of embarrassment if they pull it now.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Despite running what superficially at least appears to be a totally clean campaign, Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed bin Hammam looks certain to be annihilated by Sepp Blatter come the presidential vote at the FIFA Congress in June.

    That is because three of the world's most powerful confederations (UEFA, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF) and the former nations of the Soviet Union have essentially thrown their support behind the wily Swiss, who is jockeying for his fourth four-year term, and it was UEFA's support that was the clincher: where powerful Europe goes, the rest of the world usually follows.

    Issa Hayatou, the head of CAF, the African confederation, and a former rival of Blatter was initially expected to be a supporter of Bin Hammam but Blatter's reluctance to bring him to task on corruption allegations levelled against him by the BBC before the World Cup last December should see Africa get behind the incumbent.

    This disconnect between rhetoric and action is the great atrocity of Blatter's campaign. The FIFA president has made a lot of hay out of his commitment to tackle corruption in the game. This week he announced FIFA would be donating tens of millions of dollars to Interpol to combat match-fixing, especially in Asia. It was a welcome move that in isolation should be applauded. But by the same token this man has singularly failed to collar Nicolas Leoz, Ricardo Teixiera and aforementioned Hayatou for their alleged abuses of power, as well as old standby Jack Warner, who has been dogged by serious allegations of impropriety for years but paradoxically seems to have become more untouchable. Specifically because of Blatter's inertia.

    The only mention Blatter makes of corruption inside FIFA in his latest column for Inside World Football is self-servingly vague.

    "I am not saying that there are no corrupt elements inside the FIFA family: it is a large family of more than 300 million people," he writes. "I am not saying that a handful of administrators from around the world – and FIFA does embody members from every corner of the globe – conducted themselves appropriately at all times. I am not saying that we cannot improve our own conduct. What I am saying is that it is virtually impossible for an organisation that spans the planet as ours does, to monitor all of its members all the time."

    Three hundred million people is impossible. But 208 heads of national associations is not. It has never been impossible. FIFA's culture of see-no-evil hear-no-evil rather than diligent policing of its members has allowed the most serious kind of corruption – systemic – to flourish and it is paying the price for that negligence with fan mistrust and media loathing of the organisation at an all-time high.

    But since fans don't matter a jot Blatter's candidacy is in no danger. So long as he scratches the right backs, his own is safe.

    Bin Hammam might not have done anything different to Blatter but at least he held out hope of a better, more accountable FIFA. Whatever happens in June – and there is still a long time between now and the ballot – he is to be applauded for his nerve in nominating for the position and putting the issue of reform and change firmly on the agenda. It took some courage to go early for a position he has always coveted. Blatter wouldn't have done half the things he's done in recent weeks were it not for Bin Hammam prodding him into action.

    But that's the rub. It hasn't been nearly enough. Until such time as Blatter weeds out and punishes the corrupt elements that form much of his power base, his empire is built on a lie.

    And nothing he says or does cannot erase that inescapable truth.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    In the fog of claim and counterclaim surrounding the FIFA presidential election there's a faint whiff of something atrophying and the source is not hard to locate: Sepp Blatter's claw-like grip on a position he had almost come to regard as a birthright.

    Mohamed bin Hammam's unexpected challenge to the Swiss football despot and his raft of promised reforms has caught Blatter on the hop and he's been forced into coming up with some initiatives of his own to give the impression he has what it takes to lead the world football body for another four years.

    More money for national associations. The Beckenbauer-Pele thinktank. A "council of the wise" made up of so far unknown people outside of football. And now a proposed change to the World Cups are bid for and won whereby all 208 members of FIFA vote on the hosting rights.

    However rather than enhance his reputation as a thinker and doer, in my view this has just provided confirmation that Blatter is positively batty.

    "That’s a project I have at the back of my mind," he told Frankfurter Allgemeine. "I’d like to adopt the example of the International Olympic Committee to avoid a repeat of what [happened last December, when Qatar and Russia won the 2018 and 2022 World Cup respectively].

    "The executive committee receives ten or 12 bids, looks at them, recommends the best ones and then lets the plenary meeting vote. That would be a positive solution for FIFA. In view of the uncomfortable experience I had here in Zurich it’s an idea worth considering."

    No it's not. In fact it's a preposterous idea and to hold up the IOC has some sort of example to follow is really quite extraordinary. The IOC, as brilliant British investigative journalist Andrew Jennings revealed in his books Lords of the Rings, New Lords of the Rings and The Great Olympic Swindle, became a byword for bent. Jennings has written only one exposé of FIFA so far, Foul!, and there it should stop.

    But allowing all 208 member associations equal power to cast votes is a guarantee of more bribery, corruption and improper conduct. There is no justification for an Indonesia or Cambodia, for example, to have the same clout as England or Spain when it comes to determining where World Cups should be played. One, the former can barely run themselves. Who are they to judge who can best host a World Cup? Two, increasingly more of the footballers who play in World Cups earn their keep playing in the Premier League, La Liga or other European leagues – the epicentre of Planet Football. Cambodians and Indonesians still play in… well, Cambodia or Indonesia. If England or Spain foster the world's best then they should have concomitant privileges.

    Blatter's mantra of "universality" sounds nice but is actually full of holes. And it would appear he knows he isn't a safe bet, judging from the personal and misleading nature of some of the comments he made about Bin Hammam in the same interview. Such as: "I don’t know why Bin Hammam suddenly became so aggressive." Or: 'You can’t turn the entire world of football on its head – that’s what Mohamed’s manifesto aims to do."

    Bin Hammam, by contrast, is being respectful yet firm in his opposition to the FIFA president, writing in his blog that while rival "is coming out with fresh suggestions about how to run the game’s governing body that might not have seen the light of day had there not been a challenge to his leadership", his proposals are "interesting and I applaud him for rising to the task of thinking about the future and seeking a way to enhance the manner in which FIFA can help national associations".

    Played like a true politician. Blatter is playing it like he knows he's running out of time.

    And he is.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Right now two things are going on that could have ramifications for the Asian Cup in 2015. One, the FIFA presidential candidacy of Mohamed bin Hammam. Two, the financial troubles of Football Federation Australia, which this week went to the country's federal government to ask for an extension of state funding.

    Asian Football Confederation chief Bin Hammam has made no secret of his tremendous ambition to lead world football's governing body and at time of writing he was well placed, rival Sepp Blatter issuing a long overdue election manifesto that was short on detail on high on his usual Disney rhetoric. Bin Hammam's promises are by contrast so edgy he looks like Lady Gaga in comparison.

    If he can win the election in June, questions need to be asked about who will replace Bin Hammam and whether the Asian Cup, his baby, will be entrusted to safe hands.

    To Bin Hammam's credit, before he came along the tournament was a joke. It still has its problems but Bin Hammam has tried to bring a level of professional organisation to Asian competition hitherto unknown at continental level and for the most part done a commendable job.

    Will his successor have the same drive to turn Australia 2015 into the resounding success the 2007 four-nation event and Qatar 2011 couldn't quite claim to be? Will his successor even want Australia in the AFC?

    Bin Hammam, of course, was the man who brokered Australia's entry in the AFC in 2007 and has endured a rocky relationship with Frank Lowy, FFA's chairman, ever since. These tensions came to a head during the bidding process for the 2022 World Cup, Bin Hammam using his position as AFC boss to push Qatar's case while ignoring the equally laudable claims of Australia, South Korea and Japan.

    In many ways he owes it to Australia to be there as AFC president when Asia's biggest football show comes down under - to show his solidarity with the Aussies and to show that 2007 decision was not a mistake - but such considerations will not sway him from his all-consuming mission to topple Blatter.

    Australia has been lumped with the Asian Cup after making its hosting of the event a key platform of its World Cup bidding strategy, which of course came to nought - the Aussies got one pathetic vote. No other Asian nations even bid for it.

    There is much to commend an Australian-hosted Asian Cup, not least the country's excellent record in hosting big events, its own performances at the event (quarter-finalist in 2007, finalist in 2011) and its deep-rooted love of sport. If any nation's people is likely to come out to watch a leather ball being kicked around a pitch by two sets of exotic strangers, it's Australia's. The Asian Cup, despite the dearth of big European names, should attract a decent audience: at the very least drawing more fans than we saw in Bangkok in 2007 or Doha in 2011.

    But chances are the FFA is still going to take a bath. Hosting such tournaments is not cheap - even with state and federal government support, said to be $60 million.

    If it hadn't already blown $45.6 million of taxpayers' funds on the 2022 campaign (making the unique decision among all bidders of exclusively using public money), it would have likely got what it needed going ahead - no questions asked. But it's paying the price of being greedy with the 2022 campaign and not being a self-sustaining entity.

    It's no less than being made accountable and being scrutinised by the federal government in the form of an inquiry or "review" of its operations - and not a moment too soon. Someone has to be made to explain for so much of the waste and incompetence that has kept the game held back when it should be rocketing into the national consciousness,.

    The problem the FFA now faces is what if that request for more money is not agreed to? What happens if the government decides at the end of its four-month investigation that it has had enough chances and enjoyed enough largesse and will have to meet more of its own operating costs on its own?

    The Asian Cup conceivably could be compromised. We might not be the Asian Cup we were promised. An already half-hearted FFA, having thrown all its betting chips on the World Cup bid and lost, might try to get away with doing the minimum necessary and spending the minimum amount necessary. And there might not be a Bin Hammam at the AFC to make them deliver on their promises.

    That's not a win for anybody: not for Australia, not for the AFC, not for the greater good of Asian football. And at the end of the day, the greater good of Asian football should be the priority of everyone concerned.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    At time of writing Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC, Australia's sole entrants in the Asian Champions League, look certain goners in the group rounds. Which wasn't be unexpected. Australia has never done well in Asia's premier club competition – apart from the anomaly of Adelaide United in the final a few seasons back – and doesn't look likely to break that hoodoo any time soon.

    Not that Australian teams aren't any good. They are. As Brisbane Roar proved with such alacrity last season. There was a reason they earned the sobriquet "Roarcelona" – like the Catalan giants, they are actually bloody brilliant.

    But the key words here are "last season". Melbourne and Sydney were the A-League champions and grand finalists from the season before. And therein lies the rub for Australia's participation in the ACL.

    Not only do the entrants have to wait a year to compete, they are also well into their off-season. Brisbane defeated Central Coast Mariners in the 2010/11 grand final in March. The 2011/12 season begins in October.

    The Chinese, Korean and Japanese sides that are comfortably accounting for the Aussies are freshly minted champions or near-rans of their respective leagues and already into their new seasons. They have their "football legs". For all their pluck, the Aussies are underdone and underprepared and no amount of mental fortitude can compensate for this immense handicap.

    When Adelaide United reached the ACL final in 2008, they were coming off the back off two solid seasons (2005/06, 2006/07) in the A-League and a maiden ACL campaign in 2007. When they competed again in 2010, they went in as a wooden-spooners in the 2009/10 A-League. That they managed to reach the round of 16 in last year's ACL was a remarkable achievement.

    A similar fate has bedevilled Sydney FC. Champions in 2009/10, earning their ACL ticket, they finished 9th in 2010/11. Melbourne, runners-up in 2009/10, finished 5th in 2010/11. Because of this lag in qualification and participation, Australian teams are only going to succeed in spite of rather than because of the clash between the A-League season and the ACL schedule.

    A commendable solution, proposed recently by Australian football journalist and personal friend Chris Paraskevas, is to prevent Brisbane Roar and Central Coast from representing Australia in the 2012 ACL and have the winners of the 2011/12 A-League season take part instead.

    I believe he's right – but when coaches are players extend their contracts or are signed up on the basis of the carrot of playing in the ACL, that is never going to happen. Especially when Brisbane and Central Coast are under the effective ownership and control of Football Federation Australia. The crossover in personnel with their attendant web of loyalties and allegiances is profound. Incestuous doesn't begin to describe it.

    I have high hopes for Brisbane and Central Coast in the 2012 ACL and believe they can back up their tremendous 2010/11 efforts with another bumper season in 2011/12. But if they go the other way and finish mid-table or even anchor the league, then we are going to see another underwhelming Australian campaign in Asia. As we have seen with Sydney and Melbourne in this ACL, there are too many factors going against them.

    You can bet on it.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    In February, your "Asia View" columnist wrote a piece for this website expressing the conviction that the rebel Indonesia Premier League, which had broken away from the Football Association of Indonesia (PSSI)-controlled Indonesia Super League, was setting a precedent for the world game. FIFA didn't want it, but Indonesians did because they were sick of the corruption in the Indonesian game and something had to give.

    "What happens in Indonesia is worth keeping a close eye on," I wrote. "It might seem irrelevant but in laying down a direct challenge to the authority of FIFA and the PSSI the Indonesia Premier League is offering a glimpse of a brave new world where the fat cats in Zurich have no say over what happens in faraway football fields. In so doing, it is breaking all the rules, throwing convention out the door and offering inspiration to all club administrators who dream of a world where they don't have to answer to FIFA."

    And Qatar 2022, the World Cup no one wants to play in, was going to be the circuit-breaker for change.

    "Qatar 2022 is going to encourage is for clubs to divorce themselves from FIFA altogether, once and for all. If the UEFA-backed Champions League isn't offering them enough rewards, why not start another even more prestigious competition altogether where, like the Indonesia Premier League, there is more money for everybody and they don't answer to anyone? Where big clubs such as Manchester United and Réal Madrid don't have to bother with turning up to play the nuisances of CFR Cluj or Bursaspor?"

    The thing that has already stopped the cabal of giant European clubs formerly known as "G14" from starting their own breakaway competition in Europe, separate to FIFA- and UEFA-controlled competitions, is the threat of bans on rebel players playing in the European Championship and the World Cup.

    The same with the aborted Atlantic League, the proposed competition that was to see Rangers and Celtic duke it out with clubs from Holland, Sweden, Belgium, Portugal and Norway.

    But in one fell swoop the FIFA Normalisation Committee's recognition of the Indonesian Premier League or LPI (at least through to the stalled PSSI elections in May), when it previously swore it would stop at nothing to destroy it, is a green light to willing entrepreneurs to start their own rebel leagues in other places around the world and do so without the imprimatur of national federations.

    What this proves is if the rebel competition is good enough, people want it and the relevant national federation is proved to be dysfunctional, the authorities will eventually come around and approve it.

    Which means an Atlantic League could well be resuscitated, a breakaway European league made up entirely of big teams is no longer a pipedream, and even an IPL-style competition, where a group of Asian or Middle Eastern billionaires poaches the world's best players to create teams in places such as Hong Kong, Mumbai and Dubai, is not beyond the realms of possibility.

    Once again Asia has changed all the rules. Watch this space.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The sudden removal, "by mutual consent", of Ernie Merrick as coach of Melbourne Victory was a masterstroke. One, it recast the welfare of the Australian club with immediate effect. Two, it gave hope that stand-in coach Mehmet Durakovic could somehow salvage for Victory an Asian Champions League quarter-final berth, despite the handicap of being annihilated 5-1 by Gamba Osaka in their opening game in Japan. Three, it began a process that should have happened a long time ago: removing the deadwood and giving younger talent a chance to shine.

    That process must not start and stop with Merrick. It must ensnare Kevin Muscat too, Victory's retiring captain and Merrick-anointed future full-time assistant coach. Muscat was as much of a part of the furniture at Victory as Merrick and, in my eyes, just as antediluvian in his approach to the game.

    Their philosophy of bash and brawn was anachronistic and ineffective, as Akira Nashino's Gamba abundantly proved by putting three past them in the first 12 minutes of that extraordinary demolition job. There is no point going to the trouble and expense of severing ties with Merrick and bringing in someone new if Muscat, a man cast from the same mould and far less experienced than his departed boss, has a remit to continue peddling his influence in the dressing room.

    If Victory can cut Merrick and Muscat it has a promising future. If it leaves its spring pruning to just Merrick then that future is unclear and the question must be asked: even with Ange Postecoglou or another coach in charge will Victory ever realise its dream of being an Asian superclub? Certainly its results in three ACL campaigns – not once being able to progress beyond the first round – doesn't tally with the enormity of its potential.

    Muscat might be a decent sort of guy off the pitch; the kind of bloke who shouts fans a round of beer at the pub (he is reputed to have done just that after he was handed down his eight-week ban for his horror tackle on Adrian Zahra) and takes football clinics for kids. He's popular with football media personalities I know and was handpicked to commentate SBS-TV's World Cup coverage by producers at the network. He obviously one or two things about football. He played over 50 times for the Socceroos.

    But as the one-time "most hated man in football" he knows a lot more about parts of the game of which Australians want to see less: the "on the edge" tackles, the hectoring and abuse of officials, the unhinged physicality. If Muscat has made a 20-year career out of such an approach and it has served him well – it must have, seeing he's approaching 40 - then why would he disown it as a coach?

    He wouldn't. But we've all moved on. Postecoglou has shown Australia another way. And that's why it's absolutely imperative that Victory that makes a clean break from the Merrick–Muscat era and doesn't start this much needed revolution half-cocked.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The "AFC Champions League General Assessment Report", available on the Asian Football Confederation website, makes scary reading if you're an Australian football administrator.

    Not only was Australia adjudged the eight best league out of 11, just ahead of Uzbekistan, Thailand and Indonesia, but in organisation and governance/soundness it ranked bottom by some margin. This is an extraordinary result and quite hard to fathom on any criteria given the Chinese league is a byword for corruption and match-fixing, Iran's is beset with political interference and Indonesia's, as we saw this week with the farcical congress in Pekanbaru, a complete basket case.

    Now Football Federation Australia may have it problems with personnel, strategy and executive decision making but it is still streets ahead of the aforementioned three in terms of professional ethics and keeping things "above board".

    How can it be explained other than the AFC particularly doesn't like Australia? It's an open secret in the corridors of the AFC and no matter what Mohamed bin Hammam might say about being proud of engineering Australia's entry into the confederation in 2006 or how many awards Australia took away at last year's AFC Awards in Kuala Lumpur.

    FFA chairman Frank Lowy has never forgiven Bin Hammam for the way he used his position as president to advance the Qatar 2022 cause over the other Asian bidders, Australia, Japan and South Korea. And with good foundation. It was disgraceful.

    Bin Hammam has always been more attentive to the needs of other Asian nations over Australia, especially those from West Asia, and Lowy has not quite been afforded the same respect shown to other regional football leaders. That much was obvious to me attending those awards in KL, when Lowy was seated quite a distance from Bin Hammam and his chosen circle.

    Yet because Bin Hammam is now running against Sepp Blatter for the FIFA presidency he is attempting to solicit Australia's public support for his candidacy.

    "I enjoy a very good relationship with Frank Lowy and the entire football family in Australia," he said this week. "I am counting not only on the Australian vote, but also on the goodwill and support Australia enjoys with other members. I regard Australia joining the AFC as a big achievement on my part."

    Which is untrue. Despite the smokescreen of awarding the 2015 Asian Cup to Australia, there has been very little goodwill and support for Australia within the AFC essentially because certain elements within the AFC don't want to see a white, Anglo-Saxon country leading the FIFA and continental rankings.

    Suppressing Australia with a negative score card in the AFC Champions League General Assessment Report is one way to knock it back down a peg and remind it that while it may have qualified for the World Cup twice in succession and made the final of the Asian Cup, there's still a long way to go before it is considered one of Asia's old guard.

    Lowy will be bristling at this report yet he will support Bin Hammam's candidacy because, as per the AFC motto, "the future is Asia". Australia wants to be a bigger player continentally and it's why it was the only nation to put up its hand to host the 2015 Asian Cup, despite the FFA's chronic financial problems.

    He will expect more from Bin Hammam for his support and by rights he should. Bin Hammam promised a lot to Australia when it joined the AFC and all things considered over the intervening five years has been a fair-weather friend not a staunch ally.

    Equally, Bin Hammam knows that he has the Aussies over a barrel. The only way they are ever going to get more ACL places is to play the political game the "Asian way". Not fight against it. And that means giving the Qatari their unqualified backing, despite their misgivings about his conduct and record.

    Scratch my back. I'll scratch yours. A dance as old as politics itself. It's depressing that's what it takes for Australia to get ahead in Asia, but the game of football is not always played on the field.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    So Sepp Blatter says he has the task of "bringing together the adventure we have started" by contesting a fourth election as FIFA president. Hogwash. If he really had any concern for the collective welfare of the football world he would resign immediately and allow someone else to clean up the mess he has created. The pompous Blatter won't do it. He only is thinking about himself. His FIFA is a shambles. A rich but morally bankrupt organisation with scant credibility and mistrusted by fans the world over.

    His challenger, Mohamed bin Hammam, is scarcely better. In recent days he has said "Asia is the future of world football and it has the capability to lead on and off the field" yet his Asian Football Confederation can barely put together an awards night. I know. I've been to two AFC Awards, both in the AFC's home town of Kuala Lumpur, and they've been shambolic affairs from beginning to end, big on glitz but horribly deficient in basic organisation. Sort of like the Asian Cup, another one of Bin Hammam's babies. And this monotoned Qatari wants to run FIFA? Come on.

    But he's not Blatter. And that's Bin Hammam's greatest advantage – the one that by rights should see him over the line when the matter is put to a vote at the FIFA Congress on June 1. We're all fed up with Blatter's obvious redundancy in such an important job, prima facie evidence being his prehistoric views on goal-line technology. A hugely important issue for the going looking ahead and one where Bin Hammam has had the courage to pledge his support for actually doing something about it.

    His other promises regarding new committees don't really matter so much. The same backs will be scratched under Bin Hammam as they were under Blatter, if not more so, by the looks of his proposal to create a new "executive office" of the president and the six confederation heads. Jack Warner, for one, isn't about to go anywhere. Rather he's just going to get embedded even more.

    It's what happens on the field that matters and Bin Hammam will be a people's hero if he delivers on this single technology proposal. Furthermore it's one that sharply delineates Bin Hammam from Michel Platini, another stubborn old traditionalist who is considered favourite to succeed Blatter should the Swiss be elected to a fourth and final term.

    For that reason alone Bin Hammam might be the best chance football gets in the next decade to be a fairer, more innovative game.

    He might be less polished an orator, less experienced a politician, a left-field candidate in all sorts of ways, but Bin Hammam's nomination is more of an adventure than anything Blatter ever started.

    The future is Asia – that is beyond doubt. The question is are we ready for it right now? Maybe not. But what is there to lose that hasn't been lost under Blatter already? Under Bin Hammam, the only conceivable way is up.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    FIFA executive committee member Chuck Blazer, a man who looks he's just come down from ten years living in a cabin in the Rocky Mountains , is not happy. The Brazil 2014 qualifying slots have been announced and his North America, Central American and Caribbean federation wasn't rewarded for its backing of FIFA president Sepp Blatter. The 3.5 spots it had at South Africa 2010 will remain in place for Brazil.

    "Really not happy with today's FIFA Exco meeting," he wrote on his Twitter account." Everyone protects their own interests rather than doing what's right. Convenient decisions."

    Which is correct – everyone does protect their interests in football politics – but it's a case of the pot calling the kettle black. By any measure CONCACAF does not deserve 3.5, let alone four automatic spots, so he cannot in all conscience argue that his 40-member nation confederation has been dudded.

    Blazer contends that "67 per cent" of CONCACAF's entrants at the 2010 World Cup made the second round, being United States and Mexico. But what countries other than the United States and Mexico are ever going to be legitimate contenders for going further?

    Asia, a continent that gets 4.5 spots from 46 member nations, at least can point to recent history and show that it can make the semi-finals of the World Cup, like Korea Republic did in 2002. Japan and Australia are two other sides in the AFC that have made the second round in the past ten years. North Korea, of course, made the quarter-finals at 1966 and the Saudis made the second round at USA 94.

    Africa, a continent that gets five spots from 55 member nations, has seen Senegal make the quarter-final at France 98 and had Ghana do the same at South Africa 2010. The same team also made the second round at Germany 2006. Nigeria (twice) and Morocco have also made the second round and a Roger Milla-inspired Cameroon, of course, famously made the quarters at Italia 90.

    CONCACAF's best result in the last ten years was the Americans' quarter-final finish at Korea-Japan 2002. Mexico has made the second round five tournaments in succession. The last time a team other than Mexico or the United States progressed beyond the group stages was Costa Rica at Italia 90. That is over 20 years ago. The only other team to have survived elimination from the group stages in 20 World Cups since 1930 is Cuba – and that was in 1938.

    So it's a two-horse confederation. Three-and-a-half-spots, then, is generous. Unlike Asia or Africa, where competition is fierce and between whom "quality" football nations still miss out on qualifying. Think Egypt. Think Iran. Think Saudi Arabia. Think Senegal. If any of those nations were thrown into CONCACAF qualifying, they would find getting to the World Cup a whole lot easier.

    So instead of complaining, as confederation president Jack Warner was doing in January and Blazer was doing this week, CONCACAF should actually be coming up with a strategy of justifying its present allocation.

    Should Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed bin Hammam decide to run against Sepp Blatter for the FIFA presidency in June and defeat the Swiss septuagenarian, one of the first things he will do is try to bring Asia's qualifying slots to five or more.

    Taking a half spot away from CONCACAF would be an easy way to expedite this outcome and I don't imagine there would be too many people in the football world who would quibble with the decision. I don't imagine too many people would quibble about taking a full spot away – and giving an extra half-spot to Africa as well.

    So Blazer should bite his tongue. If you're going to bemoan that you're getting a raw deal and FIFA should do "what's right" it's best to make sure your own case is a good one.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Alberto Zaccheroni thinks Japan, ranked #17 in the world, can aim not just for a semi-final finish at the 2014 World Cup, what his predecessor Takeshi Okada set as a goal at South Africa 2010, but actually win the whole shebang. And after taking back to Tokyo the Asian Cup in such style, with a wonder goal against the gallant Australians worthy of winning any tournament, who is to doubt him?

    "This is nothing but a starting point for us," he says. "I want to help Japanese football grow like every industry in Japan keeps on growing. And I want to help Japan qualify for the 2014 World Cup in Brazil and fight for the top spot there."

    What Japanese football has always had is potential combined with a willingness to learn and a work ethic that is almost unparalleled anywhere in the world. It's why the J-League has developed into such an excellent league so quickly and why Japanese players are becoming more valued in Europe. Technically, they give very little away to their European or South American counterparts, a point former Australia coach Pim Verbeek told me when he had just left the Korea Republic job for the Socceroos. Verbeek had coached at Omiya Ardija and Kyoto Purple Sanga.

    "The Japanese play combination football,” he said. "More Brazilian influences than European… in Japan, they always try to build out from the backline to the midfield to the striker and back and that’s the way they prefer to play."

    Anyone who watched Japan at the World Cup or Asian Cup would disagree with that assessment. As a side that keeps the ball on the deck, that can pass ball to feet when pressed hard, they are quite exhilarating to watch. What they have always lacked, though, is firepower up front and finding it easy to score in open play. Many of their goals are derived from set pieces or penalties. It's why foreign strikers, particularly Brazilian, are still highly sought after in the J-League.

    With the advantage of their height and physical presence – typically not a commonplace characteristic in Asian players – they regularly top the scoring charts.

    But that didn't happen in 2010. Instead Jubilo Iwata's Ryoichi Maeda came out on top, with 17, level with Nagoya Grampus's Australian heading machine Josh Kennedy. Shinji Okazaki, Jungo Fujimoto and Keiji Tamada also featured in the top ten goalscorers. It was the second year in a row that Maeda had won the golden boot.

    Times are changing. Japanese players, especially their strikers, have a newfound confidence. More are playing abroad than at any time in the past. And that cultural stereotype of being meek and deferential is proving to be a myth. Japanese players are tough, they are combative, they don't shirk from a scrap. And these newfound qualities are complementing the ones the national team already had in spades, making for an irresistible combination that Zaccheroni is right to play up.

    Added to his considerable tactical acumen, Japan looks the goods. It was a deserved winner of the Asian Cup and I believe can win the World Cup sooner rather than later.

    Brazil 2014 may be a stretch but it doesn't hurt to dream. What the Asian Cup win and Zaccheroni's motivating words is giving the Samurai Blue a starting point to believe that anything is possible.

    And, especially with Asian footballers, the mental hurdles are half the battle. Maybe, just maybe, Zaccheroni is on to something big.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Last week your columnist reported on a situation developing in Indonesia, where a rebel competition, the Indonesia Premier League, has broken away from the Indonesia FA-controlled Indonesia Super League.

    The 19 teams involved in the Indonesia Premier League and their Indonesian players participate knowing full well they will not be given the opportunity to represent their country and it's a sign of just how low the Indonesian national men's football team's stocks really are that no one really seems to care.

    What's more important is that they earn some money – certainly get a better deal than they were getting in the Super League – and that's why three Super League teams jumped ship to join 16 new Premier League teams created for the competition's maiden season.

    The PSSI, of course, have been spitting chips ever since and went to FIFA, who got involved, general secretary Jerome Valcke telling the PSSI to sort it out promptly before it has to take its own punitive measures.

    The PSSI can't really level any sanctions to the players involved but they have threatened to take away official FIFA-recognised licences held by agents, match officials and coaches. But since the Premier League is offering them a far better deal, the reason they got involved in the first place, the threats are falling on deaf ears.

    As they should. FIFA legitimises the very organisation, the PSSI, that they are railing against by getting involved with the Premier League. FIFA isn't offering change. The PSSI isn't offering change. But the Indonesia Premier League is.

    Hence the stalemate and a story that probably won't be resolved until the results of the PSSI election are known in March, in which PSSI president Nurdin Halid is seeking another term, his third, and the head of the Premier League, oil tycoon Arifin Panigoro, is running against him.

    If Halid wins, things could get messy. If Panigoro wins, the damage could be allayed altogether.

    What is most interesting from a broader perspective, though, is what the Indonesia Premier League means for the future of the game and the precedent it sets worldwide, especially in light of the looming showdown between FIFA and the European leagues over the thorny issue of the Qatar World Cup.

    FIFA president Sepp Blatter recently said the matter of rescheduling was "on ice" (a curious choice of words, given the temperatures players are expected to play in) and that the 2022 tournament would go ahead as planned in June and July 2022. The big clubs and their relevant leagues reiterated to FIFA they would not tolerate any change to their domestic programs.

    All well and good. But what club is going to release one of its star players for a tournament where summer temperatures could get as high as 50 degrees Celsius and there is no guarantee that the promised "carbon-neutral cooling technologies" for the stadia are actually going to work?

    If they are still playing in 2022, can you seriously imagine Barcelona releasing Lionel Messi or Chelsea releasing Fernando Torres, for example, to put their health in danger? Apart from the humane aspect, the clubs also have serious investments they need to protect.

    Already the UEFA Champions League is regarded as the best football competition in the world; the FIFA World Cup was eclipsed long ago when it comes to the quality of the football on offer, strictly technically speaking. The World Cup, in my view, is still a more romantic competition.

    But what Qatar 2022 is going to encourage is for clubs to divorce themselves from FIFA altogether, once and for all. If the UEFA-backed Champions League isn't offering them enough rewards, why not start another even more prestigious competition altogether where, like the Indonesia Premier League, there is more money for everybody and they don't answer to anyone? Where big clubs such as Manchester United and Réal Madrid don't have to bother with turning up to play the nuisances of CFR Cluj or Bursaspor?

    What player is really going to care if FIFA comes in and threatens them with worldwide bans from FIFA-sanctioned competitions if the pinnacle of playing under FIFA's auspices, the World Cup, means putting your life at risk in the Qatari desert heat of June and July?

    This is why what happens in Indonesia is worth keeping a close eye on. It might seem irrelevant but in laying down a direct challenge to the authority of FIFA and the PSSI the Indonesia Premier League is offering a glimpse of a brave new world where the fat cats in Zurich have no say over what happens in faraway football fields. In so doing, it is breaking all the rules, throwing convention out the door and offering inspiration to all club administrators who dream of a world where they don't have to answer to FIFA.

    It might all seem utopian, but it's anything but. It's real and it's happening now. Maybe the future is Asia after all.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    One of the more unusual stories to come out of Asia this week was the defection of Gold Coast United hardman Steve Pantelidis to Indonesian side PSMS Medan, a side that will be competing in a breakaway league called the Indonesia Premier League, separate from the PSSI-backed Indonesia Super League and backed by oil tycoon Arifin Panigoro.

    Australian footballers don't usually leave the creature comforts of home for a place such as Indonesia, but the leagues of South-East Asia are going to attract more and more A-League players because of the tightening up of player salaries in Australia and the generous incomes and attendant tax rates available to foreigners in Indonesia. Australia's tax regime, by contrast, is one of the highest in the world.

    It's a global marketplace and Indonesia is the latest Asian nation to present a direct threat to the A-League, a competition that harbours some excellent talent at cut-rate prices. Australians especially are valued for their defensive steel, which is why already this season the A-League has lost players of the quality of Dino Djulbic, Iain Fyfe and Luke DeVere to Asia, following in the footsteps of Sasa Ognenovski, who left Adelaide United a couple of seasons back to join Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, win an Asian Champions League title and be crowned AFC Player of the Year. Not to mention command a salary unthinkable in Australia. He did very well for himself and set he and his family up for life. No wonder so many Australians are jumping ship.

    And what is the A-League doing about it?

    Well, not a lot. The clubs, backed by Football Federation Australia, actually want to cut player wages, yet the players' peak body, the Professional Footballers' Association, is actively resisting such a move, arguing "we are not convinced of the need to reduce player payments" and the A-League's financial bleeding is a result of clubs such as Sydney FC failing "to engage the football community and attract people into their stadiums and commercialise their operations".

    Which has an element of truth. But I would argue the major problem is the FFA controls the commercial destiny of the clubs, restricting where they can get money because of what are known as "centralised partner agreements". Hence because airline Qantas sponsors the FFA no other airlines are allowed to be approached by the clubs. The same applies to the FFA's sponsors in regards beverages, construction, automotive, telecommunications and so on. A revenue-hogging national federation is partly why the Indonesia Premier League has formed outside the PSSI-controlled Indonesia Super League.

    In football, as in most aspects of life, money talks. Pantelidis's transfer to PSMS Medan is more than just a loss to the A-League. It is a challenge to the A-League to find more money for clubs and do it quickly lest more players leave. Australia's embattled domestic competition cannot sustain too many hits before it crumbles altogether.

    Defenders of the status quo will say a new broadcasting deal, to be negotiated in 2012, should be able to deliver what the clubs need to keep their players. But that may be too late. It's incumbent upon the A-League to immediately release the commercial shackles they have placed on the clubs and let them do what they need to do to survive.

    If they don't, we might not even be talking about an A-League in no time at all.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It's clear from the 2011 Asian Cup that excepting North Korea, who got into the tournament by way of the back door of the 2010 AFC Challenge Cup, Asia's representation at the 2010 World Cup was no fluke.

    East Asian teams – Australia, Korea Republic and Japan – are the best in Asia and it's going to take a long time for West Asia's old guard and Central Asian neophyte Uzbekistan to gain parity.

    Saudi Arabia, especially, once the mightiest nation in Asia, was indisputably pathetic. Qatar and Bahrain showed glimpses of potential, Jordan admirably overperformed, Iran showed it is on the way back to continental respect and Iraq proved as wily an adversary as it was expected to be, having won the 2007 edition. But to say any of these teams are likely to take a spot away from any of East Asia's big three at Brazil 2014 is a stretch.

    Essentially they are fighting for the berth North Korea snaffled for 2010, along with Central Asian semi-finalists Uzbekistan (who got railroaded 6-0 by Australia), but even then they will still find it tough going, especially if New Zealand and the rest of Oceania (as expected) joins the AFC to make a "super confederation".

    What will play into their hands, though, is any expansion of the AFC will necessitate at least one extra half spot to round out FIFA's allocation to an automatic five. This means that one spot becomes two, there will be no OFC-AFC playoff and West Asia will have its best chance to have two representatives at the World Cup for the first time since France 98.

    Or at least you would think. But in football, especially Asian football, things are never so simple.

    AFC president Mohamed bin Hammam believes the road back to World Cup reckoning for West Asian teams begins with professionalism, one of his buzzwords since becoming Asia's big boss in 2002.

    "Some West Asian countries produced good football in this tournament. I would like to name Iraq, Jordan, Syria and Qatar. But this is football, it is a sport. We have to accept the results," he said in a press conference in Qatar on the eve of the Australia–Japan final. "I think the East today, in particular Japan, Korea and Australia are enjoying the benefits of professionalism. You can see that the players from these countries are more mature. They can handle the match, they can decide what they can do for a match unlike their colleagues from the West today. They panic if they are losing, and they panic even more when trying to hold the results for themselves. Today, the player from East Asia is more mature than the player from West Asia. From a technical point of view, they are more or less equal."

    I don't necessarily think that is true. I didn't see a player of the calibre of Yasuhito Endo or Keisuke Honda playing for Bin Hammam's home nation Qatar or any of the other Middle Eastern teams, let alone for beaten finalist Australia. Technically speaking, Korea Republic and Japan are on a different level entirely to the rest of Asia and it will be many years before any of their rivals manage to catch up.

    But at least Bin Hammam has raised a good point about the cultural peculiarities of West Asian football and the mental fragility of many of its players. It is a flaw not unlike that of the Pakistan cricket team. A few early wickets and it tends to give up – and that's even when match-fixers aren't involved.

    The process of improving can begin with more West Asian players moving abroad and learning to adapt to and thriving in an ultra-professional club environment where local superstars aren't mollycoddled, like they are in Iran or Saudi Arabia.

    Japan, Korea Republic and Australia all have a corps of professionals who have at one time or another made the decision to try their luck outside of what they know. It's not easy for any player to adjust, let alone make it, in Russia but that's what Australia's Luke Wilkshire and Japan's Honda have done. And their games have exponentially improved because of their willingness to move abroad and take risks.

    Not enough West Asian players follow their example. Professionalism is about being prepared to do what you have to do to perform better in your job and to perform to your potential. To be frank, that is something not enough West Asian players do. And it's a deeply entrenched cultural problem.

    So credit to Bin Hammam for identifying it and laying down the challenge to teams from West and Central Asia to raise their levels of performance to that shown by Japan, Korea Republic and Australia at this tournament.

    They have the ability to match them. But they will only get there without taking the easy option. And that is easier said than done. It will require not just time, courage and resolve. It will require something alien to a lot of Asian football nations: hard work.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    So the gloves are off. Just weeks after Chung Mong-joon was spectacularly dumped as an Asian Football Confederation vice-president with its FIFA executive committee chair, AFC president Mohamed bin Hammam has openly declared Sepp Blatter must be removed as president of FIFA.

    "Thirty-five years in one organisation is quite a long time, he said. "No matter how clean you are, honest or how correct you are, still people will attack you. You are going to be defenceless. That is why I believe change is the best thing for the organisation."

    Talk about sticking up for your supposed mates. It was thought Bin Hammam’s ambitions would be placated by Qatar winning the 2022 World Cup but the six weeks since the decision in Zurich has revealed Blatter to be a poor ally. First he expressed surprise that Qatar had won. Then, around the same time UEFA president Michel Platini was floating the idea of moving the Cup to other countries in the Gulf, he said the tournament could be moved from June to earlier or later in the year – without even consulting Bin Hammam or any of the Qatar bid team.

    So instead of a champion, Qatar got itself a doubter just when it needed a powerful public advocate with a white face who could persuade a disbelieving world that his organisation had made the right decision. From the media, from fan groups, from heads of state including Barack Obama and David Cameron, Qatar has been taking George Foreman-size hits to the body and Blatter has effectively been standing by, egging on these various detractors to attempt to defuse criticism of his own presidency.

    It’s little wonder, then, that Bin Hammam is apoplectic.

    But is he offering anything better than Blatter has dished up in his three terms as the most powerful man in football?

    Not really.

    Bin Hammam might point to the massive $1 billion marketing rights deal he brokered for the AFC with World Sport Group as a sign of his ability to lead a big football organisation, and he deserves plaudits for that. Commercially the AFC has benefited from his stewardship.

    But his own organisation is fractured politically between East and West. He is trusted by very few. He has made some very powerful enemies because of his biased, frankly appalling behaviour during the World Cup bidding process (when he used his own AFC-hosted website to argue Qatar 2022’s case while ignoring the claims of other Asian bidders). And he is a very, very poor orator with exactly zero personality. Hardly the best person to be front and centre as the world’s most important spokesman for football at a time when its "brand needs resuscitating.

    That, to be fair to Blatter, is one of his great strengths. He is a peerless networker. A man very skilled with the English language and a presenter lacking nothing when it comes to articulating his viewpoint. Oftentimes it is difficult to even understand what Bin Hammam is saying and his interviews, by and large, are catatonically dull.

    Of course, someone like the Kaiser, Franz Beckenbauer, would be perfect. But he has said he wants time away from football politics and has made it clear he is disgusted with football politics’ nefarious ways. But that is precisely why we need him more than ever.

    FIFA does not need any more career politicians. It needs men of integrity, passion, clear morals and a vision of a different way forward. Blatter has proved he is not that sort of man. As has Bin Hammam. And sadly we have lost the man who could have been a circuit breaker: Chung.

    All of which means that for all the smoke being made at the moment the firestorm of reform the FIFA requires from within is still nowhere near igniting. More reason, then, for a rebel organisation to light the first match and burn the whole house down.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    So where do we go with all this?

    For the past week there has been speculation that the Americans, furious with the failure of their 2022 World Cup bid, are preparing to sue FIFA for allowing Qatar the luxury of switching from a summer to a winter World Cup. The clauses of the bid agreement that all bidding nations signed clearly stipulated the "22nd edition of the tournament was to take place "in June and/or July of 2022. Not January 2022. Not December 2022. Hence their rightful indignation.

    Now Chuck Blazer, the United States’ FIFA executive committee member and a key supporter of the USA 2022 bid, has come out and said the idea of a possible switch was being discussed openly by ex-co members before the vote was even taken: a blatant contravention of the rules of engagement agreed to all by all parties.

    Had ex-co members voted for Qatar on the basis that a winter World Cup could be facilitated after the vote was taken, it destroys any integrity the bidding process had, suggests FIFA’s technical report on Qatar was conducted under false pretences and, most of all, warrants the scorn of the world.

    And, of course, it only buttresses the legitimacy of any legal claim made against the world body. FIFA is on a hiding to nothing whichever way it turns. If it goes ahead with a summer World Cup in Qatar, it risks players’ and fans’ safety – as its own technical report warned. Human beings aren’t advised to do much at all, let alone play football, in 50-degree Celsius heat.

    If it goes ahead with a winter World Cup, it entertains the very real possibility that the United States will make good on its threats and take it to court, even joined in a class action with Australia, Japan and Korea Republic – plus all the major European leagues, which will suffer huge disruptions to their seasons, and even the International Olympic Committee, which has a wee event called the Winter Olympics on around the same time.

    If FIFA can lose $100 million in a relatively insignificant commercial case taken against it by MasterCard, the sum involved in an adverse decision in this case (no less significant as who wins and loses the right to host a World Cup) would be multiplied many times over. And if it takes the World Cup off Qatar and admits it stuffed up by taking the world’s biggest event there in the first place, the Emir of Qatar and his House of Thani with its bottomless reserves of money would launch the mother of all litigation cases and surely bury FIFA.

    The most feasible scenario, and the one stubbornly stuck to by Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed bin Hammam and Qatar 2022 organisers, is that everything goes ahead as planned and somehow, god willing, the Qataris perfect those "carbon-neutral cooling technologies that are supposed to turn a June desert hellhole into a Kashmiri meadow.

    And this is why this week, at the Oceania Football Confederation Congress in Pago Pago, American Samoa, talk of breaking up the AFC into two separate confederations gathered pace. It might seem an incongruous event but is in fact highly relevant to the Qatar 2022 story.

    Readers familiar with this column will know an East/West split for the AFC is something I have been advocating for some time: Oceania nations being absorbed into an East Zone along with major nations Japan, Korea Republic, Australia and China and the West Zone being comprised largely of Arab and Muslim nations. It’s a good dichotomy, right for the game and, most fundamentally, still gives Asia a chance of hosting the 2026 World Cup.

    When Qatar won 2022 it was feared their triumph had effectively ruined any chance of a commercially lucrative Chinese World Cup. But an AFC split, were it to be given the green light, changes everything. And it puts extra pressure on the Americans, who still want their World Cup (and in my opinion deserve it), to get their pound of flesh now by taking legal action and demanding default hosting rights. USA’s best hope of hosting a World Cup, it would appear, is still 2022. FIFA doesn’t want to ignore the Chinese market any longer than it has to, the dutiful and deal-savvy South Americans should get their centenary World Cup in 2030 and the Europeans aren’t going to tolerate waiting any more than 16 years between drinks.

    What’s going to happen next? No one can really say with any confidence. Football politics is, as always, a moveable feast. But one thing can be said with some certainty: the fight over Qatar 2022 is not over by a long shot.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The stadiums, to be fair, aren’t lacking in facilities or atmosphere. No one who caught any of the Uzbekistan vs Qatar opener, Jordan’s near miracle over Japan, Syria’s historic defeat of Saudi Arabia or even the Socceroos’ stroll in the park over India can complain that fans who have filed through the turnstiles for this AFC Asian Cup have been lacking anything when it comes to making a bit of noise.

    Hearing the Indian expats gasp when the Bhangra Boys so much as crossed the halfway line against the Socceroos has been one of the highlights of Asia’s premier football tournament so far.

    The problem is too many fans are still staying away. Even when ticket prices are cheap and the stadiums are easy to get to. A crowd of just 7500 people paid to see Kuwait play China – and Kuwait is, of course, just a few clicks up the road from Doha. Japan could only get just over 6000 for its match against Jordan and the Japanese are, along with the South Koreans, the best team in Asia. Who wouldn’t pay to see Yasuhito Endo or Keisuke Honda?

    So how to explain the disinterest? It’s not like there’s a hell of a lot to do in Doha already and the Asian Cup is visiting the Gulf state for only the second time in the tournament’s 55-year history. More reason to go watch some football. But as Paul Kelso wrote in London’s Telegraph this week: "The appetite of the population for football [is simply] unconvincing.

    Which means to fill all those promised space-age stadiums for the 2022 World Cup organisers will be relying heavily on foreign tourists to come to Qatar.

    Yet South Africa, an interesting destination with beaches, game parks and vineyards, a liberal Western culture, rivers of alcohol and no restrictions on public affection couldn’t attract enough people to the 2010 event. And so we saw empty seats with organisers scrambling to give tickets away to make it look half alright on television.

    If South Africa fell short, how the hell is Qatar going to pass muster?

    And this is the great immutable truth of big football tournaments that FIFA, the various confederations and those organising committees who make bids for them singularly fail to grasp: they exist for the fans. The fans don’t exist for the tournaments.

    It is incumbent on every Asian Cup and World Cup to provide a total experience for fans. And that’s why USA 94, France 98 and Germany 2006 were such great successes – they delivered. Not just with entertaining football matches, but excitement off the field. Conviviality. Fraternity. Fun. Openness. And, most importantly, options. When I was at Germany 2006, I was able to stay in Strasbourg, France, and drive to games in Germany. I had the best of both worlds. World-best food, wine and landscapes. World-best football when I wanted it just over the border. It was a glorious World Cup.

    Qatar does not offer such options. What are those intrepid fans that make the trip to this tiny emirate going to do for a month? If FIFA resists the temptation to move the event from June to January or even later in the year, Qatar 2022 holds out the promise of a World Cup experienced largely indoors: in air-conditioned hotel lobbies, air-conditioned corridors, air-conditioned buses, air-conditioned hotel rooms, air-conditioned stadiums. All without the binding agent of freely available alcohol and the freedom to kiss in public. How many friendships, even romances, have been forged at World Cups when a fan from one country meets one from another and they come together in a fog of booze, high spirits and football? Hundreds. Thousands.

    Will it be happening at Qatar 2022? Unlikely. Will it be happening at Brazil 2014? Undoubtedly. And that’s why I, like so many other fans, can’t wait for the South American World Cup.

    And it’s also why when it comes to the idea of Qatar 2022 I’m at best ambivalent, at worst disinterested – just as the Qataris are of the Asian Cup on their own patch.

    If FIFA can’t convert me and others like me to alter that perception, then Qatar 2022 is in deep trouble.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It's that time of the year when some of us subscribing to the Christian calendar make plans to take time off, panic about what we should be buy as presents for our in-laws and buy newspapers filled with asinine "best of annual lists.

    International news agency Reuters had one this week, describing "tiny Qatar's success in winning the right to host the 2022 soccer World Cup, arguably sport's greatest extravaganza as having "capped a glittering year for Asian sport.

    Qatar? Asian sport?

    Really? In my view, Qatar lost any claim on being Asian when it made such a hue and cry in its World Cup pitch about leaving a legacy for "the Middle East.

    The Middle East. Not Asia.

    Where was the legacy for China, Japan, Australia, the two Koreas, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and all the other member states of the Asian Football Confederation?

    Asia wasn’t mentioned at all. And for good reason. Had the TV broadcasting riches and middle-class spending power of Asia been talked up, as the Australians did with China and the Far East in their ill-fated entreaty to FIFA’s executive committee, Qatar’s case would have been poorer. Talking up China just would have made the proposition of taking the 2026 tournament there all the more attractive – which is why the Australians effectively killed their own bid.

    The Qataris had the nous to realise that their biggest asset other than sacks of dollars was the Middle East’s troubled politics.

    So they filled their campaign films with images of various hued kids with wide eyes, the expressions on their sand-bitten faces saying it all: help me and you help change the future.

    And the Qatar 2022 bid organisers did it beautifully. Marvellously so. But in so doing they effectively declared the Middle East’s divorce from the Asian continent. It might be connected to it physically and geographically but culturally, politically, morally and in many respects economically it is another world.

    So let’s call it now. The AFC no longer has any legitimacy as a confederation representing west and east. Its own president, Mohamed bin Hammam, spent most of his time in 2010 campaigning for one candidate from the west over three from the east all the while nominally representing "Asia. His conduct was disgraceful.

    Were I capable of having my way I’d divide the AFC in two once and for all. But I am just a humble columnist not a diplomat.

    The problem is that for all its recent political ascendancy the west needs the east to protect its assets: four and a half World Cup places. The last World Cup, in South Africa, saw four East Asian countries represent the continent: Australia, Korea Republic, DPR Korea and Japan. The only west Asian hopeful, Bahrain, was knocked out in the playoff against Oceania representative New Zealand.

    The Asian Champions League has also been won for five years running by East Asian teams. The last west Asian winner was Al-Ittihad in 2005. In an interview with a friend of mine, John Duerden, for the National newspaper in Abu Dhabi, Afshin Ghotbi, Iran's outgoing manager and another personal friend, says "the east has built a landscape for success whose "long-term vision and its focus on development is in contrast to the focus on short-term results at both club and national team [level] in the west.

    Let’s be frank: the only thing going for the west is money. It can afford to attract some of the biggest players in the world to see out their careers in Qatar, the United Arab Emirates or Uzbekistan and it can throw billions at FIFA to purloin the World Cup but it can’t buy success on the park.

    And so until such time that Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar and other Middle East nations are routinely winning the ACL and qualifying for the World Cup at the expense of east Asian club and national teams, the west has no compelling reason to try going it alone.

    It might be strong politically and financially but it cannot go to FIFA with its stand-alone football record and say, "We deserve to be given separate status. So don’t lose any sleep over waiting for the split to happen any time soon.

    But if the Berlin Wall can come down and Richard Branson can fly to the moon, the AFC’s days as a 46-member confederation are surely numbered. As they should be. It is a house horribly divided.

    The real question is whether the east or west will break away first.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It’s really hard to know when it’s going to stop.

    For years we suspected it was so, but the granting of the 2022 World Cup hosting rights to Qatar has confirmed that football has been prostituted to money.

    If there were any lingering doubts, they were smashed by the announcement of a five-year, €150m deal that will see Barcelona’s shirt, formerly as austere as a Swedish minimalist apartment, carry the name of the Qatar Foundation.

    Barca might be hard pressed for cash but the arrangement hasn’t gone down well with Blaugrana and Dutch World Cup legend Johan Cruyff, who wrote in his Spanish newspaper column that "it shows me that we are not being creative and that we have become vulgar.

    Vulgar like the rest of what used to be the so-called "beautiful game but which has now been defaced beyond all recognition by greed, avarice and the shameless soliciting of anyone with deep pockets (who cares if they’re crooks, dictators or both – they can save our club!).

    No one else but Middle Eastern sheikhs and Russian oligarchs can afford to buy into this lollapalooza of ugliness.

    So it’s no coincidence that Roman Abramovich owns Chelsea and now a cabal of unnamed Qatari investors are said to be looking to take Manchester United off the hands of the Glazers.

    Is it such a surprise, then, that 2018 went to Russia and 2022 to Qatar? The game’s crucible might be Europe but its true power lies to the east, where democracy is just an abstract idea, free media is an oxymoron and privilege and wealth are the exclusive provinces of a fortunate few. Is it our concern that innocent people like Mikhail Khodorkovsky are locked up for perpetuity in gulags? Or South Asian and Filipino labourers die on unsafe Qatari construction sites?

    FIFA gets to take the game to "new lands and big clubs touched with the Russian and Qatari magic wands – Manchester United, Chelsea and Barcelona – get to play with Monopoly money in their quest for European trophies.

    But what has the game lost in the process? It has lost its integrity. It has lost its soul. And the vast majority of us stand by gormless, slackjawed, and tacitly condone these activities and abuses because we have forgotten why we’re playing and watching this sport in the first place.

    So long as the clubs we support can afford a Didier Drogba or a Lionel Messi for next season, we’re collectively happy to look the other way. The game trades on a myth of fair play. But football operates just like every other field of human endeavour. It is not fair. The good guys rarely win. The bad guys prevail.

    What better fit could club and international football have in this new diabolical age of excess and lack of accountability than the kleptocracy of Russia and the autocracy of Qatar? Absolute powers embraced by a world body, FIFA, drunk on its own absolute power.

    The game is going to hell.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    If you read the papers and scan the websites, most of the buzz this Asian Cup, which starts this week in Qatar, is around the Australian team and how they are out to make amends for their horror turn at the 2007 event co-hosted by Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia. The Socceroos got whacked by Iraq in the group rounds in Bangkok and couldn’t overcome Japan in the quarters in Hanoi.

    A new coach, a new attacking philosophy, a bunch of new rookies out to prove something – all complementing a stellar spine of hardened European musketeers in the guise of Mark Schwarzer, Tim Cahill, Lucas Neill, Harry Kewell and the emerging Luke Wilkshire. Australia’s traditional cockiness has also been toned down and some mistakes of etiquette off the field in 2007 won’t be repeated.

    Coach Holger Osieck has also resisted the temptation to do what one-time national-team candidate Philippe Troussier suggested – pick a developmental team with an eye to Brazil 2014 – and strike a balance between the requisite injection of youth and the retention of experienced old hands.

    By doing this he has shown great respect for the tournament, his Qatari hosts, the Asian Football Confederation and his employers, the Football Federation of Australia. Being a member of the AFC carries with it an obligation of Confucian-style filial piety and it’s clear four years on from the exit in Hanoi that Australia has learned how to behave a little bit more "Asian, for want of a better word.

    But will it be enough?

    Australia has a relatively straightforward group in India, Korea Republic and Bahrain and should progress without any trouble to the quarters. But as recent history proves, on Middle Eastern soil the Australians don’t get their way just by turning up and saying, "Hey, we have Tim Cahill.

    Seven matches since 2008 for three wins, two draws and two losses. Low scoring affairs. A few great escapes, especially a 1-0 victory over Bahrain in Manama in 2008 that was snaffled in the last minute of the game.

    Heat and humidity were obviously a factor in some results – but not all; a few played in the same sort of moderate conditions the Australians will be experiencing in Qatar this month.

    So how to explain this failure to put much weaker opposition to the sword?

    The fact of the matter is Australia, as much as it might dominate continental rankings and be a regular combatant at the World Cup, is still technically inferior to a lot of its Asian opposition.

    Typically it relies on traditional Aussie mainstays of physical presence, height and old-fashioned mongrel to win games and while that combination usually proves effective there are occasions when smaller, lighter, more nimble Middle Eastern players expose them for their deficiencies.

    If caught out early and a goal down, Australians struggle for efficacy with combination football and resort to "route one. Ball to head. Wrestling at corners. Park sort of stuff.

    There’s the issue, too, of Australia’s imperial swagger when it comes to playing "lesser teams. A common mistake is to not do their homework on their opposition. If a team doesn’t contain any stars playing in Europe, the common attitude among the playing group is they might put up a decent fight but still not have the sort of quality to prevail over 90 minutes. As a result, some of the urgency the players might put into training in preparing for an international against a European team simply isn’t replicated. A member of the Socceroos, picked for Qatar 2011, recently told me that preparation for the November friendly against Egypt in Cairo consisted of one training session, and only then done half-heartedly.

    The Australians proceeded to get smashed black and blue by the Pharoahs, going down 3-0. And it could have been more. That they thought doing light jogs was enough against a side that matched Brazil at their own samba game at the 2009 Confederations Cup speaks volumes about the Australians’ myopic view of the football world and their entrenched egotism.

    Australia is still good value, however, as a bet and on the basis of its World Cup qualification and player pedigree deserves tournament favouritism alongside Korea Republic and Japan. They will do better than in 2007. But as any seasoned punter knows, a lot more goes into deciding a result than the names on a teamsheet.

    Teamwork, discipline, focus, respect for their opponents, getting the basics right, keeping egos in check – if Australia can do all those things they can win the Asian Cup.

    Qatar 2011 is a test of how well they can get right what they got so horribly wrong in South-East Asia in 2007. The legs on the senior players might be four years older but their heads are four years wiser – which is why a shrewd Osieck kept faith in them for this campaign rather than follow the Troussier prescription.

    I believe Osieck has got it right. But the best laid plans often come a cropper in the Middle East.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    A half a week on from FIFA’s Russian and Qatari double whammy in Zurich and the mood of anger in the football community is still palpable. The governing body of world football is arguably at its lowest ebb since its creation in 1904.

    Trusted by very few, hated by many. And yet it carries on like nothing has happened; wanting us to believe that its decision to award the 2018 and 2022 World Cups to the two countries with the least favourable technical reports from its own inspection committee is in the interests of the global game.

    Rubbish. The only beneficiaries will be FIFA president Sepp Blatter (who cleverly neutralised the designs of Asian Football Confederation chief Mohamed bin Hammam on his own job), his newfound chum Vladimir Putin and the playboy sheikhs of Qatar, a bunch of spoiled rich kids who get their wish to build their clutch of fantasy stadiums by flogging indentured slaves (cough, labourers) from the subcontinent for the next 12 years.

    It’s no coincidence that FIFA chose the two bidding nations with the most undemocratic regimes. FIFA doesn’t like scrutiny. It doesn’t like to be told it gets things wrong. And Russia and Qatar are making the implicit promise to turn the other cheek. Something that wouldn’t happen in England, home of infernal journalists who actually do their job and expose FIFA’s culture of corruption. Australia was promising a "no worries World Cup. But Russia and Qatar can deliver no worries and, importantly, no dissent. Which is totally convenient for Sepp Blatter because, as former British secretary of state for culture media and sport David Mellor said in The Independent last weekend: "He knows any successor [as president] lifting the manhole covers at FIFA HQ will let out a big enough stench to encircle the globe.

    The biggest losers, as always, are you and me.

    There isn’t a football supporter on earth who wouldn’t have salivated at the prospect of making a trip to England 2018 and USA 2022 with their brilliant stadiums that already exist (and not an architect’s laptop), vibrant sporting cultures, tolerant and open societies and innumerable tourist destinations. They would easily have broken attendance records.

    In choosing Russia and Qatar, two nations that don’t appear on most if any "must visit lists, FIFA has explicitly confirmed that it doesn’t give a stuff about its most important asset: the fans. What exactly are we supposed to do in the desert hellhole of Qatar for a month, a place that is hard enough going for two days? FIFA is saying in big fat caps: "WHO CARES?

    FIFA doesn’t exist for us. It appears to exist for business. For politicians. For dictators and emirs.

    It certainly doesn’t exist for "the good of the game. Its slogan is a preposterous joke. Utterly redundant. And then it has the hide to speak for us, as FIFA general secretary Jerome Valcke did on Monday, saying "reactions were positive to the decisions "fairly well received by football fans.

    FIFA is not just out of touch with fans. It is actively misrepresenting them.

    If FIFA does not change its ways and change them right now, there will be a revolution.

    It should consider itself warned. If the Roman Empire couldn't last, nothing will save FIFA.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The most interesting development this week in the fevered, tense countdown to the World Cup hosting rights decision on December 2 was the revelation disgraced Oceania Football Confederation president and FIFA vice-president Reynald Temarii made a lightning round trip from Auckland to Kuala Lumpur and back. KL is where the Asian Football Confederation is based and it’s where Temarii met his AFC counterpart Mohamed bin Hammam.

    What was said between the pair? What was the OFC president doing meeting the AFC president at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel in the first place?

    Isn’t the OFC perpetually affixed to the Australian World Cup bid because of their neighbourly love? The Australians certainly seem to think so. In their eyes OFC support is "guaranteed; one in the bank.

    Yet it appears Temarii made a bewildering comment when he was in New Zealand at the time he made public his intention to appeal his one-year ban from all football-related activities.

    He allegedly told a Sunday Star Times reporter, apropos the two English journalists posing as American businessmen who got him into hot water in the first place: "I already decided to support USA so there is no logical reason why the [fake American] consortium had to invest in Oceania. Later in the same story he contradicts himself: "All the other cases have three-year bans, four-year bans. I have one year because there was not even any attempt of corruption. Now there are two [new] charges – confidentiality of information. We don't know why but perhaps it's because I say I would vote for Australia. As it is a secret vote perhaps it is that. But I don't know for sure. The second [charge] is because a FIFA official has to have a certain attitude and not talk freely and openly like I did."

    Confusing? A typo? You can read the original article at http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/football/4368863/Oceania-boss-Reynald-Temarii-hits-back. It’s been syndicated elsewhere. Most likely a misquote or a typo or even a mistake by Temarii, but it still doesn’t explain what he was doing in KL.

    Could Hammam, an unofficial but crucial cog in the wheels of the Qatar 2022 juggernaut, have been soliciting the OFC’s support for a Middle East World Cup? The conventional thinking is that Qatar would prefer the number of ex-co members to stay at 22. That is the most plausible explanation for Temarii's visit to KL. Convincing Temarii to appeal his ban is in Qatar's interests. But what if there was another explanation?

    Certainly Temarii’s reputation is in tatters, as is the prestige of the OFC. What better time, then, than for Hammam, as AFC president, to offer Temarii and the OFC a lifeline?

    For him to agree, in return for Temarii’s support (either through voting or abstention) for Qatar 2022, to absorb Oceania into the AFC and give Temarii a seat on AFC’s executive committee (and eventually be nominated as an AFC representative on FIFA’s executive committee), subject to approval at the next AFC Congress? This takes place in January 2011, the day before the Asian Cup in Doha.

    A raft of suits are retiring or leaving the AFC executive committee, including Junji Ogura, another FIFA vice-president. A full list of the current candidates for all open AFC positions can be found here: http://www.the-afc.com/en/afc-congress-2011-elections.

    While both Hammam and Temarii themselves have gone on the record before to voice their opposition to an AFC–OFC merger, the unique and rather bleak situation Temarii is in and Qatar’s desperation to ensure it gets over the line in the World Cup vote in Zurich plus the obvious benefits of getting New Zealand into Asia means there are all sorts of reasons for the two men to change their minds.

    And it would be one explanation for why a man who was deadset on clearing his name and telling anyone who would listen that FIFA needed to reform its bidding process, is considering signing away all his legal rights to appeal his ban so that his deputy, David Chung, can vote in place of him. Even Temarii’s lawyer, Geraldine Lesieur, wants him to walk away from signing a waiver: "If he is obliged to [sign a waiver], then it will be true blackmail... it is because of FIFA's demands.

    Conspiracy theory? Left field? Absolutely. But when it’s a secret ballot how can you prove who votes for who anyway? One thing I’ve learned in half a decade of covering football is not to discount anything when it comes to the grubby world of the game’s politics. As the Qatar 2022 slogan has it: "Be amazed!


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The Asian Football Confederation spends close to a million US dollars on its AFC Annual Awards each year. It’s a statement of how Asia sees its place in the world football firmament – that is, as an emerging leader to be taken very seriously – and so no expense is spared (Nano iPods as presents for VIPs, enormous chocolate footballs for dessert, hotel and flight costs to Kuala Lumpur for over 300 guests from around the world fully covered by the confederation) but it’s money that arguably could be better spent elsewhere; what it buys is an interminable ceremony that is utterly devoid of humour or spontaneity and essentially a device by which the personality cult of Mohamed bin Hammam is relentlessly hammered home.

    Hammam, however, has ambitions beyond his safe Asian constituency. The strong rumour going around KL this week was that the salt-and-pepper-bearded Qatari who likes to dress like Tony Montana will challenge FIFA president Sepp Blatter at the next FIFA Congress in 2011 if Qatar does not win the hosting rights to the 2022 World Cup.

    Though most casual observers of football politics would contend Qatar has no chance to win because of its suffocating desert heat in June and July, the cultural issues (Where will fans drink beer? Will they be able to eat pork? How will the Qatari police handle drunken louts? Will there be any atmosphere at all?) and the short distance between all 12 World Cup stadiums (six in Doha alone), among insiders there is a real belief that because of its political muscle and bottomless financial resources Qatar is in with a real shot to upset the bookie’s favourite, United States, with Spain snaffling the 2018 Cup from England and Russia.

    The other factor at play is Blatter’s zeal to protect his own position as he seeks to secure a fourth term as FIFA president.

    Blatter knows Hammam covets his job so it stands to reason he would hope for an outcome that not only delivers the right World Cup for the planet but eliminates the possibility of Hammam standing against him. Yet the only way to properly ensure that is giving Qatar and Hammam what they want on December 2, when FIFA’s executive committee meets in Zurich to decide on who will host the 2018 and 2022 events.

    Such an outcome, though, will ostensibly put Blatter in a catch-22 situation.

    Awarding the World Cup to Qatar might head off a challenge from Hammam but it would test fans’ already shaky faith in FIFA and the Blatter presidency and also rule out a Chinese World Cup in 2026, something desired by many important people in football’s corridors of power and a goal which the Chinese Football Association to this day has not officially said it will abandon. A high-ranking CFA official told me in a hotel elevator in KL that China 2026 would happen "if the people are willing: read, if the government gives it the green light.

    There’s no two ways about it: a Middle East World Cup would be hugely unpopular in the west and FIFA can ill-afford a repeat of what happened at South Africa 2010 when tourists stayed away in droves.

    Bums on seats matter. And getting the world’s football fans to come to Qatar for four weeks and keeping them suitably entertained is going to be an enormous challenge for any organising committee, irrespective of whether the stadiums are air-conditioned or the emir relaxes the nation’s laws on drinking alcohol or the consumption of pork products.

    World Cups are as much about what happens off the field as what takes place on it.

    Which is not to say the Middle East doesn’t deserve a World Cup. It does. But a Gulf States World Cup (made up of Qatar, UAE and other small nations in the Gulf) would have been a far more attractive proposition for FIFA than one contained solely in a nation that no one normally has any reason to visit and those that do want to leave almost as soon as they get there.

    The Qataris resisted that pan-Arab compromise and have ploughed hundreds of millions of dollars into their go-it-alone campaign. They want satisfaction. Indeed are demanding it.

    Will they get it on December 2? Don’t rule it out. Hammam might have a beatific smile but he didn’t get to where he is today by taking no for an answer and it’s certainly a word the Emir of Qatar doesn’t want to hear. Ever.

    When the stakes are this high the sheikhs come into their own.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The call-up of towering Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma captain Sasa Ognenovski into the Australia squad for the friendly against Egypt on November 17 at Cairo’s International Stadium is one of the great stories of Asian sport in 2010.

    Ognenovski is 31 and was considered a wash-up when it came to his representative ambitions, especially so since former Socceroos manager Pim Verbeek didn’t want a bar of him after he left a message on the player’s voicemail to explain why he missed the cut for an Asian Cup qualifier against Indonesia in 2009 and the player neglected to call him back.

    Verbeek was furious and Ognenovski, thinking his Australia dream was over, flirted with playing for Macedonia. That scenario never eventuated and so now, nearly two years on, less than six months after Verbeek left Australia for Morocco, Ognenovski has finally got the call from new coach Holger Osieck. This time it brought good news. And richly deserved, at that.

    There was speculation in the Australian press that Osieck wouldn’t call up Ognenovski for the match against the Pharoahs because it clashed with the November 13 Asian Champions League final in Tokyo, in which Ognenovski will be leading out his Korean side against Iran’s Zob Ahan. The four-day window was thought to be restrictive to allow the debutant to integrate with his new teammates and do the requisite "bonding .But that has proved a furphy.

    Osieck has explained he picked the six-foot-five central defender because of his most obvious attribute: his height.

    "There aren't too many big, intimidating centre-halves floating around Asia, he quipped at the press conference to announce the squad in Sydney. "His presence is a very intimidating factor for the attacking team and it's always good to have somebody people are a bit scared of.

    But he was also quick to compliment his actual ability. "And of course he's strong in the air and athletic and he is a very strong defender. That’s right. You don’t get to the Champions League final and captain a side if you’re just a walking log truck.

    Ognenovski becomes the fifth-oldest player ever to make his debut for Australia; the oldest being goalkeeper Dean Anastasiadis, who was capped for a "B friendly when he was 32 against New Caledonia in 2002.

    The Pharoahs are the 11th-ranked side in the world, the top-ranked side in Africa and reigning African Cup of Nations champions.

    At the Confederations Cup in 2009 they produced some of the most beautiful attacking football I’ve ever seen, running Brazil ragged but losing 4-3, then upsetting Italy 1-0 before tanking against USA.

    They are a hard-running, quick-passing, fit and supremely skilful side with a spine of players from Egyptian Premier League clubs Al-Ahly, Zamalek and Ismaily that by rights should have been at South Africa 2010. Problem is they play poorly when it matters most.

    That this is a friendly on their own patch with nothing at stake should serve as ample warning that Australia is going to be in for a torrid time. Especially so since their last outing, against Niger on October 10, ended in a 1-0 defeat.

    If he gets picked for the first XI and is paired in central defence with captain Lucas Neill (a 62-cap veteran), Ognenovski is going to have to be at the top of his game.

    But the man they call "The Ogre has been at the top of his game ever since moving to Korea from Adelaide United at the beginning of 2009. It’s just taken Osieck to recognise what his predecessor, Verbeek, stubbornly would not.

    Australia’s "missing link in defence might just have been found.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The Dutch are awfully good at shooting themselves in the foot at World Cups. But Iran is better at shooting themselves in the foot before they even get there.

    This week, after months of promising signs that maybe, finally, the country was on the cusp of a golden era of football its talented Tehran-born, American-raised national-team manager, Afshin Ghotbi, announced he would step down after the Asian Cup in Qatar in January.

    At this rate, Iran will never qualify for a World Cup again. They are their own worst enemy. What a blow to the Iranian game. But the Islamic Republic of Iran Football Federation simply couldn’t help itself - recently departed Galatasaray manager Frank Rijkaard being linked to the job in the Iranian press, which is practically a functioning limb of the IRIFF.

    The stability, continuity and slow process of rehabilitation that Ghotbi had brought to Team Melli has now been squandered because of the usual meddling and interfering from within the federation. As Ghotbi said squarely in his press conference, clearly sick of the speculation: "I’ve verbally told the Iranian football officials that I would rather leave the team.

    How this will affect Iran’s performance in Qatar we can only speculate but a coach with his thoughts elsewhere is a deleterious factor that cannot be discounted. Iran needed a total commitment if it was going to challenge for the Asian Cup. Instead it is just dishing up more chaos, more division. Ghotbi has been quiet on what his plans are post Qatar 2011 but you can bet your bottom dollar he will be going to Japan, where this week Kenta Hasegawa was sacked from his post at underperforming J-League outfit Shimizu S-Pulse. He will stick around till season’s end.

    I have it on good authority that Ghotbi’s appointment is virtually a done deal, though Gerard van der Lem and Takashi Kiyama have also been linked to the manager’s job.

    With a Korean girlfriend and vast experience in the Far East (Ghotbi spent many years as an assistant to Guus Hiddink, Pim Verbeek and Dick Advocaat with the Taeguk Warriors) it’s surprising that potentially Shimizu will be Ghotbi’s first stint in Japan. What’s not surprising, though, is that it has taken Japan to give some respect to this unconventional Iranian-American who never played top-flight football and got his start in Korea as a boffin for Hiddink, analysing matches and training sessions with specialised computer software. As he showed at Persepolis in 2008 and with Iran in 2010, he can coach.

    But in Australia he couldn’t even get a job interview when he came down under to check out the A-League and in Iran he was undermined constantly, his job seemingly being linked each week to whoever batted their eyelids at the IRIFF.

    Japan has a nice habit of taking a punt on coaches who don’t fit the normal mould. In Europe and some parts of Asia, all it takes to get a coaching gig is that you once played for a big football club. The "name coach cult holds sway. The Japanese are more interested in what they can learn – not what a coach’s name is. I’m certain Ghotbi’s deep football intellect will be appreciated in Shizuoka Prefecture.

    The Iranians, meanwhile, won’t know what they’re missing until he’s gone. But they have only themselves to blame for perpetuating disorder when they had a chance to build a bright future.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It's quite extraordinary that two of the smallest clubs in Asia, Zob Ahan of Iran and Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma of South Korea, could make the final of the biggest competition on the continent, the Asian Champions League. Last week they accounted, respectively, for Al-Hilal and Al-Shabab, both of big-spending Saudi Arabia. But that's the thing with Asia and Asian football: it confounds, never really runs by the formbook and no matter how much money you throw at a team (think Bunyodkor of Uzbekistan and its disastrous experiment with Luiz Felipe Scolari) it doesn't guarantee success.

    Zob Ahan, especially, is the stuff of fairytales. A club outside the traditional Iranian stronghold of Tehran (Esfahan), with a small fan base and no major stars. Yet it currently leads the Iranian domestic league after 12 rounds and has accounted for some of the biggest names in Asia in its march to the final in Tokyo on November 13. Bunyodkor, Al-Ittihad, Pohang Steelers and now Al-Hilal, in front of 70,000 hostile Saudis in Riyadh.

    I wrote back in September for Sportingbet that Iran was sounding an ominous warning ahead of the Asian Cup with its performances of the national team and in the ACL and it is only looking more formidable.

    A win for Zob Ahan against the Koreans would be the sort of national rallying point that Iraq managed with its Asian Cup win in 2007 and be the perfect fillip for national-team manager Afshin Ghotbi as he prepares for the January tournament.

    His biggest test will be keeping expectations under control and egos in check ¬- traditionally Iranian football's most self-destructive feature - but he's managed that pretty well so far and apart from two recent losses against Brazil and Kuwait can point to an impressive 2010 for Team Melli under his stewardship.

    That's also been a feature of Zob Ahan in this ACL campaign, coach Mansour Ebrahimzadeh unburdened by the attendant political distractions that come with a host of mollycoddled Iranian superstars on the books and which perpetually cruel big Tehran clubs such as Esteghlal and Persepolis (just ask Ghotbi about why he left Iran the first time around; it's an amazing story that gives you an idea just what a nest of vipers Iranian football can be).

    Ebrahimzadeh has said, "The players are like my sons and we all helped each other." This is how the greatest teams play but more often that not the ones with the most money and the largest support bases can't find that required solidarity. Not among all the infighting, personality blow-ups and pay-packet dramas that typically goes on in their dressing-rooms.

    Perhaps that is a lesson for anyone who is a keen student, an interested observer or an occasional punter of the Asian football scene: the best performers are most often not the star-studded outfits (Australia, Gamba Osaka) or those with more money than sense (Bunyodkor) but teams with an unwavering commitment to teamwork, who are unaffected by backroom skulduggery and most importantly of all grounded by the humility of their players (Iraq, South Korea, Zob Ahan).

    It's not usually the way it happens in Europe¬ but, hey - this isn't Europe.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    In a week when two FIFA executive committee members were accused by a British newspaper of soliciting bungs, the most potentially far-reaching news regarding the World Cup bidding circus arguably took place in China.

    Wei Di, the general secretary of the Chinese Football Association, told the Chinese press that Mohamed bin Hammam, the president of the Asian Football Confederation, supported the World Cup going to China in 2026 if an Asian country were to fail in its bid for 2022. (Australia, South Korea, Japan and Qatar are bidding for the event alongside the United States.)

    This is not especially revelatory - Hammam said back in July that "naturally, if one of them wins the bid, then Asia's 2026 bid is going to disappear" - but the timing was awful, only buttressing the already impressive claims of the United States to host the 2022 event. FIFA would much rather have a World Cup in China sooner rather than later and Asia cannot hold two World Cups in succession.

    But then hours later, with Hammam in the country for the AFC men's under-19 championship, the AFC president was reported to have commented that a Chinese bid could be delayed anywhere from four to eight years.

    There is at present much confusion around the true state of play with the Chinese bid due to the widening football corruption investigation that has now ensnared former Shanghai Shenhua manager Lou Shifang and former Chinese national team players Qi Hong and Jiang Jin. There is speculation that the CFA could step back from bidding for the 2026 tournament altogether should the crisis worsen.

    The prospect of an official Chinese withdrawal would be a significant fillip for Asia's chances for the 2022 tournament and would completely recast the odds for Asia's candidates, Australia especially. If it stays in the race, however, the United States is a laydown misere.

    No matter which way these extraordinary moves on FIFA's political chessboard pan out I still cannot see the United States being pegged back in its favouritism on the basis of its solid case, exemplary infrastructure and commercial attractiveness. On merit, it deserves a second World Cup.

    Australia has not done enough work on the game domestically, Qatar can throw all the money it likes at its bid but can't change the weather, Japan's bid is more Blade Runner than bankable and South Korea, frankly, is clutching at straws with its talk of reunification with the lunatic North.

    The other X-factor is what FIFA's ethics committee decides regarding the fate of Nigeria's Amos Adamu and Tahiti's Reynald Temarii, the ex-co members named in the sensational Sunday Times report. At time of writing they had yet to answer the committee.

    More information could come to light that may adversely affect any one of the bidding nations, particularly Temarii's comment that he was offered US$10 million and US$12 million respectively by two unnamed bidders. What are the chances they will be revealed?

    He has already admitted his haggling was a "mistake" and should he face sanction from the committee the vote on December 2 could be postponed or Temarii could be summarily dismissed from his post. A similar fate could also befall Adamu. Plus there are separate allegations of collusion between two bidding nations that could open up a whole new front of sanctions.

    Anything could happen between now and when the vote is taken. This has really been a stunning week for international football politics, FIFA and the World Cup itself.

    As fans and punters you really cannot afford to take your eyes off the ball for a second.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It's hard to figure out the Asian Football Confederation's motives. There's never any rhyme or reason to anything it does, especially the pronouncements of its president, the Malaysian-based Qatari heavyhitter Mohamed bin Hammam.

    The AFC laid down its selection criteria for those football associations hoping to attain automatic entry into the 2011 Asian Champions League back in 2009, but it's only now that "scrutiny of documents, inspection visits and evaluation", according to the AFC website, is taking place. A "final decision" on the number of participating member associations and the number of clubs granted entry from each member association will take place next month, vetted by the AFC executive committee.

    Unfortunately, one criterion was that no aspiring member association be allowed to be entered in the main draw automatically if it has foreign clubs in its domestic league.

    This adversely affects Singapore, which has three: Etoile FC, Beijing Guoan and Albirex Niigata.

    Singapore was due to have a delegation, the Special Mission Team, from the AFC fly to Singapore on October 12 and stay for a week to assess whether it should be given an automatic spot in the group rounds of the ACL, rather than qualifying through playoffs as it did in 2009 and 2010. (Singapore Armed Forces has competed twice, in 2009 and 2010 and won a game last season to make it one win, two draws and nine losses from 12 matches in the ACL.)

    But because of the prohibitive ACL clause it declined to host the group altogether and Football Association of Singapore chief Zainudin Nordin has now pulled the country out of the ACL, telling Hammam in a letter that it would reapply for automatic entry to the ACL at an "opportune time under the right circumstances in the near future".

    "We concluded that due to our current lack of critical mass in key areas such as talent pool and resources, there is still a pressing need for us to continue having foreign teams participating in our league, to help address these gaps in our game and safeguard the sustainability of our league in football excellence, commercial and financial terms."

    Foreign teams, he said, bring "excitement and competitiveness for our fans, expose our local teams and players to various styles of play, secure non-Singapore sponsors and attract more fans, especially those from the expatriate community residing and working in Singapore".

    All pretty reasonable arguments and not completely shared by everyone in Singapore (the withdrawal has sparked a spirited debate in the Singaporean press about the merits of foreign clubs), but as an independent entity with the welfare of Singaporean football as its concern the FAS should be allowed to determine the future of its own competition without being bullied by the AFC.

    With French side Etoile currently leading the league, Singapore is right to stand its ground. It can also point to the existence of Wellington Phoenix in Australia's A-League and ask: What's the deal?

    Australia has a special dispensation to have Wellington in the league till 2017 and the New Zealand club cannot participate in the ACL.

    Why is big Australia, then, getting off scot-free and little Singapore being punished? If anything, a country the size of a proverbial postage stamp with its critical mass issues has more reason to have foreign teams than a nation as immense as Australia.

    Nordin believes foreign clubs have benefited his league and if Etoile FC is sitting atop the domestic ladder then clearly they are raising the quality of Singaporean football. It can't really be argued otherwise.

    So Hammam and the AFC should revisit this silly rule. It's hypocritical, unfair and runs counter to its own charter: which is doing what it needs to do to raise the level of the Asian game.

    Etoile FC is doing it in Singapore. But is Hammam doing it in Kuala Lumpur?


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    With India not even being able to hold out for a scoreless draw against Hong Kong this past week at the Balewadi Sports Complex in Pune, you have to have some serious concerns for the Bhangra Boys as they prepare for their baptism of fire at the Asian Cup in Qatar in January.

    The problems facing India have been discussed ad nauseam: small bodies, light frames, lack of physical fitness, poor finishing. They are going to do very well to lose to any of their group opponents at Qatar 2011 by one or two goals. If they can score or even snaffle a draw, it will be a miracle on par with their qualification for the 1950 World Cup.

    They have been mostly let down, though, by their own federation, the All-India Football Federation, which in the calendar years 2009 and 2010, prior to the Hong Kong match in Pune, has managed to organise just nine matches for the national team: a friendly against Hong Kong in Honkers in January 2009, five at the Nehru Cup in Delhi in August 2009 (Lebanon, Kyrgyzstan, Sri Lanka, two matches against Syria) and the friendlies against Thailand (two) and Namibia (one) in September this year.

    Contrast to their adversaries in Group C in Qatar.

    Australia, which meets Paraguay in Sydney on October 9, has played 23 matches since January 2009. Korea Republic, which faces Japan in Seoul on October 12, has played 30 times. Bahrain, due to play Kuwait in Kuwait City on October 8, has also got 30 matches under its belt. Even more unflatteringly, the Bahrainis have four more friendlies organised after the Kuwait match before they commence their Asian Cup campaign against Korea Republic on January 10 in Doha. They aren't going to be pushovers.

    India, just 11 to the good after a follow-up hitout against Vietnam in Pune, has one more friendly scheduled, against Yemen in the same city on the 13th. And that's it.

    Their match against Australia on 10 January against the Socceroos is going to be as easy an introduction to the big time as a satellite circuit lawn-grass specialist playing Rafael Nadal on clay at Roland Garros.

    Not exactly ideal preparation for their biggest international outing since the Melbourne Olympics in 1956.

    One could explain away the AIFF's tardiness on the basis of India's FIFA ranking, #160, down 22 places from its previous position of #138 in July. It's not exactly being overrun with offers of friendlies from other federations. But it spent most of 2009 and 2010 comfortably in the low 130s and Hong Kong, its vanquisher in Pune, also occupies that territory. It is currently ranked #136 and in the same period dropped back into the 140s. Yet it played 13 matches.

    Tiny Hong Kong organising more matches than sleeping giant India. It's an unflattering and damning statistic.

    So India's mission impossible in Qatar really is going to be an exercise in being on the wrong end of cricket scores. They're going to make North Korea's effort at the World Cup look good.

    I'm praying that won't be the case, of course, but hope is really all the Indians have got and hope doesn't get you far at Asian football's showpiece event.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The Asian Football Confederation under-19 championship held in China in October will be the 36th edition of Asia’s most prestigious youth men’s tournament and an ideal curtain-raiser for biggest Asian tournament of all, the Asian Cup, to be held in Qatar in January. It will also see four teams qualify for the 2011 men’s under-20 World Cup, to be held in Colombia next July.

    Europe has already qualified six nations for Colombia 2011 – Spain, France, England, Croatia, Austria and Portugal – South America and Oceania will have their own qualifying tournaments in January, Africa has its own turn in March and CONCACAF rounds out the preliminaries in April.

    The AFC U-19 championship is nicely divided among the federations that make up the confederation, 16 teams duking it out in four groups: Group A (China, Thailand, Syria and Saudi Arabia), Group B (Uzbekistan, Iraq, Bahrain, Korea DPR), Group C (United Arab Emirates, Vietnam, Jordan, Japan) and Group D (Korea Republic, Australia, Yemen, Iran).

    Egypt 2009 wasn’t flattering for Asia’s representatives, Uzbekistan picking up a point, Australia losing all three games, and only Korea Republic and 2008 AFC U-19 tournament winners UAE advancing beyond the second round, both losing narrowly in the quarters to Ghana and Costa Rica respectively.

    As with Asia’s spirited senior men’s showing at South Africa 2010, however, Colombia 2011 should see an overall improvement, especially if it features Australia, winners over Thailand of the recent ASEAN Football Federation U-19 championship, its second in three years.

    To qualify, though, they’ll have to first get through the proverbial "Group of Death at China 2010, pitted against 11-time winners Korea Republic, Yemen and an improving Iran.

    Australia’s Dutch coach Jan Versleijen has selected a strong 23-man squad, with five overseas-based players in the mix, including the "next Harry Kewell, FC Utrecht’s Tommy Oar. In my view, though, the most exciting prospect, is Adelaide United striker Matthew Leckie, who is setting the A-League alight with some commanding performances this season and is the most likely candidate for the next Australian transfer to a European club.

    In Group A, hosts China, always strong at home, should have an unfettered passage, with Saudi Arabia in second, forgiving the blemish of an unflattering 3-0 loss to Iraq in qualifying in 2009. Group B will be a tight one. Iraq didn’t lose in qualifying but Korea DPR lost 3-0 to China and will be vying with Uzbekistan for second spot. Too hard to call. Both Japan and defending champions UAE will cruise through Group C.

    Which leaves Group D. Australia’s only loss in qualifying came against Japan while Korea Republic, surprisingly, lost 1-0 to Vietnam in Bangkok. Yemen and Iran weren’t really tested in qualifying to draw any conclusions, though, so for me it’s a battle between Australia and Iran for second spot.

    The Iranians, it’s worth bearing in mind, did very well to finish runner-up to Russia in the recent four-nation Valeriy Lobanovskiy Memorial Football Tournament in Ukraine, defeating the hosts. It really could go either way but I’m tipping Australia to advance. After that, as with most tournaments at this level, what happens next is anyone’s guess.

    Naturally, though, as with each and every important match in Asia, you can follow all the action right here at Sportingbet.

    Enjoy your punting.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Qatar won’t get the 2022 World Cup but it sure as hell will get one within the next 20 years – provided it heeds some lessons from the comments made by Harold Mayne-Nicholls, the chairman of the FIFA inspection committee that was in Doha this week to check infrastructure, get schmoozed at lavish dinners and bask in the star wattage of French superstar Zinedine Zidane, recently recruited by the Qatar 2022 magic bus to give the bid some oomph ahead of the December 2 decision in Zurich.

    Commitments such as building a new city, Lusail, and refrigerating stadia with zero-carbon cooling technology to negate the furnace-like conditions of the Middle East in summer are unquestionably impressive. The Qatar 2022 team, if nothing else, has set a new benchmark for big promises and big innovations.

    But its strategy has always been fundamentally flawed, as Mayne-Nicholls made plain in Doha.

    “From an organisational point of view, Qatar has the potential to host an international event like a FIFA World Cup,” he said. “But it would pose a number of logistical challenges. A World Cup in the Middle East would be a tournament with the shortest distance possible. The stadiums would be in a maximum travelling time of an hour. In most of the cases, even shorter.

    “So far, we have had only one tournament of a similar concept with a minimum of travelling distance and that was the first tournament staged in 1930 in Uruguay. That easily worked out well 80 years ago but the scope of the event as we all know has changed dramatically.”

    The Qataris’ riposte is that a Middle East World Cup would be “a compact World Cup”, which is a catchy idea but futile. FIFA would never wear putting on an event of such magnitude in a country of just 11,437 sq km with over a dozen stadia crammed together like university students at a frathouse party.

    What is its great advantage is being a World Cup for the Middle East, a point bid chairman Sheikh Mohammed bin Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani and Zidane himself hammered relentlessly this week.

    But if that were really the case a 2022 Middle East World Cup would not be played in a single country, a place few foreigners care to visit and which is already going to have enough trouble luring visitors for the Asian Cup in January.

    It would be a pan-Arab World Cup, hosted by adjoining countries or even a number of emirates or countries in the Gulf, such as Saudi Arabia, Dubai, Sharjah, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain and Kuwait – along with Qatar.

    A Gulf States 2022 title would have been a far more tantalising handle for the bid, fulfilled sundry geopolitical objectives, and covered the most important base of Mayne-Nicholls’s clear preference for greater distances between host cities and stadia.

    But it never happened. Instead Qatar 2022 is and will always be about developing Qatar, not developing a legacy for the Middle East.

    So when they miss out on December 2, the sheikhs should not be disheartened and instead accept what I see as their inevitable failure as an opportunity to get the next bid for a World Cup in the Middle East absolutely right.

    If they can do that, the Qataris will be more than deserving hosts. Right now, they’re just big-spending pretenders.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Mohamed bin Hammam sure gets around. Not so long ago the AFC president was in Pyongyang, North Korea, lecturing the pigeon-grey peabodies of the national football federation to not let him down at the coming Asian Cup after their 7-0 monstering by Portugal in South Africa.

    And this week he was in New Delhi, India, telling the AFC Adhoc Indian Professional Football Committee, made up of India’s most influential football powerbrokers, that “[the AFC] cannot succeed whatever we do in Asia without India taking on and playing a leading role”.

    As if the Indians needed any extra pressure come January, when they face off against Korea Republic, UAE and Australia at Qatar 2011.

    North Korea and India, of course, are there by virtue of Bin Hammam’s little baby, the biennial AFC Challenge Cup, which is supposed to be for “emerging” football nations like Laos and Sri Lanka to get some meaningful competition in an environment where they don’t come up against the continent’s heavyweights and get on the wrong end of cricket scores.

    But teams from the “developing” and “developed” bloc of the AFC world have well and truly crashed the party and since it was first played in Bangladesh in 2006 the tournament has not once been won by an emerging nation. The closest an emerging nation has come was when Sri Lanka made the final against Tajikistan four years ago.

    All this might be fine if the AFC Challenge Cup was a meaningless friendly tournament – there’s nothing wrong, after all, with essentially amateur teams getting the opportunity to play against more professional ones – but since 2008 Hammam has offered the carrot of Asian Cup qualification to the winners, which is how India, hosts and winners in 2008, and North Korea, winners in Sri Lanka in 2010, got their free ticket to the Middle East next year.

    To other nations that have had to get to Qatar the hard way and to those who fell trying, it is a bitter pill to swallow. It is also, let’s not mince words here, utterly unfair.

    Perhaps aware of this mood of discontent, no team will be given direct entry to the next edition of the tournament in 2012.

    Instead the top three finishers from the 2010 tournament – North Korea, Turkmenistan and Tajikistan – will have to pre-qualify next year in a 16-team pre-Cup tournament along with any of the remaining eligible nations that want to take part.

    Who they might be is anyone’s guess, because the AFC hasn’t yet released a list. (In 2010, emerging nations Afghanistan, Bhutan, Brunei, Cambodia, Guam, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Macau, Mongolia, Nepal, Pakistan, Palestine, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Taiwan (Chinese Taipei), Tajikistan and Timor Leste were eligible along with participating developing nations Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Turkmenistan and the Maldives. North Korea was the only developed nation invited.)

    Eight will then progress from the March 2011 qualifiers to the finals in 2012 at a host nation yet to be determined, but it can only be hosted by one of the final eight.

    Outrageously, the winner will again be given automatic entry to the 2015 Asian Cup, to be played in Australia, which means North Korea, ranked #100 in the world and 33 places ahead of its nearest rival, Turkmenistan, should easily make the Asian Cup again without having to break a sweat.

    North Korea is the 15th-placed ranked in Asia. It is a developed football nation. It doesn’t belong in such a tournament and should be put to the sternest test in normal Asian Cup qualifying along with all the other developed nations of Asia.

    Crucially, you see, the AFC reserves the right, under article 20 of the tournament regulations, “to determine the Member Associations who are eligible for the Competition” and “all decisions by the AFC Competitions Committee regarding entries are final and not subject to appeal”.

    Hardly open and transparent. Hardly fair to the likes of Singapore, Thailand and Oman who got so close to qualifying for Qatar 2011 but likely won’t have the opportunity to get to Australia 2015 through the back door like the North Koreans and presumably India, on which Hammam has pinned so much and is desperate to see repay that faith in Qatar with some commendable results.

    But football politics in Asia is a mirror of football politics in Europe and the world: the big guys get things their way, the little guys get the raw deal and fair play isn’t a right. It’s a privilege.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Iran has sounded an ominous warning to its rivals at Qatar 2011 with an impressive performance away in Zhengzhou. Though the first goal came down to the Chinese defenders’ inability when to thump the ball out of their own goal area – Andranik Teymourian didn’t need a invitation to punish them for their tardiness – the second was a classic striker’s goal: debutant Mohammad Gholami foiling an offside trap to scamper away, get clipped by the Chinese goalkeeper but still stay on his feet and drill the ball into the net.

    It’s the first time China has been beaten by Iran at home since 1997, their first loss since February and Iran coach Afshin Ghotbi’s fifth in a row, following wins over Armenia, Thailand, Singapore and North Korea. At time of writing the Islamic Republic was due to play Korea Republic in Seoul and irrespective of the result it’s been a purple patch for Ghotbi, a man I happily count as friend but much to my chagrin who has had to fight tooth and nail to keep his position in Tehran.

    Several weeks back, it was reported that former Napoli coach Walter Novellino was in line to replace the charismatic Iranian-American. Thankfully those entreaties were resisted by the IRIFF, the Iranian FA, and Ghotbi has rewarded their faith in him by showing that onfield success cannot be divorced from stability off it.

    His task in Qatar is not an easy one; bundled in Group D, the “Group of Death” with defending champions Iraq, United Arab Emirates (who will be no walkover) and North Korea (who are desperate to atone for their humiliation in South Africa, Iran have to start with confidence and without any of the intra-team and intra-federation politics that have cruelled campaigns past.

    Far from being an impediment to potential triumph, the fact the team has only two Europe-based professionals (Osasuna duo Javad Nekounam and Masoud Shojaei) is a blessing. Ghotbi has created a squad around traditional Iran Pro League heavyweights Sepahan, Esteghlal and his old club Persepolis, while blooding players from more unfamiliar names in the West such as Steel Azin, Zob Ahan and Saipa.

    Zob Ahan, from Esfahan, play Korean giants Pohang Steelers in the Asian Champions League quarter-finals on September 15 at Foolad Shar Stadium in Esfahan. They are the first Iranian side to make the quarter-finals of the ACL since Saipa in 2007.

    So it has been a good year for Iranian football – both the national team and in continental competitions. The mood around the team – even with Steel Azin’s sensational dumping of star Ali Karimi for drinking water during Ramadan, who wasn’t called up for the games against China and South Korea – is approaching the solidarity of arguably the best Team Melli of the past 20 years, the 1998 World Cup team.

    If Iraq could win the last Asian Cup final, in Indonesia, with a team of nobodies and not one Europe-based professional, what is stopping Iran from doing the same with a bunch of guys prised from its domestic league? What is stopping any team without a complement of highly paid foreign-based stars?

    Asian Football Confederation president Mohamed bin Hammam said at the Qatar 2011 draw in April that Iraq’s victory in 2007 “reshaped Asian football like never before” and “no longer can the traditional powers of the East and West take their places for granted”.

    He’s right. Iraq had passion, fire and nothing to lose. By contrast, for too long Iran has been hampered by its own sense of entitlement in Asia and made hostage to the out-of-control egos of some of its overpampered stars.

    No more. Iran has taken a leaf out of Iraq’s book. Ghotbi has not been afraid to do things his own way and let his players know who’s boss. He might be a charming, affable, erudite man but his outward geniality belies his fierce determination to make this Asian Cup his greatest achievement.

    Watch him restore Iranian pride this January.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Timing. It’s one of the most important skills in comedy, in sport, in relationships, in life. Mohamed bin Hammam, the president of the Asian Football Confederation, knows that all too well.

    Which is why this week in Beirut, Lebanon, he announced he would be seeking another term as AFC president and ruled out running against Sepp Blatter in the FIFA presidential election in June 2011.

    Would that have anything to do with Qatar’s World Cup bid, which will be decided upon in December? Sure as hell it does.

    Bin Hammam is a shrewd politician, as shrewd as they come, and this decision dramatically leverages Qatar’s candidacy for 2022.

    Yet it also betrays the opportunity for change in football, which Bin Hammam has been quite happy to purport representing but in fact he is proving to be part of the problem.

    In backing Blatter, he has gone back on his earlier call for two-term limits for FIFA presidents. He has gone back on his own stated pronouncement that the “the time has come” for an Asian to govern world football.

    Another four-year term for Blatter is, in my opinion, beyond the pale. The man was shown up to be a bumbling fool at the World Cup, backward, anachronistic, stubborn as a mule and out of step with the public mood.

    FIFA desperately needs a new image to regain the confidence of fans who were let down by what happened in South Africa and in an ideal world it would start with the forced removal of Blatter.

    As I said in a column in Singapore in June: “If the votes for [the presidential] election were procured from the game’s real constituents – the fans – he would be run out of town. Never has an administrator in sport been so powerful yet so unrepresentative of the wishes of the people he rules.”

    Sadly, though, UEFA president Michel Platini won’t be taking him on; Europe has already been guaranteed the 2018 World Cup in exchange for its support, so Platini is cooling his heels. And now, dramatically, Hammam has pulled out.

    It looks like the red carpet has already been laid for Blatter to assume a third term without even the faintest suggestion of a challenge.

    Thank heavens, then, for South Korea’s Chung Mong-joon, the fiery president of the Korean Football Association, industrialist billionaire, FIFA vice-president and member of FIFA’s executive committee, the body that will decide who hosts the 2018 and 2022 World Cups on December 2.

    He has at least made a few noises that he is considering a campaign against the doddery 74-year-old Swiss incumbent.

    Chung has long been a thorn in Hammam’s side and now he is a thorn in Blatter’s, according to my British colleague, Andrew Jennings, who reported two weeks ago that he stormed out of a recent meeting with Blatter and vowed “nothing would stop him” challenging the FIFA president. Their frosty relationship is well documented.

    Nothing has been said publicly by Chung since but football needs a Robin Hood figure, someone to upend the groaning table from which Blatter and his cronies sup and give the game back to the people.

    A Korean billionaire might seem an unlikely people’s champion but if he is ready to fight Blatter, a man who should have the good grace to walk away from the sport and let another man implement his own “vision” – for Blatter’s has surely failed – he can count on mine and many others’ support.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The jokes were flying thick and fast when North Korea, or Korea DPR to use official FIFA nomenclature, was at the wrong end of a seven-goal hiding to Portugal at the World Cup in South Africa. Kim Jong-il pulling the plug on live transmission into Pyongyang. Preparations being made for the entire team to be dispatched to the salt mines. Players fed to sharks and so on.

    It’s not so funny any more, as I feared publicly in my column for ESPN STAR in the wake of the Portugal massacre, with news filtering out of the Korean Peninsula via Radio Free Asia earlier this month that all but two squad players (Europe-based Jong Tae-se and An Yong-hak) and coach Kim Jong-hun had been publicly reprimanded by the Stalinist dictatorship, TV commentator Ri Dong-Kyu and a platoon of athletes and students at the People’s Palace of Culture in the capital on July 2 and come in for “harsh ideological criticism”.

    Kim was reported to be working as an unpaid construction worker. In other words, a slave.

    Even Asian Football Confederation chief Mohamed Bin Hammam said he’d heard of an “unconfirmed report that these players have gone through torture or something like that”.

    FIFA has announced it will investigate these anecdotal reports and gain some clarification on the coach’s and players’ fate and soon we will know exactly what has transpired when North Korea takes on India in a friendly in Delhi on September 14.

    Reports in the South Korean press suggest Kim and his players have been training at the Ri Myong Su Stadium in Pyongyang.

    Kim may well turn up in India, but that shouldn’t be the end of the matter. If any allegations are proven against the regime, North Korea should be thrown out of FIFA on its ear and banned from competing at the Asian Cup or any other tournament for at least two years.

    FIFA has shown it is quite prepared to play hardball with other nations’ governments for “political interference” and on flimsier pretexts than the accusations levelled at the regime of Kim Jong-il and his son and heir Kim Jong-un.

    It won’t happen, though, because FIFA and the AFC have a lot riding on North Korea’s participation in the Asian Cup, for which it qualified by getting a free ride through the AFC Challenge Cup, a second-tier competition for “emerging” nations in Asia.

    It is vital not just for Bin Hammam’s reputation and his political future but also for Asia’s present allocation of World Cup spots that the Chollima, the nickname given to the North Korean team, atone for their miserable showing in South Africa.

    If they were the fourth-best team in Asia on the basis of their World Cup qualification, then you can understand why he is a very worried man.

    That’s why Hammam was in Pyongyang just recently, posing with glum men in even glummer suits and beseeching the North Korean FA to pull itself together. “I am sure you will not let me down,” he smiled, with barely disguised menace.

    It’s going to be a tough ask, frankly, with the North Koreans lumped in Group D, another “Group of Death”, with Iran, defending champions Iraq and United Arab Emirates, who will be formidable in their own right on Gulf soil.

    But when you’re playing for more than pride and no less than your wellbeing and your family’s wellbeing is at stake, it’s amazing what even the most average footballers can do.

    Mark my words: they will bounce back. But the regime they answer to doesn’t deserve the privilege of basking in their redemption.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    What a difference a week makes. Last week, writing for Sportingbet, I was as sure about who the next Socceroos coach might be as I was about who shot Lee Harvey Oswald. At least one mystery has been cleared up and we now know that Holger Osieck, the World Cup-winning assistant of Franz Beckenbauer at Italia 90, is the new Socceroos coach.

    Your reaction to that news was likely the same as every Australian. Holger who? Keen students of the world game will know he’s had solid experience in Asia, winning the Asian Champions League with Urawa Red Diamonds in 2007, and won the CONCACAF Gold Cup with Canada in 2000, trumping much more fancied opposition in Central and North America. Frankly anyone who can manage to get Canada to win anything in “soccer” is doing very well and must be capable, even if CONCACAF is an overrated confederation.

    It’s not the big-name coach everyone down under was expecting but at least the new gaffer has signalled his intentions from the outset, aiming to win the 2011 Asian Cup in Qatar this coming January. Better still, he has turned his back on the philosophy of his predecessor, Pim Verbeek, by adopting a player-before-system approach, which will give much-needed succour to two players who were frozen out of the national team and World Cup reckoning for not fitting into Verbeek’s rigid 4-2-3-1 formation: Middlesbrough striker Scott McDonald and Sydney FC playmaker Nick Carle.

    “Minor things play an important role,” Osieck said in his first press conference, in Ljubljana, Slovenia. “One of them is individual spark. If you have players who can bring that individual spark and can be creative and win you games, then you are on top. First and foremost it’s the players who make a system. I want to have a look at the quality and capacity of the players, and from there we go.”

    This gives Australian fans a fair measure of hope that they are going to see a return to a more attack-minded approach not seen since the Indian summer of Guus Hiddink in 2006 and very realistic prospects that Osieck will take a team to Qatar that will do exactly what he promises: compete for the title. Tim Cahill, who waged a quiet campaign in the Australian media to see Carle picked for the World Cup, will be a very pleased man. Together they will be a handful for any team, as Japan experienced in Melbourne last year.

    Osieck’s pedigree in Asian football and intimate understanding of what is required to win silverware in Asia will also give renewed impetus to calls for the international blooding of Seongnam Ilhwa’s Sasa Ognenovski and Shimizu S-Pulse’s Eddy Bosnar, two towering central defenders who, like McDonald and Carle, were inexplicably overlooked for the World Cup, as much on personality grounds as anything else. Australia’s poor defensive effort in South Africa will not be repeated in Qatar.

    While closer examination of Osieck’s career suggests there are some concerns – such as his sudden sacking from Urawa in 2008 and unflattering comparisons with Guido Buchwald, the man he replaced at the Saitama giants; Buchwald was a fan favourite, Osieck was not – the 61-year-old German should be afforded some forbearance by fans, critics and punters alike. The Slovenia shellacking is irrelevant, Osieck not having officially commenced his duties. We will see if he practises what he preaches when Australia takes on Switzerland in St Gallen on September 3 and Poland in Krakow four days later. Osieck has his maiden home assignment when the Socceroos meet World Cup quarter-finalists Paraguay in Sydney on October 9.

    It’s an exciting time for Australia and Osieck will be under no illusions that he is expected to produce nothing less than winning football that will lure back fans and sponsorship dollars and impress FIFA’s executive committee in the lead-up to the 2018 and 2022 World Cup vote on December 2. Which means, at the very least, Australia is a team undergoing significant change and one to watch out for, between now and the Asian Cup next January

    Osieck has hit the ground running. The question is can he be stopped in his tracks. I’m still tipping Saudi Arabia for the Asian Cup but Australia, with a new coach, new players and new philosophy, will, like TE Lawrence, be aiming to stage its own “revolt in the desert”.

    Don’t rule them out of contention.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Can an East Asian team win Qatar 2011? Judged strictly on the historical record, it would appear unlikely, with only Japan (2000) winning the Asian Cup on Middle East soil.

    On all other occasions it has been hosted in the Middle East, the Saudis won at UAE 1996, Kuwait won their own tournament in 1980 and Iran did the same in 1976. Overall, across all tournaments, West Asian teams have won the Asian Cup nine times, four more than the east, and the defending champion, of course, is Iraq, which as of this week has a new coach in German Wolfgang Sidka.

    The tournament formbook and the Middle East’s demanding climate would seem to suggest, then, a West Asian team should win the Cup in January, my tip Iran or Saudi Arabia.

    A quick examination of the draw: Qatar and Kuwait have an easy passage through Group A with China and Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia and Japan another doddle against Jordan and Syria in Group B, Australia should progress with Korea Republic in Group C ahead of India and Bahrain, and Group D, the obligatory “group of death”, sees defending champions Iraq lumped with DPR Korea, UAE and Iran.

    So by my reckoning we should see Qatar, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Australia, Korea Republic, Iran and Iraq into the quarter finals. That’s five West Asian teams to the East’s three. Weight of numbers.

    But Japan and Korea Republic had very good World Cups and, going on recent form, they must be considered among the top four favourites. Australia, which started South Africa 2010 poorly but finished on a high, is in a rebuilding phase and we are no closer to knowing who the much talked-about replacement for Pim Verbeek might be. I’m not expecting the men’s team to replicate the heroics of the Australian women’s team in China earlier this year, though on paper they will still be formidable. Australian teams don’t quite click playing in Arab nations.

    Iran thankfully has resisted the temptation to dispense with the services of its current coach, Afshin Ghotbi, and will be going into Qatar with him being in the job for more than a year: extraordinary for Iran. Continuity is what Team Melli needed and what Ghotbi aimed to deliver when he took on the job in 2009. He knows it is his last shot at the job and winning the Asian Cup should see him get the opportunity to helm Iran in the qualification rounds for Brazil 2014. He has the cattle and the intellect to be able to pull it off.

    Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, another non-invitee to South Africa 2010, has a point to prove. Alongside Japan (1992, 2000, 2004) the most successful Asian team at the Asian Cup with three titles (1984, 1988 and 1996), the Sons of the Desert previously lorded over the Middle East and Portuguese coach Jose Peseiro is mindful of his responsibility to his employers, who are demanding nothing less than a renaissance in the country’s football fortunes. He knows he needs to reward their faith in him (he wasn’t sacked after missing out on the World Cup) with a tournament victory.

    One of the pair will go home disappointed but no punter should discount the possibility of dark-horse team, such as Bruno Metsu’s Qatar, shaking the divine order up a bit and Japan and Korea Republic will not surrender meekly. Even still, right now, if I had to put my head on the block, it’s Saudi Arabia for me.

    Naturally, as with each and every game played in Asia, you can follow all the action and get the latest odds here at Sportingbet.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The cat’s out of the bag with Mohamed Bin Hammam’s comment this week that he would be giving his FIFA executive committee vote on December 2 to his home country of Qatar to be World Cup host in 2022.

    “I have one vote, “ he said, “and frankly speaking, I will vote for Qatar.”

    We knew all along, of course, that this would be the case – the Asian Football Confederation president has been doing everything but openly declare his unqualified support for Qatar 2022 until now – but what is unusual is that he is doing it four months out from the decision. It is an inordinate amount of time in the scheme of World Cup campaigning and, frankly speaking, to use Hammam’s coinage, isn’t really fair to the other competing Asian nations: Australia, South Korea and Japan.

    Let’s be frank once more: Japan and South Korea have no chance and will be eliminated in the first round of voting. But Hammam’s affirmed support for Qatar may well sway other FIFA executive committee members who depend on his political influence to tip their vote Qatar’s way over Australia as Asia’s candidate: chief among them FIFA president Sepp Blatter, who regards Hammam as the number-one threat to his own position. If Blatter supports Qatar and has others follow his lead, such as those who depend on Blatter for their own undeserved power and influence (such as CONCACAF’s Jack Warner and the OFC’s Reynald Temarii), then it decelerates the urgency of Hammam’s own ambitions to lead the world body. Scratch my back and I’ll scratch yours. That’s how it works in FIFA.

    Qatar cannot be underestimated. It is not the joke a lot of people think it is with its proposals for air-conditioned stadia and so on – if anyone can build the impossible it is the Arabs, with their well-remunerated architects from the West and their inexhaustible supply of labourers from South Asia. So while most pundits have Australia and the United States duking it out for the honours as host of the 2022 World Cup, I would actually put Qatar ahead of the Aussies. They have limitless money, they have the required political influence, they are geographically positioned at the crossroads of West and the East, and, crucially, they have their own claims to be virgin territory for football and to leave a “legacy”: a World Cup has never been played in the Middle East and it is the one region of the world that needs peace more than any other.

    FIFA likes to see itself and the game of football as an agent of change; what better region, then, than the Middle East? It’s why the AFC’s “social responsibility committee” and Hammam himself made a big point of launching the “Dream Asia” initiative, designed to help refugees in Asia’s war zones, when football’s movers and shakers were in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, for the AFC Annual Awards last November. It included a proposal, “Project Peace Field”, to build football stadiums on the borders of countries in conflict. The first one is mooted for the Israel–Palestine border.

    “The project,” says the AFC on its website, “will help in resolving conflicts, prevent violence and provide a positive direction of life for the youth by having a specific space where they can play and be educated.”

    In February this year, he continued the football-can-save-the-Middle-East line: “Qatar will be representing the wishes and hopes of the Middle East. The Middle East also has the legitimate right to seek peace through football and an event like the World Cup can replace the sorry story of wars.”

    Detecting a strategy here? Or am I just being a bloody cynic?

    I don’t think so. For one of the smallest nations on earth with not-insignificant climatic factors counting against its candidacy, Qatar is playing this game very smartly and doing it with the support of the biggest political muscle available.

    It might not get over the line – the Yanks are my pick – but it’s going to push the USA and Australia all the way.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Mohamed bin Hammam, the Asian Football Confederation president and likely next president of the whole shebang, FIFA, was making all the right noises on his quasi-state visit to Pyongyang this week.

    The photos looked stiff but Hammam was in a positive mood, telling his hosts from the DPR Korea FA and apparatchiks from the Kim Jong-il regime, “I watched you play against Brazil and I was not the only one full of praise for your performance. Your individual performance was really good.”

    All true, the Chollima did turn in a commendable effort against the Selecao, losing 2-1, but Hammam’s words were ultimately all a bit pointless because the elephant in the room – rather elephants – were the two performances that came after the opening match in Johannesburg: the 7-0 humiliation by Portugal and 3-0 hammering from the Ivory Coast.

    Nevertheless, “the President” pressed on.

    “The AFC Asian Cup will be held in my city Doha [in January]. You have my full support, but of course after my home country Qatar. I am sure you will not let me down.”

    No one can doubt the hapless North Koreans will be keen to turn in something better than the 11 goals they shipped in South Africa, but there was a far more profound message in Hammam’s comments. Another poor showing by the Chollima will be a deep embarrassment for the AFC president because it was he that gave North Korea entry to the Asian Cup via the Mickey Mouse tournament that is the AFC Challenge Cup. India got the same free pass by winning the same even two years earlier.

    All the North Koreans had to do to get to Doha was rock up in February to Sri Lanka, take on minnows India, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan in the group rounds (where it draw against the Turkmen in Colombo), tackle Myanmar in the semi-finals (no quarter-finals, a 5-0 result) and replay the Turkmen in the final, failing once again to win in normal time. The game ended with a 5-4 penalty shootout win to the Chollima.

    Hardly the Grand Trunk Road and an affront to other leading AFC nations that had to try to get to Qatar 2011 the hard way (ie, the slings and arrows of normal qualifying) and ultimately failed: Oman, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia. All were representatives and hosts at the 2007 event. It stands to reason, then, that there are some pretty annoyed factions within Asia, especially the ASEAN Football Federation, of which Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia are all part.

    So when Hammam said “I am sure you will not let me down” in Pyongyang he was talking as much about the need to save his own political skin and having to justify the North Koreans’ presence in the tournament as he was hoping for the Chollima to make a decent fist of it in the desert and atone for the ignominy heaped on the AFC by their heavy defeats in South Africa.

    A good result from North Korea will also help convince FIFA that the Chollima’s performance at the World Cup was an aberration and not really reflective, on the basis of World Cup qualifying places at least, of the fourth-best team in Asia. In so doing, they will help ensure Asia’s allocation of 4.5 places remains sacrosanct looking forward to Brazil 2014.

    So can the Chollima do it?

    I think they’re a far better side than what we saw for those torrid 180 minutes in South Africa and remember they won the Doha International Friendship Football Tournament held in December 2009 to January this year, contested by Mali, Iran, North Korea and Qatar. So they can acclimatise. They will also have striker Jong Tae-se coming into the tournament from his new German club, VfL Bochum, with important European league experience under his belt.

    Iraq, United Arab Emirates and Iran are also far less formidable group opponents than Portugal, Brazil and Ivory Coast, with North Korea having beaten Iraq in their one meeting in the last ten years, in Doha in 1993, and having defeated UAE in their last two meetings but not once having the measure of Iran in football played between the sides since January 1990.

    North Korea knows what it has to do. If there we any doubts, Hammam reminded them in the most thinly veiled way possible.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Like you, no doubt, I am waiting with keen anticipation about what Sepp Blatter, the president of FIFA, says and does in coming weeks about the 2010 World Cup and its place in football history.

    Blatter banked his reputation and his presidency on bringing the World Cup to Africa and he has come a cropper. Forgiving the beautiful football of Argentina and Germany, the tournament was one of the most unedifying spectacles of recent times, marred by the relentless drone of vuvuzelas, the outrageous joke of the Jabulani ball appalling refereeing blunders, a spate of gold-medal-winning diving not seen the Beijing Olympics, and, frankly, some shockingly boring football.

    “Mr President” also promised sell-out crowds and we saw far from that. The sight of unfilled seats at the third-place match between Uruguay and Germany was a disgrace, a blight on the World Cup. This is the biggest sporting event in the world and two of the best teams all tournament can’t even pack out a stadium when no other games are being played? Not just preposterous but a black mark on Blatter’s record. The man is looking and sounding like he is past his use-by date and his backtracking on the video-technology issue in the wake of the Frank Lampard no-goal in the second round has convinced no one.

    The worst aspect of the tournament, in my view, though was Blatter’s unwavering support of the Jabulani when it was clear it was a dud. If games were to be played at altitude, and the ball was designed specifically for the tournament in South Africa, how was it allowed to be so light, at just 440 grams, and with aerodynamic ridges that make it travel faster? NASA tests have showed that when the ball is travelling in excess of 45 miles per hour it becomes unpredictable – and that’s not even taking into account the altitude, which has its own deleterious impact, the air pressure being lower accompanied with reduced drag and lift. A Jabulani hit at altitude is going to go much faster than one hit at sea level, which accounts for why so many passes, free kicks and strikes were overhit.

    The idea, clearly, was to have more goals scored but all we’ve seen at South Africa is the opposite. Goals were down from Germany 2006. Craig Johnston, the pony-tailed Australian former Liverpool winger and designed of the Adidas Predator boot (he knows his stuff), wrote an open letter to Blatter on July 2 and said, “by my calculations we have been denied at least ten more goals that were not scored at this World Cup so far, because of the erratic and unstable flight of the Jabulani”. On top of this, he complained of “hundreds of basic trajectory miscalculations” and “the worst passing, shooting and controlling of any World Cup in the history of the competition”.

    Yet Blatter is sticking to his guns. Rather than admit the Jabulani was an error, he told the SBS network in Australia, “This is a wonderful ball… those [teams, such as Germany and Spain,] use these balls the right way and keep it on the field of play [have not had a problem with it]… you play kick and rush, then it’s difficult to control this ball.”

    With respect, Mr Blatter, balls. Teams that were playing a passing game seemed to have plenty of problems with it, crosses that would normally be kept in frequently going out of play, and, as Johnston notes in his letter, Germany deliberately played long-ball football at times to capitalise on the ball’s capacity to travel further than the conventional Buckminster-design ball. Exhibit A: Miroslav Klose’s opening goal against England. As Johnston says, “The German team knew exactly what they were doing when their goalkeeper kicked the ball deep into the edge of the England penalty box, up and over the English defence for an unchallenged first goal. No other ball could ever have travelled that far. That is also called ‘route one’ football and soon everyone will be doing it because the ball is encouraging it.”

    Blatter must be a very worried man. So many things that were supposed to work didn’t. And he has his own stubbornness and shortsightedness to blame for much of those shortcomings.

    South Africa was supposed to be his crowning achievement but I think it may well be his albatross.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    The Iranians clearly don’t know a good thing when they’re on to it, if we are to believe the latest reports doing the rounds on the internet that former Napoli, Sampdoria, Torino and Reggina coach Walter Novellino has been offered a job that, last time I looked, belonged to Afshin Ghotbi.

    The Iranian-American Ghotbi, 46, is someone I consider a personal friend, so I have my own bias in writing this, but let’s look at the facts.

    Ghotbi was given control of Team Melli with a handful of games left to play in World Cup qualifying and had to beat North Korea and South Korea for Iran to have any chance of making it to South Africa.

    He managed to get five points from three games but it was a bridge too far. He could hardly be blamed for that failure.

    He secured Asian Cup qualification, with Iran winning its group, but lost to Jordan to Amman, and then turned in some ordinary friendly results in a Qatar tournament that had Tehran’s journalists sharpening their daggers. Amid a frenzy of speculation about his future, the Islamic Republic of Iran Football Federation took the step of declaring publicly it would honour Ghotbi’s contract through to the end of Iran’s campaign at the Asian Cup in Qatar this January.

    All well and good, and rightly so – the bloke should have a decent dig at a major tournament, and the Asian Cup was perfect for Ghotbi. Football royalty in the form of Guus Hiddink came out and said as much.

    Then, why, in god’s name, are the Iranians stuffing around again with a team that more than ever needs stability and support and not more pernicious white-anting from elements within IRIFF and the Iranian media?

    The answer probably lies in the fact Iranian football journalists and certain identities inside the IRIFF simply can’t resist causing drama. When I met Ghotbi for a coffee in Sydney in 2009, before he was made Iran coach and after he had resigned his position at Tehran club Persepolis, he commented to me how amazed he was at the peddling of unsubstantiated news and gossip in the capital’s football press, clearly aimed at satiating the voracious appetite of everyday Iranians for news of their national team. The Iranian people haven’t had a lot to cheer about under the mullahs and so Team Melli has taken on an importance in people’s lives – symbolic, political, cultural – hitherto it might not have been entitled. We saw that with the controversy about their choosing to wear green armbands in support of reformist candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi in the wake of the disputed Iranian presidential elections in June 2009.

    But back to Novellino. Whatever the veracity of the rumour, his candidacy is insanity. He has no experience in Asia, no experience in Iran, has no connection to the country and I would wager knows nothing about any of Iran’s opponents in Qatar: Iraq, North Korea and the United Arab Emirates. Ghotbi knows all about them from personal, on-the-ground experience and when not in Tehran lives in Dubai. He knows Middle East football like the back of his hand.

    With Ghotbi, Iran can be considered one of the favourites for Qatar 2011. Without him, you can bet on another tournament of conspicuous failure. It’s time for continuity not more change in Iranian football and Ghotbi must be left alone to do his job.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    I was one critic that didn’t think fugu-faced Japan coach Takeshi Okada would get anywhere near his stated aim of a semi-final berth at this World Cup, his side’s lead-up form having been so poor he offered his resignation before the tournament even started, but fair play to him for getting Japan so close, succumbing to Paraguay in the first penalty shootout of these World Cup finals in their round-of-16 match in Pretoria.

    Japan’s opening-round win over Cameroon wasn’t the prettiest of matches but it was the one that set up the Samurai Blue to be in a position to qualify for the second round. Netherlands accounted for them comfortably in the follow-up match and the third, against Denmark, was always for the taking, the Danes curiously poor up to and during the Cup.

    It was another win for Japan but it was the manner of the victory that impressed, unlike the Cameroon match. For its combination football – clean passing, working the angles, darting runs – there are few sides better than Japan but traditionally finding a way into the net has been a problem. Not against Denmark.

    Keisuke Honda’s free kick was one of the best goals of the tournament, indeed one of the best free kicks I’ve ever seen in all my time watching football. Light of touch, perfectly executed with the side of his left foot. So simply struck but devastatingly effective. He showed how to hit the much-maligned Jabulani and use its unpredictable flight and velocity to flummox the goalkeeper. Where it was unpredictable this time was that it was delivered perfectly straight. There was no swing whatsoever. When it breached Thomas Sorensen’s airspace from all of 30 yards out it seemed to be doubling in speed, yet didn’t seem to be spinning at all. Masterful technique, the equal of any player from Europe or South America, which, on top of his Champions League experience, should earn the CSKA Moscow striker a transfer to the brighter floodlights of western Europe once this quadrennial football carnival is over.

    Then came Yasuhito Endo’s turn. After Honda’s goal the Danes might have thought, with some foundation, the ball would be struck flat and straight by Japan’s most gifted player but the enigmatic Gamba Osaka playmaker curled and dipped it around the wall with classic trequartista aplomb. Finally Endo’s immense promise – he has long been likened to Asia’s Andrea Pirlo – had found paydirt on the biggest stage of all.

    Shinji Okazaki then scored a relative tap-in for the third, but the lead-up by Honda, a sublime behind-the leg manoeuvre to beat his marker then a left-foot cross to find the scorer in the box, was stellar. Beautiful football from a team renowned for its crisp passing game but very rarely its finishing.

    It was the first time Japan had ever scored a hat-trick of goals in a World Cup finals match. The second time it had defeated a European side, the first being Russia in 2002.

    Unfortunately the game against Paraguay didn’t see a repeat of the finesse and élan that characterised their Denmark match-up but despite the dourness on offer the Japanese defended superbly and organised well; if they can combine this doorbolt-like toughness with the flair and fluidity of their combination play working out from the back, they have the potential going forward of being not just a power in Asia but at the next World Cup. The ending to their campaign was cruel but they will have learned much from their brave adventure in Africa.

    In a World Cup where they were expected to do nothing, the Japanese played well above their station (conquering Africa and Europe) and, with Korea Republic and a late-firing Australia, showed FIFA that the Asian Football Confederation’s allocation of four places is about right. Unlike the Confederation of African Football, which has legitimate reasons to worry, given the continent’s poor performance in South Africa.

    Japan, you can take a bow.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It’s probably not a stretch to say there are a few North Korean players, maybe a coach or two, destined for the salt mines after that calamitous 7-0 loss to the Selección in Cape Town. It was a harsh result for the Chollima, who were well in the game for half an hour until Portugal suddenly, spectacularly, exploded into life.

    The “Great Leader” Kim Jong-il must have been ruing his decision to televise the game live into Pyongyang, the first time the North Korean people (or at least those with TV sets) had seen a match live since the World Cup qualifier against Iran 12 months before (the match against Brazil had been selectively edited). This wasn’t how it was supposed to be.

    The shellacking meted out by the world’s no. 3 team couldn’t be worse propaganda for North Korea or for the Asian Football Confederation, which once again has come to the World Cup with high hopes but looks like potentially going home without qualifying a team for the second round.

    At time of writing only Korea Republic and Japan had realistic chances of achieving that milestone – the Taeguk Warriors having to at least get a point against Nigeria and hope Greece gets thumped by Argentina in Group B, the Samurai Blue and Denmark pitted against each other for the right to advance behind Netherlands in Group E – Australia’s hopes were pie in the sky and North Korea, as mentioned, is already preparing to go home to an uncertain fate.

    The AFC wants five World Cup spots but it is not going to get its wish at this rate. That is unless it relaxes its staunch opposition to the idea of New Zealand joining Asia.

    The Kiwis, representatives of the Oceania Football Confederation, have been the fairytale story of the World Cup so far, scoring at the death against Slovakia and stunning Italy with an early goal and then holding out against all odds to earn a draw against the world champions.

    This was a team that had the most generous odds of any team before the tournament. Virtually no one – except here at Asia View – gave them a hope in hell of getting a point in Group F and they are now one game away of securing the unlikeliest of progressions to the second round. If they can defeat Paraguay, they are assured. Even if they draw, they can hope for a draw between Italy and Slovakia and still go through but they need to score one more goal than the Italians. It’s a tantalising proposition and the stuff of Hollywood.

    AFC president Mohamed bin Hammam, ever mindful of his West Asian powerbase, has consistently poo-poohed the notion of New Zealand defecting from the OFC, telling reporters after the AFC Congess in Kuala Lumpur in 2009 there are plenty of nations in Asia already and in any case he is dubious about what possible benefit Asia could get from the arrangement.

    But if this World Cup hasn’t opened Bin Hammam’s eyes to the advantages of having New Zealand in Asia, nothing will.

    Let’s be frank: Asia’s current allocation of 4.5 spots is under threat (that half spot, of course, went to New Zealand when it beat Bahrain in the AFC-OFC playoff in Wellington). It is more likely after this World Cup to be given four rather than five, but if it absorbs New Zealand it can be virtually guaranteed an improved return from FIFA.

    Five spots gives the politically important big West Asian teams (Saudi Arabia, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain), all of which missed out on South Africa 2010, a very good chance of qualifying for Brazil 2014 through normal group qualifying rather than the lottery of an intraregional playoff. The arrangement benefits them and it benefits New Zealand because it covets the same opportunities (sporting, political and commercial) that Australia got from joining Asia in 2006.

    But I would go further and absorb not just New Zealand but Oceania altogether into the AFC, and then split the AFC into two distinct World Cup qualifying groups, East and West.

    With New Zealand gone from Oceania, the Pacific island states need to be taken care of, and they can be comfortably secreted into the AFC by forming a preliminary round-robin group within the East whose winner then goes to play the biggest teams in East Asia in a qualifying tournament proper: Australia, Japan, Korea Republic and so on. Two and a half places would be up for grabs.

    The West Asian zone would also vie for two and a places and be contested exclusively between Arab and Middle Eastern states (Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and so on). These football nations form the power blocs that politically are most opposed to the idea of New Zealand coming into the AFC, but if they are guaranteed two and a half spots (they couldn’t qualify one team for South Africa) how can they possibly complain?

    The third-place-getters in both zones would then play off against each other for the fifth World Cup qualifying spot.

    Sounds simple to me. Politically sound and commercially advantageous to everybody, the AFC and OFC, West and East Asia, New Zealand and the Arabs – and, as we have seen with the heroic performances of the All Whites, FIFA and the World Cup.

    But if there’s one thing I’ve learned in covering football it’s that good ideas usually have to wait for decisive action to follow. We can only hope and be patient.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    In its match against Slovakia in Rustenburg New Zealand managed to achieve what Australia could not against Germany in Durban: holding out a superior European side for at least a half of football. Crushingly, they went down to an offside goal, but they persevered and pressed even when the game looked a lost cause and scored an inspirational goal through Danish-Kiwi defender Winston Reid with seconds to spare, set up through a lovely swivel and cross into the box from Australia-based striker Shane Smeltz.

    Heart. Guts. Punching above their weight. Never-say-die attitude. These are all the qualities Australia likes to think it possesses in football but, truth be told, it is more the preserve of the Kiwis, a nation of just four million people with one professional football club.

    The All Whites should have beaten the Socceroos in Sydney and defeated Serbia in Klagenfurt. Now they have earned their first World Cup point in history, in a group where they were expected, just as they did at Spain 1982, to come away with nothing.

    Australia could learn a lot from the unfancied All Whites. The New Zealanders niggled and hassled the Slovaks, didn’t allow them the space to play their expansive running game and punctured their sense of superiority very quickly. You could sense the Slovaks were rattled after ten minutes. It wasn’t supposed to be this hard.

    Contrast with the Socceroos, who before a ball was even kicked admitted their opponents were entitled to win and when they got on to the pitch stood back and allowed the Germans to play their natural fast-running and fast-passing game with such deference and latitude they might as well have been servants bowing and scraping in front of the King of Swaziland.

    A similar brand of courage and commitment was on display at Ellis Park for Brazil’s opening match at this World Cup, with DPR Korea holding the world’s greatest football nation scoreless for 55 minutes and only conceding to what was truly a freak strike on the byline from Maicon. A two-goal buffer late in the match was pegged back by a wonderful and deserved goal from Ji Yun-nam.

    Portugal coach Carlos Queiroz earlier insulted the Asians: “With respect to North Korea, there are three teams playing for two places.” How wrong he was and how shamefully disrespectful. With Portugal failing to pick up three points against Ivory Coast, there are very much four teams in with a shot at progressing from Group G, the so-called “Group of Death”, just as there are four teams in New Zealand’s Group F still alive after the first round of matches.

    Before the tournament you could have got a return of hundreds of thousands of pounds on a £20 double bet of New Zealand and DPR Korea progressing from their groups. How those odds will have considerably narrowed overnight.

    At the World Cup no team can be underestimated, and any team that turns up thinking they have already lost, like Australia did against Germany, will be severely punished. New Zealand and DPR Korea, the most unheralded teams at South Africa 2010, have given the much more fancied Socceroos a valuable lesson in how to play the game.

    Let’s hope they’ve been paying attention.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Korea Republic is offering up some delicious odds for a team that is comfortably the best in Asia. At 9/1 to top its group and 250/1 to win the World Cup, Australia looks comparatively generous at 7/1 and 150/1 respectively.

    Remember the Taeguk Warriors hammered the Socceroos when they played in Seoul last September. It was comfortably Australia’s worst performance outside of the defeat to the USA in Johannesburg last weekend. The genuine pace of the Koreans and their organisation and discipline will not be easy for the Greeks, Nigerians and (dare I say it) Argentines to overcome.

    The always combative coach Huh Jung-moo sounds quietly confident and might well he be after his side’s commendable 1-0 loss to Spain. At the very least Korea will not be the walkover the odds are suggesting. I’m tipping them to qualify for the second round behind Argentina.

    By rights Asia’s second-best team, Australia, should have blown out in the markets after their 3-1 humiliation by the Yanks and the severe loss of form to some key senior players.

    But the imminent return of Harry Kewell and Brett Emerton will offer some hope the Socceroos can get out of Group D, even though both players haven’t played a minute of competitive football in months. I’m still unconvinced, though, the Aussies have what it takes to progress. There will be no repeat heroics of 2006. In fact I’d be surprised if they can score a goal. Australia to finish bottom of their group, behind (in order) Germany, Ghana and Serbia.

    Which leaves Japan and DPR Korea. Both have pretty accurate odds of 600/1 and 2000/1 respectively to win the Cup but I do think the North Koreans, like I said last week, represent good value for a draw or two in their group (around 9/1 for a draw against the Selecao) with an outside chance, albeit as slim as can be, to progress to the round of 16. Since writing my editorial last week the Chollima organised a last-minute friendly against Nigeria (losing 3-1) but were gifted something far more significant in the broken elbow to Ivory Coast striker Didier Drogba in the friendly versus Japan, an injury which has cast a terrible pall over the Elephants’ ambitions to march into the quarters and beyond.

    DPR Korea’s own formidable striker, Jong Tae-se, is uninjured, in-form and importantly scored against the Super Eagles to add to his double against Greece, though benefited from some shocking defending from the Nigerians.

    North Korea to give Portugal a run for their money for second spot in Group G, with Brazil through and Ivory Coast, with Drogba in a cast, failing to fire and finishing last.

    Japan, unfortunately, look the worst of the quartet and will probably suffer like the Australians have lately and find scoring hard to come by altogether. An encouraging performance against England was followed up with familiar bout of goal paralysis against Ivory Coast. Coach Takeshi Okada’s goal of reaching the semi-finals appears frankly preposterous.

    Japan to finish third in their group, behind Netherlands and Cameroon and ahead of Denmark.

    So the two Koreas probably offer the most interesting prospects for the adventurous punter when it comes to Asian football at the World Cup. And, naturally, you can bet on all of Asia’s matches at the World Cup, indeed each and very single match at South Africa 2010, here at Sportingbet.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    It can only make you wonder how strong they’d be if managed to sort out their political differences and become one team.

    Korea Republic and DPR Korea are looming as Asia’s best-looking candidates just a week out from the World Cup. Not the strongest teams on paper or in the rankings but the south’s gorgeous run of form (forgiving the aberration against Belarus) and the north’s encouraging 2-2 draw with Greece has put the recent performances of Australia and Japan in the shade, though the Japanese improved against England and the Australians, at time of writing, have a chance to atone for their awful hitout against New Zealand in Melbourne by locking horns with Denmark.

    My interest here, however, is the North. They are a team that could give returns on a prudent outlay. Not good enough to get through the group by winning every game – but they could manage a few draws.

    Don’t be dissuaded by the fact North Korea is playing Brazil in their opening match. Brazil started poorly at Germany 2006 when everyone thought they’d romp through the group round and stalled again at last year’s Confederations Cup in South Africa, undeservingly beating Egypt 4-3. North Korea went to England 1966 with no one giving them a chance in hell and went on to defeat Italy and almost knock out Portugal.

    Famously, the same team had qualified for the tournament by defeating Australia over two-legs in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. The Aussies thought they’d cruise through. The Koreans, who’d been living and training together army barracks style, flogged their clueless opponents 6-1 and 3-1. Forty-five years later, not much has changed.

    The Chollima, as they are known, have the advantage that they can fly under the radar of football writers and betting analysts like the proverbial spy plane in the night. Their planned friendly against DPR Congo in Austria last weekend was called off, meaning they will go into the tournament without playing any more warm-up matches. They are stacked with unknowns, bar robust and combative Kawasaki Frontale striker Jong Tae-se, who scored both goals against Greece, and will likely play with "ten men in defence and try hitting on the counterattack rather than trying to play the Selecao at their own game. In qualifying, it leaked just five goals in eight games but scored only seven, which gives you an idea of the narrow margins by which they win, lose and draw matches.

    The prevailing view is Brazil will run riot and certainly they have the men to do it but with Brazil tournament favoritism commonly goes hand in hand with a sense that just being on the pitch is enough to win a game. It’s not. As we saw against Egypt, the Selecao can go to sleep for long periods of a game. It’s when they’re a goal down or go into the halftime break with scores level that they come into their own as an attacking force. I think North Korea can hold Brazil 0-0 for the first half on June 15 in Johannesburg and will have to play the game of their lives to hold them scoreless in the second stanza but don’t discount Chollima resolve, like Italy and Portugal did in 1966.

    It doesn’t get any easier after that, with matches against Portugal and Ivory Coast, but if #117-ranked Cape Verde can hold the mighty Portuguese to a draw then North Korea are more than capable of replicating that feat. Which means two draws from two games could put the Chollima in an interesting position come their third group game against the West Africans on 25 June in Nelspruit.

    Sounds all a bit fanciful, of course. But stranger things have happened – look at England 1966 – and will happen again. If the lessons of history aren’t heeded, it has a habit of repeating.


  • Jesse Fink our Asian Football correspondent brings you news from Asian Football.
    Email Jesse with your view on football jesse.fink@sportingbet.com

    Asia View

    Two very underwhelming results overnight in Asia suggest the recent period of dominance by Japan and Australia is over. Korea Republic humiliated Japan in Saitama 2-0 and Australia won 2-1 at the death over New Zealand, a team no one gave any hope to – indeed it was possible to get $10 on a $1 bet for a Kiwi in right up until kickoff. Crazy odds. And for 50 or so minutes, they played the Aussies off the park and made the "best team in Asia look like Sunday kick-around hacks.

    Korea Republic has known put both to the sword – Australia 3-1 in Seoul last September and now Japan twice in the space of five months – 3-1 in Tokyo in February and now the two-goal defeat in Saitama. That’s eight goals scored in three games for two against. Impressive results engineered through impressive football.

    For that reason Huh Jung-moo’s side has to be considered a real smokey for the World Cup in South Africa. There have been few people brave enough to tip them to get out of a Group B featuring themselves, Nigeria, Greece and Argentina but I’m going to declare here that they will get through, in second place behind Argentina, with Nigeria third and Greece stone cold last.

    Let’s not forget Huh is famous in Asia for clamping on to Diego Maradona like a junkyard dog when he played for Korea against the Argies at the 1986 World Cup.

    There was a reason he got the nickname "Jin Do-gae, after the dog native to Korea, and that’s because he wouldn’t give his famous opposite number an inch. It’s a miracle Maradona left the pitch in one piece after the number of bone-shattering and totally illegal tackles he received, including one that wouldn’t have looked out of place in a Jacky Chan movie.

    After that match, won 3-1 by the Albicelestes, the legend of "Taekwondo football was born, a tag Huh has worked hard to shrug off and full credit to the man: he has succeeded. His Taeguk Warriors are no thugs. They didn’t go back to their bad old ways the moment Guus Hiddink and Pim Verbeek left the country, which was feared. If anything, they’ve improved: a fast, nimble, crafty and technically very sharp unit captained by the inspirational Park Ji-sung and overflowing with ambition, youth and vigour. Deadly ingredients at a World Cup.

    Pim Verbeek talks of getting through his group and "everything is possible after that. Takeshi Okada of making the semi-finals. Balderdash. Huh’s target is the quarter-finals and I think, if anything, he is underestimating his side’s potential. He has a team that could go further. Hiddink did it in 2002. There’s no reason why Huh can’t do it again in 2010.

    To my knowledge it hasn’t been spoken about much in the western media, but Huh’s and Maradona’s reunion at Soccer City in Johannesburg on 17 June is shaping up to be one of the great human-interest stories of the tournament.

    Maradona, bruised and battered, ultimately won the battle that day in Mexico City, but Huh, no disrespect to El Diego, has emerged comfortably the better coach.

    Maradona won’t be underestimating the Koreans. The question is whether Huh underestimates how much better the Koreans of 2010 are to the Koreans of 1986.

    Taekwondo football is no longer needed to beat the Argies. Korea Republic can win by just playing football.


  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The European Under-21 Championship in Denmark started over the weekend, with four matches that gave us an early guide to how the tournament may pan out. Hosts Denmark lost 1-0 to Switzerland, Belarus saw off fancied Iceland 2-0, the Czechs beat Ukraine 2-1 and tournament favourites Spain conceded an 88th-minute equaliser to draw 1-1 against England.

    Unsurprisingly, the Denmark defeat dominated local headlines, although uefa.com offered hope for disillusioned home fans by pointing out three of the last five tournament winners have lost their opening game before going on to lift the trophy. Belarus’ 2-0 victory over Iceland was arguably an even bigger shock considering the expectations surrounding this Iceland team, supposedly the best they’ve assembled at youth level. Iceland had their chances but couldn’t take them and then succumbed to two late goals after Aron Gunnarsson was sent off.

    The England camp will be delighted with their point against Spain as Luis Milla’s highly-regarded youngsters dominated possession and seemed set to claim a maiden victory after Ander Herrera gave them a 14th-minute lead. But the Spaniards paid the price for failing to take their chances and Pearce’s more functional team grabbed a late equaliser through Manchester United’s Danny Welbeck.

    England still face a real challenge to reach the semi-finals because the Czech Republic will pose a considerable threat when the sides meet in what’s likely to be a decider on June 19, but it’s worth remembering Pearce led his under-21s to the final of the tournament in Sweden two years ago, albeit losing 4-0 to Germany. So he has pedigree at this level, although you wonder whether his post-match comments were well-judged over the weekend. Pearce claimed would have “maybe won 4-0” if they’d had as much possession as Spain. Really? Surely it would be wiser to prove England are good enough to enjoy that sort of level of possession before making statements like that.

    With odds changing after every round of games it’s difficult to make predictions as the prices will have moved by the time you read this, but on the basis of what we’ve seen having watched each team play once I’d say Spain are too short to win the tournament at 11/8. They have the technique and experience (their squad contains several full internationals) but the standard at this tournament seems level enough to suggest they will struggle to justify those odds.

    Finally, if you’re a bettor expecting this to be a high-scoring tournament, it’s important to heed the historic facts. Apart from the 2004 tournament, where 12 of 15 matches had over 2.5 goals, this competition tends to be a fairly average scoring affair: in 2002, 2006 and 2007, six of 15 fixtures had over 2.5 goals; and two years ago, just seven of 15 games had over 2.5 goals. The final round of group games tend to be the highest-scoring, as teams are faced with an all-or-nothing situation. In the last five tournaments, 10 of 20 final group games have featured over 2.5 goals. That equates to odds of evens (2.0) – so if you find prices bigger than this when the final round of games arrives, back overs.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The news of his retirement was as low-key as you’d expect of a player that made a virtue of shunning the limelight. No fuss or fanfare – just a brief announcement on Tuesday morning Paul Scholes was calling time on his career.

    "I am not a man of many words but I can honestly say that playing football is all I have ever wanted to do. To have had such a long and successful career at Manchester United has been a real honour. To have been part of the team that helped the club reach a record 19th title is a great privilege.

    "This was not a decision I have taken lightly but I feel now is the right time for me to stop playing. I would like to thank the fans for their tremendous support throughout my career, I would also like to thank all the coaches and players that I have worked with over the years.

    "But most of all I would like to thank Sir Alex [Ferguson] for being such a great manager. From the day I joined the club his door has always been open and I know this team will go on to win many more trophies under his leadership."

    As soon as the news broke, eulogies started pouring in. Paddy Crerand, a member of Manchester United’s 1968 European Cup-winning side, described Scholes as “the best midfield player I have ever seen at this great club” (a remarkable statement if you see Bobby Charlton as a midfielder). Wayne Rooney hailed him as “the best player I’ve ever played with.” On twitter, Rooney’s United team-mate Michael Owen said: “Nobody on this planet had a range of passing like Paul Scholes.” He went on to describe Scholes as the best striker of a ball he’d ever played with, ahead of David Beckham, Steven Gerrard and Jamie Redknapp.

    Despite rumours at certain points in his career he would spend one final season playing for boyhood idols Oldham Athletic, now in the English third division, Scholes has quit at the top. The last of his 676 appearances in a United shirt came in last Saturday’s 3-1 defeat to Barcelona in the Champions League final. In that game, like so many others this season, he appeared only as a substitute. Increasingly disillusioned with his bit-part role, he decided it was time to move on.

    Where does Scholes rank in the various lists of all-time greats? I imagine most United fans would include him in their best-ever United XI, on the bench at the very least. And he’s certainly been one of the best English footballers of the past 30 years. The UK press have been quick to quote both Xavi, who described Scholes as “the best central midfielder I’ve seen in the last 15 to 20 years”, and ZInedine Zidane, who described him as “undoubtedly the most complete midfielder of his generation”, to back up their view that he stands comparison with the pair.

    I don’t go along with that. Undoubtedly a magnificent footballer, Scholes has been lucky compared to some of his peers and predecessors. He never came close to replicating his Manchester United form in an England shirt, yet while this was held against others (notably John Barnes in the 1980s), Scholes’ backors somehow also laid the blame elsewhere. He retired from international at 29, yet claims of disloyalty were never put forward. And what of the tackling, if that’s the word? Throughout his career Scholes committed nasty fouls that, perplexingly, were often met with chuckles from those in UK commentary boxes, as though the marks he left on opponents were funny rather than painful.

    United will move on, as they did when Bryan Robson, Eric Cantona and Roy Keane left the club. They are 7/4 favourites to win next season’s Premier League and 7/1 joint-third favourites to win the Champions League. Scholes won’t be there, but they will remain the team to beat in England and one of the finest in Europe.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    “He’s one of the greatest managers in the history of football,” said Josep Guardiola as he sat down to talk to the media on Monday. The Barcelona coach was referring, of course, to his Manchester United counterpart, Sir Alex Ferguson.

    This weekend, for the second time in three seasons, these two giants of the European game –Barcelona and United, as well as Ferguson and Guardiola – go head-to-head for the Champions League trophy. Two years ago the apprentice outwitted the master, although perhaps not as unequivocally as many would have you believe.

    The consensus is Barca dominated the 2009 final but, as Guardiola put it on Monday: “Yesterday and today we watched the game again. Manchester were much better than us in the first-half. In the second, we had more of the ball and played better than them.”

    Ferguson has a similar recollection of the game. “In the final last time, we started off really well and then gave away a bad goal. After that Barcelona kept the ball very well, as they always do. But people forget we missed a lot of chances in that match. Even before they scored their second goal, we missed three chances. What we have to do is find a solution to the Xavi-Messi-Iniesta problem.”

    Is there a solution to that problem? United’s ability to interrupt the glorious passing patterns of Barca’s beautifully balanced trio will surely be the key to the game. Should United manage to confiscate the ball for long spells, they will have a chance of winning. If, instead, Barca’s ball-players run rings round United as easily as they do most sides they face, a repeat of their 2009 victory is surely on the cards.

    Something else forgotten now is the groundswell of support for United in the betting markets in the days leading up to the Rome final. Dani Alves and Eric Abidal were ruled out of the match, weakening the Catalans on both flanks; there was a feeling Guardiola’s side would struggle to deal with United’s power at set-pieces, too. In the event, there were no goals from corners and free-kicks; and it was Barca who scored from a cross, with Messi, one of the smallest players on the pitch, evading the attentions of Rio Ferdinand to head home a Xavi assist.

    This time Barcelona are clear favourites: 1.44 (4/9) to lift the trophy, with United 1.63 (13/8) outsiders. In laymen’s terms, this is the bookies’ way of saying Barcelona would win seven out of 10 times. Is that fair? I’d say six, so Barcelona look slightly overrated.

    My pick would be both teams to score. As one of the finest attacking sides the game has ever seen, Barcelona will surely find the net at some stage in 90 minutes. And I think United will as well, with Wayne Rooney potentially the star. The England striker’s stock has risen on the European stage this season: he was excellent in both semi-final legs against Schalke, and may be finally about to join the likes of Messi, Xavi and Iniesta at the highest levels of the global game. For all his glorious interventions over the years, Rooney has yet to finish in the top five of the annual Ballon d’Or played award. This, for me, will be the year – but for that to happen, the Croxteth-born boy will need to take a central role in the Wembley showdown.

    That’s why both teams to score (1.91 or 10/11) and Rooney to score anytime (2.8 or 9/5) are the bets for me. Get on, then sit back and enjoy.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The only reason we’re not asking whether Cristiano Ronaldo is destined to become the greatest footballer of all time is Lionel Messi. The Barcelona genius may have the edge over his Spain-based rival, but Ronaldo remains a phenomenon in his own right.

    On Monday night the 26-year-old Portuguese attacker scored three times in Real Madrid’s 4-0 league win over Getafe. In doing so he became the first Real player to score six hat-tricks in a season. Running through some of the great strikers that have played for the club – Alfredo di Stefano, Ferenc Puskas, Raymond Kopa, Hugo Sanchez – reminds you what a remarkable achievement that is.

    Ronaldo has scored so freely this season you’re surprised when he doesn’t hit the target. His triple against Getafe takes him to 36 in 32 league games. He’s scored 49 in all competitions, putting him just three behind Messi. He’s broken Puskas’ previous high of 47 in a single season in Real colours. Since joining Real Madrid he’s scored 62 times in 61 Primera Division games. And he’s now just two behind the all-time single-season league scoring record of 38, set by Telmo Zarra of Athletic Bilbao in 1951 and the brilliantly acrobatic Sanchez in 1990.

    Accusations of selfishness have followed Ronaldo throughout his career, and probably always will. He can be frustrating. He does, more than he should, shoot when team-mates are in better positions. But where would Real Madrid would be without him? Nowhere near Barcelona.

    “I scored three goals and I’m very proud of that, but the most important thing is that we win,” said Ronaldo after his latest scoring exploits. “We want to finish the league well. I'm fighting to reach a very important mark [the Primera Division record], but I'm not obsessed about doing it. It’s true that on occasions my team-mates have looked to try and help me score, but the team comes above the individual.”

    Whenever Ronaldo is discussed the negatives tend to overshadow the positives. He can sulk, he occasionally whinges, and his body language on the pitch can be annoying. But when he plays like he did this week, I’m tempted to say – so what? If Messi already deserves to be considered one of the greatest five or six players of all time, Ronaldo is not far behind. It would be a shame if he is always considered in comparison to the Argentinian great rather than in his own right as the truly remarkable footballer he is.

    Should he finish 2010-11 as the most prolific scorer in a single Spanish season ever, the next challenge will be helping Real Madrid win major trophies. Being second-best to Barcelona domestically and in the Champions League will leave a bitter taste that will linger throughout the summer. At Manchester United, Ronaldo became a Premier League title winner, European champion, Ballon d’Or winner and Fifa World Player of the Year. Given his appetite for success, he won’t rest until he’s matched that haul of trophies in the white of the club he always wanted to play for.

    In the mean time, though, I’d back Ronaldo to score in each of Real’s remaining three league games. He’s on a mission. You’d be crazy to bet against him.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    This was Arsene Wenger speaking after Arsenal’s 2-1 defeat at Bolton Wanderers last Sunday – but in reality he could have been speaking after any number of equally dispiriting setbacks over the past couple of seasons.

    “It’s difficult to swallow. We gave everything we had left today and the way we lost is difficult to accept,” said the former Nancy. Monaco and Nagoya Grampus Eight boss. “We had the chances to win it. We didn’t take them and we were very frail on corners.

    “The players have given a lot. The week we just had sums up our season: a lot of quality in our game but not enough reward for the effort we produced. You feel the potential is there but you have to take your chances.”

    As the Gunners head towards a sixth season without a trophy it’s difficult to avoid the feeling the club’s fans are finally running out of patience with their French manager. They’ve watched him bring through a host of exceptionally talented youngsters and listened to his oft-repeated claims Arsenal can win trophies without spending money on big-name players… but all they have to show for it is disappointment and failure year after year. From an economic point of view, Wenger – who once said he feels it’s part of his responsibility as manager to ensure the club ends every year in healthy financial condition – has done an excellent job in difficult circumstances (the move from Highbury to the Emirates Stadium came at an almighty cost) in recent seasons. But at what point do you accept tweaking your philosophy in order to get back to where you once were?

    It seems perverse to describe Wenger, something of a pioneer when he arrived in English football in 1996, as resistant to change, but that’s the figure he now cuts. Unless, of course, on the back of another trophyless season, he is about to change his ways.

    “We have to strengthen the squad where it needs and make the right decisions on that front,” he said recently. So is he about to spend some of the £40m reportedly available for new players? Not necessarily. He’s also said: “It’s not as simple as just spending. Everybody is bankrupt but the guy who doesn’t spend is apparently an idiot. Our team is an average age of 23 years old. Why should we have a huge turnover at the end of the season?”

    Wenger understands Arsenal need to strengthen in certain areas. After the defeat at Bolton he bemoaned the lack of a commanding figure at the back, saying Arsenal “don’t attack the ball enough.” Laurent Koscielny’s first season in north London has been good rather than outstanding and there are legitimate doubts he will ever become the commanding figure Wenger is looking for. Some Arsenal fans will tell you the club still needs to buy a top-class goalkeeper, even though Wojciech Szczesny has generally done well this season.

    Wenger is a victim of the standards he set himself, in that a top-four finish is not good enough in the eyes of the majority of Arsenal fans, whereas a similar league position would represent success for Tottenham, Liverpool and even, at the moment, Manchester City, despite the hundreds of millions of pounds they have spent. This summer looks set to be crucial not just for the immediate future of Arsenal Football Club, but for Wenger himself.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Wasn’t the Premier League race supposed to be over? It seems only a few weeks since we were told Manchester United already had a record 19th title in the bag, with the papers writing eulogies of Sir Alex Ferguson for finally breaking Liverpool’s tally of 18 league championship triumphs.

    We all spoke to soon. Look at the league today and you’ll see United are only 3pts clear of their nearest challengers. Equally surprising is who those challengers are – not Arsenal, who seemed likely to be the Old Trafford outfit’s main rivals until suffering the sort of mental collapse we’ve seen all too often before, but Chelsea, written off as also-rans when the weather was still cold.

    Chelsea have hauled themselves back into the race thanks to a run of eight wins and a draw from their last nine games. Fittingly, the run started against Manchester United on March 1, when the Blues came from behind to earn a controversial 2-1 victory. Sir Alex Ferguson had serious complaints about the referee afterwards, but Chelsea ignored him, got their heads down and have reeled in the leaders.

    United remain odds-on favourites for the title, but Chelsea’s fate is in their hands: they travel to Old Trafford this Sunday for a game being billed as the title decider. Should United win then the race will be virtually all over – they’ll be six points clear with two games remaining. If the game ends all-square, United will be confident their three-point lead with two games to go will be enough. Should Chelsea win, the Blues will move to the top of the table for the first time since October on goal difference, and one of the most remarkable comebacks in the history of the Premier League will be a real possibility.

    The bad news for Chelsea fans is the historic stats suggest their team’s chances of victory are slim. In seven head-to-head meetings at Old Trafford during the Roman Abramovich era, Chelsea have won just twice, with United earning three wins and two games ending in draws. On top of that, the Blues have won just four of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between the sides at any venue in all competitions. Another strong factor in United’s favour is their remarkable home league record: they have dropped just two points on their own turf all season, drawing 2-2 against West Brom way back in October. Since then, as well as winning every time they’ve run out at Old Trafford, they’ve conceded just five times in 13 fixtures, keeping clean sheets against Arsenal and Tottenham, among others.

    So a draw or home win (available at 3.2 and 2.25 respectively) are the most likely outcomes, with Chelsea a bit too short at 2.9. If you are looking to back the visitors in some form or another, however, consider Frank Lampard in the scoring markets. The England midfielder has netted six times in his last nine games, crucial to Chelsea’s revival. The player that scored the winner against Man Utd at the beginning of March? Lampard. He’s the man to get on.

    MANCHESTER UTD v CHELSEA SELECTED ODDS

    Correct score: 1-0 Man Utd win (7.0); 2-0 Man Utd win (10.0), 2-1 Man Utd win (9.0), 1-0 Chelsea win (8.5), 2-0 Chelsea win (13.0), 2-1 Chelsea win (11.0), 0-0 draw (9.5), 1-1 draw (6.0), 2-2 draw (15.0).

    First goalscorer: Manchester United 1.25 (1/4), Barcelona 1.45 (9/20), Real Madrid 2.6 (8/5), Schalke 3.6 (13/5)

    Anytime goalscorer: Wayne Rooney (2.2), Javier Hernandez (2.6), Didier Drogba (2.6), Fernando Torres (3.2), Frank Lampard (3.6), Nani (3.6), Florent Malouda (4.2).

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    For Manchester United, a defeat against Manchester City is never a welcome event, but there is one positive that might come out of United’s 1-0 loss against their local rivals in last Saturday’s FA Cup semi-final at Wembley.

    Their exit from the world’s oldest cup competition ought to temper talk that all Sir Alex Ferguson’s side need to do to beat Schalke in the Champions League semi-finals is turn up. Following their 3-1 aggregate win over Chelsea in the Champions League quarter-finals, there was a growing sense United had virtually got a bye to the Wembley final on May 28. Now we’ve seen how ordinary United can be, such hyperbole will die down.

    The idea Schalke are making up the numbers is as absurd as it is disrespectful. Schalke may lie 10th in the Bundesliga, but any side that can thrash holders Inter 7-3 in the last eight of the competition, even accounting for Leonardo’s tactical eccentricities, will pose a serious threat.

    United manager Sir Alex Ferguson knows the perils of underestimating German underdogs better than anyone. In 2002, large sections of the English media seemed to assume United were already in the final before the semi-finals were played for no reason other than the final was to be held in Ferguson’s home city of Glasgow. Bayer Leverkusen had other ideas, inflicting an away goals defeat on United in the last four. As a result it was Leverkusen, rather than United, that faced Real Madrid in the Hampden Park showpiece. They lost to Zinedine Zidane’s spectacularly volleyed winner.

    United’s defeat against Manchester City merely proved what most level-headed football followers already knew. Like the 2001-02 team, the current United side are good rather than great. For all Ryan Giggs’ evergreen brilliance and Wayne Rooney’s magnificent return to form over the past couple of months, the 2010-11 version never looked capable of emulating what their 1998-99 predecessors achieved. Edwin van der Sar, Nemanja Vidic, Nani and Dimitar Berbatov have played starring roles this season, too, but this United lacks the all-conquering brilliance of the side that won the treble 12 seasons ago.

    I still think United will be too strong for Schalke, but the betting markets have overestimated United’s superiority. Take the prices on the first leg, to be played in Germany: Schalke are 3.2 (11/5), with United 2.1 (11/10). Is that really a fair assessment of how the game might unfold, considering Schalke have a 100% home record (five wins out of five) in the competition this season, scoring 13 goals in the process? Surely opposing United is the only way to play, even if ultimately Ferguson’s side go through.

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE OUTRIGHT: Barcelona 2.0 (evens), Manchester United 3.4 (12/5), Real Madrid 4.33 (100/30), Schalke 15.0 (14/1).

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WINNING COUNTRY: Spain 1.4 (2/5), England 3.4 (12/5), Germany 15.0 (14/1).

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: TO QUALIFY: Manchester United 1.25 (1/4), Barcelona 1.45 (9/20), Real Madrid 2.6 (8/5), Schalke 3.6 (13/5)

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: NAME THE FINAL: Manchester United v Barcelona 1.9 (9/10), Manchester United v Real Madrid 3.4 (12/5), Schalke v Barcelona 5.5 (9/2), Schalke v Real Madrid 10.0 (9/1)

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Louis van Gaal’s tense relationship with Bayern Munich came to an end last weekend. Following the side’s 1-1 draw at Nuremburg on Saturday afternoon, the club called time on the Dutchman’s 21 months in charge.

    “It’s a long time since we’ve taken any pleasure watching our team play,” said club general manager Uli Hoeness. “Even the players weren’t taking any pleasure from their performances. I’ve heard it said the players were absolutely behind the coach. I have to say that’s not true.”

    Another club legend, Karl-Heinz Rummenigge, now Bayern’s chairman, said van Gaal “showed no emotion when we broke the news to him.” At other times, van Gaal’s emotions have run out of control. Known for his fierce temper, he has fallen out with many players, including Franck Ribery at Bayern. Relations between the France international and Dutch coach were known to be strained.

    Van Gaal’s reign has ended ignominiously, but history will show his time in Bavaria was a success. Last season he led Bayern to the Champions League final against the odds. The Germans saw off Manchester United on away goals in the quarter-finals before trouncing Lyon 4-0 on aggregate in the last four. In the final, they couldn’t live with Inter’s Gabriel Milito, and lost 2-0 – but in guiding the side so far, van Gaal exceeded expectations.

    Domestically van Gaal secured the German league and cup double. Not surprisingly, he was voted the Bundesliga Manager of the Year, and went into the 2010-11 season from a position of strength.

    But things went badly from the off this term. Bayern won just two of their opening seven 2010-11 league games. A 2-0 defeat at Borussia Dortmund in early October left the club in 12th place.

    Eventually results improved – a run of six wins from eight games from mid-December onwards lifted the club to third – but a 3-1 home defeat to leaders Dortmund on February 26 extinguished the club’s faint hopes of retaining their title. Last weekend’s draw at Nuremburg saw the club fall out of the Champions League positions. They are fourth, 14pts behind Dortmund and 1pt behind third-placed Hanover, with five games to go.

    Bayern’s bosses took the decision to act now because they fear missing out on the Champions League. There couldn’t be a worse time for that to happen. The 2012 Champions League final will be held at Bayern’s Allianz Arena. The club’s ambition is to play at home in the final. The thought they might be slogging through the Europa League instead is unbearable.

    Van Gaal’s assistant Andries Jonker will take charge until the end of the season. Hi first game will be a tough test: Bayern host second-placed Bayer Leverkusen this weekend. Current Leverkusen coach Jupp Heynckes is expected to become Bayern boss in the summer. He led Bayern to league titles in 1989 and 1990 at the start of his managerial career. He was also in charge briefly on a caretaker basis in 2009.

    What next for van Gaal? One of Europe’s most decorated coaches, he has already worked at some of the continent’s biggest clubs (Ajax, Barcelona, Bayern), led an unfashionable side to a league title (AZ of Holland, in 2009) and managed the Holland national team. Is there anywhere left for him to turn? We’ll find out soon.

    Bayern Munich (4th) v Bayer Leverkusen (2nd) match odds:

    Bayern: 1.83 (5/6), Draw 3.4 (12/5), Bayer Leverkusen 3.8 (14/5)

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    There were two main talking points when Real Madrid knocked Manchester United out of the Champions League in 2003. The first was Ronaldo’s (that’s the original Ronaldo) hat-trick and the standing ovation he received as he left the field in the second leg at Old Trafford. The second was the symbolic nature of David Beckham’s appearance as a substitute in the same game, seen as a pre-cursor for his impending move from one club to the other.

    Earning no more than a line in most newspapers at the time was Manchester United manager Sir Alex Ferguson’s comment that Raul was “probably the best player in the world right now.” Then 25, the Spanish striker was in the shadows of Ronaldo, Zinedine Zidane and Luis Figo, but the fact as astute a judge as Ferguson could make such a claim of a player performing in such exalted company tells you everything about the standards Raul hit back then.

    Eight years later, Raul has just helped his current club, Schalke, to reach the Champions League quarter-finals. Last summer he left Real Madrid, the club he had played for since he was a boy, after 16 seasons in the first-team. He had made more appearances and scored more goals for the club than any other player. He scored with his very last touch in a Real Madrid shirt.

    Real manager Jose Mourinho reportedly offered Raul the opportunity to stay, but the one-time star of the Spain team was never going to settle for being third- or fourth-choice at the institution where he had been seen for so long, by the fans at least, as the most important player. And the questionable challenge of playing for big bucks or petrol dollars in the United States or Middle East was never going to sate the appetite of a player who has always measured success in trophies.

    Some were surprised when he picked Germany. After all, the Bundesliga isn’t a traditional home for Liga departees. But Raul was never going to play for another Spanish club, so he chose between options from Germany, England and Italy. Schalke looked a smart selection.

    That’s certainly how it’s turned out. In front of goal, Raul has performed with the consistency that has marked his career, continuing to find the net at roughly a rate of a goal every other game. He scored the winner in the German Cup last four game to earn Schalke a place in the final for the first time in six years. And last week, his experience played a key role in Schalke’s 3-1 second-leg win over Valencia in the Champions League last 16 to complete a 4-2 aggregate victory.

    Schalke probably won’t win the Champions League, but helping the club to get this far is exactly the sort of thing Raul joined the club for. And, on a personal level, there’s much for him still to achieve. He’s the highest scorer in all European competitions with 71 goals (one ahead of AC Milan’s Filippo Inzaghi). He remains the Champions League’s all-time highest scorer. Thanks to last week’s win, he’s got at least a couple more games to add to his tally.

    What next? At 33, Raul still has a couple of seasons at the highest level left in him. By the time he retires, he will be remembered as one of the all-time goalscoring greats.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    For a while last Friday night it looked as though Spain – current world and European champions, and one of the best international sides of the past 25 years – were going to drop points in a Euro 2012 qualifying game. At Los Carmenes stadium in Granada, Jaroslav Plasil gave visitors Czech Republic a 1-0 lead with a 30-metre missile shot, suggesting one of the night’s biggest upsets was on the cards.

    But a familiar saviour turned the game around. In the 69th minute, David Villa picked up an Andres Iniesta pass and shot past Petr Cech to make the score 1-1. Four minutes later he added a second from the penalty spot, ensuring Spain maintained their 100 per cent qualifying record.

    The Langreo-born striker’s brace took his tally in a Spain shirt to 46 goals, putting him top of the country’s all-time scoring charts. Before the game, that was an accolade he held jointly with Raul. But the difference between the pair is obvious when you look more closely at the figures: the Schalke man (who hasn’t played for Spain since) reached the 44-goal mark in 102 appearances, whereas Villa has got to 46 in just 72. That’s a rate of a goal every 1.57 games. In the past two decades, among the world’s leading football nations, only Romario (1.27) and Gabriel Batistuta (1.39) have scored so many times more quickly.

    Villa’s other scoring feats are worth a second look. Since joining Barcelona last summer, he has scored 17 times in 28 league games. In the five seasons before signing for the Catalonians, he scored 108 times in 166 league games for Valencia. He won the Golden Boot prize at Euro 2008 with four goals (netted at a rate of a goal every 84 minutes) and finished joint-top scorer at last summer’s World Cup (he would have won the prize outright but for a missed penalty against Honduras in the group phase).

    At the age of 29, Villa is already one of the greatest goalscorers of his era, and there is much more to come from him. Seven months into his time in the Catalonian capital he is still learning to play with Lionel Messi and Pedro, although has been able to use his excellent understanding with Spain colleagues Xavi and Andres Iniesta to ease his way into the side.

    Playing for the greatest club team in the world, you can only imagine over the next couple of years he will start picking up a standard of medal at to rival those he’s already collected playing for his country. It would be misleading to label a world and European champion an underachiever, but a player as focused on accolades as Villa will be disappointed all he’s got to show for his club career are two Spanish Cup winners medals.

    This weekend, Villa takes on Villarreal as Josep Guardiola’s side look to maintain or extend their five-point lead over Real Madrid at the top of the league. With a couple of major prizes on offer over the next couple of months, you get the feeling the all-time top goalscorer achievement will be overshadowed soon.

    VILLARREAL v BARCELONA: Home win 21/4, Draw 3/1, Away Win 9/20

    DAVID VILLA FIRST GOALSCORER: 5/1

    DAVID VILLA ANYTIME GOALSCORER: Evens

    PRIMERA LIGA OUTRIGHT: Barcelona 1/8

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE OUTRIGHT: Barcelona evens

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Were you surprised by any of the Champions League last 16 results? No, neither were we – well, apart from Inter’s remarkable 3-2 away victory at Bayern to clinch a place in the quarter-finals (we’d fancied Bayern to reach the semi-finals at least). That was the stand-out result of a round that pretty much went to form if you took the first-leg scorelines into consideration.

    The quarter-finals are still a couple of weeks away but the prices are worth an early look to see if any value’s to be had. Favourites Barcelona have been handed one of the easier draws by facing Ukrainians Shakhtar Donetsk, who are being tipped by many in the blogosphere to cause Pep Guardiola’s side problems but should succumb to a side that ought to have too much ability. It might be sticky for the favourites at times, but Champions League last eight ties normally are at some point. Over the two legs the Spanish champions should go through.

    The round’s most exciting tie is Real Madrid v Tottenham, a meeting that evokes memories of 1980s European nights for football fans of a certain age. Real Madrid’s 100% home record under Jose Mourinho hands the Spaniards a massive advantage, and the way Spurs struggled to get past a limited AC Milan side in the last round suggests the the challenge of see off the tournament second favourites (Real are 5.00 to lift the trophy at Wembley on May 28) will be too great. Real are 1.20 to get through, Tottenham 3.20 – I wouldn’t argue with either of those prices.

    Chelsea v Manchester United is likely to be absorbing rather than entertaining as the two sides know each other so well. There’s a risk these two Premier League giants will cancel each other out as the pair are almost impossible to separate. That’s certainly the way the bookies see this tie – both sides are 1.85 to go through.

    After producing that thrilling second-leg performance to see off Bayern, Inter’s reward is a tie against the competition’s only remaining Bundesliga representatives, Schalke. Since seeing off Valencia in the last 16 the Germans have sacked coach Felix Magath, and it’s hard to see them having the class or experience (even with Raul in their ranks) to overcome an Inter side that has a burning desire to retain their trophy.

    Little value, then – but look elsewhere and you can find some smart betting opportunities. The “Name the semi-final” market is worth a look: Inter Milan v Manchester United (2.50) would be my pick as Real Madrid v Barcelona is unbackably short at 1.50.

    You might think the “Name the Final” market is folly when so many twists and turns lie ahead, but it’s fun nonetheless. Looking through the prices below, I’d go for Manchester United v Real Madrid at 9.00. That’s right, no Barcelona. I still think Mourinho might gain revenge on Guardiola for that 5-0 defeat earlier in the season.

    CHAMPIONS LEAGUE MARKETS

    OUTRIGHT: Barcelona 2.00, Real Madrid 5.00, Chelsea 7.50, Manchester United 9.00, Inter Milan 9.00, Tottenham 23.00, Schalke 51.00, Shakhtar Donetsk 51.00.

    TO QUALIFY: Barcelona 1.13, Shakhtar Donetsk 5.50; Real Madrid 1.30, Tottenham 3.20; Chelsea 1.85, Manchester United 1.85; Inter 1.30, Schalke 3.20.

    TOP GOALSCORER: Lionel Messi 1.67, Samuel Eto’o 4.50, Nicolas Anelka 7.00, Cristiano Ronaldo 10.00, Karim Benzema 11.00, Mario Gomez 17.00, David Villa 21.00.

    TO REACH THE FINAL: Barcelona 1.60, Chelsea 2.80, Manchester United 2.80, Real Madrid 2.90, Inter Milan 3.20, Tottenham 11.00, Schalke 12.00, Shakhtar Donetsk 19.00

    NAME THE SEMI-FINAL: Inter Milan v Chelsea 2.50, Inter Milan v Manchester United 2.50, Schalke v Chelsea 6.25, Schalke v Manchester United 6.25, Real Madrid v Barcelona 1.50, Real Madrid v Shakhtar Donetsk 7.5, Tottenham v Barcelona 3.75, Tottenham v Shakhtar Donetsk 19.0.

    NAME THE FINAL: Chelsea v Barcelona 4.75, Manchester United v Barcelona 4.75, Inter Milan v Barcelona 5.50, Chelsea v Real Madrid 8.50, Manchester United v Real Madrid 9.00, Inter Milan v Real Madrid 10.00, Schalke v Barcelona 21.00, Manchester United v Tottenham 26.00, Chelsea v Tottenham 29.00, Inter Milan v Tottenham 34.00, Schalke v Real Madrid 34.00, Chelsea v Shakhtar Donetsk 51.00, Manchester United v Shakhtar Donetsk 51.00, Inter Milan v Shakhtar Donetsk 67.00, Schalke v Tottenham 126.00, Schalke v Shakhtar Donetsk 201.00.

    WINNING COUNTRY: Spain 1.50, England 3.60, Italy 9.00, Germany 51.00, Ukraine 51.00.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    So, can Chelsea still win it? That was the thrilling possibility that opened up after yet another unpredictable weekend of Premier League results.

    Faced with the opportunity to close to within 1pt of leader Manchester United – who had lost 2-1 against Chelsea the week before – Arsenal did little to banish the ‘bottlers’ tag attached to them by certain sections of the English media when they could only draw 0-0 at home to eighth-placed Sunderland on Saturday afternoon. Gunners manager Arsene Wenger had plenty to say about the referee, but, then…. he always does, doesn’t he?

    And so it seemed the scene was set for Manchester United to reassert their dominance on Sunday afternoon. Trips to Anfield promise plenty of spice but have result in more victories than defeats for United victories over the past decade. Much to the delight of the hordes of Liverpool season-ticket holders, however, the Reds played the Red Devils off the park, with Javier Hernandez’s late consolation goal nothing of the sort as United received a 3-1 walloping.

    All of which meant the near-impossible prospect of Chelsea challenging for the title now looks, well, slightly more likely. On Monday night the Blues travelled to Bloomfield Road and beat Blackpool 3-1, with John Terry scoring once and Frank Lampard scoring twice. It was another blow for Blackpool, who have delighted the neutral with their stirring football this season but find themselves drawn ever closer to the bottom three. With seven defeats from their last nine games, the Tangerines (no better nickname in the Premier League) are just two points above the relegation zone.

    So just a week after facing questions over Chelsea’s chances of making the Champions League places, west London boss Carlo Ancelotti was fielding inquiries about whether the Blues were title contenders again. The magnanimous Italian raised an eyebrow and kept his feet on the ground: “Our aim at the moment is to stay in the top four. We are closer to Manchester United but we have to prepare for the next game and prepare game by game.”

    After the events of the past seven days, Chelsea cannot be ruled out. They are 9pts behind United with a game in hand and still have to visit Old Trafford. United’s failure to win at Anfield underlined what an opportunity Arsenal missed against Sunderland the day before, although the other way of looking at things is that Liverpool did the Gunners a favour. Arsenal striker Andriy Arshavin certainly saw it that way when he tweeted Liverpool’s Brazilian midfielder Lucas Leiva: “you play very well against Manchester, thank you from all Arsenal.”

    Have we missed anyone? Ah yes, Manchester City. Remember them? Their 1-0 home win over Wigan Athletic barely registered admit the upsets last weekend, and their newsworthiness has plummeted since the media no longer regard them as serious title contenders. And yet there they are, tucked into third place, 7pts behind local rivals United. If Chelsea, with 51pts from 28 games, are contenders, then City, with 53pts from 29 games, must be.

    The fixtures have given United a break this weekend. They host Bolton Wanderers, a game that historically affords Sir Alex Ferguson men a comfortable afternoon: each of the last seven head-to-heads had ended in a home victory. Meanwhile, Arsenal must travel to face a West Bromwich Albion side reinvigorated by the arrival of Roy Hodgson as manager, while Chelsea and Manchester City will take points off each other when they meet at Stamford Bridge on Sunday.

    United might be a stronger position by the end of the weekend, then – but In a title race that has already had more twists and turns than most people expected, nobody will be handing them the prize just yet.

    PREMIER LEAGUE OUTRIGHT 2010-11: Manchester United 1.70 (7/10), Arsenal 2.75 (7/4), Chelsea 8.0 (7/1), Manchester City 34.0 (33/1).

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    A couple of weeks ago I wrote about what a joy it was watching Lille, who stand their best chance of winning the French League title since 1954. Things might not be so simple after all. ‘LOSC’, as they’re known, lost 1-0 at Montpellier last weekend. The other four title contenders won. As a result, the top of the Ligue 1 table is tighter than it’s been all season.

    Lille lead on 45pts, followed by Rennes (43pts), Marseille (42pts), Lyon and PSG (41pts). What’s particularly worrying for Lille is the attack that’s fired them to the top of the table is spluttering: their 1-0 defeat at Montpellier was the first time in 21 league matches Lille failed to score, and they have managed just one shot on target in each of their last two away matches.

    We’ll learn over the next two weekends whether Lille really are cut out to be Ligue 1 champions: on Sunday night they host Lyon at Stade Metropole, and then travel to face Marseille at Stade Velodrome on March 6. If Lille come out of the those two matches on top of the table then they deserve to be odds-on to win the title, as their run-in is fairly gentle; if, however, either Lyon or Marseille emerge from the next two weekends in front, you would have to fancy one of those two traditional powerhouses of the French game to claim the big prize as the momentum will be with them.

    My feeling is the Lyon game will be tougher than the Marseille game. Lille have had just a couple of days to prepare for this coming Sunday’s match as they played PSV in Holland in the Europa League last 32 game on Thursday night. Lyon were lucky enough to play Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday night so will be fresher. And Lille’s Stade Metropole pitch resembles a potato patch at the moment, hindering their ability to play the fast, precise football that suits them. They’ll enjoy the wide-open spaces of the Velodrome.

    While Lille, Lyon and Marseille are taking points off each other, Rennes and PSG will try to edge nearer the top. Rennes are an interesting case; until recently, nobody rated them title candidates, but there’s no doubt Frederic Antonetti’s unspectacular yet hard-working side are genuine contenders. One of the division’s youngest sides, they lack experience but are physically impressive, defensively solid and have mastered the art of grinding out victories. Last Sunday night was a great example of that: away to Toulouse, they withstood long spells of pressure away to a Toulouse side that enjoyed greater possession, won more corners and had more shots before emerging with all three points (2-1).

    Like Lille, Rennes face Marseille (Mar 12, away) and Lyon (Mar 19, home) on consecutive weekends, so we’ll know more about their title chances towards the end of next month. At the time of writing, however, there’s no question the Bretons are the value pick at 13.0 (12/1) in the title race. Sitting just 2pts behind the leaders, they’re the only top-five side spared European football. That hands them a potentially pivotal edge in what’s turning into the most exciting title race in Europe.

    LIGUE 1 OUTRIGHT: Lille 15/8, Marseille 3.0 (2/1), Lyon 3.5 (5/2), Paris St Germain 9.0 (9/1), Rennes 13.0 (12/1)

    LIGUE 1 MATCH OF THE WEEKEND: Lille 2.1 (11/10), Lyon 3.3 (23/10), Draw 3.1 (21/10)

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Can anyone stop Barcelona? That’s the question for punters as the Champions League recommences with the first of the last 16 ties this week. Unsurprisingly, the Catalans are 2.88 favourites to win the competition for the third time in six seasons.

    Some might believe Barca’s unexpected defeat at the hands of Inter in last season’s semi-finals gives the other 15 sides taking part in this season’s competition hope of pulling off a similar coup. Others will argue lightning never strikes twice. The only truth at the moment is Barcelona deserve their short price because they are that much better than the rest of the continent.

    Of the other sides, Real Madrid (4.5) have to be considered Barcelona’s most serious rivals, if only because Jose Mourinho proved in last season’s last four he can outfox Barcelona manager Pep Guardiola. It would be typical of Mourinho to gain revenge on Barcelona for the 5-0 defeat Real suffered in Catalonia in the league earlier this season by knocking them out of Europe’s premier competition.

    With Wayne Rooney running into form, Manchester United (8.0) are starting to look like serious contenders, and the fact they have built up a healthy lead at the top of the Premier League will allow them to focus more keenly on Europe. It’s impossible to make a case for Arsenal (21.0) as the Gunners have drawn Barcelona in the last 16, while Chelsea (5.5) will need to improve markedly on what we’ve seen in the league recently if they’re to realise owner Roman Abramovich’s dream of lifting the continent’s top prize.

    Few people are giving holders Inter (23.0) a chance. No side has successfully defended the trophy since AC Milan (21.0) in 1990, and the Inter players and coach Leonardo lack the credentials to emulate the achievements of that magnificent Rossoneri side of two decades ago. The current AC Milan face a tough test against Tottenham (23.0), who caught many by surprise with the quality of their performances in the group stage. Gareth Bale became a continental star as Spurs finished above Inter but Spurs’ lack of defensive obduracy will is likely to prevent them going all the way.

    Last season’s beaten finalist Bayern Munich (17.0) will be quietly confident of reaching the last four again if they can get past Inter in the last 16. Arjen Robben and Franck Ribery are fully fit again and if those two stay injury-free over the next couple of months Bayern will be able to give anyone a game. Roma (41.0) have played some lovely stuff in Serie A this season and will also have an eye on the semi-finals as they’ve been handed one of the easier last 16 ties against Shakhtar Donetsk (81.0).

    French pair Lyon and Marseille (126.0 each) look doomed as they face Real Madrid and Manchester United respectively in the last 16, and their Ligue 1 form suggests they will be out of their depth against Europe’s better sides. One of Valencia (51.0) and Schalke (81.0) will reach the quarter-finals as the pair have been drawn against each other in the last 16 but I expect their interest in the competition to end at the last-eight stage, while FC Copenhagen (251.0) deserve their rank outsiders price.

    As I say, Barcelona deserve their short price, but for a more entertaining run for my money I’m backing Manchester United at a tempting 8.0, and making a small investment in Bayern Munich reaching the final at 9.0.

    Other Champions League odds (before last 16 ties):

    TO REACH FINAL: Barcelona 2.0, Real Madrid 2,7, Chelsea 2.8, Man Utd 3.75, AC Milan 9.0, Bayern Munich 9.0, Inter 11.0, Tottenham 12.0, Arsenal 13.0, Valencia 17.0, Roma 19.0, Shakhtar Donetsk 21.0, Schalke 26.0, Marseille 51.0, Lyon 51.0, Copenhagen 126.0.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    You know you’re a lucky side when you drop points but increase your lead at the top of the table. That’s what happened to Lille last weekend.

    Auxerre’s Poland international Darius Dudka popped up with an 87th-minute equaliser to make the final score 1-1 between Auxerre and Lille at Stade l’Abbe Deschamps on Sunday afternoon, but results elsewhere – notably PSG´s 1-0 defeat at Rennes the previous night – meant Lille ended the weekend five points ahead of their rivals at the top of France’s Ligue 1 table. Even below their best, Lille remain the pick of the crop.

    You could argue others’ failings (notably those of Marseille, whose title defence has spluttered) have played a primordial role in Lille building a handsome lead, but nobody in their right can argue ‘LOSC’ (Lille Olympique Sporting Club) don’t deserve to be where they are right now. Playing a brand of attacking football as unusual as it is welcome in Europe’s most defensive major league (the average goals-per-game count is always lower in France than in Germany, England, Spain and Italy), most neutrals would be delighted if enterprising coach Rudi Garcia and his relentlessly positive players landed the club’s first league title since 1954.

    In such a negative landscape, Garcia deserves immense credit for setting up his side the same way, home and away, every single week. Lille play a bold, quick 4-3-3, in which every player is comfortable on the ball and the team often attacks with six or seven players. They are one of the few sides in France capable of breaking down heavily populated defences – most French teams prefer playing on the counter-attack - and are comfortably the division’s highest scorers with nearly two goals a game. Performances such as their 5-2 win at Caen last November and 6-3 home victory over Lorient last month will live long in the memory.

    Lille’s renaissance is also a celebration of the sort of smart squad-building in which French clubs short on money but long on brainpower have indulged in recent seasons. Former France goalkeeper Mickael Landreau is enjoying a new lease of life after his career stalled at PSG; centre-back Adil Rami, spotted playing amateur football five years ago, is now a regular for the France national team; midfielder Rio Mavuba has excelled since joining Lille at the end of a miserable six months in Villarreal that suggested he might never fulfil the rich teenage promise he showed at Bordeaux; and Moussa Sow has provided ample reward for the large salary Lille offered when he left Rennes on a free transfer last summer by scoring 16 goals in 22 appearances to top the scoring charts.

    Star of the show is Eden Hazard, twice Ligue 1 Young Player of the Year and a transfer target for the likes of Arsenal and Chelsea. Should the Belgium international, who recently turned 20, leave north-eastern France next summer, he might do so with a senior Player of the Year title tucked under his arm. And Lille, if they’ve any sense – and they do – should receive a cheque for no less than 25m euro in return for parting with one of the finest talents the French game has seen in recent seasons.

    With 16 games to go, it’s too early to crown Lille champions – but it would be a triumph for French football were such a wonderful side to claim the prize.

    LIGUE 1 OUTRIGHT WINNER: Lille 17/10, Marseille 2/1, Lyon 3/1, PSG 8/1, Rennes 14/1.

    Sunday 13 Feb: Lille v Toulouse: Lille 2/5, Toulouse 13/2, Draw 3/1.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    One of the saddest things about modern football – in the tabloid-fuelled world that is the Premier League, at least – is the desire of certain sections of the media to turn the game into a morality play.

    Instead of seeing the sport for what it is – memorably, in the words of former AC Milan coach Arrigo Sacchi, "the most important of unimportant things – it has become a domain where everyone and everything must be treated as either good or evil, with no room for anything in between.

    That’s why the transfer of Fernando Torres from Liverpool to Chelsea for a fee of €57.5m on Monday night create a stir for the wrong reasons. On twitter, Facebook and the blogosphere, the main talking point wasn’t where the 26-year-old striker would fit into Carlo Ancelotti’s plans, or whether he could excel alongside Didier Drogba in one of the most intriguing attacking partnerships of recent seasons; it was whether Torres had "betrayed Liverpool.

    "Betrayed is one of those emotive words the media and increasingly vitriolic fans spit out every time a footballer changes clubs. The reason some Liverpool fans felt so betrayed by Torres in those final hours before the transfer window closed was because they’d bought into the myth he cared more about Liverpool than most footballers do about the clubs they play for in the first place.

    On joining the Reds, we’re told, Torres locked himself in his hotel room and devoured books and DVDs about the club’s rich history. Good for him. So what? Why would this make him any less likely to move on if he felt he could further his career by doing so?

    On Monday night, I read a Liverpool fan saying Torres’ departure particularly hurt because he had believed the striker was "one of us. This sort of naivety may be endearing were it not impossible to explain exactly what "one of us means. Should Torres turn up to watch reserve games? Stay for another two or three years? Or five? Get a season ticket when he retires?

    Strange though it sounds, I can’t help feeling some Liverpool fans genuinely reckon Torres shouldn’t have pursued a move to Chelsea simply because he owed it to Liverpool to stay. Why? The only fans that can think this way are surely those incapable of putting themselves in someone else's boots.

    Fernando Torres is 26 years old. He wants to win trophies. He feels he’ll have a better chance of doing so at Stamford Bridge than at Anfield. Perhaps he would also prefer to live in London than Liverpool, another perfectly legitimate whatever your profession. Chelsea made it clear they wanted to buy him. In these circumstances, the idea he should stay at Anfield simply to appease a minority of fans and media with a misplaced notion of what loyalty means is plainly absurd.

    All the Spain striker has done is join another club. Liverpool have received a fabulous – some would say – inflated fee for selling a player with a histories of injuries who might struggle to reach the heights of previous seasons. Yet despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary labels such as "betrayal, "disloyal and "Judas seem set to follow Torres for some time.

    Few people sympathise with footballers. I do. They are vilified for behaving in exactly the same way most of the rest of us.

    CHELSEA PREMIER LEAGUE WIN OUTRIGHT: 7/1 (8.0)

    FERNANDO TORRES PREMIER LEAGUE TOP GOALSCORER: 16/1 (17.0)

    CHELSEA PREMIER LEAGUE TOP 4 OUTRIGHT: 1/10 (1.10)

    CHELSEA TO BEAT LIVERPOOL ON SUNDAY 6 FEBRUARY: 13/20 (1.65)

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Were there subtle signs of a Liverpool improvement under Kenny Dalglish last Sunday? The Reds led, fell behind and eventually equalised to draw 2-2 at home to local rivals Everton. On the face of it, anything but a convincing result – but it was, most of the English media felt, a slightly more convincing performance than we’ve seen recently.

    Not that it would take much to beat the dross generally serve up at Anfield this season. Liverpool fans will tell you their side has produced some of their worst displays in living memory over the past six months, notably those humiliating 2-1 home defeats against Blackpool and Wolves. Dalglish’s first job is to get the team playing with some pride and spirit once again. In that respect, there were signs of progress in that respect last weekend.

    Whether Liverpool have within their ranks the pure footballing ability to go with the rediscovery of character that Dalglish is in the process of engendering is another matter. Debate continues to rage in the pages of the English papers about the quality of the squad former manager Rafael Benitez bequeathed to Roy Hodgson and now Dalglish, but it’s worth reiterating that just two seasons ago the Reds finished second in the final Premier League table, only four points behind champions Manchester United, in a season in which Fernando Torres missed 14 games. Xabi Alonso and Javier Mascherano might have left since, but I refuse to believe that a squad containing 16 full internationals, including three indisputably world-class talents in the form of Pepe Reina, Steven Gerrard and Fernando Torres, should aim for anything below a top-six finish.

    The top six may feel a long way off at the moment – Liverpool are languishing eight points lower than that, in 13th position – but several, if not all of the teams that separate the Reds from a potential European spot, are within striking distance. The sides in question - Sunderland, Bolton, Stoke, Newcastle, Blackburn and Blackpool – have exceeded expectations so far, but in my view Liverpool have the ability to overtake them in the months ahead and close the gap on the elite group they were members of until recently.

    Liverpool’s Holland international attacker Dirk Kuyt gave an interesting insight into the mood and feelings of the players this week: "It’s not easy for any manager to come into a team in the middle of the season but he’s [Dalglish] already helped us a lot and I’m sure he will in the future.

    "Fortunes change quickly, and I’m confident with the manager we have and the players we have we will do better than we have early in the season and it’s just a matter of time until we perform again.

    "I don’t want to be disrespectful to Hodgson because he gave everything he could. He wanted to play in a certain way, but every manager has their own training sessions, their own tactics, their own way of playing.

    This weekend, Liverpool are 2.05 (21/20) to get their first win under Dalglish when they travel to Molineux to face relegated-threatened Wolves. I’m backing them to collect all three points – which should be the start of brighter times ahead.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    While most people are making New Year’s resolutions at this time of year, I’ve decided to make my New Year’s predictions instead. Here are my views on who will collect the biggest trophies in European football in 2011:

    Champions League

    The bookies make Barcelona 3.1 (21/10) favourite – but even though Josep Guardiola’s side have played all-conquering football this season I can’t help thinking their price is a bit short. The biggest challenge will come from Real Madrid, and it would be typical of Jose Mourinho to make up for the 5-0 mauling the Merengues suffered at the hands of their arch-rivals in November by becoming the first man in history to lift Europe’s greatest club prize with three different clubs. I’d rather take the 4.33 (100/30) on Real than the 3.1 on Barca.

    Europe’s major leagues

    It’s easy to see why Max Allegri is one of the most highly-rated young managers in Europe: AC Milan look almost certain to end Inter’s five-year dominance. Taking a 3pt-lead over Lazio and Napoli into the New Year, the Rossoneri seem the best-equipped side to last the distance. Their price of 1.9 (9/10) will be too short for many bettors, but I think it’s a great bet.

    The English Premier League is far more open, even though Manchester United are the same price as Milan. Sir Alex Ferguson’s side remain unbeaten, and, ominously for the rest, tend to improve during the second-half of the season. Arsenal’s 3-1 win over Chelsea during the festive period is a sign of their growing maturity, and will tempt bettors to back them at 4.33 (100/30).

    Chelsea are in all sorts of trouble: following their run of just 10pts from 10 games, they have moved out to 5.5 (9/2), their biggest price at this point in the season since the pre-Mourinho days. The £27m arrival of Edin Dzeko improves the chances of my tips Manchester City (6.5) lifting the title for the first time in 43 years, while Tottenham Hotspur (23.0) have closed the gap on the big four and cannot be ruled out.

    The situation in Germany is more like that of Italy, with Borussia Dortmund having their very much their own way. Under highly-rated young manager Jurgen Klopp they have built up a 10pt lead over nearest rivals Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen and are playing some of the finest football in Europe, averaging 2.29 league goals a game. Their price of 1.33 (3/10) will put off some bettors – so instead, consider a Milan and Dortmund double. Should the two clubs claim their respective league titles, you’ll be rewarded at odds of 2.47 (around 5/2).

    France is also enjoying its most open race for years, with just seven points separating the top 13 sides. Lyon (2.75), defending champions Marseille (3.0), current leaders Lille (4.5) and PSG (8.5) head the market, although it’s too soon to say who will come out on top. European progress will be crucial: an early exit from the Champions or Europa Leagues could decisively swing the league race in the direction of one of these sides. I backed Lille pre-season and I’m sticking with them.

    Which brings us back to Spain, where the big two are locked in another momentous title race. Barcelona are 1.53, with Real Madrid 1.88. I expect Barcelona to win the league, although that will be little consolation if Real claim the Champions League.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Only the English are crazy enough to play throughout the Christmas ‘break’, although the unseasonably cold weather ravaging the British Isles forced most of last weekend’s programme of Premier League matches to be called off.

    One of the few fixtures to go ahead was the Manchester City v Everton clash on Monday night – and by the final whistle City manager Roberto Mancini must have wished snow had forced this game to be postponed as well.

    A City win would have sent the mega-rich club to the top of the table on Christmas Day for the first time since 1929. But Everton raced into a surprising 2-0 half-time lead thanks to goals from Australia midfielder Tim Cahill (who must surely rank as one of the club’s greatest-ever signings, having arrived from Millwall for £1.5m in 2004) and Leighton Baines. City pulled back a goal when England international Phil Jagielka put through his own net on 72 minutes but the hosts couldn’t force the equaliser and things got worse when they had a man sent off in injury-time: Kolo Toure picked up two bookings in three minutes to head down the tunnel.

    So instead of looking down on their rivals from top spot, City’s players remain third with 32pts from 17 games. Local rivals Manchester United will be top on Christmas Day for the first time in three years, with 34pts from 16 games. Arsenal are second with 32pts from 17 games. Chelsea are fourth with 31pts from 17 games.

    This is turning into the title race nobody wants to win. Having started the season in sensational fashion Chelsea’s campaign is now in danger of falling apart. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have won just one of their last seven matches in all competitions and picked up just 2pts from a possible 15 in the league. Last month’s unexpected departure of assistant Ray Wilkins – which remains a mystery to everyone outside Stamford Bridge, and probably some inside, too – destabilised the club. A cloud is hanging over Stamford Bridge.

    Arsenal are keeping pace – but how many times have we seen that before? The real test will come for them between February and April. I’m yet to be convinced the Gunners have the mental and physical stamina to compete for the title over the course of the season.

    Which leaves United. This week, Sir Alex Ferguson broke Sir Matt Busby’s record to become the longest-serving manager in United’s history. He’s already the most titled, and shows no sign of slowing up. When I assessed United’s chances before the season began, I took the view they would stand still because they had turned down (or couldn’t afford) the opportunity to sign top-class players to improve an ageing squad last summer. Yet here they are, top of the pile while tucking into their Christmas turkey. They are the team to beat right now.

    Looking at the odds, though, my pre-season tips City remain the value pick. Given how close the top four are, City’s price of 10.0 (9/1) is extraordinary. Why so much bigger than United (2.25 or 5/4), Chelsea (2.75 or 7/4) and Arsenal (5/5 or 9/2)? I can only think the Carlos Tevez affair has persuaded Sportingbet.com that internal disputes will derail City’s title campaign.

    I’m not so sure. The Tevez issue has been put to bed (for now), and Roberto Mancini has the Premier League’s most talented squad at his disposal. Back City now – you may never get a better chance.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    So once again Arsenal have failed when they’ve come up against Manchester United or Chelsea. Arsene Wenger’s title challengers lost 1-0 at Old Trafford on Monday night. That result means Arsenal have now lost each of their last six league meetings against their two main rivals.

    Wenger tried to put a brave face on the defeat. "Overall, you have to give credit to United’s defensive quality. We tried everything to create chances. I thought we were unlucky to lose the game, but we have to take encouragement from tonight’s performance.

    Really? I saw few reasons for encouragement. Man-of-the-match Rio Ferdinand and his fellow United defenders were rarely in danger of conceding a goal. United goalkeeper Edwin van der Sar barely had a save to make.

    Arsenal went into the game as the Premier League’s highest scorers, having averaged more than two goals a game in 16 fixtures. They were unable to match those standards against their old foes. For once, Samir Nasri had an off-day – he deserved one, after carrying the side brilliantly this season – and nobody stepped in to fill the gap he left. Andriy Arshavin? Peripheral. Marouane Chamakh? Starved of service. Jack Wilshere? Never on the ball long enough to influence proceedings.

    The outcome was the same when Arsenal faced Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on October 3. I attended Wenger’s pre-match press conference, and he insisted his players had the muscle and might to contain Didier Drogba. There was little evidence of that on the pitch. Drogba scored the first goal in Chelsea’s comfortable 2-0 victory.

    Some fans claim results in head-to-head clashes against title rivals don’t decide the eventual destination of the Premier League trophy. If you’re one of them, consider this: if Arsenal had taken just a point in their games against Chelsea and United, they’d be five points ahead of Chelsea and two points ahead of United right now (instead, they’re two points behind United and only one ahead of Chelsea). Last season, if they’d drawn all four games against United and Chelsea instead of losing them, they’d have finished three points behind United rather than 10. How different the outcome of the title race might have been if Arsenal had been in touch with the top two going into the final two or three matches.

    Every year, Wenger insists his youthful side is nearing maturity. Every year, performances prove otherwise. The sort of maturing Arsenal fans want to see is the one that results in Arsenal matching the standards set by the two sides that have won the last five league titles between them. Monday night’s straightforward United victory shows that, mentally and physically, the Gunners are still falling short.

    In July 2009, I backed Arsenal each-way at 11.0 (10/1) for the 2009-10 Premier League season. United had just sold Cristiano Ronaldo. Chelsea hadn’t strengthened their squad properly. I felt Arsenal had the greatest scope for improvement. For six months, I was proved right. Then, as usual, the Gunners trailed off at the end of the campaign.

    Last summer, I avoided making the same mistake. Thank goodness for that. I expect Chelsea, Manchester United and Manchester City to finish above Arsenal.

    The Gunners are 5.5 (9/2) to win the league, with each-way odds available for a top-two finish. Writing this the morning after the United defeat, those odds look impossibly bad value.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    After 115 days of the 2010-11 season, a Premier League manager has finally been sacked. Just when you thought football was becoming all sensible, Newcastle United come along to prove us wrong.

    Chris Hughton was dismissed on Monday morning. In a statement, his ex-employers Newcastle United said one of the reasons they sacked the former Republic of Ireland international was they wanted someone with "more managerial experience.

    Hughton’s managerial experience includes leading Newcastle to the Championship title last season. The Magpies lost just four of 46 games as they returned to the Premier League at the first attempt. They went through the entire season unbeaten at home. They finished with 102pts, 11 more than West Brom.

    Newcastle are a respectable 12th in the Premier League despite spending hardly any money last summer. In my eyes, Hughton has more than enough experience to continue the excellent work he’s done at St James’ Park. And, in any case, why would anyone with a more glittering CV want to work in such a madhouse?

    Those that believe young English managers aren’t given a fair crack of the whip genuinely have a case. Look at Roberto Di Matteo. The Italian, in charge of West Brom, is considered one of the finest young coaches around. The idea that Di Matteo might get sacked seems ludicrous. Look at the prices: he’s a 67.0 (66/1) outsider to be the next Premier League manager to go.

    Yet Hughton’s Newcastle finished well ahead of Di Matteo’s West Brom last season. And only three points separate the two clubs in the current Premier League standings. What’s going on? What, apart from an Italian passport, has Di Matteo got that Hughton hasn’t?

    A supportive chairman, for one thing. Newcastle United chairman Mike Ashley has form when it comes to dismissing managers. Since taking over the club in June 2008, he’s got through five of them. Sam Allardyce – who should still be in charge – barely lasted six months. Kevin Keegan lasted fewer than eight. Joe Kinnear was a cheap stop-gap; Alan Shearer an expensive one. Hughton looked like the right man to bring some stability to the club, until Ashley thought otherwise.

    The question is: where do Newcastle United go next? By the time you read this, we might have the answer. Former West Ham manager Alan Pardew was immediately installed as favourite to succeed Hughton. Next in the betting was ex-Spurs boss Martin Jol, who left Ajax this week. Other contenders include Martin O’Neill, Alan Curbishley and Ronald Koeman. One of the club’s former great players, Peter Beardsley, put in temporary charge.

    That’s the thing. There’ll always be someone that wants to take over at St James’ Park. Newcastle may be unsuccessful, but they’re compelling. The stadium, the passion, the fans. There’s plenty to get excited about, even though the experience usually ends miserably.

    Newcastle are 3.3 (23/10) to beat Liverpool this weekend. Roy Hodgson’s visitors are 2.05 (21/20), with the draw 3.2 (11/5). More interestingly, the Tynesiders are 7.0 (6/1) to be relegated. That price looks about right. Without Hughton, though, I expect the odds to shorten.

    Once again Newcastle are doing what they do best. Shooting themselves in the foot.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Barcelona produced one of the most magnificent performances in living memory to beat Real Madrid 5-0 on Monday night. It was a demonstration of football as the Catalans outpassed, out-thought and emphatically outscored Jose Mourinho’s visitors on a memorable Camp Nou night.

    Real had gone into the game 1pt ahead of Barca at the top of the Primera Division standings and unbeaten in 19 matches in all competitions but suffered one of the most humiliating nights in their history. ‘Humiliating’ appeared in several newspapers the following day as even the pro-Real press from the capital admitted the hosts were vastly superior on the night.

    "Barca are a machine, said Marca, adding that "Xavi turned the game with 20 minutes of genius. There is no other player like him. The Barcelona-based papers were euphoric, with Sport saying: "Real received another historic thrashing at Camp Nou as Barcelona taught them a footballing lesson. Mourinho was left hiding on the bench. The whole world saw there is no team like Barca.

    By Tuesday morning, Sportingbet had installed Barcelona at 3/5 (1.60) favourites to win La Liga. Real Madrid moved out from around evens to 6/5 (2.20). You imagine most of the money pouring into this market over the next couple of weeks will be for Barca.

    For bettors, the important thing in these sorts of situations is not to overreact. Right now it might be impossible to foresee a Real side so comprehensively outplayed by Barca eventually lifting the title, but the best way forward is to coldly assess the prices and decide what the smartest bets are.

    Are Barca really 3/5 shots to win the title? I’m not so sure. They have a 2pt lead over Real, but have to visit the Bernabeu next April. This week’s performance might suggest the Catalans are less likely than Real to drop points against the division’s other 18 sides over the next six months, but going into the game Barcelona had dropped five points, and Real only four.

    After Barcelona beat Real Madrid 5-0 in January 1994, the victors went on to lift the title. The following season, Real defeated Barca by the same scoreline – and Los Merengues ended up lifting the crown. But events don’t always follow this pattern. In October 1996, Newcastle United memorably thrashed league title holders Manchester United 5-0 at St James Park. Some commentators suggested Newcastle finally believed they could topple the champions having let a seemingly decisive title-race lead slip the previous season. But Sir Alex Ferguson’s side retained their title seven months later as Newcastle limped home seven points behind.

    Hype is the enemy of sound betting sense. In my view, there remains little to choose between Spain’s top two clubs, and you have a rare chance this week to back Real at odds-against to win the title. If, like most people, you believe only two sides can win La Liga, and if, like me, you think Barcelona will go odds-against in the outright market at some point, this is your moment. If you manage to back both teams at odds-against prices this season, you’re guaranteed to make a profit should one of the sides win the league.

    Monday night was a wonderful occasion for a football fan. Now it’s time to think like a bettor.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    They say timing is the most important factor in taking a football management job. If so, following in the footsteps of Jose Mourinho is like arriving at a wedding after the ceremony and speeches as the guests are down the final drops of champagne and polishing off the cake.

    Not even coming within a penalty kick of being the man that led Chelsea to their first-ever Champions League triumph saved Avram Grant from a critical pasting at Stamford Bridge. The team he led to the 2008 final was dubbed ‘Jose’s side’. Everyone knows FC Porto haven’t been the same since the ‘Special One’ left.

    At Inter, Rafa Benitez is learning all about the importance of timing. In leading Valencia to two Spanish league titles he was lucky enough to be competing against Real Madrid and Barcelona at a time when the traditional giants of the Spanish game were waning. Then he arrived at Liverpool (where I maintain he did a magnificent job) just as the club had tired of Gerard Houllier’s ways, and were seeking their first league title in 15 years.

    Now, though, the Spaniard is paying for Mourinho’s legacy. Last weekend, Inter lost 2-1 against Chievo. It was their fifth game without a win. The result leaves them nine points behind Serie A leaders Milan. The Rossoneri partly owe that lead to recording a 1-0 victory over Inter in the Milan derby a fortnight ago. That loss was all the more galling as former Nerazzurri striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic scored Milan’s winning goal.

    Signs of tension in the Inter camp surfaced on Sunday. During the game, Samuel Eto’o headbutted Chievo defender Bostjan Cesar in the chest. The referee didn’t spot the incident, but the cameras did – Eto’o has been handed a three-match ban and a 30,000 euro fine.

    It is hardly ideal for Benitez to lead Inter into their next three games without Serie A’ joint-leading scorer, although you have to wonder whether even the presence of the Cameroon international would help the ex-Liverpool boss to turn around the situation. Win a recent interview with France Football magazine, Wesley Sneijder made it absolutely clear how inspirational figure Mourinho was. Real Madrid’s Germany midfielder Sami Khedira made similar comments this week: "I moved [to Real] because of him [Mourinho]. He prepares us extraordinarily well for each game, giving clear instructions. Everyone loves working with him. Not just the 11 starters; the whole squad.

    Today, you can back Inter at 4.0 (3/1) to retain their Serie A title. But in my view, you’d be wasting your money. I believe Inter will relinquish their domestic and European crowns this season. You might argue finishing second in the league behind a resurgent Milan (currently 1.9 or 9/10 to depose their city rivals as Italian champions) and reaching the Champions League quarter-finals (Inter are far from sure to qualify for the second phase at the moment) would constitute a decent first season in charge for Benitez. But Inter’s fans and club president Massimo Moratti won’t see it like that. Timing really is everything.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    There are friendlies... and then there are friendlies that matter. By the time you read this, there’s a good chance you’ll already know the outcome of France’s international against England at Wembley. As I write this before the game, it’s obvious for France this game marks an important step in their rehabilitation towards earning respect on the international stage again.

    "This game will give us a sign of how much progress we still need to make, said Samir Nasri, whose preparations for the game have been simplified by the fact that France have used Arsenal’s training ground for their pre-match sessions. "We’ve got nothing to lose. England are a complete side. They’re better than France at the moment. They’ve got more international experience. They’ve got players that are in the Champions League semi-finals every season. That’s the difference between them and us.

    There’s plenty of truth in what Nasri says. Look at France’s 22-man squad for the game and there’s a clear lack of experience. Only Florent Malouda and the recalled Eric Abidal have amassed 50 caps or more.

    But the most important thing for France following their World Cup debacle was to change the attitude, spirit and morale within the camp, and that’s undoubtedly happened since Laurent Blanc took over. The man known as ‘le President’ – a hugely popular choice for the job – has flushed out the most undesirable features of the Raymond Domenech era. He has instilled the players with a sense of respect towards the shirt and the fans. Communication within the squad and towards the media has improved. France take to the field nowadays with a clear idea of what the coach expects them to do. Competition for places is healthy, even though Blanc has promised certain players plenty of time to bed down. And Ligue 1 players, so often made to feel inferior to their counterparts operating abroad, are now seen as equals.

    There are problems. The squad’s only proven international goalscorer, Karim Benzema, is no better than a substitute at Real Madrid. Malouda, scintillating for Chelsea, has struggled to reproduce his club form in an international shirt. And Yoann Gourcuff, tipped to be France’s playmaker for years to come, has yet to fully recover from a miserable World Cup.

    But there are plenty of positives. Hugo Lloris is one of the best goalkeepers in the world. Adil Rami and Philippe Mexes having the makings of an effective, complementary centre-half partnership. Samir Nasri is starting to fulfil this rich promise of his teenage years at Marseille. And France boast a collection of powerful central midfielders – Alou Diaby, Yann Mvila, Alou Diarra and Blaise Matuidi – that will be the envy of the world over the next couple of years.

    I thought the price of 23/10 (3.3) on France to win at Wembley was too big. And looking further ahead, France at 12/1 (13.0) to win Euro 2012 looks big as well. After four games, they are top of their qualifying group with 9pts from a possible 12. Few, if any sides on the continent have such scope for improvement over the next 18 months.

    If you’re looking for a decent long-term international bet, France to win Euro 2012 would be my pick.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    It certainly isn’t the first time a clash between the leading lights of a major European league has ended in a 5-0 scoreline. Fans of Spanish football will recall that a Romario-inspired Barcelona (the little Brazilian striker scored a hat-trick) beat Real Madrid 5-0 at Camp Nou in January 1994, only for Real, remarkably, to reverse the scoreline 12 months later. On that occasion, Chile international Ivan Zamorano was the hero of the night as he struck three times to put a delirious Real 3-0 up by the break before they completed the job in the second-half.

    Premier League fans will fondly remember Newcastle United’s 5-0 thrashing of Manchester United in a St James’ Park downpour in October 1996. Newcastle’s hugely underrated Belgium centre-half Philippe Albert rounded off the win with a delicious chip over Peter Schmeichel, the world’s best goalkeeper at the time, before wheeling away in celebration in front of the elated massed ranks of Geordies.

    On Sunday night, Portugal produced its own 5-0 thriller, as FC Porto thrashed arch-rivals Benfica at Estadio do Dragao. There was no hat-trick hero this time, although Falcao and Hulk both got on the scoresheet twice. Forget the Incredible Hulk; this was the Unplayable Hulk, as the burly Brazilian striker combined power, pace and skill to torment the Benfica defence throughout the game. He is the division’s leading scorer on 10 goals.

    The win takes Porto a step nearer to regaining the league title. They have won nine and drawn one of their opening 10 games. They are the division’s highest scorers (24 goals) and have the best defensive record (four conceded). They are 10pts clear of second-placed Guimaraes and third-placed Benfica. Had Benfica won, the gap would have been only 4pts, and the title race very much alive. As things stand now, it’s impossible to oppose the Dragons from the north.

    As the Benfiquistas drifted away from the stadium, they must have wondered where it had all gone wrong. Just six months ago, they were hailed as one of Europe’s most exciting teams and celebrated their first league title in five seasons. Their glittering line-up included the likes of Pablo Aimar, Angel di Maria, Ramires, Oscar Cardozo and Javier Saviola. But the summer departures of di Maria (to Real Madrid) and Ramires (Chelsea) robbed the side of creativity and balance, and a general malaise has set in. There have been flashes of the old brilliance, notably in the way Benfica ran up a 4-0 lead at home to Lyon in the Champions League last week. Yet signs of the new frailty were obvious in the way Benfica allowed Lyon to reduce that four-goal lead to a 4-3 final scoreline during the last 20 minutes.

    Perhaps Porto’s domestic dominance has something to do with the fact they’re not in the Champions League this season. They sit top of their Europa League pool ahead of Besiktas, Rapid Vienna and CSKA Sofia, but Europe’s secondary competition will not be enough to sate their appetite so they seem intent on winning the league as emphatically as possible.

    The perfect way to win a league, of course, is to go through an entire season unbeaten. The only club in Portuguese history to have achieved that feat was Benfica in 1972-73. Nothing would give Porto fans greater pleasure than to match that accomplishment. The way their side is playing at the moment, you wouldn’t bet against it happening.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    On Tuesday morning, France Football magazine announced the first-ever Fifa Ballon D’Or France Football shortlist (apologies to readers of this week’s South American blog. This is starting to turn into a France Football love-in). The award is a merger of the game’s two most prestigious player awards. France Football – France’s premier football magazine – founded the Ballon d’Or award in 1956. Fifa introduced their own award in 1991. Over the past decade, the two bodies have fought for supremacy. Earlier this year they decided to join forces. From now on, there will be only one award, with the winner awarded the iconic ‘Golden Ball’ trophy.

    The voting panel consists of the captains and coaches of the 208 national teams affiliated to Fifa, plus a panel of journalists from around the world (journalists always voted in France Football’s poll). Each jury member will pick his top three players. His first choice will receive 5pts, his second 3pts and his third 1pt. On December 6, the three players receiving the most votes will be announced. The winner will be announced on January 10.

    Not surprisingly, the 23-man shortlist announced this week contains seven members of Spain’s World Cup-winning squad (Puyol, Xavi, Xabi Alonso, Villa, Iniesta, Fabregas and Casillas). World Cup Golden Ball winner Diego Forlan makes the shortlist, as does Golden Boot winner Thomas Muller. Defending champion Lionel Messi is there. Samuel Eto’o and Asamoah Gyan are Africa’s only representatives.

    There are some controversial inclusions. Over the past 12 months, has Cristiano Ronaldo really done enough to warrant his place on the list? This seems like a case of reputation overruling reason. The most high-profile absentee is Gabriel Milito. The Argentina striker must wonder how Ronaldo was picked ahead of him. Milito scored both goals in Inter’s 2-0 win over Bayern Munich in the Champions League final last May. It was one of the competition’s greatest individual performances of recent years.

    In World Cup years, the winner of these sorts of awards tends to be someone that shone during the tournament: Romario and Hristo Stoichkov (1994), Zinedine Zidane (1998), Ronaldo (2002) and Fabio Cannavaro (2006). Andres Iniesta – scorer of the winning goal in the World Cup final – has a chance, although the Barcelona midfielder probably hasn’t done enough over the course of the year to earn the prize.

    The early betting makes Wesley Sneijder, Xavi and Iniesta the favourites. My pick would be Xavi. The Spain midfielder was sensational in the later stages of the World Cup, and has been excellent all year for Barcelona. Messi deserves a place in the top three because of his remarkable individual performances for Barcelona during the first six months of the year. Let’s not forget that when Messi drops down to ‘average’ by his own standards, he’s still better than virtually every other player on earth.

    I’d love to see Iker Casillas get a place in the top three. He was very good during the World Cup, and captained the winning side. Goalkeepers rarely do well in individual player polls, although Gianluigi Buffon – similarly influential when Italy won the World Cup four years ago – claimed second place. Casillas finishing in the top three would be a way of affording goalkeeping rightful recognition.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Jean-Michel Aulas has always taken a somewhat idiosyncratic approach to running a football club. But the Lyon president’s latest ruse still came as a surprise.

    Once the powerhouse of French football, Lyon began the current season in disastrous fashion: they took just 5pts from their opening five league games, which equated to their worst start in 15 years. Further defeats against Bordeaux (0-2) and then local rivals St Etienne – who rubbed salt in the wounds by climbing to the top of the French table for the first time in 30 years – left a club that has spent 100m euro in transfer fees alone over the past 14 months stuck in the relegation zone.

    Things weren’t going according to plan – but did coach Claude Puel really deserve what came next? As choruses of "resign, Puel! rang out from the stands of Lyon’s Stade de Gerland (where Puel has never been popular), Aulas announced that he would make a decision on the coach’s future after Lyon’s league game against bottom club Arles-Avignon on Sunday October 24. He has since pushed back decision day to Wednesday October 27, the day Lyon host PSG in the League Cup. So effectively, Puel is a dead man walking. Maybe.

    Football managers are under immense pressure at the best of times, so one can only imagine how it feels to go about your job when your president has told the entire world the date your managerial fate will be decided. Something of a control freak, Puel will be privately seething at the way Aulas had handled things – but publicly, at least, the Lyon coach has put a brave face on things. "Obviously, the situation is not ideal for me, but I can’t do anything about how the president communicates, said Puel at the weekend.

    Before last Sunday night’s game against Lille, Puel was odds-on to get the chop. But if press reports that he has lost the dressing-room are true, you would never have guessed it from the way Lyon played against Rudi Garcia’s visitors. Lyon were the better side from start to finish, ran out full-y-deserving 3-1 winners – and more importantly, exhibited the sort of attitude and commitment that suggested the players might yet dig their boss out of a hole. If I were setting a market today on Puel going, I’d make it 10/11 on the pair.

    The funny thing is that Lyon still stand a decent chance of getting back into the title race. They may lie 14th at the moment, but the French league is so open, they’re only 8pts behind leaders Rennes and 4pts behind third-placed PSG. There are 29 games to go. Only Marseille boast a squad and first-team that rivals Lyon’s. If they can weather the storm, it’s entirely conceivable they might go on a 10- or 12-game unbeaten run in the second-half of the season. In the last two years, Bordeaux (2009) and Marseille (2010) have mounted remarkable second-half campaigns to claim the title when nobody really gave them a prayer.

    Whether Puel will be in charge at that point, of course, remains to be seen. He’s got two games – that match against Arles-Avignon, and then PSG – to save his skin. At Lyon, the next seven days will make fascinating viewing.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    So Holland managed to beat Moldova without Nigel de Jong. The 25-year-old Manchester City midfielder was suspended from his country’s 1-0 win last Friday night because of the recklessness of his foul on Newcastle United attacker Hatem Ben Arfa that left the France international with a broken leg earlier this month.

    Cynics will rightly question the timing of Holland manager Bert van Marwijk’s decision. It’s one thing to suspend de Jong for a match Holland were always likely to win, but quite another to punish him on a more meaningful stage such as the World Cup finals. Of course, Marwijk took no such action against de Jong during the tournament in South Africa over the summer, even though the former Ajax midfielder and partner in crime Mark van Bommel often resembled hitmen more than footballers. Marwijk’s indulgence of the pair’s overtly physical approach resulted in de Jong’s disgraceful chest-high challenge on Xabi Alonso in the final. The foul should have earned de Jong a straight red card. Instead, referee Howard Webb awarded only a yellow.

    Yet it would be churlish to be too critical of Marwijk, as some action is better than none at all. Speaking on BBC radio last week, a Dutch journalist said the move had been greeted with widespread delight in Holland, where fans and the media had grown increasingly agitated by Holland’s physical style of play. Only in the years ahead will we know if any lasting damage has been done to Holland’s image as Europe’s most enduringly beautiful purveyors of football by the way they performed on the game’s biggest stage.

    It would be nice to think that someone in power in the English game might be brave enough to follow Marwijk’s lead. Instead, the all-too-predictable reaction to de Jong’s tackle was that the broken leg was the unlucky consequence of a decent tackle. Of course, it wasn’t. For far too long, English football has tolerated the sort of fouls that end in broken bones. When Birmingham City defender Martin Taylor shattered Arsenal striker Eduardo’s leg with an inexplicably late challenge in a league game in February 2008, Arsenal manager Arsene Wenger’s emotional post-match response – that Taylor deserved to never play football again – provoked greater fury from the media than the challenge itself.

    On European nights, every time a foreign referee blows to award a side a free-kick because an player has raised his foot half a metre or more from the ground in an attempt to win the ball, English co-commentators will say such challenges are "part and parcel of the game, before adding, "what’s he supposed to do if the ball’s in the air? The answer, of course, is to wait a fraction of a second until the ball returns to the ground. On the continent, referees have awarded free-kicks for raised feet for years. That’s one of the reasons players on the European mainland are subject to fewer career-threatening challenges.

    The more the media condones challenges like the one de Jong made on Ben Arfa – which has sidelined the French youngster for six months and may have a lastingly negative impact on his career – the longer they’ll go on. Without some sort of clampdown from the authorities or the nation’s most influential media or both, players such as de Jong will have licence to keep doing what they do best, which is kicking opponents.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    One name stands out in Fabio Capello’s squad for England’s Euro 2012 qualifier against Montenegro next week. Kevin Davies, the Bolton striker.

    If you haven’t seen Davies play, here is a list of some of the adjectives most commonly used to describe him: ‘old-fashioned’, ‘bustling’, ‘burly’, ‘awkward’, ‘difficult’, ‘unplayable’. Critics see Davies as a battering-ram centre-forward who using his physicality far too much. He has committed more fouls than any other player in Premier League history. Admirers consider him a much-maligned, hugely underrated striker whose international recognition is long overdue.

    Davies is in his eighth season at Bolton Wanderers. Under Sam Allardyce, Wanderers manager until 2007, Davies became a symbolic figure: critics of Allardyce’s supposedly long-ball football saw the Sheffield-born striker as a man whose main (some would say only) job was to rough up defenders.

    The caricature, however, has never been accurate. Davies is nimbler with his feet than most critics are willing to admit. For every aerial battle, there is also a short, sharp pass into team-mates’ feet. For every foul, there is a ball cleanly won, through spring, timing or anticipation.

    Davies is Bolton’s best signing of the Premier League era. He arrived on a free transfer from Southampton in 2003. Since then, he has missed just 20 of a possible 273 league games. For a player whose game is so physical, those stats are astonishing. He has been lucky to avoid injuries, but he deserves enormous credit for living professionally enough to be available virtually every week for nearly a decade.

    There are two obvious flaws in Davies’ game. The first is his lack of pace. Forty yards from goal with a defender on his shoulder, he’s unlikely to leave his marker for dead. Yet this is a situation he’s rarely in playing for Bolton, so it’s almost a non-issue.

    The second is his respectable rather than prolific goals record. In 253 league games for Bolton, Davies has scored 56 times. That’s a goal every 4.5 games. Only once in seven seasons has he reached double figures (11 goals in 2007-08). Yet again, though, how much criticism can be really levelled at him? His main task for Bolton is to win the ball in the air. He finds himself in goalscoring positions on fewer occasions than many other Premier League centre-forwards. And, during his time at the club, Bolton have been hardly prolific. And admirers would point out that since the start of the 2003-04 season, Davies has had a better goals-per-game rate than Emile Heskey.

    At 33, Davies doesn’t represent the future of England. His inclusion raised eyebrows because Capello might have gone for Newcastle United’s Andy Carroll – 12 years Davies’ junior, and with a hat-trick to his name already this season. Instead, Davies got the call.

    We’ll find out next week whether Davies will join other one-cap-wonder strikers such as David Hirst, David Nugent and Francis Jeffers, or whether he will disprove the doubters and graduate effortlessly to international football. Either way, there’s no question what will happen next: Davies will go back to Bolton, do what he does best – and say very little, if anything, about the many things said about him.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    On Sunday night, Claude Puel headed up the tunnel alone at Stade de Gerland. His Lyon side had just lost to local rivals – and Ligue 1 leaders – St Etienne for the first time in 16 years. The result left Lyon with 5pts from their opening seven games. They are 18th in the 20-team table. It’s their worst start for 15 years.

    The irony is that Puel is arguably the most protected manager in Lyon’s history. He’s certainly the most protected since the club embarked on their journey to the summit of French football. As Lyon won a record seven consecutive French titles between 2002 and 2008, coaches were dispensable under ferociously ambitious president Jean-Michel Aulas. Jacques Santini won two titles before moving on. Paul Le Guen won three before he left. Gerard Houllier won the league twice before being shunted back to the French Football Federation. Alain Perrin’s reward for earning the first domestic double in the club’s history was the sack.

    Puel enjoys greater powers than any of his predecessors – and yet has achieved less. Last year, Lyon finished trophyless at the end of Puel’s first season in charge. The manager repeated the feat last season. Yet Aulas has never called his manager’s abilities into question. The issue of sacking Puel has never been raised – at least not in the Lyon boardroom.

    The fans take a different view. Unhappy with Lyon’s pedestrian style of play, not to mention the lack of silverware, they have called for Puel’s head frequently over the last 12 months. Following the St Etienne defeat, 2,500 supporters stayed in the stadium to voice their disapproval. Aulas tried to appease them, although I doubt they’ll have liked what he had to say about the manager: "Why fire him? You have to give us a chance.

    For years, Aulas was the man with the Midas touch in French football. He transformed the fortunes of Lyon on and off the pitch. Miraculously, while picking up a succession of league titles, the club often turned a profit in the transfer market. The likes of Mahamadou Diarra, Michael Essien, Eric Abidal and Florent Malouda were picked up cheaply and sold for enormous fees to clubs abroad. ‘OL’ were the only French club to evoke respect and envious glances across Europe.

    But his unwavering support for Puel has called Aulas’ judgement into question. Why has he steadfastly backed a manager whose French league record was good (he led Monaco to the title in 2000) but whose achievements outside his homeland were moderate? Why he has placed so much faith in a coach whose man-management skills are unconvincing, and whose distant relationship with his players seems like the last thing Lyon need right now?

    Lyon still have a chance of getting back into the French League title race. They have such a wonderfully talented squad – Jeremy Toulalan, Yoann Gourcuff, Michel Bastos, Lisandro Lopez – that only Marseille rival them for pure quality. But Aulas has a decision to make. He says he’ll assess the club’s situation 10 games into the season. That’s October 23. Increasingly, it looks as though the time for change has come.

    LYON LATEST PRICES: Ligue 1 Outright 100/30 second favs; Champions League Outright 40/1 10th favs; Champions League Winning Country France 33/1 fifth favs.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Last weekend, mercurial French attacker Hatem Ben Arfa introduced himself to the Newcastle fans in the most memorable fashion by striking a brilliant 25-year winner against Everton at Goodison Park. The Tyneside fans have applauded a number of individualists down the years – Chris Waddle, Paul Gascoigne, David Ginola – but few have made such a spectacular start to their spell in black and white.

    Once described by Lyon president Jean-Michel Aulas as “arguably the most talented player this club has ever produced”, Ben Arfa must now confront the same challenge that he has faced and failed throughout his career. That is, to perform consistently well for the good of the team over a number of months and years, rather than providing moments of brilliance that occur so infrequently they end up becoming a measure of his unfulfilled potential.

    Coming through the ranks at Lyon, Ben Arfa was always set for stardom. Hailed as one of the most exciting teenagers produced in the French game in recent decades, he was the star of a TV documentary before getting anywhere near the first-team. Once he broke into Lyon’s star-studded starting XI, his talent was obvious: that brilliant left foot, marvellous balance, an ability to drift past defenders and cut in towards goal.

    But there were problems, too. Reports from the training ground suggested that Ben Arfa didn’t listen to advice. He fell out with Karim Benzema, the other star of the club’s prolific youth programme. There was a training-ground altercation with Sebastien Squillaci, now at Arsenal (which suggests Ben Arfa picks his opponents unwisely, if you look at the size of the two men). And his performances began to falter. The moments of magic were few and far between. Usually, Ben Arfa was a peripheral figure, better known for exasperating team-mates with his refusal to pass the ball or track back after losing possession.

    So unproductive was the youngster that Lyon cut their losses. In 2008, they sold him to rivals Marseille for 12m euro. In the Mediterranean port city, Ben Arfa’s career followed a familiar pattern – the odd marvellous cameo appearance, but usually drifting in and out of games rather than past opponents. He was fined for turning up late to training and infuriated coach Didier Deschamps with his unwillingness to change. Despite the comforting words of Marseille’s conciliatory sporting director Jose Anigo – “he’s like a son to me,” Anigo once said of Ben Arfa – there was no improvement.

    By the time Marseille ended their 17-year drought without a trophy by winning the French League Cup in March 2010 and following up with the league title two months later, Ben Arfa was an also-ran. The stars of the side were Mamadou Niang, Lucho Gonzalez and Mathieu Valbuena.

    The Paris-born player’s acrimonious move to Newcastle has granted him a final chance to salvage his career. Has he joined the right club? Only time will tell, although I suspect the same failings will surface, particularly in games where Newcastle enjoy less possession than their opponents. Then he’ll have to show the discipline and workrate lacking in his game so far.

    There are no odds on Ben Arfa’s chances of making a go of it on Tyneside. However, if Sportingbet.com offered a ‘Will Ben Arfa Be Seen As a Success at the End of 2010-11?’ market and offered 10/11 on ‘Yes’ and ‘No’, I’d back ‘No’ all the way.

    Yes, last weekend’s goal was a brilliant goal, but we’ve seen brilliant goals for him before. For Ben Arfa, the hard work starts now.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Manchester United begin their latest attempt to win the Champions League this week. By the time you read this, you’ll know whether they won at home to Rangers (the bookies made United short-priced favourites) – but whether they get three points or not, United seem as likely as ever to rely on Wayne Rooney this season.

    The 24-year-old England striker was left out of their trip to Everton last weekend, and while United’s inability to collect all three points owed more to poor defending late in the game than deficiencies in attack, there is an attitude, energy and aggression that Rooney brings to the side that no other player can replicate.

    Paul Scholes has begun the season in vintage fashion, Ryan Giggs remains a remarkable effervescent force on the left wing and Dimitar Berbatov is finally coming to terms with the responsibility of being a key player at United, but do you really believe United are going to win games when Rooney isn’t there? I don’t. There’s always a nagging suspicion at the back of my mind that they’ll drop points.

    And when the points tallies are added up at the end of the season, the two points that United dropped at home to Everton may turn out to be crucial. Other sides – Manchester City, Liverpool and Tottenham – are stuttering, but the way Chelsea have started 2010-11 – four games, four wins, 17 goals scored and only one conceded – underlines that United cannot afford to lose ground. This week I spoke to a former colleague who now works for Arsenal, and he genuinely believes the young players in their squad will get better this season, too. Arsenal fell away in the title race only in the last couple of months last season. With a more mature, experienced squad, they may last the distance.

    United are 12/5 to win the Premier League title, but on the evidence of what we’ve seen so far it’s impossible to oppose Chelsea at 9/10. That said, I’m surprised Manchester City have drifted out as far as 12/1 on the back of a couple of disappointing results. Thing may not have gone according to plan so far, but Roberto Mancini’s side will undoubtedly improve over the months and weeks ahead. In my view, the market has overreacted to their defeat to Sunderland (1-0) and draw against Blackburn Rovers (1-1).

    As for Rooney, the hope for England and Manchester United fans is that his alleged personal problems don’t impact too heavily on his goalscoring performances for club and country. He still has plenty of supporters among the price-makers – at the time of writing, Rooney remains second in the Premier League Top Goalscorer betting at 7/1, behind runaway favourites Didier Drogba (2/1), even though he’s got only one goal on the board.

    Sir Alex Ferguson got some criticism for his decision to leave out Rooney last weekend, but most observers points the finger of blame at the side’s defender for their late horror show. Their assessment was fair – but, in the long run, United will need their most prized asset at his peak form if they are to win anything this season, regardless of how well some of their other attacking players perform.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The Champions League draw on August 27 was the usual glittering mix of glamorous women, famous names dipping their hands into balls and some intriguing match-ups between Europe’s leading sides for the group stages that will dominate the autumn schedule.

    The prices are up, we’ve had a look at them from every angle – and now it’s time to pick out the smartest bets on Europe’s premier competition between here and December:

    Lyon to win Group B at 27/20 (2.35)

    Lyon reached the Champions League semi-finals last season and have flown the flag for the French game in this competition over the past decade. ‘OL’ normally finish second in the group stages, but this is the first time they’ve avoided one of Europe’s real heavyweight sides, and I expect them to take advantage. On paper, Lyon’s side is stronger than last season’s: they’ve bought playmaker Yoann Gourcuff from Bordeaux for 22m euro and improved their defence by replacing Jean-Alain Boumsong (Panathinaikos) with Senegal centre-half Pape Diakhate, on loan from Dynamo Kiev. Lyon’s main group rivals are Benfica, but the Portuguese champions are digesting the departures of Angel Di Maria (Real Madrid) and Ramires (Chelsea), while Schalke and Hapoel Tel Aviv ought to pose little threat. Back Lyon to top the group.

    AC Milan to win Group G at 9/4 (3.25)

    Few will be brave enough to back anybody other than Real Madrid to win Group G, but the opening weeks of the season suggest the Spaniards are overestimated to top the pool at 4/7 (1.57). After his expensively-assembled team stumbled to a 0-0 draw at Real Mallorca on the opening day of the season, Jose Mourinho admitted he’s “not Harry Potter,” and the Portuguese coach is astute enough to know it will take a couple of months before we see the best of his new-look side. By that time, AC Milan might have pulled clear at the head of the group as they’ve started 2010-11 brightly (they were impressive 4-0 winners over Lecce in their opening Serie A game) and took four points from a possible six against Real in last season’s Champions League group stages. I believe the Rossoneri have a better chance of winning the group than their price of 9/4 (31% chance) suggests.

    Valencia not to qualify from Group D at 2/1 (3.00)

    Like Benfica, Valencia are struggling to recover from the summer departure of their two most highly-prized assets. David Villa joined Barcelona after five seasons of service, and David Silva accepted the riches at Manchester City. Crippling debts mean little of the £55m raised from those sales has been reinvested in the playing staff. Instead coach Unai Emery, at 38 one of the youngest in the competition, will look for enhanced contributions from some of the players already at the club, such as Jeremy Mathieu, Joaquin and David Albelda.

    Yet Valencia’s group is anything but easy. Manchester United are shoo-ins for top spot, and two dangerous outsiders fill the remaining two berths. Bursaspor are riding on the wave of winning the Turkish League title last season, and Rangers, while lacking in quality, have outstanding attitude and spirit under Walter Smith.

    Valencia are a tempting price to be one of the biggest first-round casualties.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Zlatan Ibrahimovic became an AC Milan player this weekend and, typically, his arrival was anything but low-key. The Rossoneri unveiled their star striker – who’s arrived on a season-long loan from Barcelona with a view to a 24m euro deal next summer – during the half-time interval in their 4-0 win over Lecce, as a smiling ‘Ibra’ responded to fans’ chants by grinning from ear to ear while holding aloft a red-and-black scarf.

    None of the celebrations can, of course, dim the fact that Ibrahimovic has plenty to prove after 12 disappointing months in the Catalan capital. The stats from year in Spain are respectable – 22 goals in 42 appearances in all competitions – but anybody that watched Barcelona regularly during his time there knows the Sweden striker failed to catch fire in a Blaugrana shirt. For that, he blames Barca boss Pep Guardiola.

    “When I walk into a room, Guardiola will walk out. I don’t know if he is scared of me,” Ibrahimovic said following his departure from Spain. “The coach did not want me and I will not waste any more time. I want to rediscover my love of football with another team. I leave with more motivation.”

    It’s good to hear he’s motivated – and even though a move from Barcelona to Milan is a step down, the San Siro may be the right setting at the right time for Ibra. After all, he knows the stadium inside out having spent three seasons playing for Milan’s city rivals Inter. After a slow start, the 28-year-old Sweden international was eventually an unconditional success in Nerazzurri colours: he won three league titles, scored 57 goals in 88 Serie A games and was twice voted Serie A Player of the Year as well as picking up a Golden Boot award for his 25-goal haul in 2008-09.

    The other reason that Ibrahimovic may rediscover his best form now he’s back in Italy is that he thrives as the star turn. At Barcelona, he played second fiddle not only to Lionel Messi, but also Xavi, Andre Iniesta and other marvellous graduates of the club’s training academy. At Milan, Ibrahimovic will share top billing with Ronaldinho in name only, for those three successful seasons at Inter means he has already achieved more in the Italian game than his 30-year-old Brazilian team-mate ever will.

    The new signing is also fortunate enough to be stepping into a side that made an excellent start when the new Serie A season kicked-off at the weekend. Two Alexandre Pato goals, a strike from compatriot Thiago Silva and a last-minute Filippo Inzaghi effort (his 154th in Italy’s top flight) earned new manager Max Allegri a 4-0 win over Lecce in his first game in charge. To cap a wonderful weekend, Inter could only draw 0-0 in their first match on Monday night.

    The market has yet to react to Ibra’s signing: Milan are a distant second behind Inter in the outright betting market. Before the season began I wrote off Milan’s chances of winning a trophy, but Ibra’s arrival makes them a more tempting proposition. And, whether they collect a piece or silverware or not, life has just got more colourful with their new Swede on board.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    “The team was incredible tonight. I’m really pleased, especially seeing Ribery play for 90 minutes. He was incredible,” said Bayern Munich manager Louis van Gaal following his side’s 2-1 win over Wolfsburg that opened the Bundesliga season last Friday.

    The defending champions needed a last-minute Bastian Schweinsteiger winner to claim all three points, but they deserved the victory. World Cup Best Young Player award winner Thomas Muller gave the Bavarians a ninth-minute lead before highly-coveted Edin Dzeko equalised on 53 minutes. Wolfsburg, managed by Steve McClaren in the Bundesliga for the first time, were unable to hold out, though.

    Bayern produced everything you’d expect of the team based on what we saw last season: an early booking for Mark van Bommel, a positive attitude and plenty of scoring opportunities. There was also a requisite dose of drama off the pitch when a furious Martin Demichelis refused to take his place on the bench after being named among the substitutes. The Argentina international is now expected to leave the club.

    Van Gaal praise for Ribery followed a decent performance from the France winger, had six shots on goal and set up Schweinsteiger’s last-minute winner. It’s been a nightmarish summer for Bayern’s star winger: his reputation in his homeland has plummeted following France’s disastrous World Cup campaign, and he’s paid the price for his part in the so-called ‘Bus of Shame’ episode when the France squad refused to train during the finals by receiving a three-match international ban.

    Ribery has always felt at home in Bavaria, however, to the extent that last June he extended his contract until 2015 despite interest from Real Madrid and Barcelona. Ribery’s on- and off-field problems have done little to dampen the enthusiasm that Bayern fans feel towards him, either, although recent reports in German tabloid Bild that the Frenchman’s monthly salary has risen to 833,000 euro plus bonuses will put extra pressure on him to perform better after an injury-ravaged 2009-10.

    The Sportingbet markets expect Ribery and his team-mates to breeze through 2010-11: they’ve installed Bayern as 4/9 favourites to retain their crown. Those short odds make the Bundesliga the only one-horse race among Europe’s five major leagues, as the likes of Bayer Leverkusen (8/1), Hamburg (9/1), Schalke (10/1) and Werder Bremen (14/1) are trailing far behind. And it’s difficult to argue with the bookies. As well as Ribery, Schweinsteiger, van Bommel and Muller, Bayern counts Philipp Lahm, Daniel van Buyten, Miroslav Klose and Arjen Robben (who sat out the Wolfsburg victory) among its squad again this season.

    If that outright title price on Bayern is too short for you, Sportingbet already offer prices on all Bayern’s league games this season. Glancing through the list underlines how far ahead of the pack they are: Bayern are odds-on to win 26 matches and odds-against just seven times. One strategy to consider is backing Bayern every time they’re odds-against. Prices in those games range from 11/10 (to beat Wolfsburg in the return fixture) to 13/10 (away to Hamburg), so as long as Bayern win four of the matches, you’ll make a profit.

    In the mean time, sit back and enjoy the show. It’s a safe bet that Bayern will be among the most entertaining sides in Europe again.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Who needs Martin O’Neill? Aston Villa fans might have asked after they watched their side waltz to a 3-0 win at Villa Park on of the Premier League season. But then they’ll have realised it was West Ham they beat, taken a reluctant reality check and accepted that this will be a long, hard season for the Midlanders.

    It was not entirely surprising when O’Neill walked away from the Aston Villa managerial post just three days before 2010-11 kicked-off – after all, he was third or fourth with most firms in the ‘Who Will Be The Next Premier League Manager To Go?’ market, and how often do the bookies get it wrong? – and although the reasons for his departure remain unclear, most Villa supporters can take a pretty educated guess at what persuaded the popular Irishman to walk away. Like so many teams before them, Villa got to the brink of the top four and then realised that breaking into that elite club has become almost impossible for all but the richest of the rich.

    Villa owner Randy Lerner is often held up as a shining example of the ideal foreign owner – staying in the background, letting the coach get on with it – but the sad truth now is that no owner is ideal unless he’s a billionaire. The Premier League has become such an extravagant playground that anybody that belongs outside the world’s financial elite has virtually no chance of leading a club to anywhere above.... well, where Aston Villa finished last season.

    Sixth place was the best O’Neill could achieve in four years in charge (Villa finished in that position three years running) and most fans have downsized, as the moneymen would say, expectations for the new campaign. Manchester City and Tottenham’s squad are now considerably bigger and better than Villa’s, and if Fernando Torres stays fit for three-quarters of the campaign, Liverpool will surely swap places with Villa after an uncharacteristically low seventh place last term.

    Many observers reckon the James Milner affair was the final straw – Villa’s England midfielder appears to be on the point of a £25million move to Eastlands after a summer that essentially followed the Gareth Barry plotline that dominated the English transfer scene before he made the same move 12 months ago – but if the Milner affair was indeed the last straw, O’Neill was surely world-weary rather than angry. There’s no way he can expect Villa or anybody else for that matter compete with the sort of wages that City can offer. If sixth is the best I can manage, he probably thought, what’s the point?

    What’s the point indeed – which is Villa find themselves in the unenviable position of having nowhere to go. The top four is out of reach – you’d be mad to take the 11.0 (10/1) available on them breaking into that bracket now O’Neill’s gone – and Villa certainly won’t be relegated this season.

    I guess for Villa fans, then, 2010-11 is all about enjoying their Europa League adventure, seeing if they can sneak into that competition again next May and – as always – finishing above city rivals Birmingham while beating hated Blues home and away.

    From a betting point of view, Villa are a dead duck. My advice would be: avoid them in every single market.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The return of the World’s Richest League – better-known as the Premier League – is upon us and, as usual, there are more betting markets available on England’s top division than any other league on the planet. Yes, England remains the world’s football betting capital – and a quick glance at the Sportingbet website shows how many opportunities there are.

    If you need some advice or haven’t had time to check out the markets yourself, you’ve on the right page – because I’ve scoured all 14 Premier League betting markets to pick out the best-value selections. Ladies and gentlemen, here are your stand-out ante-post Premier League picks:

    1: Premier League Outright Winner
    If you take a look at the transfer activity of the top clubs this summer, you could generously conclude that reigning champions Chelsea are treading water, although given that a club normally needs to add a couple of players merely to stand still, it would also be fair to say the Blues have regressed. The same applies to last season’s runners-up Manchester United because, although they’ve added a fine young striker in Mexico international Javier Hernandez, they’ve done nothing to solve the defensive and midfield issues that plagued the side last season.

    Arsenal have snapped up Morocco international striker Marouane Chamakh on a free transfer and their group of players have genuine margin for improvement.

    But the biggest climbers of the lot will be Manchester City. Manager Roberto Mancini has had control of the club during the crucial pre-season period for the first time and some of his signings are sensational. Jerome Boateng, Aleksandr Kolarov, Yaya Toure and David Silva will markedly improve the first-team – which means that a side that finished just outside the top four last season look odds-on to do a lot better this time around.

    I’d give each member of the new Big Four a 25% chance of winning the title, which equates to odds of 7/2. Chelsea are 6/4, United 12/5, City 5/1 and Arsenal 11/2 – so the value picks are obviously the last two. Split your stakes across City and Arsenal for your best chance of turning a profit.

    2: Premier League Bottom Place 2010-11
    Even suggesting that Blackpool might, just might, be the worst team ever to play in the Premier League will be music to manager Ian Holloway’s ears, because that’s exactly the sort of comment he will use to motivate his top-flight underdogs before every game this season.

    Holloway is one of the English game’s most popular bosses and did a sensational job in guiding Blackpool to the top flight for the first time since 1971, but for the cold, clinical punter, there are some salient facts that simply cannot be ignored.

    At the end of the Championship’s regular 46-game season, Blackpool – who won promotion via the play-offs - were sixth. They finished a massive 21pts behind second-placed West Brom and only 23pts above the relegation zone. Their final league standing gives you a far better view of the standard of their side.

    Blackpool also conceded 58 goals at a rate of 1.26 goals a game. Only two sides that finished in the top-half conceded more goals. If Blackpool’s defence was so leaky against the attacks that perform in the second tier of the English game, how will they withstand some of the world-class talents on show in the top flight?

    Blackpool are 4/5 to finish bottom, which equates to a 55%-56% chance of collecting the wooden spoon. I’d say the Tangerines’ chances of being stuck to the foot of the table on the final day are bigger than that – so get on Holloway’s boys to finish 20th while a decent price is still there. Give it a couple of weeks, and you might find they’re 1/2.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    “It’s the same for lots of clubs, there’s just not a lot of money around,” said Marseille coach Didier Deschamps as he attempted to explain the lack of transfer activity in Europe’s fifth biggest league this summer.

    How different the situation was 12 months ago, when France’s Ligue 1 was awash with money and the top division’s 20 clubs went on an unprecedented spending spree. Deschamps was one of the first to splash the cash, spending a club record 18m euro on Lucho Gonzalez. The Argentinian playmaker was one of a number of high-profile Marseille purchases as the club spent a further 20m euro on the likes of centre-half Souleymane Diawara, Cameroon international centre-back-cum-midfielder Stephane Mbia and Argentina veteran Gaby Heinze. And, while former Spain striker Fernando Morientes may have arrived on a free transfer, his wages were enormous.

    Lyon went even further, spending a total of 72m euro, including an all-time French transfer record of 24m euro on Lucho’s former FC Porto team-mate Lisandro Lopez. Both Lyon and Marseille can argue they got value for money from their shopping trip in Portugal – Lisandro was voted Ligue 1’s Player of the Year 10 months later, while Lucho inspired Marseille to their first league title triumph in 18 years – but both clubs, and every other in France, have had to trim their spending this year.

    Marseille may have won the title but club owner Margarita Louis-Dreyfus told Deschamps and sporting director Jose Anigo they would have to reduce the club’s playing wage bill by 10% before buying new players. Hence Marseille’s transfer situation is blocked – they’ve been unable to get rid of the players they no longer want, so there’s no money to spend.

    Lyon made a wise early move for Rennes’ France international striker Jimmy Briand, available for a cut-price 6m euro because of a buy-out clause in his contract, but otherwise there’s been no activity at the south-eastern club. And Bordeaux, having already lost coach Laurent Blanc to France (club legend Jean Tigana has taken over) and centre-forward Marouane Chamakh to Arsenal, may be forced to suffer the humiliation of seeing their captain and central midfielder Alou Diarra join Marseille – assuming, that is, Marseille finally get their wage bill reduced.

    Going into the first weekend of league games, it all means that the leading contenders for the title no stronger than last season, which opens the way for an outsider to challenge for the crown. And, should everything go to plan, that outsider will be Lille.

    One of the best-run clubs in France, Lille finished fourth last season, missing out on a podium place only because they dropped points on the final day. Coach Rudi Garcia is one of the smartest in the division, and the club boasts some of the finest footballers in France. Young Player of the Year Eden Hazard, highly-regarded Ivory Coast winger Gervinho and a host of emerging stars on the fringes of permanent places in the France squad (centre-half Adil Rami, right-back Mathieu Debuchy, midfielders Rio Mavuba and Yohan Cabaye) will ensure that Lille’s first-team is the equal of title favourites Marseille and Lyon.

    Looking at the ante-post prices at Sportingbet, Lille stand out. Lyon are 6/4 (2.5) favourites, Marseille are 2/1 (3.0) and a fading Bordeaux are 4/1 (5.0). Behind those three, Lille’s price of 12/1 (13.0) is huge considering they’re the side with the greatest scope for improvement.

    Back them each-way, and you’ll get paid out at a third of the odds if Lille finish in the top two. Given the quality of their playing squad and the progress they’ve made in the past couple of seasons, you’ll get an excellent run for your money all the way until next May.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    There are many that consider Silvio Berlusconi a liability in politics, but I’ve always felt he was a loss to the Italian football association. Berlusconi has spent the latter phase of his life ruling Italy in controversial fashion, whereas he might have been better suited to running Italy’s national obsession.

    Whatever his faults, you can’t say Berlusconi isn’t a football man. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, he was correctly predicting the direction of the world game when no-one else dared to forecast that the club code would one day overshadow its international counterpart. He also made two of the wisest and bravest managerial choices in Italian football history by naming Arrigo Sacchi as AC Milan coach in 1987 and then appointing Fabio Capello as Sacchi’s successor four years later. Between them, Sacchi and Capello created some of the finest sides the game has ever seen. Under their stewardship, Milan reached five Champions League finals, winning three times, and picked up five Serie A titles.

    As Berlusconi has had other things on his plate over the last 15 years or so he’s had less time to devote to running AC Milan. As a result, recent converts to the global game may see him as one of the increasing number of knee-jerk billionaire owners whose comments merely cement their position as ignoramuses-in-chief, not to mention serial underminers of their long-suffering coaches. Once upon a time, it would have been misguided to put Berlusconi in that category; now it’s difficult to see him as anything else.

    His chronic bugbear, as former Milan coach Carlo Ancelotti would tell you, is wanting to see his side play with two up front. His comments on the matter this week underline it’s still an issue.

    “We don’t want to see just one forward,” Berlusconi told a gathered throng of journalists on Milan’s first day of pre-season training while new coach Max Allegri sat silently alongside him. “To win, you have to score. To have chances, you’ve got to have forwards close to the goal.

    “I liked [former Milan coach] Leonardo a lot, but I disagreed with him on how his team lined-up. Ronaldinho must play on the shoulder of the strikers even though he has a tendency to drift left.”

    Berlusconi’s statement says as much about Milan’s fall from grace as it does about the 73-year-old owner’s increasingly tenuous grip on the realities of modern football. In Milan’s heyday, there was never recourse for Berlusconi to make a fool of himself because the club’s ultra-competent coaches were too busy winning trophies. Berlusconi’s genius was to see the bigger picture but let the coaches get on with the nitty-gritty of daily life at a football club.

    As Milan’s grip on power has started to slip, Berlusconi has felt increasingly entitled to comment on the nitty-gritty, the daily grind, the tactical stuff. In doing so, he’s entered waters where he’s always looked more likely to sink than swim. Will anybody be brave enough to point out to him that England, one of the few sides to play with two strikers at the recent World Cup, exited the tournament early with the label ‘dinosaurs’ swinging around their necks?

    No matter how they play next season, I can’t see the Rossoneri getting their hands on a trophy. They’re 4/1 joint-second favourites (alongside Roma and Juventus) behind runaway jollies Inter (11/10) in the Serie A outright market. They’re 16/1 joint-seventh favourites to lift the Champions League.

    Both prices owes as much to reputation as reason. There’s more chance of Berlusconi defecting to the Democratic Party than Milan earning a pay-out for backers.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    Seeing Iker Casillas waving the World Cup trophy in front of an estimated one million fans on the streets of Madrid on Monday afternoon, you might think the Real Madrid goalkeeper leads a charmed life. Yet nothing could be further from the truth. Believe it or not, the 29-year-old shot-stopper’s supremacy is questioned. Once every eight years, that is.

    In 2002, Casillas was dropped as Real Madrid headed towards their third Champions League final in five seasons. Supposedly struggling for form, he made way for Cesar Sanchez even though at that point he was established as Spain’s number one goalkeeper. It looked as though a promising career had hit the rails as he had to watch from the sidelines while Sanchez marshalled the defence and long-serving deputy Santiago Canizares finally got a run in the national side as the World Cup finals approached.

    But a couple of strokes of fortune in the space of a few months suggested that perhaps the man that would be later nicknamed ‘Saint Iker’ did have someone looking down favourably on him. First Sanchez limped off injured in the Champions League final, allowing Casillas to come on. He produced a couple of crucial late saves that eventually proved decisive as Real beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-1.

    Two days later Canizares was ruled out of the World Cup finals when he dropped a bottle of aftershave at the team’s training base and injured his foot on a shard of glass. Casillas regained the number one spot and never looked back – until this year.

    Remarkably there were calls from some quarters for Barcelona’s Victor Valdes to replace Casillas as Spain’s number one before the World Cup began. Valdes is a widely underrated figure – but replace Casillas? I have no idea what those in favour of the switch were thinking.

    At the age of 29, Casillas is already one of goalkeeping’s all-time greats. Of all the number ones that have graced the international game over the past two decades, only Peter Schmeichel, Gianluigi Buffon and Oliver Kahn deserve to be mentioned in the same breath. He has won four Spanish titles and two Champions Leagues. He has been voted into Uefa’s Team of the Year three times. He was unofficially the best goalkeeper at Euro 2008, where he captained Spain to victory. And he was even better in South Africa, winning the official ‘Golden Glove’ prize, keeping four consecutive clean sheets in the knock-out stages and sticking out a leg to deny Arjen Robben what might have been the winning goal when the score was 0-0.

    Having represented his country 111 times, Casillas might conceivably finish his career as the most-capped player of all time (Saudi Arabia’s Mohamed Al-Deayea and Mexico’s Claudio Suarez are joint-record holders on 177, so Casillas needs to maintain his current annual average of 10.5 caps for just another six years or so in order to set a new high). Given the quality and youthfulness (Pique, Ramos, Busquets, Fabregas, Pedro) of Spain’s squad, it’s entirely possible that Casillas may become the first goalkeeper ever to captain his country to two World Cup victories (Spain are ---- to retain their crown in four years’ time).

    A more immediate challenge is helping Real Madrid return to the heights they hit during the first few seasons of his club career. The arrival of Jose Mourinho means Casillas’ chances of getting his hands on the Champions League trophy are better than at any time since his World Cup-winning coach Vicente del Bosque left the club seven years ago. And there’s the small matter of ending Barcelona’s Liga dominance, too. Real are ----- to win the Spanish title and ---- to win Europe’s biggest prize for a record 10th time. With Saint Iker between the sticks, you’d be mad to rule Real out on either front.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    At least the English media will be happy. Roy Hodgson’s appointment as Liverpool boss means the blokes in the press box can get behind the man in the Anfield managerial hotseat once again, ending years of hostility towards his predecessor, Rafa Benitez.

    But will anybody else be happy? Sir Alex Ferguson and Carlo Ancelotti, perhaps. The pair must have had a quiet chuckle at the latest chapter in the demise of this once-great club.

    What about Liverpool’s fans? Not if internet message boards provide anything like an accurate representative of the general feeling on Merseyside. The overwhelming question among the Anfield faithful regarding the appointment of Hodgson is: why?

    A good question. I’ve dwelled on the matter all week and I’m yet to come up with a watertight footballing explanation for the appointment. Benitez was in charge for six years. Only his final season can be considered a failure. In the previous five, he won the Champions League, the FA Cup, reached another Champions League final, a semi-final and finished second behind Manchester United in the league in a season in which Fernando Torres missed 14 games.

    If Jose Mourinho had expressed an interest in the position, things would be different. But sacking Benitez for a man who has failed to collect a trophy in any of Europe’s five major leagues and whose Fulham side won just four of 38 away games in his two full seasons in charge is perverse.

    In the light of Hodgson’s inferior managerial record, it’s no surprise that his press-box backers are talking up non-footballing matters. His appointment will see decency return to the corridors of Anfield, they say – as if Benitez removed decency in the first place.

    The two men responsible for a loss of decency at a club once famed for it are Tom Hicks and George Gillett, the warring American owners who have systematically shredded the club’s reputation during three catastrophic years in charge. Remember them going behind Benitez’s back to sound out Jurgen Klinsmann for the manager’s post? Even then, the Spaniard was cut little slack. I get the feeling pro-Hodgson English media commentators will be far quicker to acknowledge the difficulties of working under Hicks and Gillett now one of their own is in charge.

    They like Hodgson for the way he carries himself in front of the cameras. An articulate, bright man, he is excellent value. That’s why his performance at his introductory press conference got the thumbs-up in the papers the next day. But his true value will be measured in the performances of his teams on the pitch in the months and years ahead.

    How good will those results be? Moderate, is my guess, even if the new boss manages to retain the services of Torres and Steven Gerrard (and that will be an onerous task given the direction the club’s heading in, not to mention the geographic proximity of Manchester City, the richest club in the world).

    Liverpool are 11/1 fifth favourites to win the 2010-11 Premier League. Right now, that looks like one of the worst bets in football.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    As the inquest into England’s dramatic World Cup failure continues, airwaves, newspapers and websites the length and breadth of the land are being filled with thousands upon thousands of words, opinions and wildly varying theories about just why Fabio Capello’s best-laid plans came crashing down spectacularly around his face..... just as happened to predecessors Graham Taylor, Glenn Hoddle, Kevin Keegan, Sven Goran Eriksson and Steve McClaren).

    Some of the reasons for the Three Lions’ (exactly when did they come to be known as that?) demise are plain daft. Others are plausible. But the one mistake that most commentators have made is to believe there is only ONE reason for the side’s dismal demise.

    There are multiple causes for England’s abject failure on African soil. Some are long-term; others emerged in the final few weeks of preparation; and during the tournament itself self-inflicted difficulties hammered the final few nails into the side’s coffin.

    The chronic ailments are well-documented. England has no national coaching structure, no commitment to teaching young players how to control a ball properly. The emphasis at youth level is on physical strength and pace rather than skill and technique. So we breed generation after generation of footballers who are outclassed at the highest level. And, you might argue, the absence of a winter break leaves our players tireder at the end of league seasons than some of their counterparts playing in other countries.

    Before the tournament began, injuries dealt England a cruel hand. David Beckham was a minor loss, but the absence of Rio Ferdinand was a far more serious blow. And, crucially, Fabio Capello failed to foresee that his ultra-disciplinary approach would be as unsuitable during the finals as it was adept for the qualifiers. Keeping the players on a short leash for a couple of days at a time when you’ve got a one-off international makes sense; adopting the same approach while the players are locked away for six weeks is madness.

    Once the tournament began, Capello made mistakes. Playing Steven Gerrard out of position, persisting with a 4-4-2 system that played into opponents’ hands and delaying the decision to name his first-choice goalkeeper until the very last minute all had a negative effect. And there was some bad luck as well, the most obvious example being Frank Lampard’s goal that never was against Germany. Even though England weren’t playing well at the time, the outcome might have been dramatically different had they been level at the break.

    There are lots of reasons. Don’t listen to anybody seeking simple answers. And, just as the causes behind England’s elimination are complex and multiple, so are the solutions. Sacking Fabio Capello or discarding a generation of footballers or tearing up the preparation manual when the Euro 2012 qualifiers begin won’t improve England’s chances of ending their 44-year (soon to be 46) wait for an international trophy.

    The final question: will England learn the lessons of failure? They never have in the past. And there’s no reason to believe they will this time, either.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    For the Barcelona contingent in Spain’s World Cup squad, last week’s 1-0 defeat to Switzerland must have felt like a particularly nasty case of déjà-vu. Vincente del Bosque’s side dominated possession in much the same way Josep Guardiola’s Barca did in their Champions League second leg against Inter, but the outcome was the same.

    Gerard Pique, Carles Puyol, Sergio Busquets, Xavi, Andres Iniesta and Pedro (check for other Barca players) must wonder if they’re cursed. Having won praise from neutrals and opponents alike for the quality of the football they’ve played in 2010, they must now fear missing out on the two prizes they most craved: the Champions League (which has already gone) and the World Cup.

    Under the permanently inscrutable gaze of del Bosque, Spain’s chances of having a say in the tournament improved last Monday night when they played Honduras off the park and ran out 2-0 winners. David Villa scored a stunning first goal and slightly lucky second (his shot took a deflection) before blowing his chance to claim the second hat-trick of the tournament by firing wide from the penalty spot.

    The worry for Spain fans will be their side has no Plan B. From the moment the game starts, they attempt to pass opponents to death. When they lead 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0, they continue playing in exactly the same way. And when they trailed 1-0 to Switzerland, what did they do? Passed, passed and passed some more.

    The passing game is their trademark, the style that’s made them successful and popular.... but watching Spain against Switzerland and Chile, it was impossible to avoid the conclusion that del Bosque has done nothing to improve the side that won Euro 2008. Why change a winning side, you might ask. A fair point, but I’d argue that teams rarely win consecutive major international tournaments unless they make significant modifications to their style.

    Brazil have the ability to pass the ball almost as well as Spain, but the reason Brazil didn’t pass either North Korea (2-1) or Ivory Coast (3-1) to death is that they ‘mix it up’, to use common football parlance. They cross the ball more than Spain, produce more crossfield passes and are willing to rely on pace and physical strength in certain areas of the pitch. It may not be ‘O Jogo Bonito’ as some people remember it, but right now it looks more likely to prove successful than Spain’s brand of play.

    Brazil and Spain were ante-post favourites for the World Cup, and their positions have barely changed since the tournament began. At the time of writing Brazil are 21/5, with Spain slightly behind as 19/4 joint-second favourites alongside Argentina. The Spanish owe their larger price to the fact they’ve yet to qualify for the knock-out phase while Brazil are already through.

    I won’t be backing Spain at 19/4, and I wouldn’t back them even if they were a couple of points bigger. There’s more than one way to skin a rabbit, as the English say. Spain haven’t worked that out yet.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The opening week of the World Cup has thrown up more questions about Fabio Capello’s managerial abilities than the Italian’s previous 18 months as England boss. To say his side’s 1-1 draw against USA in their opening World Cup Group C match was disappointing is an understatement. He are the main doubts the performance has raised about Capello, and the issues he has to put right before England’s second game against Algeria in Cape Town on Friday night

    1 Who is England’s number one number one?

    It would be perverse to entirely lay the blame for Robert Green’s horrendous handling error against the USA at the feet of Capello, but the manager’s decision to leave it until the very last minute to name Green as first-choice goalkeeper for the opening game did the West Ham goalkeeper no favours. Green would have benefited from knowing months ago that he was going to play against the States. That way, he could have built up a rapport with the back four rather than focusing on proving himself on the training field. Much like Scott Carson, who earned a fatally late call-up for England’s final Euro 2008 qualifier against Croatia (which proved to be Steve McClaren’s last match in charge) and then made a massive clanger, Green was a bundle of nerves. Capello has to take some of the responsibility

    2 Ledley King – a crocked man walking?

    Dissenters predicted that the almost permanently injured Ledley King would struggle to survive the tournament, and they’ve already been proved right. The Tottenham centre-half lasted just 45 minutes against the United States before limping off with a groin injury that looks likely to sideline him for a further fortnight, effectively ruling him out of all matches up until the quarter-final. Was it really wise to risk so much on a player that has suffered chronic injury problems for several seasons when Rio Ferdinand was already ruled out by injury? England have a dearth of centre-halves, but it would have surely been better to take somebody with a clean bill of health that stake so much on a Rolls Royce that was always likely to break down at the first bump in the road.

    3 Steven Gerrard and Frank Lampard – the non-partnership

    The Unites States equalised because Robert Green failed to stop Clint Dempsey’s simple shot, but the build-up to the goal was equally instructive. England’s lack of a defensive midfielder meant that Steven Gerrard had to track back, but Dempsey turned the England captain inside out before shooting on goal. We saw the same thing happen again and again. Because of their attacking instincts (and inability to retain possession) Gerrard and Frank Lampard got caught in front of the ball too many times, allowing the USA to claim possession and grow in confidence the longer the game went on. Gareth Barry was injured, but why didn’t Capello pick Michael Carrick or James Milner as a holding midfielder? Hasn’t he noticed that Gerrard and Lampard leave England exposed?

    I’d be absolutely stunned if England don’t progress from a group containing Algeria and Slovenia, who looked poor when they met in Peter Mokaba Stadium last weekend. But there is much work for Capello to do for England to justify their status as 8/1 fourth favourites to lift the trophy.

  • James Eastham keeps us up to date with the news back home European Football this week.
    Email James with your view on football james.eastham@sportingbet.com

    Focus on Europe

    The World Cup has finally arrived. Here are a few pieces of betting advice on some of the leading contenders from Europe:

    ENGLAND: The fact that England have failed to win a trophy since 1966 is not reason enough to write off Fabio Capello's side: Spain had gone longer without a piece of silverware before clinching Euro 2008. All is far from perfect in the England camp as the World Cup approaches – the goalkeeper position remains a worry, and the side is heavily reliant on Wayne Rooney – but Capello has instilled a mentality into his players that will make them difficult to beat. Only Spain boast more world-class players than England. With a fair wind, they can end their 44-year barren run. PREDICTION: WINNERS

    SPAIN: The Euro 2008 winners go into the tournament as 4/1 favourites but the fact that so few sides have achieved the world and European double (France were the last side to do it in 2000) shows what an arduous task they face. Spain have the best players, a formidable winning record over the past three to four years and a wealth of experience, but they also have concerns. Xavi, Andre Iniesta and Fernando Torres have all suffered injuries over the past six months, and Inter's Champions League semi-final victory over Barcelona shows that enjoying the lion's share of possession does not guarantee success. I'm backing Spain to fall at the final hurdle. PREDICTION: RUNNERS-UP

    FRANCE: Rebuked and reviled in equal measure, Raymond Domenech says farewll to the national side at this tournament after six controversial years in charge. Les Bleus struggled to qualify for the finals and Domenech's belated experimentation with 4-3-3 has done little to inspire confidence among the fans. Hugo Lloris, Patrice Evra and Jeremy Toulalan are world-class performers, but France face a tricky group containing Mexico, Uruguay and hosts South Africa. A good start against Uruguay on Friday is vital if France are to get out of the group. PREDICTION: SECOND ROUND

    ITALY: The Azzurri's side largely contains players that lifted the trophy in Germany four years – but they're older and considerably slower than they were then. Is Fabio Cannavaro really the right man to marshall the defence? Does Gianluca Zambrotta still have the legs to get up and down the pitch? And what does is say about Italy's lack of goalscoring options that the untested Antonio di Natale will lead the attack? The last side to retain the World Cup was Brazil in 1962. Don't back Italy to emulate that feat? PREDICTION: QUARTER-FINALISTS

    HOLLAND: The European equivalent of Argentina, Holland have exceptional attacking qualities but an obvious lack of defensive strength. Robin van Persie, Arjen Robben and Wesley Sneijder finished the league season in stunning form, but there is no character in defence as formidable as Jaap Stam in his prime and most Dutch fans would rather have the retired Edwin van der Sar than Maarten Stekelenburg in goal. I'd consider backing all Holland's games to have over 2.5 goals, but would be surprised to see the Oranjemen progress to the semi-finals. PREDICTION: QUARTER-FINALISTS

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    There may be a lack of interest among the British public so far in purchasing tickets for the football finals at the 2012 Olympics, but there is no shortage of enthusiasm within Asia’s leading nations to secure berths in London next year.

    The final round of the continent’s qualifying tournament for next year’s Games kicks off in September, with Japan, South Korea and Australia the favourites to take the three places on offer to Asia’s 46 nations.

    North Korea, finalists at last year’s World Cup and holders of both the Asian Under 16 and Under 19 titles, are notable for their absence from the final phase of qualifying having lost out to the United Arab Emirates, while China also missed out on a booking a place at the sharp end of the competition.

    But despite their failure to make it into the final 12, the competition will be one that attracts significant attention around the region, in particular in Japan and South Korea, two nations where the Olympics retain a special aura.

    The Japanese, whose under 23 team won the gold medal at the Asian Games last year, have been drawn to meet Bahrain, Syria and Malaysia, a trio that is unlikely to cause Takashi Sekizuka’s team many problems.

    The former Kawasaki Frontale coach will be able to call upon a number of the players who also won the Asian Cup for Japan earlier this year – including Borussia Dortmund’s Shinji Kagawa – making his team odds-on favourites to advance.

    Hong Myung-bo’s South Korean side will no doubt face a sterner test against Saudi Arabia, Oman and Qatar, but as many of his young side proved during the Asian Cup, they have the talent and the experience to prevail.

    "We will have to play three West Asian teams now and for that we need to prepare well for those away games," said Korea’s 2002 World Cup hero.

    "It's important to study them because there will be no easy matches at all. I will try to build a better team than the one which played against Jordan in the second round.

    "We must get a good result and to achieve that I will concentrate match by match."

    But undoubtedly the toughest task lies ahead of Aurelio Vidmar and his young Australian team, who qualified for the final phase after seeing off Yemen and who now take on Iraq, Uzbekistan and the UAE.

    The Iraqis famously reached the semifinals in 2004 in Athens and reached this phase by picking up a surprise win over neighbours Iran while Uzbekistan’s youth system recently produced a squad the progressed to the quarterfinals of the FIFA U-17 World Cup in Mexico.

    The UAE, meanwhile, have been steadily improving at age group level and many within the current squad featured in the team that lost to Japan in the final of the Asian Cup in Guangzhou last November.

    "It's tough. A challenge. But all the groups are hard so that's the way it is and now we'll see how we go," said Vidmar.

    The first round of matches will be played on September 21 with only the winners of each of the three groups claiming places in London next year.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    On the badge that is emblazoned on the chest of Guangzhou Evergrande’s bright red shirt is a grand statement: “Be The Best Forever”.

    For a club just promoted to the top flight of Chinese football, it is a bold gesture but as the Chinese Super League season approaches the halfway point it is one that the expensively acquired squad is doing its best to live up to.

    With 13 games gone in the 16-team division, Guangzhou have established themselves as the league’s pacesetters, sitting seven points clear of 2009 champions Beijing Guo’an and last year’s title winners Shandong Luneng.

    That gap had stood at nine points before a draw against Changchun Yatai and a first win in five games for Beijing saw the team from the nation’s capital reduce a deficit that remains significant.

    Guangzhou’s early season has been impressive: in 13 games, Lee Jang-soo’s side have yet to taste defeat, winning nine times and drawing four. In addition, they boast the league’s best defence while only Beijing have scored more goals.

    It has been quite a turnaround for a club that was demoted at the start of 2010 for its part in a match-fixing scandal that blighted the Chinese Super League during 2009.

    Under new ownership for more than a year, the club has been completely rebuilt with a host of expensive signings joining a club that has set its sights on becoming one of the most successful, not only in China, but in Asian football.

    The move to re-establish the club came with the signing of national team striker Gao Lin ahead of the first division campaign from Shanghai Shenhua and the man known as ‘Gaolinsmann’ was pivotal to their title-winning campaign.

    So, too, was South Korean coach Lee, a veteran of the Chinese leagues who cut his teeth in his homeland with the all-conquering Ilhwa Chunma side of the mid-1990s, where he worked as an assistant as the club won the now-defunct Asian Club Championship.

    Two more big name signings last summer – former PSV Eindhoven player Sun Xiang and ex-Celtic and Charlton Athletic midfielder Zheng Zhi – highlighted Guangzhou’s intentions and the fact that money was no object.

    Not surprisingly, Guangzhou romped to the title, losing just once as they secured an immediate return to the Chinese Super League, where another round of expensive acquisitions has put the club among the contenders for the title.

    Zhang Linpeng, captain of the nation’s Olympic team and seen as one of the brightest hopes of Chinese football, signed from Shanghai East Asia while national team defender Feng Xiaoting ended his stint with Korea’s Jeonbuk Motors to sign for the club from the south of his homeland.

    There have been a number of foreign recruits as well, with Brazilians Paulao, Muriqui and Cleo joined recently by Argentinian midfielder Dario Conca.

    That this rapidly assembled squad has gelled so quickly and so impressively suggests Guangzhou’s quick fire start to the season can be maintained and can deliver the city its first-ever league title.

    And from there, the sights are sure to be aimed on taking that domination and applying it in the Asian Champions League, where Chinese football has yet to make a serious impact. Guangzhou may not only be crowned champions, they could also become trailblazers.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    It came as little surprise that Japan, South Korea and Australia all progressed to the final phase of Asia’s qualifying tournament for the 2012 Olympics in London.

    But while the trio asserted their continuing dominance over the rest of the continent – the three nations were semi-finalists at the Asian Cup in Qatar in January and also took up three-quarters of the region’s berths at last year’s World Cup – there was little joy for some of the pretenders.

    The hopes of DPR Korea, in particular, evapourated when they lost over two legs to the United Arab Emirates, and all this despite boasting a squad that featured many of the players who have been the dominant force in age group football across Asia in the last few years.

    The North Koreans have swept all before them at Under 16 and Under 19 level as well as seeing the senior team qualify for the World Cup finals, but while hopes were high that the team from Pyongyang would be pitching up in London next year, the reality was they succumbed to another of the continent’s most promising young sides.

    The UAE reached the final of the Asian Games last year – where they lost to Japan – and many of the squad that picked up the silver medal in Guangzhou have graduated to the team attempting to make it to the Olympics.

    Several, among them former Asian Youth Player of the Year Ahmed Khalil as well as Theyab Awana and central midfielder Amer Abdulrahman, were in the country’s squad at the Asian Cup, and they have clearly grown as a result of the experience.

    A 1-0 win in the North Korean capital – courtesy of a goal from Ali Ahmad Al Hajeri – put the UAE in pole position to progress to the final phase of qualifying and a 1-1 draw on home soil sealed the deal.

    There was to be no joy, either, for east Asia’s other powerhouse, China, who stumbled to defeat at the hands of Oman.

    The Miroslav Blazevic-coached Chinese dominated throughout the home leg in Shanghai but lacked the killer touch in front of goal and, ultimately, they paid heavily.

    A sloppy goal inside the first four minutes at home left the Chinese playing catch-up both in the first leg and overall and despite having the upper hand, they were incapable of finding the back of the net until the return fixture in Muscat.

    There, Wu Xi levelled the scores on aggregate from close range in the 69th minute but just three minutes later a red card for Cao Yunding changed the complexion of the game.

    While China hung on to take the game into extra-time, the loss of a player in stifling conditions eventually took their toll and the Omanis dominated the additional period, eventually running out 3-1 winners on the night and 4-1 on aggregate.

    Oman and the UAE join Japan, South Korea and Australia – who saw off Kuwait, Jordan and Yemen respectively – in the draw for the final phase of qualifying for London 2012 on July 7.

    There they will be joined by Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain, Syria, Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia and Malaysia, with the 12 qualifiers drawn into three groups of four with the winners in each group progressing to the finals and the runners-up advancing to a play-off.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The East Asian exodus to Europe continues apace with Ji Dong-won looking set to become the latest Korean star to pack his bags and move west as he mulls over whether to play for Steve Bruce at Sunderland’s Stadium of Light.

    The last two summers have seen an increasing number of players from both Japan and South Korea leaving their homelands behind to take a footballing journey that was, not so long ago seen as a risk but is now increasingly viewed as a right of passage.

    Over the last 12 months, Ji has been viewed as one of the brightest hopes of Korean football and Sunderland will be hoping they can play a role in further developing his undoubted talent and reap the benefits, both on the pitch and ultimately if the time comes to sell him on to a bigger club.

    With the success of Park Ji-sung and Lee Chung-yong in English football in recent seasons, Korean footballers are no longer seen as a risk by Premier League managers; however, if Ji wants some pointers on what to expect when he moves to the North East, he need only pick up the phone to compatriot Lee Dong-gook.

    Lee joined Sunderland’s near-neighbours Middlesbrough in 2006 with a solid reputation at home after a career in Korea that saw him become the youngest player to turn professional in the K-League when he signed for Pohang Steelers directly from high school.

    He quickly attracted the nickname ‘Lion King’ and was the pin-up of choice for schoolgirls all over the country. His goal scoring record was impressive at both league and international level but, as is so often the case in Korea, the demands placed on him took their toll.

    Lee suffered a succession of knee injuries that hampered his development, even though he finished the 2004 Asian Cup finals in China as the tournament’s top scorer.

    By the time he made it to England, he lacked the pace and movement he possessed earlier in his career and his name remains synonymous in Middlesbrough with failure.

    Ji’s career has been looked after so far and, to his benefit, he is moving to England much earlier in his career than Lee.

    Too often, Korean clubs – many using draconian methods which see players pushed to play through the pain barrier, even when they’re injured – have burnt out promising young players before they have managed to match their potential.

    The 20-year-old – one of the stars of last year’s Asian Under 19 Championships – has already had a taste of playing alongside Park and Lee Chung-yong having been a key member of the Asian Cup squad for his country earlier this year.

    There he was the second highest scorer in the tournament, just behind compatriot Koo Ja-cheol, who, like Ji, is a member of the country’s Olympic squad that is aiming to qualify for next year’s Games in London.

    Ji’s talents are well known around Asia and now he has the chance to hone them further as both he and the other exiles continue to close the gap on the game’s leading players and nations.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    There is little that sets sleepy Kashiwa in Japan’s Chiba prefecture apart from any one of the numerous towns and communities that act as the dormitory settlements that litter the area around the conurbation of Tokyo.

    Fiercely working class and less than an hour from the centre of the nation’s capital, Kashiwa has little that brings it to the nation’s attention; it is small town Japan personified.

    And yet the town’s J.League club is doing its damnedest to ensure the fans that religiously turn out at Hitachi Stadium week-in and week-out have their time in the spotlight.

    After 10 games of the 2011 season, the newly promoted club are the unlikely leaders of the J.League standings, two points clear of unbeaten Vegalta Sendai and a further point ahead of Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

    Kashiwa won the second division last season at a canter but no one expected the Sun Kings to carry their 2010 form into their return to the top flight.

    However, Brazilian coach Nelsinho and his troops continue to confound all pre-season predictions.

    Saturday saw another victory – the club’s seventh so far – this time away to Yokohama F Marinos and for the first time, it seems, the club’s players are beginning to believe the current run might be more than a flash-in-the-pan.

    “We have built on last season and are in this position now and we have to stay motivated and keep setting the bar higher,” said Junya Tanaka, who opened the scoring for Kashiwa at the weekend.

    “If we keep up this pace the championship will come into view. We have only played 10 games so far and just need to keep plugging away.”

    Perhaps the club’s greatest asset is the man who oversaw the return from the second tier of Japanese football and who is no stranger to success in the J.League.

    Brazilian coach Nelsinho joined the club in the latter stages of their doomed 2009 season and the man who oversaw much of Verdy Kawasaki’s success in the mid-1990s was powerless to keep the team in the top flight.

    But over the following 12 months, he worked tirelessly to ensure the club rebuilt and those efforts are now paying off. Not only has Kashiwa returned after just one season out of the top flight, but they are now taking on the big boys of Japanese football and winning.

    That’s not to say, though, that the veteran coach is allowing himself to become too excited just yet.

    “We are only a third of the way through the season and it is too early to talk of the title because anything can still happen,” said the Brazilian, but the truth is he and his team are staring history in the face.

    Kashiwa’s best result to date in the J.League came in 1999 when, under current Gamba Osaka boss Akira Nishino, the club finished third in the standings and won the Nabisco Cup.

    A repeat performance in the league followed 12 months later, but since then Kashiwa have struggled and their relegation from the top flight at the end of 2009 was their second such demotion in five years.

    The primary task then for Nelsinho and his coaching staff, rather than securing a first-ever J.League title, is to ensure Reysol shake off their reputation as a yo-yo club. It seems, at the moment at least, that Kashiwa are well on the way to establishing themselves back within Japanese football’s elite.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Gao Hongbo has ever reason to be a happy man these days, and not just because a 2-0 win over North Korea in a friendly match in Guiyang capped a fine nine-day training camp with a victory over a nation that qualified for last year’s World Cup finals.

    The win over the North Koreans was China’s fifth game in a row without loss, dating back to his side’s deflating defeat against Qatar at the Asian Cup finals in Doha in January, setting the Chinese up well for their stab at a place in the next phase of Asia’s qualifying tournament for the 2014 World Cup.

    Confidence is normally in short supply when it comes to China’s footballers but Gao and his squad will now go into their clash with either Cambodia or Laos at the end of July in boisterous mood.

    Neither of the South East Asian sides – who face off against one another at the end of June – should present many problems to a team ranked among the top five in Asia, according to FIFA.

    But for a country that perennially underperforms, a win over a nation like North Korea can only be heartening.

    That victory comes on the heels of a 1-0 success over an Uzbekistan side that had reached the semifinals of the Asian Cup and against whom the Chinese drew at the continental championship earlier in the year.

    “These two games were very important to us because they are our last matches before the World Cup qualifiers,” said a clearly satisfied Gao.

    “We are very tired, but it has been a very effective nine days and I am very happy with how the training camp went because all of the staff and all of the players worked very hard to achieve our targets.”

    Perhaps most satisfying for Gao and his staff was the form of young striker Gao Lin, who has struggled domestically so far this season but who found the back of the net in each of the nation’s most recent games.

    “Since he arrived at the training camp, I had told Gao Lin that he would be our main striker and that he should find a way to score, so I’m glad that he managed to do it in both games,” the coach said.

    Now the sights of everyone involved in Team China is focused on the qualifier at the end of July, where victory will take the country into the draw for the penultimate round of qualifying.

    It is a phase of the competition that harbours painful memories for the Chinese, who have fallen at this stage at each of the last two tournaments since qualifying for their only appearance at a World Cup so far, in 2002.

    Should the draw be kind, Gao and his team will be confident of reaching the final phase for the first time in over a decade as the world’s most populous nation seeks to reflect its growing status on the global political and economic stage with success on the football field.

    Before that, though, the eyes of the nation will be on Miroslav Blazevic’s Olympic team as they aim to go further along the road towards London 2012 when they take on Oman on June 19 and 23.

    Despite a squad that contains a number of up-and-coming stars, the Chinese have kept expectations to a minimum in relation to the Olympic side but if Blazevic’s side can see off their Middle Eastern opponents and Gao can navigate his way beyond Cambodia or Laos, the upswing in mood could finally see a change in the fortunes of Chinese football.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    If there were any lingering doubts over Korea’s Asian club football hegemony, the first knockout round of the Asian Champions League will have dispelled those thoughts once and for all.

    Given Korean clubs have won each of the last two editions of continental club championship, the status of K-League clubs at the pinnacle of the Asian game is a given and that position was reinforced as the line-up for the quarter-finals was established.

    Suwon Bluewings, FC Seoul and Jeonbuk Hyundai all moved into the last eight of the competition, with only Jeju United – in their debut appearance in the competition – failing to complete a full set of Korean clubs in the quarter-finals.

    Jeju’s hopes were hit prior to the start of the campaign with the loss of their talismanic midfielder Koo Ja-cheol, the younger who starred at the Asian Cup in January before signing a long-term contract with Bundesliga side Wolfsburg.

    The remaining trio, though, had few concerns even though Suwon and Seoul were facing off against J.League giants Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers respectively.

    Grampus went into the tournament as J.League champions but were unable to present much of a challenge to a Suwon side that was bolstered significantly in the close season and which is now starting to hit its stride, underlining the club’s status as one of the favourites for the Asian title.

    Suwon were last crowned kings of Asia back in 2002 when they won the second of a pair of back-to-back Asian Club Championship titles – the final two seasons of the competition before it was rechristened the Asian Champions League – and in the second final they saw off compatriots Anyang Cheetahs.

    Anyang, several years later, relocated to the Korean capital and became FC Seoul and the club is still looking for its first-ever continental title.

    By brushing aside the challenge of Kashima – a club that has consistently struggled in the knockout phase of the Asian Champions League – FC Seoul remain on target to break that run of disappointment.

    While Suwon and FC Seoul have attracted the headlines, Jeonbuk have quietly gone about their business as they seek to repeat their title-winning run of 2006.

    Choi Kang-hee, the man who guided the club to that unexpected victory, remains at the helm and has once again negotiated his team’s way through the potentially tricky opening stages of the tournament and victory over China’s Tianjin Teda puyt them into the last eight once again.

    While the Koreans are in dominant mood, the Japanese are struggling, with only Cerezo Osaka advancing to the next phase after they won their match-up with cross city rivals Gamba Osaka thanks to Daisuke Takahashi’s late goal.

    Seeing their contingent of four teams reduced to just one over the course of two days will no doubt have a chastening impact on the J.League and its clubs and it would take something special for Cerezo – making their debut appearance in the competition – to make a serious run at winning the title.

    Iranian duo Sepahan and Zobahan – both beaten finalists in this competition in the past – have advanced, making Iran the only other nation with more than one representative in the last eight.

    Former champions Al Ittihad saw off compatriots and bitter rivals Al Hilal to book their spot and Qatar’s Al Sadd also advanced to the draw for the quarter-finals, which will take place in Kuala Lumpur in mid-June.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The on-off saga of Japan’s participation in the Copa America finally looks to be over, with the Asian champions withdrawing from the South American championship and Costa Rica stepping in to take their place.

    While the real motives for Conmebol’s determination to have the Japanese play – money being the most obvious one – have never been revealed, the whole issue has been a sorry episode in what has been a tough three months for Japanese football.

    Prior to the whole to-and-fro over their participation, the Japanese football community had earned a great deal of kudos for the way in which it handled itself in the aftermath of the earthquake and tsunami on March 11.

    Football continues to languish behind baseball in the popularity stakes in Japan, but the manner in which football dealt with the crisis – especially in contrast to the way the baseball authorities’ cack-handed performance – saw the sport garner huge amounts of positive feedback.

    The J.League’s decision to suspend the season almost immediately came in contrast to baseball’s desire to not only play on but to do so with as little interruption to their schedule as possible. That meant the prospect of night games under energy sapping floodlights at a time when rolling blackouts were a very real possibility.

    Baseball’s greed was laid bare while football’s place at the heart of Japanese communities was accentuated.

    But the whole issue of the team’s involvement in the Copa America threatened to undermine the positive tone coming out of the Japanese game.

    With the league having been suspended for six weeks, matches were rescheduled to be played in July, when the national team was due to be in Argentina. J.League clubs, understandably, were not happy about the prospect of losing their best players at a crucial time in the season.

    A compromise was hit upon by the Japan Football Association, with the organisation promising to field a team made up primarily from the country’s growing band of overseas-based players.

    But with European clubs under no obligation to release players for a tournament that is not Japan’s own continental championship – and with FIFA President Sepp Blatter reneging on a promise to bend the rules to help the Japanese – there really was only going to be one outcome.

    “I am very sorry to inform you that the Japanese team cannot participate in the Copa America 2011,” JFA president Junji Ogura said in a letter to the Argentina Football Association earlier this week.

    “While European clubs understand our situation, unfortunately most of them have responded that we cannot release their players to participate in the Copa America.”

    The whole saga has made the decision makers within Japanese football look indecisive and lacking in backbone when unfairly pressured into reconsidering by the South Americans.

    But even if it has been a public relations disaster, the outcome in the end is undoubtedly the best for all concerned within the Japanese game.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Chinese football’s position within the Asian game has been at a low ebb in recent years; the national team have struggled against the best in the continent with Gao Hongbo’s side failing in January to progress beyond the group stages of the Asian Cup.

    Over the last decade there has been a steady decline from the side that reached the World Cup finals in 2002 and the final of the Asian Cup in 2004. Since then, at all levels, China has failed to pass muster.

    The country’s club sides, too, have made fitful attempts at impressing in the Asian Champions League. No Chinese side has won the competition since it was inaugurated in 2002 with only Dalian Shide going close, when they reached the semifinals in the competition’s inaugural season.

    Matters reached a head from 2007 to 2009, when Chinese Super League clubs went three seasons without progressing to the knockout rounds of the annual championship as clubs from neighbours South Korea and Japan dominated.

    That poor run of form was ended last year by Beijing Guoan, who reached the last 16 of the ACL only to slip up in the first knockout round.

    This year Beijing’s feat has at least been matched by Tianjin Teda, who hark back somewhat to the days when Chinese football was on something of a stronger footing.

    Tianjin are the only one of China’s four representatives – the others were champions Shandong Luneng, Shanghai Shenhua and Hangzhou Greentown – to make it out of the group stages.

    Their progress – in second place in their group behind former winners Gamba Osaka - certainly has done everything to further enhance coach Arie Haan’s reputation in his adopted homeland. Haan was head coach of the China national team when they made it through to the 2004 Asian Cup final, where the Chinese lost against Japan in Beijing.

    At the heart of his team is new signing Li Weifeng, a player Haan knows well from his time working with Team China.

    A controversial figure, Li was ostracized from Chinese football for more than two seasons as his negative reputation both on and off the field – he was renowned for a hot-headedness that would often lead to unnecessary sendings off - saw clubs and the national association keep him at bay.

    After two seasons playing for Korean side Suwon Bluewings, though, Li has returned home and his form so far for his new club has also led to a recall to the national team, the first time in close to three years he has been welcomed back into the fold.

    “A few years ago, like many young people, I had no idea what I was really searching for,” said the 32-year-old recently.

    “I did not take my career and life very seriously and I lost something during that time. I think it was a period of development. You mature by learning from your mistakes.”

    Li has credited his two seasons in Korea as the key to his change in attitude and Tianjin – and potentially the national team – are already reaping the benefits.

    “You find culture in Korean soccer and every team has discipline. But many Chinese teams lack a such a tradition and culture,” he said.

    “Many young Chinese players don't bother with extra practice because they are afraid their teammates will criticise and accuse them of pretending to be diligent in front of coaches and selectors.

    “Young Korean players do not do this. They know they must compete at their best with other squad players.

    “I have found many things quite similar to Bluewings at Tianjin. It takes only 10 minutes for the coach to complete a pre-match meeting because there are no club officials involved. Our team is just like a big family.”

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The return of league football in Japan more than six weeks after the devastation of the earthquake and tsunami that hit the north eastern coast of the island of Honshu was always going to be emotional.

    That Vegalta Sendai – one of the club’s hit hardest by the tragedy on March 11, with the earthquake centered just off the coast from the city – should pick up a win on their return to action only added to the sense of drama.

    A header three minutes from time by Jiro Kamata earned Makoto Teguramori’s side a 2-1 win over hosts Kawasaki Frontale to record Sendai’s first-ever victory at Todoroki Stadium.

    But the day was about much more than just Sendai’s first three points of the season.

    "I was so moved, I wept at the finish," Teguramori told the J.League’s official website. "After all that has happened there was no saying how this game would turn out but, when it was over, we had won in the very best way possible and got the three points.

    “It would have been very difficult if Kawasaki had scored a second but we stuck in, kept them out and then struck back as a team, fired by our supporters, fired perhaps by people all over Japan who wanted us to do well because we have come from the devastated area.

    “We have made a good start and now I want to carry on this way."

    Sendai’s preparations for the resumption of J.League action were far from ideal; the club has been forced to train in Tokyo after their training facilities were damaged in the earthquake.

    Fortunately their home stadium escaped virtually unscathed and the club will return to their own ground at the weekend when they take on Urawa Reds in what is sure to be another emotional encounter.

    Urawa, too, will go into the game off the back of a win having dished out a 3-0 hammering to defending champions Nagoya Grampus at Saitama Stadium that has left Dragan Stojkovic’s side just one place off the bottom of the standings in the 18-team league.

    While Sendai were earning their historic victory, there was no such joy for any of the other clubs most adversely affected by the earthquake.

    Kashima Antlers, whose stadium is undergoing repairs following damage caused in Ibaraki prefecture, were brushed aside 3-0 by Yokohama F Marinos in a game that was played at the National Stadium in Tokyo due to the issues at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

    Montedio Yamagata fared slightly better, claiming a point from a goalless draw with Cerezo Osaka.

    Defeats for Kashima and Nagoya were not the only surprises of the J.League’s resumption; Gamba Osaka also slipped on their return to domestic action after featuring in the Asian Champions League, suffering a 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

    Surprises aplenty, then, amid a poignant restart to the campaign with Kashiwa Reysol the only remaining team with a perfect record following their 1-0 win over Omiya Ardija. Football may have returned, but normal service has yet to be resumed in the J.League.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Despite the devastation and disruption caused by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami that ravaged the north east of Japan’s main island, the nation’s clubs are underlining their pedigree at continental level by booking berths in the knockout stages of the Asian Champions League.

    Kashima Antlers, the worst hit of the four clubs to represent Japan in the annual club championship, earned their place in the last 16 with one round of matches to go with a 2-0 win over Shanghai Shenhua from China.

    The match was played amid the increasingly familiar surroundings of the National Stadium in Tokyo, where Kashima have been forced to play their home games in all competitions since the earthquake with Shinzoh Kohrogi scoring both goals.

    The three points picked up ensures Oswaldo Oliveira’s side make it into the knockout stages once again, with only top spot in Group H yet to be determined.

    “I’m glad we have got the result that everyone involved in Kashima was wishing us to get,” said Oliveira, whose side meet Sydney FC in their final group game next week.

    Kashima have been joined in the next round by J.League champions Nagoya Grampus, who shook off a poor start to the competition to book their place in the last 16 by avenging their opening round defeat at the hands of Hangzhou Greentown with a win over the Chinese Super League side in the fifth round of group games.

    Jungo Fujimoto, a close-season signing from Shimizu S-Pulse and a member of Japan’s all-conquering Asian Cup squad, claimed the only goal from the penalty spot and the three points earned against Hangzhou mean Grampus are at least certain to finish in second place in the group.

    “We knew the game would be difficult and it was difficult,” said Grampus coach Dragan Stojkovic. “At half-time, I told our players to be patient and play much quicker, waiting for one chance to score, and 1-0 is 1-0. That should be enough to win.”

    While Grampus and Kashima have sealed their spots in the next phase of the competition, former champions Gamba Osaka and their cross-town rivals Cerezo Osaka will have to wait until the final round of matches before knowing their fate.

    For Cerezo, the situation is simple enough: avoid defeat in their final game against Chinese champions Shandong Luneng and that will take them into the knockout stages in what is the club’s first-ever appearance in the Asian Champions League.

    Gamba, meanwhile, have a tougher task in their final game against Tianjin Teda after coming back from a goal behind to draw 1-1 with Melbourne Victory in Australia on Wednesday evening.

    That result means Gamba must beat Tianjin – who are already through to the next round – to ensure they are not overhauled by third placed Jeju United, who are due to meet Melbourne in their final game with the Australians also harbouring outside hopes of progressing.

    "We have what it takes to play much better football than that and I think we will see that next week," said Gamba coach Akira Nishino after seeing Sota Nakazawa cancel out Adrian Leijer’s 12th minute opener.

    After the troubles that have beset Japan as a nation over the last two months, it seems the country’s footballers are as commanding as ever at continental level.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Japan’s participation in the Copa America is back on, and with it comes a whole host of issues that would have been avoided had the Japan Football Association stuck to its guns and kept the Asian champions at home.

    Whatever the motivation behind the decision to take the team to Argentina in July – and financial pressure from the Copa America organisers is almost certain to have been one given the amounts to be made from Japanese broadcasters – it now creates a dilemma for clubs and players that need not have existed.

    The devastation wrought by the earthquake and tsunami on March 11 plunged the Japanese football community – and the nation as a whole – into a desperate situation, with J.League action suspended and friendly matches for Alberto Zaccheroni’s team cancelled.

    Revenue streams across Japanese football will have been hit hard – it’s probably still too early to say just how much the game has lost within Japan because of the tragedy – but the shifting of the league matches suspended throughout March and April will at least have played a role in ensuring stability returns to the domestic game.

    The major issue now, however, is over the clash that will come about because of Japan’s participation in the Copa America as the reconfigured season will see the J.League playing at a time that had previously been cordoned off within the calendar.

    Now, players face the dreaded club versus country dilemma and many within the Japanese game are unhappy about it.

    “The teams feel strongly about not wanting to let go of their players in a crucial part of the league championship,” said J.League chairman Kazumi Ohigashi when he heard the JFA was discussing the team’s re-entry into the competition.

    “It’s what we told the JFA and we thought the matter was settled. It’s very troubling.”

    One solution that has already been suggested is only players attached to overseas clubs participate. Another is that each J.League club only commit one player each to the tournament.

    But Japan’s Europe-based contingent has already had to listen to disapproving comments from their clubs.

    Borussia Dortmund felt the impact of losing Shinji Kagawa following his injury at the Asian Cup finals in Qatar earlier this year and the Bundesliga leaders are understandably unhappy at the prospect of the striker playing at another continental championship when he should be building up his fitness.

    “Shinji is coming off a serious injury, and it’s necessary for him to prepare with the team before the new season,” Dortmund’s sports director Michael Zorc said recently. “That would be the best decision in his interests.”

    Shinji Okazaki and Atsuto Uchida – who play for Stuttgart and Schalke respectively – have also faced opposition from their clubs, leaving Zaccheroni facing the possibility of taking a significantly weakened team to Argentina.

    The JFA seems to have created a dilemma that had no need to exist. Withdrawal from the competition was expected and understood; to do an about-face will put unnecessary pressure on the players, strain relationships with the clubs and potentially see a weakened Japan side playing against the big boys of South America.

    It’s hard to see how anyone wins in that situation.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    When South China went on their January spending spree, the perennial Hong Kong champions were expecting the outlay on a pair of former English Premier League stars and several local internationals would all but an advance to the next level.

    The former British colony’s most successful and best supported club have long been frustrated by their status as an exceptionally big fish in a frighteningly tiny pond and Hong Kong’s lowly status within the Asian game has hurt the club’s lofty ambitions.

    Despite playing in a league that has, in recent years, seen little in the way of competitive football and has been haplessly administered by the Hong Kong Football Association, South China see themselves as an aspiring giant of the continental game.

    But with the Asian Football Confederation imposing increasingly higher standards on domestic leagues across the regional, South China’s hopes of playing in the Asian Champions League – the pinnacle of the club game in the continent – have all but evaporated.

    With the Hong Kong league not deemed to have either the infrastructure or the playing standard required to see any of the member clubs admitted to the ACL, South China have been left looking for a way into the tournament via the backdoor.

    That comes via the AFC Cup, which acts as a second-tier tournament to the ACL and allows the finalists each year to enter the qualifying rounds of the higher competition and the prospect of mixing with the leading clubs from Japan, South Korea, China and Australia.

    South China’s ambition was spurred by a run to the semi-finals of the competition in 2009, where they lost out over two legs against eventual winners Kuwait Sports Club.

    A crowd in excess of 35,000 – the biggest in the territory for a club game in recent memory – turned out for the game, underlining the strong feeling that exists within Hong Kong for the game, if only the locals are served up with a higher level of competition that presently exists in the domestic league.

    South China struggled to replicate that run in 2010 but still managed to dominate domestically, retaining the league title as well as claiming the Senior Challenge Shield, Hong Kong’s primary knockout competition.

    But 2011 has been an altogether different matter, despite the expensive acquisition of European Cup winner Nicky Butt, formerly of Manchester United, and ex-Chelsea striker Mateja Kezman in January.

    The duo were supposed to not only ensure South China’s continued dominance at home, but to also spur the team through the group stages of the AFC Cup.

    That, though, has not been the case. Butt, who had retired at the end of last season after several years with Newcastle United, has struggled with niggling injuries while Kezman has taken his time to find the back of the net.

    The expectations on the two – and the club as a whole – have added to the difficulties and South China look destined to relinquish the league title to Kitchee, and with it one of Hong Kong’s two places in next year’s AFC Cup. ?? have already earned a spot in next year’s tournament by winning the Senior Challenge Shield.

    That increases the pressure further on South China and their expensive signings, although there were sighs of relief all round as Kezman scored the only goal against East Bengal of India on Wednesday evening to give the club their first win in the 2011 edition of the AFC Cup.

    Victory at least ensures South China remain in touch with group leaders Persipura Jayapura of Indonesia, who lead by three points from the Hong Kong club and Thailand’s Chonburi.

    Whether it is enough to kick start a faltering 2011 is open to question but the club’s heightened ambitions could still be about to come crashing down in embarrassing fashion.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    So soon after the joy of claiming a record fourth continental title, Japan’s success at the Asian Cup has been put into sharp perspective by the events that have unfolded in the country since 2.46pm local time on Friday, March 11.

    The utter devastation brought upon the country by the enormously powerful earthquake, and the even more damaging tsunami it unleashed, has seen football – and sport in general – take a back seat.

    There is some sense of cruel irony that the Japanese were due to face New Zealand – another nation dealing with the aftermath of a major tremor – in a friendly at the end of this month. But that match, along with a game against Montenegro, is facing postponement while the J.League has been plunged into turmoil by the unforgettable and tragic events of last Friday. For now, football matters little.

    Three clubs of the 38 teams in the league’s two divisions hail from the worst affected region of the country – Vegalta Sendai were due to entertain league champions Nagoya Grampus on Saturday while newly promoted Montedio Yamagata were slated to meet Albirex Niigata; Mito Hollyhock, meanwhile, are mainstays of the second division.

    The J.League, however, has taken the wise and not unexpected decision to postpone all fixtures due to be played throughout March, with the two rounds of matches likely to be rescheduled in July when the national team is due to travel to Argentina to play in the Copa America as a guest team.

    Now, though, many of the J.League clubs have disbanded their teams with players and coaching staff being allowed to spend time with their families during what is a period of deep national trauma.

    But while the business of playing football has become little more than an afterthought, the clubs themselves will play a key role in rebuilding the societies and communities that have been so badly hit by such an unthinkably painful natural phenomenon.

    When the foundations for the J.League were laid down by Saburo Kawabuchi, the man generally credited with creating Asia’s most successful football league, he was adamant that each member club should have a close association with the town or city in which they played.

    It was a view that met with significant opposition in a country where the culture of team sports was built on the company model, with employees supporting the baseball and football clubs associated with their employers.

    Kawabuchi, though, knew that a close association with the local community – as has long existed in the hotbeds of the game in Europe and South America – was vital to securing mass appeal and long-term success.

    As a result, he went head-to-head with some of the biggest company leaders in Japan and won, establishing the model that has gone on to be such as success as football has carved out a significant place for itself within the country’s sporting landscape.

    Adopting community programmes was a key part of Kawabuchi’s ethos and now, in such times of devastation, the clubs’ place at the heart of their towns and cities will no doubt see them become rallying points for a battered and bruised society.

    In Sendai, Vegalta has become one of the J.League’s most welcoming clubs to outsiders and the atmosphere at the club’s intimate stadium in the heart of the city hit hardest by the quake is unrivalled in Japan.

    There can be little doubt that same spirit will see the club – just as the J.League will for the nation as a whole - play a major role in helping the city pick itself up off the floor after such a devastating blow.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    There must be something about the immediate aftermath of the Lunar New Year and the fortunes of Chinese football.

    Just 12 months ago, the game in the world’s most populous nation was on the crest of a wave at the dawn of the Year of the Tiger with Gao Hongbo’s team claiming the East Asian title.

    Victory over South Korea and a draw with Japan handed the Chinese the title for the first time since 2005 and boosted the flagging spirits of football fans in the Middle Kingdom.

    Of course, it was too good to last; the national team failed to continue that run of form and, as the year came to an end, the Chinese were slipping out of the Asian Cup finals upon the completion of the group stages.

    The omens, though, were good and, once again the weeks preceding the annual celebrations are at least bringing hope for Chinese football.

    Since the beginning of the Year of the Rabbit in early February, there has been another turn for the better, with the country’s clubs leading the way.

    Tianjin Teda are leading the way in the Asian Champions League for China’s clubs, picking up back-to-back wins in their opening two games in the competition – against Korea’s Jeju United and Cerezo Osaka from Japan – to stand on top of the standings in Group E.

    The top two teams progress to the knockout stages of a competition in which Chinese sides have struggled in recent seasons and Tianjin – in only their second appearance in the tournament – have acquitted themselves well with a newly restructured squad.

    Led by former China captain Li Weifeng, Tianjin have proven that, with former Dutch international Arie Haan at the helm, that they will put up a serious challenge this year, not only in Asia but also domestically.

    Tianjin’s perfect record after two games put them in a strong position to book a berth in the last 16 of the Asian Champions League, and all this before the Chinese Super League has kicked off.

    That bodes well for the domestic championship, which starts this weekend with Shandong Luneng aiming to successfully defend their title.

    All four of the nation’s representatives in the Asian Champions League – Shanghai Shenhua and Hangzhou Greentown are also playing in the tournament alongside Shandong and Tianjin - will commence their 2011 domestic campaign on Friday evening.

    China’s football authorities have allowed the clubs the maximum time possible to prepare for their next encounters in the continental championship, a sure sign that the league is listening to the demands of the teams that are representing the nation across Asia.

    There was positive news, too, for the national team during the week as Gao’s team was drawn to face either Laos or Cambodia in their first World Cup qualifier for the 2014 finals.

    Given the dangers that lurked in the draw, the Chinese will be confident of progressing to the next phase – keeping alive their hopes of qualifying for the World Cup for the first time since 2002.

    Things might be far from perfect in the realm of Chinese football, but with the league ready for action, the country’s leading clubs giving a solid account of themselves at continental level, and the gloom lifting around the national team, there might just be a few patches of blue in the sky after all.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    After much soul-searching and grieving over the harrowing events of March 11, the date has been set and the J.League is slated to return on April 23, more than six weeks after the devastation wrought by the massive earthquake and tsunami off the northwest coast of Honshu island.

    The debate over whether it was too soon – or indeed too late – raged at the J.League’s board meeting on Tuesday afternoon but, after much deliberation, the league’s chairman Kazumi Ohigashi has decided matters will resume a month from now.

    “I personally paid a visit to Kashima, Sendai as well as Mito and briefed the executive committee of their situation today,” said Ohigashi.

    “There were various opinions at the meeting. Some felt we should start sooner, some said later. But the J.League feels it is in the best interests of everyone to start on April 23.

    “We feel like this is the best available option.”

    The return is more akin to a restart. The 2011 season of the J.League had seen just one round of matched played and the fixtures that have been postponed will now be played in July, at a time when the national team is slated to be in Argentina featuring at the Copa America.

    Japan’s presence at that tournament remains in doubt and with the league now set to be in full swing during that period, the chances are the pressure from the clubs will see the Japan Football Association forced to make a very difficult decision.

    The national association has already had to cancel two revenue-spinning friendlies at the end of March, with games against Macedonia and New Zealand called off in the aftermath of the natural disasters.

    In their place a charity game featuring a J.League-based XI and a team made up of Japanese players plying their trade in Europe has been put together with all the proceeds going to the relief effort taking place north of Sendai.

    The loss of the friendly matches to the JFA’s bottom line should not be underestimated; these games are significant money-spinners, especially at a time when the popularity of the national team is at its highest point in the last five years following the performances at the World Cup and victory at the Asian Cup.

    Not that anyone is focused on the loss of revenue at such a sensitive time but there can be little doubt the JFA will be seeking to reschedule similar matches as soon as logistically possible.

    The J.League teams, meanwhile, have a month to dust themselves off and prepare for the renewal of domestic action. Many first team squads had disbanded and players will essentially be going through another period of pre-season preparation.

    That won’t be the case for the teams playing in the Asian Champions League, although spare a thought for Kashima Antlers, as well as the other teams based in the worst affected regions such as Vegalta Sendai and second division side Mito Hollyhock.

    Whether any of those teams will be able to play games at home – Kashima’s stadium in particular was badly damaged by the earthquake – remains open to question and the possibility of holding their home games at neutral venues is very real.

    The overall situation, meanwhile, will also have an effect with all games being played during daylight hours to limit the demands on the electricity grid as eastern Japan continues to struggle in the aftermath of the massive natural disaster.

    The return of the league, however, will at least resemble a sense that normal life is returning to Japan. And, after everything that has happened over the last two weeks, that is a sensation that, for most people, cannot come soon enough.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    It only took Alexander Geynrikh 42 minutes against Korean champions FC Seoul before he was showing off his trademark goal celebration in the K-League, his arms stretched out wide as he ambled off to the touchline to lap up the adulation of the Suwon Bluewings fans.

    The Uzbek international striker joined the Korean club just days before the start of the Asian Champions League and K-League campaigns, moving away from the Pakhtakor club he had called home for much of his professional career.

    Geynrikh’s goal was typical of a forward who has proven himself time and again at Asian level, and it was undoubtedly his performances at the Asian Cup finals in Qatar in January that sealed the move to the Korean giants.

    A low, right foot shot that nestled in the corner beyond goalkeeper Kim Yong-dae was a typical Geynrikh goal and for the 65 minutes in which he featured, the 27-year-old more stole the limelight from his compatriot Server Djeparov.

    Djeparov recently signed a full-time deal with FC Seoul after spending the last six months of 2010 on loan with the club that would go on to win the K-League title, earning the former Asian Player of the Year a second league title of the calendar year after being instrumental in Bunyodkor’s successful season in Uzbekistan.

    But he was largely outshone by Geynrikh and a Suwon side that not only went on to win 2-0 at Seoul World Cup Stadium, but who signaled their intent in the K-League’s first game of the season.

    Suwon embarked on a major spending spree before the start of this season as coach Yoon Sung-hyo – who is starting his first full season with the club after replacing Cha Bum-kun midway through last year – looked to create a side capable of contesting on at least two fronts.

    As well as seeking a first K-League title since 2008, Suwon are equally keen to win the Asian Champions League for the first time since the competition’s inauguration in 2002.

    Suwon were the last club to win the now-defunct Asian Club Championship – the Asian Champions League’s predecessor – claiming the second of back-to-back titles in 2002. Bizarrely, however, that feat was not enough to earn them a spot in the next year’s Asian Champions League, leaving the continental championships watching from the outside.

    Since then, the club has rarely troubled the latter stages of the competition but having signed up a host of quality players, the pressure will be on to deliver. Jung Sung-ryong, Lee Yong-rae, Choi Sung-guk and Geynrikh all joined in recent months and all four started against FC Seoul.

    Following on from a 0-0 draw in Australia against Sydney FC in their opening Asian Champions League clash, Yoon will be confident his side is already ahead of schedule with the integration of his new players already going well and reaping dividends.

    Perhaps the win against FC Seoul is a sign of things to come for a squad that could – and should – be in the running for all the major honours in Korea and at continental level come the end of the year.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    There’s a distinctly warm and fuzzy sensation around Japanese football at present; as if reaching the second round of the World Cup finals in South Africa wasn’t enough to engender a feel good factor, victory in the Asian Cup in Qatar has given football in Japan a further shot in the arm.

    The whole landscape is very different to how it was a little less than a year ago, when the national team was stumbling along, drawing with the likes of Hong Kong and China while losing desperately to what amounted to a third-string Serbia.

    Pessimism permeated the sport, the sense of foreboding was great as Japan were expected to stumble out of the World Cup finals without much drama, perhaps even without scoring a goal.

    Victories over Cameroon and Denmark in the group stages, however, signaled a dramatic turnaround; almost overnight, the nation was buzzing once again about all things related to football. Takeshi Okada, the national team coach, went from zero to hero in an instant.

    Television ratings shot back up while attendances at matches involving the national team in Japan returned to their pre-2002 World Cup levels. Suddenly, football in Japan was a bankable commodity once again.

    That sensation has only been enhanced by Japan’s win at the Asian Cup, a tournament that garnered huge interest at home despite being played in a time zone six hours west of Tokyo and where matches often kicked off long after peak viewing times.

    And yet still, viewing records were set and the country rejoiced in reestablishing their regional hegemony after losing the title they had won in 1992, 2000 and 2004 at the last edition of the Asian Cup in 2007.

    Now, with an air of triumphant satisfaction hanging in the air, the real test of Japan’s reconnection with the beautiful game comes with the recommencement of proceedings in the J.League.

    Attendances in last year’s J.League averaged at 18,428, a health number for a league that started less than 20 years ago but the lowest figure since 2006 and well short of the numbers reached in 2008, the league’s most successful season in terms of ticket sales.

    The drop amounts to around a three percent reduction in fans year-on-year from 2009 while it’s four percent short of the league’s best-ever performance, which came in 2008.

    Of course, there are a number of other factors causing the drop in fans beyond a loss of the sport’s popularity due to the national team’s failings. The lack of success for Urawa Reds, Japan’s best-supported team, has certainly had a negative impact on attendances, for example.

    Urawa’s hopes of picking themselves up after several disappointing seasons rest on the shoulders of new coach Zeljko Petrovic, who has taken over after the barren reign of Volker Finke and breaks a run of four successive German managers at the club.

    Reds have bolstered their squad with the signing of highly rated Australian centre half Matthew Spiranovic and Brazilian duo Mazola and Marcio Richardes, but whether they will be enough to halt Urawa’s poor run is questionable, especially after the loss of Hajime Hosogai to Bayer Leverkusen.

    Instead, the destination of the title is likely to be determined by the clubs representing Japan in the Asian Champions League, with the exception of Cerezo Osaka, who punched well above their weight last season to finish third.

    The added demands of playing in the continental championship are likely to take their toll on Levir Culpi’s team but defending champions Nagoya Grampus, Gamba Osaka and Kashima Antlers are all experienced enough to be able to juggle their commitments.

    Grampus remain a solid bet for the title having added Jungo Fujimoto to the squad in place of Brazilian Magnum while young striker Kensuke Nagai is also highly rated and is expected to break through during the season.

    Gamba, too, remain as strong as ever despite the loss of left-sided Michihiro Yasuda, who has moved to play in the Netherlands with Vitesse, but with the likes of Yasuhito Endo and Akira Kaji in their squad, they retain the experience to succeed.

    That also applies to Kashima, who go into their fifth campaign under the control of Oswaldo Oliveira, who maintained his record of winning a trophy in ever season at the helm of the club by claiming the Emperor’s Cup on the last day of the 2010 campaign.

    The Brazilian’s squad has been trimmed of veteran striker Marquinhos but his compatriot Carlao has joined in his place while Takuya Honda has been picked up from Shimizu S-Pulse.

    Other clubs likely to challenge include Kawasaki Frontale, who will benefit from not having the distraction of playing in Asian competition this year to detract from their challenge for a first-ever J.League title.

    Frontale have gone close on several occasions in the past but with a hugely experienced squad operating under rookie manager Naoki Soma – who represented Japan at the 1998 World Cup – they could be an interesting outside bet.

    Just as Grampus were first-time winners in 2010, it could be the turn of Frontale – or someone like Shimizu S-Pulse or Sanfrecce Hiroshima – to further loosen the grip of Japan’s big guns on the J.League title when the serious action begins on March 5.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    South Korea’s third place finish at the Asian Cup came as a disappointment in a nation seeking to end a half-century long drought in the continental championship, but the country’s professional clubs will be aiming to maintain their superiority when the Asian Champions League kicks off in March.

    Victory in the Asian Champions League would offer some comfort for a country that has been one of the standard bearers of Asian football throughout the last three decades but which has not been able to call itself the continent’s finest since back in 1960.

    That, though, is not the case within the club game where the Koreans have become the kings of Asia, renewing a love affair with the Asian Champions League over the last two years after relatively poor showings in 2007 and 2008.

    Korean clubs have won each of the last two titles – Pohang Steelers claimed the 2009 title while Seongnam Ilhwa won last year’s crown – while throughout the tournament’s on-off history, teams from the peninsula has secured nine continental crowns.

    But the last two years in particular have shown that the K-League is perhaps the best-equipped league in Asia for continental success and as the 2011 edition of the Asian Champions League prepares for kick-off, it is to the east Asian league that many will be looking for the next champion.

    One thing that is guaranteed is that Seongnam will not be reclaiming the title; after finishing fourth in the K-League’s playoff, the reigning Asian champions did not qualify for the next edition of the competition. Unlike in other continents, the defending champions do not qualify automatically for the Asian Champions League.

    As a result, the club has indulged in a sell-off of its best talent; Mauricio Molina, the left-footed Colombian wizard who sparked much of the club’s creativity has departed to join FC Seoul, the current K-League champions.

    Goalkeeper Jung Sung-ryung and striker Choi Sung-kuk, meanwhile, have departed for Suwon Bluewings, a club with a rich history in Asian competition but which has failed to shine for much of the last decade.

    Suwon won the old Asian Club Championship in 2001 and 2002 but since that tournament morphed in the Asian Champions League they have struggled.

    Now, though, there is clearly a new determination within the Samsung-backed club to re-establish themselves within the continental scene, with Jung and Choi added to squad that won the Korean FA Cup last season to qualify for the Asian Champions League.

    Lee Yong-rae, who impressed playing at the heart of the midfield during the Asian Cup for the national team, has also signed for the club, moving from Gyeongnam FC, adding a steel and determination to the side that was lacking in previous years.

    Former Croatia international Mato Neretljak has signed from J.League side Omiya Ardija while right-back Oh Beom-seok was picked up from Ulsan Hyundai in an impressive close-season spree.

    Those five signings represent a significant overhaul of the squad by coach Yoon Sung-hyo, who only took over midway last year following the resignation of Cha Bum-kun.

    But after so much high quality recruitment, the pressure will be on Yoon and his team from the moment they first take to the pitch against Sydney FC in their opening Group H game to deliver.

    With Korean clubs in the ascendancy in recent times, don’t bet against them.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The future of South Korean football must be bright – because Park Ji-sung’s decision to retire says it is.

    The Manchester United midfielder has called time on his international career, a move long mooted but something the 29-year-old had been reluctant to commit to 100 percent until he finally pulled the trigger.

    That came on the day the Koreans returned to Seoul from their unsuccessful mission at the Asian Cup finals in Qatar as Park told a packed press conference his days leading the national team were over.

    While Park and company failed in their attempt to end the country’s 51-year title drought at the Asian Cup – astonishingly the Koreans have not won the title since their second win in 1960 - the signs are strong that run will come to an end in Australia in four years’ time.

    And that is why Park feels he can take off one famous red shirt and concentrate on prolonging his career in the one that pays his wages at the club that has made him the preeminent star of the Asian game.

    Throughout the Asian Cup, Park was constantly bombarded with questions about his future, so much so that he would habitually walk away when asked, once again, what his plans were for the future.

    But he had made it clear prior to the World Cup finals in South Africa that his intention was to stand down on one condition: that the young players coming through for Korea were good enough that the national team no longer needed him.

    Park now has had the opportunity to see the future of Korean football up close and the decision in the end was an easy one for him to make.

    While he still put in his usual dynamic displays in the Korean midfield, Park by no means carried this Korea team. Indeed, when he was absent for the third-place play-off win over Uzbekistan – what turned out to be the first game of the post-Park era – there was little discernable difference compared to when he played throughout the tournament.

    And that is because coach Cho Kwang-rae’s team has an abundance of talent, even beyond the players who grabbed the headlines during the Asian Cup.

    Koo Ja-cheol may be just 21 years old but he finished the tournament as top scorer and has since secured a move to the Bundesliga, where he has joined Japan’s Asian Cup-winning captain Makoto Hasebe at Wolfsburg.

    It can’t be long, either, before 19-year-old striker Ji Dong-won is joining Koo in Europe while others such as Ki Sung-yeung, Yoon Bitgaram and Son Heung-min showed that the Taeguk Warriors have little to worry about in the coming years.

    That only one of South Korea’s goals at the Asian Cup was scored by a player over the age of 21 – that was the nation’s late equaliser by defender Hwang Jae-won in the semifinal against Japan – speaks volumes about the talent coming through the K-League and into the national team.

    Korea’s status among Asia’s leading nations is secure and while Park will no doubt be missed – for his influence on the young players as much as for his ability on the pitch – there can be little doubt that without him Cho and his team will continue to move forward.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Four years ago, Tadanari Lee wasn’t even considered a Japanese citizen despite being born in Tokyo. Now the Sanfrecce Hiroshima striker is a national hero after scoring the only goal in Japan’s victory over Australia in the final of the Asian Cup.

    A third generation Korean who had previously trained with – but never played for - the national youth teams of South Korea, Lee came off the bench to make only his second appearance in a Japan shirt.

    And in the 108th minute he ended Australia’s hopes of an historic first title with a stunning left-foot volley that Mark Schwarzer could only stand by and admire.

    "The game today showed that substitute players can also make great contributions to the team and can also play the key role in determining who will win, said the 25-year-old.

    "I am really happy, but I want to say this goal just doesn’t belong to me, it is the result of the work done by the whole Japanese team.

    Lee’s goal will no doubt turn the spotlight onto the huge Korean community within the nation, many of whom excel in the sporting arena.

    Jong Tae-se, the star of North Korea’s World Cup team, was born in Japan, as were several of his team mates from the side that featured in both South Africa and here in Qatar.

    That the community – many of whom are descendants of slave labourers brought to Japan during the imperial annexation of the Korean peninsula in the early part of the 20th century - has never been fully integrated into Japanese society is one of the anomalies of a complex nation.

    But Lee at least has been made to feel more than welcome in a team that has steadily improved throughout the championship.

    "In this tournament, I have been in a low mood as I was only sent to the field as a substitute in one match during the group stages, said Lee.

    "However, our team is very united and we really attached great importance to the team’s construction. My team mates have been encouraging me so I was able to stay in good shape.

    Lee was one of several substitutes introduced by coach Alberto Zaccerhoni who had a major influence on the game as the Japanese underlined the supremacy that has seen them claim four Asian titles since 1992.

    After seeing his side struggle for much of the first half, the Italian introduced Daiki Iwamasa into defence, allowing Yasuyuki Konno to move to left back and Yuto Nagatomo to advance into midfield.

    It was from Nagatomo’s cross from the left that Lee struck to secure Japan’s record-breaking fourth continental title.

    "After changing the position of Nagatomo, we looked better, said Zaccheroni, who won the title in what was only his eighth game in charge of Japan.

    "We could not really go forward much although this was not a problem with the strikers but a problem with the midfielders.

    "I had the choice to use Konno as a defensive midfielder and push Yasuhito Endo and Makoto Hasebe forward but I changed Nagatomo's position and from that point Australia looked kind of loose. I was surprised because they were so compact before.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Son Heung-min’s tears spoke more volumes about South Korea’s deep desire to end their agonizing drought at the continental championship than any of the proclamations made throughout the tournament by Cho Kwang Rae and his team.

    The young Hamburg forward was inconsolable as Japan progressed to a fourth Asian Cup final in six tournaments after 120 minutes of the finest football the tournament had witnessed to date.

    Son’s pain was plain for all to see; the 18-year-old was crying uncontrollably by the side of the Al Gharrafa Stadium pitch as all around him the Japanese celebrated the country’s astonishing run in the Asian Cup.

    Only once since 1992 have the Japanese not reached the semifinals – in 1996 in the United Arab Emirates when they fell at the quarterfinal stage against Kuwait – and on only one other occasion – in 2007 – have Japan not made it into the final.

    That stands in stark contrast with the Koreans. Despite their peerless record in qualifying for the World Cup, which has seen them represent the continent at each of the last seven tournaments, they have not been Asian champions since 1960.

    Their 51-year wait was supposed to end in Qatar and the signs during the group stages were that Cho’s young team had all the tools required to finally take the famous old trophy back to Seoul.

    Against Bahrain, in their opening game, they sparkled and shimmered while in their 1-1 draw with Australia they played a high tempo game that had the Socceroos chasing shadows.

    But an inability to convert their dominance into goals against India ultimately led to their downfall in the semis.

    Needing to win by four clear goals to top the group, the Koreans 4-1 win over the Indians left them in second place and ensured a more difficult route to the final than group winners Australia.

    A 120-minute physical battle against Iran – that resulted in a 1-0 win for the Koreans – preceded the meeting with Japan, who had advanced with a regulation time win over Qatar that was played 24 hours earlier.

    The last thing the Koreans needed was a high-tempo battle with their greatest rivals, but that was what the Japanese served up and, to the credit of Cho’s team, they matched Alberto Zaccheroni’s side all the way.

    After the Koreans took the lead through Ki Sung-yueng’s penalty, Japan struck through Ryoichi Maeda to take the game into extra-time and, when Hajime Hosogai put the three-time champions into the lead, it looked like Korea’s challenge was dead.

    But with seconds remaining, defender Hwang Jae-won popped up to equalise from close range and revive his nation’s hopes of finally picking up that elusive third Asian title. Heartbreak, though, was to follow. Prior to their quarterfinal meeting, Iran coach Afshin Ghotbi had said the young Koreans would choke if their game went to a penalty shootout.

    Ghotbi never had the chance to see that for himself as Yoon Bitgaram’s goal at the end of the first period of extra time put paid to Iran’s chances, but against the Japanese his prediction came true.

    Koo Ja-cheol, Lee Yong-rae and Hong Jeong-ho all failed to hit the back of the net, leaving Yasuyuki Konno to wrap up the game with his nation’s fourth spot kick and give Japan a 3-0 shootout win at the end of a pulsating game.

    So Korea’s wait for the Asian Cup will continue until 2015 and by then the youthful promise shown by Son, Koo, Jo Dong-won and the rest of Cho’s talented squad, could just prove too much for the rest of the continent to match.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Just days before China’s final Asian Cup group game against Uzbekistan, former manager Bob Houghton aired his views on the squad representing the nation at the continental championship in Qatar.

    "I’m not a great advocate of bringing young teams to big tournaments like this, said Houghton, the current coach of India and who led China’s national team during the late 1990s.

    "I think when you’re playing at World Cups and Asian Cups, you should really think more about getting the best possible result for the country than developing for the future because you don’t know how those boys are going to develop.

    Houghton’s reservations were justified as China crashed out of the Asian Cup, picking up a 2-2 draw against the Uzbeks when only a win would suffice, resulting in Gao Hongbo’s team finishing third in Group A.

    The Chinese went into the tournament playing down their chances with Gao highlighting the youth of his squad and stressing the Asian Cup was just a steeping stone towards the qualifying competition for the 2014 World Cup finals.

    Their performance at the tournament was patchy at best, with a deflected goal setting them on their way against Kuwait in their opening game to a 2-0 win against a 10-man opponent while the performance against Qatar was disjointed and fractured.

    It was only against Uzbekistan that the Chinese showed their promise in one of the better games of the tournament so far. China needed a win to have any chance of advancing, but a winning goal eluded captain Du Wei and his team.

    "It’s a pity that we couldn’t qualify for the next stage but today we showed a lot in this game, said Du. "I think we did very well in this game but in football anything can happen. Uzbekistan did very well and took their two chances.

    "A lack of experience might be part of the reason why we didn’t go through. We came to play in this tournament and we knew we would face three very different teams, so we were aware that we would face these kinds of problems.

    "But if a young team wants to grow up they have to get through this. But right until the last match, no one gave up and that’s because of the spirit of this team. No one gave up and that’s important.

    The Chinese certainly showed plenty of spirit throughout their truncated campaign but the coaching staff saw plenty of reasons to be positive for the future.

    "We've learned a lot from these matches, said assistant coach Fu Bo. "Since this team got together, we have been focusing on qualifying for the World Cup.

    "Now we end our journey in the Asian Cup but we have played three different matches and have had three different results. They were very good practice for our young players.

    "I think our team did very well in this Asian Cup and got great experience but the result shows that we need to do a lot of work in the future.

    Failure at the continental championship will only be acceptable to China’s despairing football fans, however, if it is a precursor to something that suggests the national team can qualify for the finals of the next World Cup.

    The evidence of that was scant, but three years could be long enough for China to finally pull everything together once again.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Saudi Arabia’s football federation has perhaps the itchiest trigger finger in world football, the country having gone through a host of coaches over the years.

    Being sacked is an occupational hazard that every manager faces up to but in Saudi Arabia the likelihood of being fired is greater, arguably, than it is anywhere else. Where other countries are reticent to make changes during major tournaments, the Arab nation has almost made a habit of doing just that.

    When Jose Peseiro was axed following his side’s surprise 2-1 loss at the hands of Syria in their opening game at the Asian Cup, he joined a small but illustrious band of more successful coaches who have also been given their marching orders by the Saudis at a major tournament.

    The most high profile came when Carlos Alberto Pereira – a man who had won the World Cup with Brazil just four years earlier – was booted out by the Saudis during the group stages of the finals in France in 1998.

    The Saudis had lost their opening game with Denmark before taking on hosts France at Stade de France and were immediately hit by the early expulsion of central defender Mohammad Al Khilaiwi.

    From there the Saudis – who had set their sights on a place in the quarterfinals after reaching the second round in the United States – capitulated, eventually losing 4-0 to a team that would eventually go on to win the title.

    The qualities of the French, though, were seen as no excuse for the team’s loss and Pereira was fired in the aftermath of the game, much to the chagrin of many within the world’s media, who berated the Saudis for their treatment of a hugely respected individual.

    Two years later, the Saudis were to pull a similar stunt on another highly rated individual.

    Czech coach Milan Macala had taken over the Saudi team after a hugely successful stint as head coach with Kuwait, winning the Gulf Cup in both 1996 and 1998 before moving to Riyadh to take on the Green Falcons.

    Macala took them to the semifinals of the FIFA Confederations Cup, where even a heavy loss at the hands of Brazil was not enough to discourage the federation from the fact that they team was on the right track.

    Opinions soon changed, though, after the opening game of the 2000 Asian Cup in Lebanon. Soundly beaten 4-1 by a dynamic, youthful and talented Japan side – that would also go on to win the title – Macala barely made it back to the hotel before being fired.

    Nasser Al Johar was called upon to replace Macala and the Saudi coach successfully steered the team to the final, where they met Japan again, this time losing 1-0.

    It is to Al Johar that the Saudis have turned once again in the aftermath of Peseiro’s sacking; he is the man to whom they turn in the gravest emergencies and he has, more often than not, succeeded.

    Whether he can do so with this team, though remains to be seen. Lacking cohesion and confidence, the Saudis struggled against the Syrians and deserved nothing from the game.

    Al Johar will have to work his magic once again if the Saudis are to have any hope of making it into a seventh Asian Cup final in eight tournaments.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    With the World Cup six months back in the rearview mirror and the next edition three-and-a-half years in the future, the up-coming edition of the Asian Cup threatens to be little more than a trial run for many of the more serious nations turning up in Qatar ahead of this weekend’s kick-off.

    There can be little doubt that the 15th edition of the continental championship will be keenly contested and that as each country touches down in the nation that will host the game’s biggest event in 2022, head coaches will make the usual comments about how seriously they’re taking the tournament and how important it is it be crowned kings of Asia.

    But while those proclamations are always made, the sense among some is that the 2011 Asian Cup is the perfect opportunity to blood new players and to start the process of rebuilding ahead of the qualifying tournament for the 2014 World Cup finals in Brazil.

    A cursory glance at the ages of the players comprising the squads of Japan, South Korea and China does much more than hint at the policy in place by countries that view qualifying for the World Cup – rather than being Asian champions – as their primary goal.

    China have arrived in Qatar with a squad that features no players over the age of 30 and their two eldest members – central defender Du Wei and midfielder Qu Bo – are still young enough at 28 and 29 respectively to still be able to contribute in China’s quest for a berth in Brazil.

    The Koreans, too, have a squad featuring balance in defence and midfield, one that sees young and experienced coming together under a coach – Cho Kwang-rae – with a reputation for developing and nurturing some of Korea’s best young talent.

    The same can be said, too, of the Japanese. Their coach Alberto Zaccheroni said as much at his team’s first training session in Doha on Tuesday evening.

    "The average age of this team is 24.8 years old, said the former AC Milan and Juventus coach. "I’ve picked a lot of young players to see how they respond.

    "But if those players mature the way they should in the future then I think we’ll have a very good team for the 2014 World Cup.

    There’s a sense that the Asian Cup is turning into a test bed for the teams of eastern Asia, where coaches can assess their up-and-coming talent in a competitive environment. Whether that is a good thing for the tournament remains to be seen but it could backfire, on the short term at least, when these sides come up against more experienced rivals.

    A recent precedent does exist however. Frenchman Philippe Troussier took a youthful Japan team to the finals of the 2000 Asian Cup in Lebanon and not only won the title, but did so with a flair and élan rarely seen in the Asian game. That side went on to impress at the World Cup two years later, reaching the second round for the first time in the country’s history.

    Zaccheroni will be hoping for something similar while Cho and China coach Gao Hongbo will be praying that they can follow suit.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The naysayers were quick dismiss their chances; even those within their own football federation refused to countenance their team making it beyond the group stages of the AFF Suzuki Cup.

    But Malaysia’s young footballers not only qualified for the semifinals of the biennial regional competition, but K. Rajagobal’s team are on the verge of winning the title for the first time after seeing off defending champions Vietnam in the last four.

    It’s normal for a fog of pessimism to hang over most facets of the game in Malaysia, but it is especially dense when it comes to the fortunes of the national team. While the sport has deep roots within the Southeast Asian nation, it has been a long time since Malaysian fans have had much to cheer about.

    Perhaps the nadir was reached in mid-2007 when, despite co-hosting the tournament, Malaysia exited the Asian Cup finals at the group stages in ignominious fashion, with barely a supporter in the cavernous Bukit Jalil Stadium to lend Norizan Bakar and his team some moral backing.

    There were supposed to be changes; the press cried foul and held the expected post-mortem. But the post-tournament promises were not kept and the malaise looked set to continue.

    It did. Or at least, it did until the tail end of last year when the country started to move back in the right direction as Malaysia’s under-23 team won the gold medal at the Southeast Asian Games in Laos.

    While it may not be the highest profile title in the world, within the region it is an auspicious gong and it was one the Malaysians had not claimed for more than a generation.

    It also has served as the launch pad for greater things. That gold medal winning team has now graduated to full national level and forms the basis of the side that is currently representing Malaysia at the ongoing AFF Suzuki Cup.

    The fact is, though, that no one expected the Tigers to still be in the competition as Christmas fast approaches.

    Even Rajagobal – the man who has developed and nurtured this team - has been surprised. As the tournament kicked off, he was lamenting the loss of as many as 10 of his squad as the nation’s involvement in November’s Asian Games tournament took its toll.

    Neither did the tournament start well, as Malaysia were hammered 5-1 by an Indonesian side that began fast and has barely let up as the competition has gone on.

    Despite the margin of defeat, though, the Malaysians had performed well for most of the 90 minutes and it was individual errors by young players overawed by the intimidating atmosphere of Jakarta’s 90,000-capacity Gelora Bung Karno Stadium that led to the loss.

    Since then, though, the Malaysians have grown more and more assured. They held Bryan Robson’s Thailand – three-time winners of the title – to a draw before cruising past Laos.

    They then hit Vietnam with a pair of sucker punches in front of a raucous crowd in Kuala Lumpur to take a two-goal lead to Hanoi for the second leg of the semifinal, a margin they defended superbly to book the country’s place in the final for the first time since 1996.

    Malaysia’s previous appearance in the final ended in defeat – a 1-0 loss against Thailand in the inaugural tournament in Singapore – and Indonesia will no doubt be huge favourites to lift a trophy they have also never won.

    But Rajagobal and his team have been written off at the AFF Suzuki Cup since before the tournament began and it has done them little harm. Neither the coach nor the players will be bothered if no one is backing them this late in the game.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Confidence is not something that often permeates the musing of football fans from Indonesia. So used to the national team’s failings are the country’s supporters that any glimmer of hope is usually quickly doused in memories of previous woes and misfortune.

    For a nation with a population in excess of 250 million and an almost insatiable appetite for the game, the surprise always is that the Indonesians have rarely tasted anything like the levels of success the people’s passion for the game deserves or demands.

    In the 14 years since the Asian Football Federation Suzuki Cup was launched back in 1996, the Indonesians have never won the title and on three occasions – in 2000, 2002 and 2004 – reached the final.

    Those defeats at the hands of Thailand, in 2000 and 2002, and Singapore in 2004, are as close as the country has come to tasting regional glory – it’s a truly pathetic record for a country that has so much to offer the regional and continental game.

    While off the field the sport is a basket case – the local federation has been in turmoil for a number of years while there is talk of a breakaway league forming in the near future – the country’s huge appetite for the game remains.

    The imposing 90,000-seater Gelora Bung Karno Stadium was close to capacity during the recent group stages of the AFF Suzuki Cup and those who managed to squeeze into the cavernous venue saw their team play with the kind of determination and grit rarely seen in recent years.

    Pundits and opposing coaches have been lining up to herald the influence of a pair of overseas-born players as central to the country’s revival, but the real reason perhaps rests elsewhere.

    The Indonesian football federation – referred to locally by its Bahasa Indonesia acronym PSSI – are not known for making the right decision very often and as a result the country has usually lurched from one disappointment to the other.

    National team coaches have been appointed by members of the federation who have ulterior motives and who are pedalling their own agendas; the right man for the job is not always the one sought by those making the decisions.

    This time, though, the Indonesians have got it right and in veteran Austrian coach Alfred Riedl they have a man who is not only experienced but knows the region, understands the mentality and has a knack of bringing the best out in his teams.

    Riedl holds his footballing principals close to his heart and refuses to compromise, recently criticising the physical nature of the Indonesian league and insisting he would not allow what he called ‘dirty play’ to permeate his team.

    He has also embraced the idea of bringing in overseas-born players to bolster his squad, with Indo-Dutch winger Irfan Bacdim and naturalised Uruguayan striker Cristian Gonzales bringing a new level of quality to his team.

    But it is Riedl’s dedication, determination and attention to detail that has played arguably the biggest role in lifting the Indonesians to a level where they are now the nailed-on favourites to lift this year’s AFF Suzuki Cup.

    As well as being organised and hard to break down in the group stages, the Indonesians scored freely and were ruthless when they needed to be; a 2-0 win in their final group match against Thailand – when the Indonesians had already qualified for the semi-finals – meant the three-time champions were eliminated.

    Riedl and his team will see little to worry them in the form of their last-four opponents from the Philippines and only complacency can now stop them from reaching a fourth final and, potentially, from lifting their first-ever AFF Suzuki Cup.

    If that drought does come to an end, then Riedl will be hailed throughout the archipelago as the man who succeeded where everyone else failed.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    This year, as with previous events, South East Asia’s Suzuki Cup was in danger of being a procession; the perceived wisdom was that the usual suspects would turn up at the biennial regional tournament and divide the spoils between them.

    Thailand and Singapore, with six of the previous seven titles shared between them, were expected to breeze through their respective groups, likely joined by defending champions Vietnam and perennial underachievers Indonesia in the last four.

    The likes of Laos and the Philippines – who had both progressed to the finals via the tournament’s qualifying round held in October – were given little hope; the status quo was, surely, to be maintained.

    If that was the case, then the scripts delivered to the homes of Philippines coach Simon McMenemey and his spirited, enthusiastic team were left unopened and unread.

    Of the four semifinalists in the 2010 competition, the Philippines are one of only two – the other being Indonesia – to have gone through the group stages undefeated.

    Spectacularly, both Singapore and Thailand have fallen by the wayside, usurped by the Filipinos and Malaysia respectively while Vietnam progressed only with a win in their final group match.

    As if qualifying for the last four was not a shock in itself, the Filipinos did it without losing against Singapore and Myanmar while also pulling off the biggest shock of the competition’s history, notching up a 2-0 win over Vietnam in front of 40,000 of their own fans at Hanoi’s intimidating My Dinh Stadium.

    It was all so far removed from the team’s expectations going into a tournament at which the Philippines had never excelled.

    "We have respect for our opponents and there are some very good sides here and we are very much the underdogs, said McMenemy before the tournament began.

    "But I think that puts us in quite a comfortable position in that nobody expects too much from us. So, with that in mind, we've been working very, very hard behind the scenes.

    "The players are looking forward to the challenges that the games bring and we hope that we can provide some competitive opposition to some of the bigger sides in the competition."

    The Filipinos have been more than just competitive; they have shown that, despite coming from a nation with little or no football culture, they can mix it with the region’s best.

    The Vietnam side they defeated not only won the South East Asian title two years ago but were quarterfinalists at the 2007 Asian Cup. Singapore’s squad, meanwhile, boasts many of the same players that featured in that nation’s back-to-back triumphs in this competition in 2004 and 2007.

    The secret to the Philippines’ success has been the utilization of the country’s far-flung assets as the national association has tapped into the Filipino diaspora, especially those living in England.

    Close to half the starting line-up were born and raised in England, born to Filipina mothers and English fathers and, as a result, steeped in football culture while also being eligible to play for the Philippines.

    It is a policy that has been in place for some time, with brothers Phil and James Younghusband – former trainees at Chelsea - among the first to take up the opportunity to play for the Philippines. From there, others have followed, and it is having a significant impact on the results of the team from the archipelago.

    Goalkeeper Neil Etheridge, defender Rob Gier and midfielder Chris Greatwich all bring a greater level of experience and physical presence to the team than would have been the case with an all-Filipino team and the knock-on is sure to be felt in Manila and beyond.

    Back in the Philippines, there has been everything from presidential messages of support to a universal jumping on the bandwagon by a fans within a country usually more closely associated in sporting terms with basketball or the exploits of the nation’s favourite son, boxing legend Manny Pacquiao.

    The Philippines footballers have at least turned themselves into celebrities at home, made the cosy world of South East Asian football sit up and obliterated many preconceptions. Long may it continue.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Continental champions and home to the newly crowned Asian Player of the Year they may be, but Seongnam Ilhwa can forget about retaining their Asian Champions League crown next season.

    One of the remaining flaws in the Asian Football Confederation’s structure of the continent’s premier club competition was brought into focus again as Seongnam missed out on a top three finish in the Korean league.

    Defeat at the hands of Jeonbuk Motors – themselves a former winner of the continental title – in the second round of the K-League playoffs means Shin Tae-yong’s team will not be afforded the opportunity to defend their title.

    Under the competition’s rules, the defending champions are not granted automatic qualification for the following year’s tournament and so the 2011 edition of the Asian Champions League will kick off without one of the most successful clubs in the history of the region’s game.

    The irony was that the outcome of Seongnam’s attempt to qualify for next season came on the night the club’s captain Sasa Ognenovski was being honoured at the Asian Player of the Year Awards in Kuala Lumpur.

    The Australian defender picked up the award thanks to his performances at the heart of the club’s backline throughout the 2010 season after also being named the Most valuable Player for the Asian Champions League campaign.

    However, had Ognenovski not been injured on the fateful night of his club’s loss against Jeonbuk – he picked up a calf injury in the preceding weekend’s win over Ulsan Horang-i – the 30-year-old may have been on hand to ensure Seongnam’s progress.

    Had that occurred, though, it would have been at great personal cost. Winners of the Asian Player of the Year Award must be present in person at the annual ceremony in Kuala Lumpur to collect the trophy, otherwise they forfeit the right to the crown and it is passed on elsewhere.

    It is because of that controversial ruling that, throughout the last five years, the award itself has become tarnished as key figures in the Asian game such as Park Ji-sung and Tim Cahill have been consistently overlooked.

    Managers of the stature of Sir Alex Ferguson or David Moyes are not likely to look favourably on their charges boarding planes for long haul flights in the middle of the season unless it is absolutely necessary.

    That, though, is no fault of Ognenovski and he will no doubt be a fine ambassador for the Asian game when he returns to the centre of the Seongnam defence at the FIFA Club World Cup in Abu Dhabi later this month.

    The award capped a fine month for the Melbourne-born star, who was also called up for a first appearance for Australia just days after Seongnam’s Champions League win.

    He and his team mates will have to enjoy the opportunity as much as they can because, thanks to the flawed set up of the ACL, they will have no chance of a repeat performance in 2011.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    This time, there was to be no miraculous comeback for Kashima Antlers as Nagoya Grampus revel in the anticlimax of what remains of the J.League season, safe in the knowledge the club has claimed their first-ever league title.

    A nervy win over lowly Shonan Bellmare coupled with Antlers’ draw with Vissel Kobe confirmed Grampus’ championship win, depriving the J.League and all associated with it the drama that has engulfed the Japanese football throughout the previous five seasons.

    Since the J.League changed its format away from a two-stage system that saw the winners of each half of the league playoff against each other for the title of Japanese champion, the race for the title has gone down to the final day of the season.

    In each of the last three seasons, Kashima emerged victorious with only Gamba Osaka and Urawa Reds managing to win the title under the current format before Antlers’ run of consecutive league victories began on the final day of the 2007 season.

    That streak, though, is now at an end as Grampus culminated a three-year building process under Dragan Stojkovic into the league title the club has craved for so long but which had – until now - been beyond its reach.

    Higher profile coaches have tried and failed; Arsene Wenger went close in the mid-1990s and Carlos Queiroz was also denied. But the man they call "Pixie’ has prevailed thanks to a steady, concerted effort to construct a title-winning squad.

    The road towards success commenced at the start of 2008 with the hiring of Stojkovic, the Serbian who had held Grampus fans in his thrall during an eight-year stint with the club as a highly volatile if supremely talented player.

    His mercurial talents on the field may have dazzled, but they never led to the league title.

    As a manager, however, he retained the charismatic approach to the game that delighted fans and observers and he set about building a team fit to fight for the league.

    A third-place finish in 2008 saw Grampus qualify for the Asian Champions League for the first time and the following year the club embarked on a run to the semifinals of the continental championship that ended with defeat at the hands of Al Ittihad from Saudi Arabia.

    The strain on the club’s resources caused by the Asian campaign damaged Grampus challenge for the J.League title – hence the disappointing ninth-place finish.

    But the upside of last year’s poor placing in the league was the lack of other distractions as the club focused intently on winning the title.

    With the finishing touches applied to the squad by Stojkovic in the close season thanks to the signing from Urawa Reds of Japan international defender Marcus Tulio Tanaka, Grampus were ready for a serious challenge.

    That has now come to fruition with the club taking control of the league in the weeks following Japan’s involvement in the World Cup in South Africa. Since then, they have not looked back – save for the occasionally nervy wobble – and now Grampus can set their sights once more of transferring their domestic success into Asian glory in next year’s Asian Champions League.

    Having dominated Japanese football in such a commanding fashion, no one will be writing off Nagoya’s prospects next season in a hurry.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Throughout his career at his beloved Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, no one won more as a player than Shin Tae-yong.

    As a dynamic midfielder, he was at the heart of Korean football’s most successful club as they dominated the scene both domestically and across the continent, winning one league title after another.

    In a career that straddled the millennium, Shin finally ended his time on the field with the club in 2004 when he decamped to Australia to sign up with Queensland Roar before an ankle injury forced him to hang up his boots.

    In that time, Shin won the Asian Club Championship in 1995, was named the Korean league’s Most Valuable Player on two occasions as well as six league titles and a whole host of other lesser awards.

    He played a record 401 times for the club, scoring 99 goals; but none of that compares to what he achieved at the weekend in Tokyo; for Shin has steered Seongnam back to the top of the continental summit.

    It has taken just two seasons as the club’s head coach for the 40-year-old to restore Seongnam’s former glory, almost 15 years on from when he masterminded his side’s first Asian title win over Al Nassr in Riyadh’s imposingly opulent King Fahd International Stadium.

    Shin’s Seongnam Ilhwa side maintained east Asia’s dominance of the continental game with a 3-1 win over Iran’s Zob Ahan in the final of this year’s Asian Champions League as the club followed in the footsteps of their bitter rivals Pohang Steelers, who won the title last year.

    Seongnam’s win is also the fourth in a row for clubs from the east of the continent, meaning a west Asian nation has not claimed the title since the second of Saudi Arabia’s Al Ittihad’s back-to-back titles in 2006.

    "I have won as a player before and now as a head coach but I am happier tonight, said Shin.

    "As a player I had belief that we could become champion but since I became a head coach I did not think that I would ever have this opportunity to participate in a major tournament like this.

    "So to become champion as a coach it is twice as good as when I won as a player so I am very happy.

    Shin can go even further towards emulating his achievements as a player in the coming weeks given Seongnam’s qualification for the K-League playoffs, where they are due to face Ulsan Hyundai on Sunday.

    And much more lies ahead for the newly crowned Asian champions, who will represent the continent at the FIFA Club World Cup in Abu Dhabi in December, the first time the club has featured in the competition.

    "Our next goal is to try even harder, said Shin. "We will play in the Club World Cup and we want to show people that Asian football is at a high level.

    "The quality of football in Asia is improving and I am sure it will get even better.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Kashima Antlers pulled themselves back into the battle for the 2010 J.League title, but as the Oswaldo Oliveira’s team was celebrating a 1-0 win over table toppers Nagoya Grampus, perhaps the club’s greatest rivals over the last decade were reveling in something of a renaissance.

    It’s not so long ago that the duel for Japan’s most coveted prizes was a straight fight between Kashima and Jubilo Iwata, the small town club from Shizuoka prefecture that nurtured and developed a team that not only claimed the J.League title but went on to dominate Asian football.

    National team stars such as Naohiro Takahara, Hiroshi Nanami, Masashi Nakayama and numerous others pulled on the pale blue shirt for Jubilo and, over the course of a six-year period from 1997 through to the end of 2002, the club won the domestic title on three occasions as well as clinching the continental title in 1999.

    In those pre-Asian Champions League days, Jubilo were the kings of Asia as they successfully held off the challenges of clubs such as Al Hilal from Saudi Arabia and Suwon Bluewings from South Korea.

    But as the club’s golden generation grew old together, so their ability to match the pace and style of the other leading clubs in Japan and Asia saw them diminished as a threat and, in recent seasons, Jubilo have been little more than mid-table fodder in the J.League.

    Their inability to regenerate that all conquering team stood in stark contrast to Kashima, who have maintained an astonishing dynasty within the league as successive coaches – Oliviera has carried on the great success enjoyed by his Brazilian compatriot Toninho Cerezo – enjoyed the fruits of one of the finest youth development networks in the country.

    Kashima’s chances of claiming the 2010 league title remain slim – they are eight points behind Nagoya with five games remaining – but for Jubilo the current season can at least be considered a success.

    Ryoichi Maeda is one of the few players remaining in the current squad who has any links with Jubilo’s golden era – he was a squad member when the club last won the league title in 2002 – and he was instrumental in his side’s 5-3 win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Nabisco Cup.

    The Nabisco Cup – Japan’s equivalent of the League Cup – is taken seriously in Japan and, in many respects, it has superseded in importance the Emperor’s Cup, the country’s oldest knockout tournament but which continues to be held back by its poor scheduling.

    Maeda – winner of Asia’ Young Player of the Year Award back in 2000 – scored twice in the final at National Stadium, including an equalizer just before the end of full-time that took the game into extra time, where Jubilo then proceeded to extend their lead and claim their first trophy in eight years.

    Jubilo’s win means Sanfrecce remain the only club from the original 10 that were members of the J.League in its inaugural season in 1993 not to have won a major title, but there will have been few tears shed in Iwata as they ended what has been a frustrating drought of their own.

    Whether it will be enough to spark a longer-term revival for Jubilo is open to debate; the club currently sits in the bottom half of the league table, 20 points adrift of Grampus in 11th place. But for one week at least, the glory days are back at Yamaha Stadium.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    No club in China better understands the bitter sense of disappointment that comes with missing out on glory better than Shanghai Shenhua, and Chinese football’s glamour club will spend another close season thinking about what could have been as the 2010 campaign comes to an end.

    With one game remaining in the current season, Shanghai know that once again they will finish second in the league; it will be an astonishing ninth time in 15 seasons that the club has taken the runners-up position in the Chinese Super League.

    On Saturday, Miroslav Blazevic and his team will have the perfect opportunity to see what a championship-winning team looks like as his side hosts newly crowned champions Shandong Luneng, a club that has won the title in three of the last five seasons.

    That record stands in stark contrast to that of Shanghai, who have won the league title on just two occasions since the league turned professional in 1994. The two have firmly established themselves as the giants of Chinese professional football after the early years of the competition were dominated by Dalian Shide, who are now a diminished force.

    Twelve points clear with just one game remaining, Shandong have been imperious throughout the 2010 season, their first under former Iran coach Branko Ivankovic.

    Ivankovic was a divisive figure during his time working with Team Melli, seen by many to be pandering to the whims and wants of veteran stars such as the hugely influential Ali Daei during the country’s disappointing showing at the 2006 World Cup.

    With a squad deemed in some quarters as good enough to present themselves as one of the dark horses of that tournament, Iran failed miserably as a result of infighting and factionalism, with much of the blame laid at Ivankovic’s door due his inability to stifle the unrest.

    At Shandong, though, the Croatian has proven his ability to galvanise a team as he built on the foundations left by his predecessor Ljubisa Tumbakovic.

    Tumbakovic, during his five-year reign in Jinan, had steered the club to the league title in 2006 and 2008 but, after a disappointing fourth place finish last season, decided it was time to move on.

    In his place, Ivankovic has excelled after a mixed start with indifferent form in the league and the club exiting the Asian Champions League at the group stages.

    But as the season has gone on and Ivankovic has become more accustomed to his squad, so Shandong have progressed, clinching the title thanks to a run of 10 games unbeaten at the business end of the season, during which they won six and drew four.

    Three of those draws came as it became increasingly inevitable that Shandong would lift the CSL title for the third time in five seasons, highlighting the stable foundations upon which the club has been built no matter who is at the helm.

    Ivankovic has overseen the beginnings of a regeneration of the team, with former national team goalkeeper Li Leilei giving way to Yang Chen between the posts while youngsters such as Zheng Zheng and Deng Zhuoxiang have come to the fore.

    In attack, the goals of China international Han Peng have been vital – he claimed 15 in the league, four fewer than top scorer Duvier Riascos from Shanghai - while veteran Li Jinyu has provided adequate backup.

    Shanghai will no doubt savour the prospect of taking the sheen off Shandong’s title win when they meet on Saturday, but perhaps more important for both clubs is the need to start thinking about next season and their respective assaults on the Asian Champions League.

    China’s standing within the Asian game continues to be meager but a strong showing in 2011 by either Shandong or Shanghai – the two clubs best equipped to make an impact on the continental stage – would go some way towards making amends for too many years of underachievement.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Just when Nagoya Grampus were looking close to being home and dry, the gremlins have surfaced in an attempt to scupper their hopes of securing their first-ever J.League title.

    Midfielder Mu Kanazawa and influential central defender Marcus Tulio Tanaka have both pulled up with hamstring injuries in the days following their 2-1 win over Vissel Kobe, depriving manager Dragan Stojkovic of the services of two of the most important members of his squad as the run-in begins.

    With seven games to go, Grampus hold an eight-point lead at the summit of the J.League and remain favourites to clinch the title for the first time since the league’s launch back in 1993.

    Grampus have had near misses in the past, but this year they are so close to joining the select band of clubs to have won the league since the advent of professional football in Japan, Stojkovic and his team can almost taste the celebratory champagne.

    Of the two, Kanazawa’s absence will be the longer with the 21-year-old expected to be out for three weeks, which means he is likely to miss the crunch encounter with defending champions Kashima Antlers on November 7.

    Tulio, by contrast, is out for two weeks and could return – although he is presently doubtful - for that vital game against the second-placed club at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

    The home of the champions has always been one of the more difficult venues in Japanese football for visiting teams.

    A capacity crowd of 40,000 fans – the majority backing the home team – will brave the biting winter winds that cut across the flat Ibaraki plains to boost Oswaldo Oliveira’s side as they seek an unprecedented fourth straight J.League crown.

    Not for the first time, the odds are against them, but that has not stopped the Antlers juggernaut in the past.

    Indeed, Tulio need only cast his mind back to the final day of the 2007 season when Urawa Reds – the Japan defender’s club at the time – lost the title to Antlers, who had trailed Reds by 10 points with just five games of the season remaining.

    Kashima were unstoppable, claiming the title after an astonishing run of nine consecutive victories (that run of success began, coincidentally after a 3-0 loss at the hands of Nagoya, with two of the goals coming from current national team golden boy Keisuke Honda).

    Back in 2007, injury had robbed Urawa of Tulio’s services in the final game of the campaign and, as Reds lost to lowly Yokohama FC, Antlers claimed the title thanks to a comprehensive 3-0 win over Shimizu S-Pulse.

    Oliviera and his team know the destiny of the title remains out of their hands. But as they have proven before, if they can keep ticking off the wins, the pressure on the opposition could become too much to handle.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The dominance of the Korean peninsula within the Asian game took another step towards entrenching itself further in China last week; and for once it was not the southern side of the 38th parallel that was doing the celebrating.

    The Democratic People's Republic of Korea - North Korea to the average man in the street but a title that causes anger and outrage in Pyongyang - lifted the Asian Under 19 Championship in the Chinese city of Zibo, defeating Australia in the final and emerging victorious over their southern neighbours in the semifinals.

    It was the second time in three tournaments the kids from Pyongyang have tasted glory in this particular tournament, with the country unearthing another up-and-coming gem in striker Jong Il-gwan, who scored five goals in the tournament including a hat-trick in the final.

    Both finalists - plus beaten semifinalists South Korea and Saudi Arabia - also qualified for the finals of the FIFA Under 20 World Cup, a feat which, coupled with the country's advances over the last decade, further cements the North Koreans' status as a new power on the Asian football scene.

    The country's climb to the upper echelon of Asian football has been rapid; prior to the turn of the 21st century, it had been several generations since the North Koreans had been amongst Asia's finest.

    There are few within the global game who are not aware of the story of the country's run to the quarterfinals of the 1966 World Cup in England, but in many respects that success was an anomaly for a nation that rarely figured at the sharp end of the Asian game.

    Prior to their current resurgence, it was in the qualifying tournament for the 1994 World Cup finals in the United States that North Korea last came close to being a force to be reckoned with in Asia and it was only after a period of isolation following the death of Kim Il-sung, the country's founder, that the structure was put in place to reverse the slide.

    "After the qualifying tournament for the 1994 World Cup, everyone in North Korea was thinking that the national team wasn’t good enough, says Mun Sisong, a former general secretary of the DPRK Football Association who currently works for the Asian Football Confederation.

    "The team was old and we were thinking about putting more emphasis on youth development. I met some of the FIFA people at the World Cup and requested assistance in coach education.

    "FIFA organised some courses, which were funded by the National Olympic Committee, and it meant that we had in place a system to education and teach football coaches.

    That system implemented by Mun and his cohorts is the one that is now bearing fruit on a grand scale. Two Asian Under 19 successes have also been backed up by a pair of runners-up finishes in the U16 equivalent. And that's not forgetting the country's qualification for the 2010 World Cup finals and their win in this year's AFC Challenge Cup competition, which guaranteed the national side a place at next year's Asian Cup.

    "The success that we have had has come because of our determination to work hard and try hard, says Mun. "There has been a lot of support from the government but there have been a lot of other factors in the team’s success as well.

    "The climatic conditions in my country are harsh and we don’t have heating systems for our pitches, so we had to install an artificial pitch and we were able to do that thanks to the FIFA Goal Project, that has allowed us to be more involved in the game throughout the year and in international tournaments.

    "The FIFA Goal Project allowed us to put in place a system that allows us to dream of playing at the World Cup. Without that we couldn’t participate. With such a solid foundation now established, North Korea's position at the summit of Asian football looks to be a sure bet.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Two games in, and any doubts Alberto Zaccheroni can have his Japan team ready for January’s Asian Cup finals in Qatar would appear to have been dispelled.

    Not only did the team – already known as Zac Japan – hand Argentina a 1-0 defeat at Saitama Stadium in the new manager’s debut n the bench, but the Blue Samurai also managed to emerge from a trip to Seoul with a scoreless draw against arch rivals South Korea.

    While the win over Argentina – the country’s first ever – was an historic result, the draw with the Koreans may be of more significance as it ends a run of defeats against their great rivals.

    Throughout the two countries’ long history of battle on the football pitch, the South Koreans have long held a hoodoo over Japan; seen as more committed to emerging victorious from a game against a nation that is still reviled in many quarters within Korea, the passion for the fixture tends to be strongest on the Korean side.

    But the Koreans have also been present at some of the greatest turning points in the recent history of Japanese football.

    Perhaps the most significant came at Seoul’s Olympic Stadium in late 1997 when Japan upset the form book to hand the Koreans a 2-0 defeat in front of their own fans to put their qualifying campaign for France 98 back on track.

    That win lifted Japan after a run of indifferent results, spurring them towards a place at their first-ever World Cup finals.

    The encounter between the two nations prior to their respective journeys to South Africa held at the end of May was also of great significance.

    South Korea’s comfortable 2-0 win at Saitama Stadium – orchestrated by the masterful Park Ji-sung – was a watershed moment for then-boss Takeshi Okada, who finally realised just how flawed was his team.

    From that moment on, the former Yokohama F Marinos coach implemented the changes that ultimately saw Japan go on to reach the last 16 at the World Cup in the summer.

    Since then, the gloom that previously enveloped the Japanese game appears to have lifted and Zaccheroni stands to be the one to gain most from the improved mood within the national team camp.

    The emergence, too, of Shinji Kagawa – who did not make the cut for the World Cup squad – at Borussia Dortmund has highlighted that Japan continues to produce creative players of the highest calibre.

    But amid all the positivity that has greeted Zaccheroni’s arrival, there was some gloom at the heart of Japanese football; the failure of the country’s under 19 team to qualify for next year’s FIFA U-20 World Cup marks the second tournament in a row that Japan have missed out on the prestigious youth tournament.

    And while all is rosy for the national team, there will be some who will be casting concerned looks towards the future and the country’s ability to continue to produce players capable of closing the gap on the world’s leading nations.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Not so long ago, the battle for the J.League crown looked a sure bet to be a three-way battle.

    But, as what would normally be seen as the climax of the season approaches, the title race is in danger of turning into a procession.

    As the challenges of defending champions Kashima Antlers and former Asian champions Gamba Osaka have stuttered, Dragan Stojkovic’s Nagoya Grampus have kept motoring on and currently the club holds a seven-point advantage with just 10 games remaining.

    In a league that has, in recent years, been decided on a chaotic final day’s action, Grampus are looking to stamp their authority all over the 2010 edition of the J.League.

    Should they do so, it will the end of a very lengthy wait for a club that has long held ambitions of success but which has frustratingly fallen short on so many occasions.

    Not even the once deep pockets of the massive Toyota corporation have been able to deliver significant success since the J.League era began in Japan back in 1993. Nor has the hiring of top class managers such as Arsene Wenger or Carlos Queiroz.

    Grampus can lay claim to just two Emperor Cup wins in the last 17 years while their previous best finish in the league was second, back in the Wenger/Queiroz era.

    But with Australian striker Josh Kennedy in fine form – the World Cup striker has scored 13 times already this season to lead the league’s goalscorers’ chart – and Japan international forward Keiji Tamada acting as formidable back-up, Grampus could finally be on the way to breaking their run of disappointment.

    Stojkovic has an abundance of talent and experience at his disposal. Japan international goalkeeper Seigo Narazaki is a stalwart of the squad while former Kawasaki Frontale midfielder Magnum brings guile and power into the heart of the team.

    Grampus struggled last season to juggle their domestic commitments with a challenge for the Asian Champions League last season – a tournament in which they reached the semifinals – and their form in the J.League suffered.

    But without that continental distraction, Grampus have a formidable look about them, which is only added to by the strengthening that was done to the squad at the start of the year when they signed Japan World Cup defender Marcus Tulio Tanaka from Urawa Reds.

    The Brazil-born centre-half’s title-winning experience while playing at Saitama Stadium will no doubt come in handy in the run-in although he also knows how it feels to throw everything away in the closing weeks of the season.

    The injury-prone defender was at the heart of the Urawa Reds team that capitulated in 2007, squandering a lead that stood at seven points with four games remaining to lose the title on the final day of the season to Kashima.

    Tulio will be determined such a collapse does not have the chance to haunt him again, even if he’s wearing a lighter shade of red in 2010.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    South Korea have not won the Asian Cup for more than 50 years, but there’s a very real danger the distraction of less important matters could be about to derail the country’s hopes of finally winning the continental title.

    There is little doubting the country’s status as one of the leaders of Asian football but it appears as if priorities are becoming divided to such a point that the nation may fall short of conquering the continent once again.

    South Korea have won the Asian Cup on just two occasions – in 1956 and 1960 – and the fly in the ointment is the quadrennial multi-sport Asian Games to be held in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou in November. Among its featured 42 events is an under-23 football tournament that runs throughout the Asian’s 21 days.

    For most Asian nations – and especially those in the upper reaches of the continental standings – this tournament counts for little more than as a testing bed for young up-and-coming players. It’s a way of gauging the talent and ability of those players most likely to feature in Asia’s qualifying tournament for the 2012 Olympic Games.

    But for the Koreans it takes on a whole other level of significance, much of which is personal rather than national.

    With the country still officially at war with the Stalinist Democratic People’s Republic to the north, all South Korean males are expected to engage in 30 months of military service, even those who are involved in professional sport for a living.

    So, while the vast majority of Koreans see it as their national duty to involve themselves in the defence of their country, for sportsmen and women it has often been a burden, especially in those sports – such as football – where the prime years of a player’s career happen during their twenties.

    That, normally, is a time devoted to service with the military and, although the country’s various armed forces have their own football teams, the opportunities afforded to those good enough to make a living abroad are curtailed.

    As a result, the carrot dangled under the noses of athletes participating at the Asian Games is a straight trade off – win a gold medal and an exemption from military service is automatically earned.

    So, with that in mind, the Koreans have named a football squad for the Asian Games that features a number of the country’s leading young footballers, including Celtic midfielder Ki Sung-yeung and Park Chu-young, who scored twice during the World Cup in South Africa and plies his trade with AS Monaco.

    Their inclusion adds significant sheen to a promising Korean squad. They will certainly be among the favourites to win the gold medal and to also earn that much coveted exemption from military service – an honour that was previously bestowed on the 2002 World Cup squad following their run to the semifinals.

    But what it is also likely to do is to harden the minds and attitudes of European clubs towards releasing the same players for the Asian Cup in January. While FIFA rules stipulate that clubs must allow their players to join up with their national team squads for what is an officially sanctioned event – the Asian Games is not – the question has to be asked whether the Korean Football Association or the players themselves would want to antagonize the clubs further by asking for their release for a second time in such a short period of time.

    If not, then the Korean national team will suffer and head coach Cho Kwang-ryo will be forced to go to Qatar with a squad that is shorn of several of its best young talents.

    And while Korea will still be strong enough to challenge for the continental title in January, the odds on them doing so without the craft of Ki in midfield and the attacking prowess of Park will undoubtedly lengthen.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    It doesn't take much for the optimism within Chinese football to evaporate, and – true to form – the upbeat mood that was starting to grow following the country’s East Asian Championship win in February has begun to dissipate.

    Little over six months has passed since Gao Hongbo’s team reestablished themselves within a region that boasted three of the continent’s four qualifiers for the World Cup in South Africa.

    At the tournament held in Japan, Gao’s team handed South Korea a comprehensive 3-0 defeat – the nation’s first-ever win over the Koreans - and outplayed Japan in their 0-0 draw as China took the title for the second time.

    Victory over France in the weeks leading up to the World Cup finals further boosted the profile and confidence of the team as China continued along the road towards redemption.

    While match fixing scandals in the domestic league have garnered headlines both at home and abroad, the greatest pain being felt in China is caused by the national team’s failures on the global stage.

    After qualifying for the World Cup finals for the first time in 2002, the country’s fortunes have been little short of disastrous since.

    Not only have they failed to make it to the World Cup in either 2006 or 2010, but the Chinese have not even reached the final phase of Asia’s qualifying competition for either tournament.

    The deep wounds of those failures were recently reopened by the national team’s disappointing results in friendly match losses at the hands of Paraguay and Iran, defeats that have seen that fragile optimism shattered once again.

    According to a recent poll by sina.com, one of the country’s leading internet portals, only 10.7 percent of Chinese football fans believe the nation can establish itself as one of Asia’s leading nations. Almost 53 percent felt such an achievement was beyond the ability of Gao and his players.

    With the Asian Cup finals on the horizon, China is a nation lacking once again in confidence and belief in its footballers.

    Gao, though, has refused to be downhearted by it all and has set his sights on taking the team to the next World Cup in Brazil at the expense of all else, with Asia’s qualifying tournament for the 2014 finals due to kick off in June.

    "Our target is to secure qualifying for the 2014 World Cup," Gao told the China Daily last week.

    "Every game before next June, including the Asian Cup, is a warm-up process for the World Cup qualifiers, which means we do not set specific goals for those games."

    In his efforts to prepare the team for the attempt to reach a second World Cup, Gao has been working diligently to refresh his squad, blooding a host of young players since the turn of the year.

    That has brought criticism from within China but the former Changchun Yatai boss has pledged to stick to the task at hand, even if it means upsetting the normal order in a society that values experience over youth.

    "Soccer is not traditional Chinese medicine,” he said. “The elder ones are not necessarily better. You need passion, creativity and courage to play soccer. The team needs updating all the time. Age is not a major concern.

    "There is no age difference in soccer. The decisive element is whether the player can develop with the game."

    There can be little doubt the moaning and complaining will continue for as long as China struggle to pick up the results expected; but if Gao delivered that much sought after place in Brazil in four years’ time, that pain will be quickly forgotten.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    A new era hasn't quite dawned yet, but life after Takeshi Okada at least started with a win for Japan last week.

    Coach-in-waiting Alberto Zaccheroni watched from the stands as Shinji Kagawa's solitary goal downed Paraguay on Friday evening, extracting a modicum of revenge from the nation that was responsible for Japan's exit from the World Cup finals a few months ago.

    The Paraguayans knocked out Okada's side in the second round in South Africa in a penalty shootout following what was universally rated as one of the worst games of the World Cup; the upside in Yokohama, at least, was that one of the two teams was able to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, unlike the previous meeting in Pretoria.

    The recent history between the two teams had the Japanese media billing the game as a grudge match, claiming the Blue Samurai were intent on extracting revenge for their elimination.

    Such hyperbole drives ratings, but in reality the game was of little consequence beyond allowing Zaccheroni the opportunity to see his new charges perform in the flesh.

    The Italian, though, had very little to do with what went on over the 90 minutes, or indeed in the build-up to the game.

    Hiromi Hara, the Japan Football Association's technical director, picked the squad - which boasted 15 players from Okada's World Cup selection - and it was the former FC Tokyo and Urawa Reds manager who was on the touchline throughout the game. Zaccheroni was little more than a spectator as he continues to wait for his work visa to be processed.

    How much Zaccheroni learned is open to question but Hara admitted one of his primary objectives throughout the game was to show what Japan had to offer to the man he was responsible for hiring .

    "This is the start of a new stage and we needed to make sure we did it well," said Hara after the game. "We have a lot of players who can be very direct and I wanted them to do that without fear tonight.

    "I wanted to show Zaccheroni a wide range of players and help him as much as I could. He didn't choose the players for tonight but this is the national team and the players have a responsibility to give it their all."

    The tardiness of Zaccheroni’s appointment – the Italian was installed a full two months after the country’s elimination from the World Cup and with just four months to the Asian Cup – has left many doubting the nation can add a fourth continental title to their collection when the tournament kicks off in Qatar in January.

    But the former AC Milan and Juventus man is confident he can, at least, take the team to the latter stages of the 16-team tournament.

    “We must finish in the top three of the Asian Cup,” he said. “Japan certainly have the strength to do it, and we must do it.”

    Whether Zaccheroni has the time to do it is another matter entirely.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Like a bolt from the blue, Italy’s Alberto Zaccheroni has been named head coach of the Japan national team, ending a saga that was threatening to undermine the Japan Football Association’s reputation as one of Asia’s most efficient federations.

    After weeks of speculation and conjecture as well as a number of high-profile refusals by coaches such as Manuel Pelligrini and Ernesto Valverde, Zaccheroni has been handed the task of leading Japan to the finals of the Asian Cup and beyond.

    The former AC Milan coach, however, will have his work cut out to prepare the team for the continental championship in Qatar in January.

    Due to the length of time taken by the JFA’s technical director Hiromi Hara to secure a replacement for Takeshi Okada, Japan will go into their upcoming friendlies against Paraguay and Guatemala under the control of a caretaker coach.

    Hara himself will fill that role but by doing so he will rob Zaccheroni of an opportunity to acquaint himself with his new squad in the build up to the Asian Cup.

    As it stands, the Japanese have only four games lined up between now and the tournament, with the other two to be played against Argentina and South Korea in the first half of October.

    Those two matches will hardly be enough for Zaccheroni to gauge his best starting line-up or to impose his style of play on a team that is unlikely to feature too many changes from the one that reached the second round of the World Cup finals.

    No doubt more games will be arranged in the lead up to the Asian Cup, but by then the hope would have been that the team would be being fine-tuned.

    Having never worked outside of Italy, Zaccheroni will be faced with a multitude of challenges – both on and off the pitch - now that he has decided to immerse himself in the world of Japanese and Asian football.

    In Japan, he will find a mindset very different to the one he has encountered in the past at prestigious clubs such as Lazio, Internazionale and Juventus; there undoubtedly will be myriad frustrations and issues he will be forced to overcome quickly. The culture-shock could be enough to cause an early derailment.

    The 57-year-old has been handed a two-year contract with an option for another two years which, should it be exercised, will take Zacheronni and his charges through to the finals of the next World Cup in 2014.

    Zaccheroni’s signing comes just days after Brazilian Oswaldo Oliveira – who has led Kashima Antlers to the last three J.League titles – stated his interest in the post and it suggests the JFA is taking the long-view towards building the team.

    While the Asian Cup is a tournament the Japanese have won on three occasions – in 1992, 2000 and 2004 – to hire a coach with no working knowledge of Japanese players, the J.League or of Asian football gives the impression that success at continental level in January is not uppermost in the federation’s thinking.

    Instead, all eyes are set on Japan’s performance in Brazil in four years’ time – assuming they make it that far – and building steadily on the surprise success achieved by Okada’s team in South Africa.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    It’s all too easy to knock Chinese football; from corruption scandals to crowd trouble, the sport in the world’s most populous nation has generated more than its fair share of negative press in recent years.

    Violent clashes recently between fans of Chinese Super League clubs Henan Jianye and Jiangsu Shuntian attracted the kind of international coverage the action on the field of play has failed to garner for much of the last decade.

    Rather than becoming synonymous for the quality of their football, the Chinese now have a reputation for being brawlers and match-fixers while the national team has garnered very little in the way of respect from followers of the game either at home or abroad.

    But amid all the negativity, Chinese football has been taking small steps in the right direction this year.

    The national team is reasserting itself on the international stage, even if the country’s failure to qualify for the World Cup was a missed opportunity, while on the domestic front the CSL season is shaping up nicely as the final third of the season approaches.

    A tight battle at the top of the table is developing between Shandong Luneng and Shanghai Shenhua, two of the giants of the Chinese game.

    Shandong, winners of the top flight in 1999, 2006 and 2008, sit one point clear of their great rivals having played one match less while defending champions Beijing Guoan – currently in third place – are the league’s form team.

    Beijing, who became the first Chinese team to reach the knockout phase of the Asian Champions League since 2006 earlier in the season, are unbeaten in their last five matches and have closed the gap on Shandong to seven points.

    With 10 games remaining, it is a margin that is far from insurmountable and, having lost only once since the league resumed – a 3-0 reversal against Dalian Shide – following its summer break, Beijing are on a roll.

    Shandong will no doubt be favourites as the run-in approaches and the chances are it will remain a two-horse race between them and Shanghai, with Branko Ivankovic’s team the most likely victors.

    Beijing are the only club who appear capable of forcing their way into the battle as both Liaoning Hongyun and Hangzhou Lucheng – in fourth and fifth respectively - are a point further adrift having played one game more than both Beijing and Shandong.

    But while the immediate focus will be on the battle for the CSL crown, what remains of 2010 will also be of great importance to the national team as time runs out for the country’s leading individuals to stake their claim to a place in Gao Hongbo’s squad for the Asian Cup finals.

    China’s record at the continental championship is disappointing – two final appearances, in 1984 and 2004 is as close as the country has come to victory – but under Gao the team has been improving, winning the East Asian Championship and securing a draw against France in a friendly in June.

    Victory in Qatar in January would go a long way to lifting the mood within the Chinese game, but there’s still plenty of time for things to go wrong in a country that seems habitually to shoot itself in the foot.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Normally the Japanese would pride themselves on their efficiency, but the hunt for Takeshi Okada’s successor at the helm of the national team has started to take on the feel of a saga that has a little longer to run.

    But with Japan’s involvement in the Asian Cup finals edging ever closer, time is not something the three-time continental champions have at their disposal.

    While their major regional rivals have all settled the issue of who will lead them into January’s tournament in Qatar – Australia announced the appointment of Holger Osieck last week while the Koreans have already played their first game under Cho Kwang-rae – the Japanese remain leaderless.

    With a friendly against their World Cup conquerors Paraguay looming on September 4, the chances are that Japan will be led by a caretaker boss before a full-time appointment is made.

    Spaniard Victor Fernandez remains the favourite for the post according to the Japanese press who have also speculated that Okada could be invited back on a short-term basis, although that option has been emphatically ruled out by the footballing authorities in Tokyo.

    Okada’s disillusion with the job – and in particular his immense dislike of the intense media spotlight that comes with any high-profile job in Japan – was such that the former Yokohama Marinos coach was never likely to hang around beyond the end of Japan’s involvement at the World Cup.

    By being so successful in South Africa, though, Okada’s shadow will hang over whoever takes on the role and it will be important for the new man to establish his own style and methods on the team.

    In addition to Fernandez, Argentinians Jose Pekerman and Marcelo Bielsa have been linked with the post and the fact that Spanish speakers are among the most likely options for the job comes as little surprise given the background of technical director Hiromi Hara.

    The former FC Tokyo coach – who took on the role at the JFA early in 2009 – speaks Spanish and has close links to several La Liga clubs; it was to Spain that he looked when he was seeking a style in which his FC Tokyo side should play.

    And, with Spain now the undisputed masters of international football after adding the World Cup to the European title they won in 2008, it is to the Iberian peninsula that the Japanese are most likely to look for their future direction.

    After years of being enthralled by the Brazilians – players from the South American nation dominate the J.League while Zico had a four-year spell as national team boss – tapas is now on Japan’s football menu.

    All that makes Fernandez the most likely candidate of those linked with the post although the Japanese could take a leaf out of Australia’s book and appoint a surprise candidate.

    Once certainty, though, is that the JFA will not go the way of the Koreans and stick with a domestic coach.

    Hara and company have made it clear the new man will be a foreigner; all they have to do now is sort out once and for all who it will be.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Halfway through the season, with Japan’s World Cup commitments out of the way and the focus back firmly on the domestic game, it’s looking like a three-way battle for the 2010 J.League title.

    Ten points separate the top eight teams in the league after 17 matches of the 34-game season.

    But while clubs like Gamba Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale will still harbour hopes of claiming the title, the chances are that the winners will come from the trio currently leading the table.

    Only two points separates league leaders Shimizu S-Pulse from defending champions Kashima Antlers - who are third - while Nagoya Grampus are sandwiched in between, a point off top spot.

    In many people’s eyes, Kashima will remain the favourites for success; with their track record and ability to perform under pressure, Oswaldo Oliveira’s team will certainly be tough to beat.

    Kashima are aiming for an unprecedented fourth straight league title and the Ibaraki-based club has made a habit out of making a late, title-winning surge to claim the championship.

    The chances of the same happening again in 2010 are strong but in Shimizu and Nagoya they will face a stiffer challenge than in previous campaigns.

    Dragan Stojkovic’s side go into the second half of the season in far better shape than in the past.

    After a promising performance in 2008 – when they finished high enough up the table to qualify for the Asian Champions League – they were disappointing in the 2009 campaign as their continental commitments undermined their domestic hopes.

    But with the addition of several astute signings, including Japan national team defender Marcus Tulio Tanaka at the start of the season, coupled with Josh Kennedy’s goal scoring exploits, Stojkovic’s Grampus are certainly a stronger candidate for success this time around.

    A league title would be the club’s first ever but they will face a forceful challenge from a Shimizu side that has been one of the most consist performers in the league so far this year.

    The arrival of former Japan midfielder Shinji Ono at the start of the year has given the club a greater level of creativity and that has paid off in front of goal.

    Jungo Fujimoto, Shinji Okazaki and Frode Johnsen have all been regular scorers for S-Pulse this season and with the goals shared evenly around the club’s strike force, the chances of them maintaining a strong challenge for the title will remain even in the event of injuries to one of their forwards.

    If anything is going to derail the challenges of either S-Pulse or Grampus, it will be inexperience that could prove fatal for two clubs that have never won the domestic title in the 17 years since football turned professional in Japan.

    Both have gone close with S-Pulse finishing as runners-up in 1999 while Grampus come home in second place back in 1996

    And that is where Kashima will have the upper hand.

    Even though they lost out to S-Pulse in the pair’s clash at the weekend thanks to a solitary goal by substitute Takuma Edamura, the seven-time champions remain the favourites to add to their astonishing run of success.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    At the instigation of the Asian Football Confederation, a continental transfer market is starting to grow in Asia that had been all but non-existent before.

    With the implementation of the 3+1 rule that allows clubs to hire four foreign players so long as one is from within Asia, the continent’s governing body has lit a fire beneath the exchange of players within the region.

    It’s still far from perfect but the embers are starting to take hold and one of the clubs leading the way is South Korea’s Suwon Bluewings.

    With former China captain Li Weifeng already on their books, the two-time continental champions have signed former Japan striker Naohiro Takahara as they finalise their preparations for the quarterfinals of this years’ Asian Champions League.

    “I watched him when he was playing for Jubilo Iwata in 2001 season,” said Suwon coach Yoon Sung-hyo of his club’s new recruit. “He was a very good player at that time.

    “If he plays like those days, surely he will be of great help in the AFC Champions League and the K-League.”

    Takahara is the first high-profile Japanese player to move to the K-League since Masakiyo Maezono made a similar journey back in 2003, when he spent a season with Anyang Cheetahs before featuring briefly for Incheon United.

    But if Yoon believes he is signing the Takahara of almost a decade ago, then he is almost certainly clutching at straws.

    Sadly, the 31-year-old has struggled to fulfill the potential he showed early in his career and in recent seasons he has been a shadow of his former self. Why else would a club of Urawa’s stature allow him to leave so readily.

    In his youth, there was little to deny that Takahara was destined to be one of the finest strikers Japan had ever produced; strong and agile, he was as good in the air as he was on the ground.

    He seemed to excel most against more physical opponents, suggesting he had the raw materials to not only succeed for Japan at international level, but to flourish beyond the confines of his home nation.

    No Japanese striker had ever managed to blossom overseas; midfielders tended to be the country’s main export and only Kazuyoshi Miura had traveled to play outside of Japan in one of the world’s major leagues during his short stint in Serie A.

    The hopes for Takahara, though, were significant. He shone in his first three seasons with Jubilo Iwata, scoring for fun in the J.League as his club won the domestic title while he also played a key role in Jubilo’s Asian Super Cup triumph over Al Ittihad from Saudi Arabia in 1999.

    In the same year, he also led the line as Japan reached the final of the World Youth Championships in Nigeria.

    A short stint in Argentina in 2001 with Boca Juniors served only to hone his skills further and in 2002 he scored regularly in the J.League to finish the season as the league’s top scorer as Jubilo won the title.

    But that year was also to signal the beginning of his slip in form because, while he was having little trouble against defences in the Japanese league, Takahara had been blighted by deep vein thrombosis.

    Takahara contracted DVT while traveling to Poland for a pre-World Cup friendly with the Japan national team and it was the reason he was not fit enough to take his place in the country’s squad for the 2002 World Cup finals on home soil, depriving coach Philippe Troussier of his talismanic striker.

    Afterwards, he was never quite the same player, even though he went on to play in the Bundesliga for SV Hamburg and Eintracht Frankfurt before returning to Japan to join Urawa. He still scored regularly for Japan, too, but he never matured into the commanding centre forward he could have been.

    Takahara is viewed by many within the Japanese game as beyond his prime but the upside is that someone of his standing is prepared to make a move to another Asian league.

    It’s a sign that things are moving in the right direction, even if they still have a long way to go.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The dust has barely settled on South Africa 2010 and, as FIFA’s inspection teams begin their final assessments of the nations bidding to host the 2018 and 2022 World Cups, the focus – in one nation at least – is already shifting towards the 2026 finals.

    They may be 16 years away and voting for the rights could be as far off as a decade, but that has not stopped the Chinese from making positive sounds about hosting the World Cup for the first time.

    In the aftermath of South Africa’s impressive hosting of the tournament – against the odds in the eyes of many – the Chinese now believe their time is approaching.

    "It really moved us to see all the social benefits South Africa got from hosting the World Cup," Wei Di, head of the Chinese Football Association (CFA), told the Titan Sports newspaper.

    "The CFA is preparing to ask the General Administration of Sport to bid for the 2026 World Cup.

    "Everyone has been debating whether China should bid for the World Cup or when to bid, but seeing how successfully South Africa hosted it, I have to say that China has no reason not to bid, and now is the best time."

    The Chinese refused to get involved in the bidding for the 2022 finals due to the considerable work that needs to be done on the game in the world’s most populous nation.

    Domestic football has been riddled with corruption while the national team has, until recently, struggled to match the best in Asia. Victory in the East Asian Championship in February, however, has given the country something of an on-field confidence boost.

    China’s declaration will no doubt have an impact, too, on the hopes and aspirations of the four Asian nations bidding to host the 2022 World Cup finals.

    Qatar, Japan, South Korea and Australia have all thrown their hats into the ring for the 2022 finals and should one of the four prove to be successful – ahead of the United States, the only non-Asian entrant – then China’s hopes would be dead in the water.

    FIFA is unlikely to consider holding successive World Cups in the same continental region, meaning China will have to bring all its influence to bear in December to ensure no Asian nation is awarded the 2022 hosting rights.

    Should that particular piece of the puzzle fall into place – and there’s no guarantee of that given China’s general weakness on football’s political stage - then there’s no reason why the Chinese cannot win the right to hold the 2026 finals.

    Hosting the World Cup would certainly give the Chinese game the boost it needs to reestablish football as the country’s leading sport and the infrastructure and government will already exists to ensure a high-quality tournament.

    The numerous scandals that have dogged the game over the last decade has seen it slip in popularity, with basketball – thanks largely to the success of Yao Ming in the NBA – closing the gap considerably.

    But, as South Africa proved, nothing stirs a nation like the World Cup and for both FIFA and China, 2026 in the Middle Kingdom would be too much of a temptation to resist.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    The post-World Cup East Asian exodus has begun in earnest, with even the North Koreans in on the act of signing up for clubs in capitalist Europe.

    Jong Tae-se was always likely to be the player who represented the Democratic People’s Republic to be picked up by a western club in the aftermath of the World Cup given his many attributes.

    First, he was born in Japan and carries a passport from that nation as well as from both North and South Korea. Perhaps just as importantly, his presence in Japan’s J.League means he had a profile outside of North Korea long before the World Cup.

    In addition he speaks English while his agent – Nobuaki Tanabe – is one of the best-connected in Japan, having secured overseas deals for a number of Japan’s national team over the years.

    Of course, he wouldn’t have been signed for Bundesliga side Vfl Bochum if he didn’t have the talent to catch the eye and his ability both on and off the ball have impressed, with his muscular performances in South Africa alerting several clubs to his talents.

    Strong both in the air and with his back to goal, Jong proved that he is very capable of fulfilling the role of the lone striker with aplomb.

    He’s not the only player from the region making his way west to prepare for the upcoming European season.

    Japan goalkeeper Eiji Kawashima had barely played for Japan ahead of their pre-World Cup friendly against England in Austria in May.

    That performance – during which he saved a penalty from Frank Lampard - convinced coach Takeshi Okada to stick with the Kawasaki Frontale man between the posts during the World Cup, the 26-year-old has secured a move abroad.

    Kawashima will play for Belgian side SK Lierse to become only the second Japanese goalkeeper to play in Europe, following in the footsteps of Yoshikatsu Kawaguchi.

    He isn’t the only Japanese player who is making the move to Europe, a transition that has been a difficult challenge for all but the country’s best players.

    Kashima Antlers’ 22-year-old defender Atsuto Uchida has signed for Schalke 04 even though he failed to feature for Japan in South Africa while national team full back Yuto Nagatomo signed for Cesena in Italy’s Serie A from FC Tokyo.

    Shinji Kagawa, who missed out on a place in the World Cup squad but is seen as a future star of the national side, is also making the move having joined Borussia Dortmund from Cerezo Osaka.

    Things have been quieter – so far at least – with the South Koreans with only World Cup central defender Cho Yong-hyong reportedly catching the eye of Aston Villa manager Martin O’Neill.

    However, with the positive track record of the Koreans in Europe, it will be a surprise if more of Huh Jung-moo’s squad are not on the plane to join Park Ji-sung, Park Chu-young and the others in earning their living far beyond the K-League.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    With the World Cup a quickly fading memory for the footballers of Japan and South Korea, the focus has shifted to the future and the changes to be implemented across the national teams of both nations.

    Total overhauls will not be necessary for either nation following their impressive showing in South Africa; minor tweaks in personnel are certain while the philosophies of both sides could be about to change.

    Huh Jung-moo and Takeshi Okada have moved on from their respective positions helming the teams and, with a little over six months remaining to the Asian Cup finals, the race will be on to find alternatives.

    The Koreans are expected to go with another local coach, although one of those tipped to take on the role is legendary defender Hong Myung-bo, although he feels he’s not ready to shoulder the burden of the nation’s expectations.

    It was Hong who scored the all-important penalty against Spain in the quarterfinal shootout in 2002 that took the Koreans into the semifinals of the World Cup; but – for now at least – he won’t be steering the national team from the sidelines to similar glory.

    "It's surely an honour, but it doesn't seem to be the right time for me," Hong, who will lead the country’s under 23 team at the Asian Games in Guangzhou in November said.

    The chances remain that the next coach will be Korean, but question marks hang over who will take the reins as few local coaches have the experience at the top end required for such a job.

    Former international midfielder Shin Tae-yong has had a good start to his coaching career at Seongnam Ilhwa while Choi Kang-hee has tasted success at continental level with Jeonbuk Motors.

    The Japanese have a similar conundrum following Okada’s impending resignation.

    Should the Japan Football Association decide they want to stick with a local coach, perhaps only Akira Nishino – who guided Gamba Osaka to the Asian Champions League title in 2008 – would fit the bill.

    More likely, though, is that the national association will opt for a foreigner. Argentinean duo Marcelo Bielsa – who guided Chile to this year’s finals – and Jose Pekerman have been linked with the post.

    Pekerman perhaps fits the bill better given the JFA’s desire to have the new coach take charge not only of the national team but also the squad that will attempt to qualify Japan for the 2012 Olympic Games in London.

    The two roles were combined during Philippe Troussier’s days in Japan in the run-up to the 2002 World Cup finals and Pekerman’s experience of working with young squads – he was head coach of the Argentina teams that won the World Youth Championship in 1995, 1997 and 2001 - make him an attractive proposition for Japan.

    No matter who the coach is, they will be working in the future without one of the icons of Japanese football after Shunsuke Nakamura decided to retire.

    After featuring for less than 30 minutes of Japan’s four games in South Africa, the writing was on the wall for the former Celtic midfielder and he has decided enough is enough.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    South Korea’s World Cup may be over, but their position at the summit of Asian football remains firmly entrenched after s South African campaign that saw Huh Jung-moo’s side meet all expectations.

    Going into the 2010 finals, the South Koreans were widely seen as the region’s leading nation and underlined their status in the weeks leading up to the competition with some fine result, including a comfortable 2-0 win over Japan.

    With a solid balance between youth and experience, Huh had fashioned a team capable of mixing it with the world’s best; and so it proved as the Koreans progressed to the knockout phase for the first time ever on foreign soil.

    And although they were eliminated by Uruguay in the second round, the country’s position at the summit of the Asian region is now assured.

    Because, not only have the Koreans shown themselves to be more than capable at global level, they are in dominant form regionally as well – particularly on the club scene.

    “They must be doing something right because Korean football at the minute is exceptional,” says Pim Verbeek, the former Korea national team coach who led Australia at this year’s World Cup finals.

    “They have four teams in the Asian Champions League quarterfinals, so there’s a big future for them.”

    Pohang Steelers, Jeonbuk Motors, Seongnam Ilhwa and Suwon Bluewings are all competing in the last eight of the continental club championship when it resumes in September while the national team has its sights firmly set on winning the Asian Cup, which will be held in Qatar in January next year.

    Remarkably for a nation that has qualified for every World Cup since 1986 – that’s seven straight tournaments – the Koreans have not won the Asian Cup since 1960, when they claimed the second of their two continental titles.

    “I worked closely with most of them and I know how hard they have worked to get these performances,” says Verbeek.

    “I have fantastic feelings when I think of South Korea and I know all of the coaching staff, they’re great people, the players are fantastic.

    “They’re a young team and they can do a great job in the upcoming years.”

    So what is the secret of South Korea’s success?

    “In the three-and-a-half years I worked there, I never heard one complaint from any of the players no matter where they were or what they had to do,” says Verbeek.

    “They work hard, they do many training sessions and go on long trips and they do what they have to do.

    “And they are so proud to play for the national team. They give a few percent extra and when you have so many fans behind you it’s difficult not to play well. And they are very good football players.”

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Timing, in football as in so many facets of life, is everything; and on hindsight, the authorities in North Korea could not have agreed to their first-ever live broadcast of an international football match on a worse possible occasion.

    The manner in which Portugal brushed aside the challenge of Kim Jong-hun’s team in Cape Town signaled the gulf that exists between a nation that was making its first appearance at the World Cup finals in 44 years and one whose footballers feature week-in, week-out in the UEFA Champions League.

    North Korea were always likely to be the whipping boys of this World Cup’s Group of Death, although a spirited, hard-working and defensively disciplined performance against Brazil suggested their showing might not be so negative as had previously been expected.

    But Portugal were in no mood to show any mercy and the North Koreans decided – bewilderingly – to abandon the tactics that had kept the Brazilians at bay for almost an hour.

    The fact the game was being broadcast live back home may, indeed, have had a bearing on the performance and the tactics adopted.

    With confidence increased after the performance against Brazil and with the national team due to make a prime-time World Cup appearance on television, the pressure will have been on show the folks back home that the nation can match the best.

    To do that, the North Koreans will have wanted to score goals, and therein lay their undoing.

    North Korea’s qualification for South Africa was built on a one-dimensional, defensively solid approach; asking them to come out and attack meant undermining the one aspect of their game that their players know they can rely on.

    They have proven against significantly weaker opposition that, when asked to dictate the tempo or to push for goals that they struggle.

    Last August, just weeks after sealing their place in South Africa, Kim’s team – virtually at full strength - drew 0-0 with Hong Kong. It could have been worse; Hong Kong striker Chan Siu-ki missed both a penalty and an open goal.

    The North Koreans could now be about to have more pain inflicted upon them in their final game against Ivory Coast.

    No team wants to bow out of the World Cup in ignominy but with Sven-Goran Eriksson’s team in desperate need of goals as they try to overhaul Portugal for a place in the second round, Kim’s team will be sure to come under serious bombardment.

    Much depends, then, on the approach the coach takes to the game. If he chooses to revert to the tactics used against Brazil, then Didier Drogba and company will find the well-drilled backline hard to break down.

    If, however, Kim decides he wants to deliver a World Cup win to the Great Leader, Km Jong-il, then Ivory Coast could be in for a field day.

  • Michael Church brings you an up date from Japan.
    Email Michael with your view on football michael.church@sportingbet.com

    Far East Football

    Throughout Japan’s fractious preparations for the World Cup finals, few would have bet on Takeshi Okada’s side creating history in South Africa.

    A string of defeats, coupled with the coach questioning his own ability to lead the team at the finals just days before Japan left home, suggested not only that confidence was at an all-time low, but that the Blue Samurai were destined for little more than ignominious defeat.

    Few believed Japan could encounter a team in more disarray than themselves, but Cameroon proved to be suffering from even greater levels of internal discord and, as a result, Keisuke Honda was capable of delivering an historic win for his team.

    Although the Japanese have won at the World Cup before – they picked up a pair of victories on home soil in 2002 as they reached the second round of the tournament they co-hosted with the South Koreans – they have never notched up a victory away from home soil.

    Three defeats in France in 1998 were followed in 2006 by losses against Australia and Brazil, with only a draw against Croatia ensuring the Japanese did not suffer another clean sweep of defeats.

    Only two players in the Japan squad have experienced all four of the country’s World Cup appearances, with goalkeeper Yoshikatsu Kawaguchi starring between the posts in France as well as in Germany four years ago.

    The former Portsmouth goalkeeper, who watched Monday’s win from the bench, felt the victory came as a result of 12 years’ worth of hard work.

    “It’s not easy to win at the World Cup,” said the veteran of seven World Cup matches over four tournaments. “It’s a culmination of all the work you put in that leads to victory.

    “It’s been a process from way back from France, and to win at a World Cup away is a huge step for us. We can’t bask in the win forever, though.

    “We won this game as a team, and we celebrated as a team. I think we’ve earned the right to enjoy this for tonight. But we’ve got to start thinking about the Dutch game from tomorrow. The second game (against the Netherlands) will be crucial.

    “Watching from the bench, I didn’t get the feeling we were going to lose. We were really in it, mentally.

    “We were relaxed, went into the game with a level head so I wasn’t worried about the way we went into the match. I’m really glad we took three points from our first game.”

    Japan now face the Dutch knowing that even a defeat against the group favourites will not mean the end of their World Cup hopes and that their fate at this year’s tournament will more likely hinge on the encounter with Denmark.

    But even if the Japanese fail to progress, they have achieved a first at this World Cup, which in itself has already been historic for nations from the Far East.

    South Korea kicked the tournament off with a win over Greece that, coupled with Japan’s victory, means Asian teams have now won as many games collectively as at previous World Cups.

    Saudi Arabia notched up two wins in the United States in 1994 on their way to the second round and only the haul of victories by the Japanese and Koreans when they hosted the tournament in 2002 – a total of six wins, with Japan claiming two and the Koreans four – now surpasses that total.

Sponsorship

  • Leeds
  • Hot Spurs
  • Wolves
  • Hull Kr

Payments

  • Money Bookers
  • Visa
  • Maestro
  • Mastercard
  • Lazer
  • Ukash
  • Neteller
  • Click 2 Pay
  • Delta

Authorities

  • Underage Gambling
  • Gamcare
  • Antigua Gaming
  • LGA
  • ESSA
  • IBAS
  • ICRA
  • Verisign
  • Alderney

Sportingbet no longer accepts any bets from the US. Click here for more information.

© 2012 Internet Opportunity Entertainment (Sports) Limited and Interactive Sports (C.I.) Limited. All rights reserved.

Warning: Gambling involves risk. By gambling on this website, you run the risk that you may lose money or suffer psychological injuries.
You gamble at your own risk. Sportsbook members must be 18 or over.